Davis Martin
P
Chicago White Sox
+0.6
WAR
Age 29
RHP
6'2" / 215 lbs
MLB
peak 0.6 · 2026
ERA4.51
FIP4.74
xFIP4.06
SIERA4.11
K%18.7%
BB%8.4%
K-BB%10.3%
IP110
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.6peak
2026
STUF4545
CTRL5050
CMD4040
K†4545
FB Velo
p4093.8
Whiff%
p2822.2%
K%
p3620.2%
xwOBA vs
p230.344
FB+3.4 (42%)
CH+1.6 (18%)
SL+0.5 (14%)
SI (15%)
CU (11%)
CT-2.5 (15%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | Great Falls Voyagers | 9 | 2 | 21 | 92 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 16.3% | 8.2% | 1.5% | 4.29 | 3.59 | +0.3 |
| 2019 | 22 | A | Kannapolis Intimidators | 27 | 27 | 145 | 625 | 156 | 38 | 17 | 18.5% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 5.04 | 4.79 | +0.8 |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Birmingham Barons | 23 | 23 | 88 | 390 | 98 | 34 | 11 | 19.6% | 9.9% | 3.6% | 4.91 | 4.67 | +0.5 |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 32 | 27 | 140 | 604 | 147 | 43 | 23 | 22.0% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 5.00 | 4.12 | +1.9 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 3 | 3 | 16 | 64 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 27.5% | 11.5% | 3.1% | 2.81 | 3.94 | +0.2 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 18 | 17 | 71 | 306 | 72 | 28 | 6 | 21.4% | 10.5% | 2.2% | 4.06 | 3.81 | +1.0 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 28 | 27 | 148 | 625 | 109 | 48 | 20 | 17.3% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 4.13 | 4.56 | +1.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 3 | 3 | 18 | 70 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 21.4% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.50 | 3.58 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | CWS | 15 | 15 | 84 | 354 | 69 | 29 | 11 | 19.5% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 4.08 | 4.25 | +0.9 |
| 2026 Total | 29 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 102 | 424 | 84 | 33 | 13 | 19.8% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 3.80 | 4.13 | +1.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | CWS | 17 | 17 | 92 | 388 | 73 | 32 | 13 | 18.9% | 8.3% | 3.3% | 4.63 | 4.73 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | CWS | 15 | 15 | 82 | 348 | 64 | 29 | 12 | 18.3% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 4.75 | 4.84 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | CWS | 13 | 13 | 74 | 311 | 61 | 24 | 11 | 19.7% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 4.71 | 4.68 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB | CWS | 12 | 12 | 65 | 276 | 52 | 22 | 10 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 4.77 | 4.81 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB | CWS | 58 | — | 58 | 244 | 45 | 20 | 9 | 18.3% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 4.88 | 4.95 | 0.0 |
| 2032 | 35 | MLB | CWS | 51 | — | 51 | 214 | 38 | 18 | 8 | 17.6% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 5.01 | 5.10 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 36 | MLB | CWS | 44 | — | 44 | 186 | 31 | 16 | 7 | 16.8% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 5.16 | 5.27 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 143 | 129 | 647 | 2776 | 546 | 228 | 96 | 19.7% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 4.55 | 4.38 | +6.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 44 | 40 | 200 | 858 | 169 | 70 | 30 | 19.7% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 4.55 | 4.38 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Davis Martin (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.79 | 18.7% | 8.6% | 3.3% | — | 4.75 | 18.9% | 10.8% | 248 | -0.04 | — | — | — |
| Jason Berken R 2028 · 4.36 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.36 | 13.5% | 6.6% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.51 | 11.5% | 3.2% | 106 | +0.15 | 4.36 | 219 | 74 |
| Scott McGregor R 2025 · 4.41 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.41 | 11.8% | 7.6% | 2.4% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.41 | 107 | 74 |
| Shawn Haviland R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.95 | 14.6% | 6.0% | 2.4% | .303 | 4.69 | 16.1% | 8.8% | 169 | +0.74 | 3.69 | 283 | 74 |
| Josh Roenicke R 2029 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.89 | 10.9% | 7.0% | 3.3% | .353 | 3.35 | 19.2% | 11.5% | 160 | -1.54 | 3.27 | 283 | 73 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.00 | 15.3% | 8.5% | 2.0% | .316 | 3.75 | 17.1% | 8.5% | 348 | -0.25 | 3.14 | 593 | 73 |
| Ervin Santana R 2029 · 4.00 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.00 | 17.1% | 7.1% | 2.6% | .273 | 4.12 | 19.2% | 12.4% | 417 | +0.12 | 3.75 | 720 | 73 |
| Jose Pina R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.86 | 16.9% | 9.2% | 3.7% | .231 | 3.67 | 13.6% | 6.9% | 246 | -1.19 | 3.65 | 424 | 73 |
| Juan Delgadillo R 2029 · 4.56 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.56 | 15.5% | 7.2% | 3.4% | .316 | 4.46 | 10.9% | 4.7% | 39 | -0.10 | 4.46 | 143 | 73 |
| Cesar Carrillo R 2028 · 4.16 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.16 | 13.8% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .307 | 4.46 | 12.6% | 2.6% | 145 | +0.30 | 4.16 | 325 | 73 |
| Colin Bates R 2024 · 4.57 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.57 | 10.5% | 6.5% | 2.8% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.57 | 111 | 72 |
| Edgar Gonzalez R 2029 · 4.30 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.30 | 11.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | .293 | 3.62 | 10.8% | 5.2% | 216 | -0.68 | 3.19 | 450 | 72 |
| Patrick Johnson R 2027 · 4.13 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.13 | 15.7% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 248 | 72 |
| Caleb Clay R 2024 · 4.67 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.67 | 9.9% | 6.9% | 2.8% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.67 | 111 | 71 |
| Frank Batista R 2023 · 4.27 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.27 | 12.1% | 8.2% | 2.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 118 | 71 |
| Andres Ivan Meza R 2025 · 4.41 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.41 | 10.9% | 5.6% | 2.8% | .322 | 4.14 | 12.5% | 4.0% | 85 | -0.27 | 4.14 | 275 | 71 |
| Luke Irvine R 2024 · 4.31 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.31 | 13.4% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 104 | 71 |
| Scott Carroll R 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 30 | SP- | 3.96 | 12.7% | 7.7% | 1.7% | .286 | 5.08 | 11.2% | 2.6% | 128 | +1.12 | 3.96 | 248 | 71 |
| Hector Noesí R 2025 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.38 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.38 | 250 | 71 |
| Michael Nix R 2029 · 3.82 FIP | 32 | SP- | 3.82 | 12.4% | 8.9% | 1.2% | .310 | 4.52 | 11.9% | 0.3% | 115 | +0.70 | 3.82 | 234 | 70 |
| Felipe Paulino R 2028 · 4.52 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.52 | 15.8% | 11.8% | 2.3% | .312 | 4.86 | 15.0% | 4.8% | 26 | +0.34 | 4.52 | 150 | 70 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.