Lance Lynn
PosP
B/TS/R
Born1987-05-12
Age (2026)39
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 28 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 31 | 31 | 175 | 751 | 167 | 63 | 13 | 22.2% | 8.4% | 1.9% | 3.03 | 3.34 | +3.9 |
| 2016 | 29 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 3 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | 1.35 | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 33 | 33 | 186 | 776 | 153 | 73 | 27 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 3.43 | 4.71 | +1.2 |
| 2018 | 31 | MLB | New York Yankees | 31 | 29 | 157 | 700 | 161 | 73 | 14 | 23.0% | 10.4% | 1.9% | 4.77 | 3.50 | +3.2 |
| 2019 | 32 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 33 | 33 | 208 | 875 | 246 | 59 | 21 | 28.1% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 3.67 | 2.87 | +5.7 |
| 2020 | 33 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 13 | 13 | 84 | 344 | 89 | 25 | 13 | 25.9% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 3.32 | 4.07 | +1.0 |
| 2021 | 34 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 28 | 28 | 157 | 641 | 176 | 43 | 18 | 27.5% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 2.69 | 3.02 | +4.1 |
| 2022 | 35 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 24 | 24 | 132 | 558 | 132 | 21 | 21 | 24.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.37 | 3.68 | +2.4 |
| 2023 | 36 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 32 | 32 | 184 | 808 | 191 | 66 | 44 | 23.6% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.73 | 5.03 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 37 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 24 | 24 | 121 | 531 | 117 | 46 | 16 | 21.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 4.09 | 4.11 | +1.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 39 | MLB | STL | 20 | 20 | 108 | 458 | 98 | 40 | 16 | 21.4% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 4.81 | 4.72 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 40 | MLB | STL | 18 | 18 | 100 | 421 | 87 | 38 | 16 | 20.5% | 8.9% | 3.7% | 4.87 | 4.90 | +0.5 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 252 | 250 | 1411 | 6012 | 1438 | 468 | 189 | 23.9% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 3.91 | 3.79 | +24.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 36 | 35 | 200 | 852 | 204 | 66 | 27 | 23.9% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 3.91 | 3.79 | +3.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Lance Lynn (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.72 | 21.4% | 8.6% | 3.6% | — | 4.90 | 20.5% | 11.6% | 100 | +0.18 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Vogelsong R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 39 | SP- | 4.88 | 16.7% | 10.4% | 3.4% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.44 | 217 | 53 |
| Francisco Campos R 2029 · 4.76 FIP | 42 | SP- | 4.76 | 11.5% | 7.9% | 3.0% | .303 | 4.00 | 12.2% | 7.0% | 197 | -0.76 | 3.95 | 332 | 52 |
| Tim Hudson R 2027 · 4.40 FIP | 40 | SP- | 4.40 | 12.2% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.40 | 124 | 51 |
| Walter Silva R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 39 | SP- | 4.24 | 10.3% | 5.5% | 2.4% | .294 | 4.33 | 10.0% | 1.8% | 235 | +0.09 | 3.67 | 428 | 49 |
| Sergio Mitre R 2025 · 4.54 FIP | 38 | SP- | 4.54 | 11.8% | 6.5% | 2.9% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.54 | 156 | 48 |
| Jeremy Guthrie R 2024 · 4.87 FIP | 37 | SP- | 4.87 | 11.6% | 8.6% | 3.0% | .359 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.87 | 235 | 46 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2025 · 5.44 FIP | 38 | SW | 5.44 | 15.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.21 | 225 | 45 |
| Pablo Ortega R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 39 | SP- | 4.03 | 8.9% | 4.8% | 2.0% | .262 | 4.46 | 13.3% | 7.1% | 148 | +0.43 | 4.03 | 375 | 44 |
| Yasutomo Kubo R 2025 · 3.94 FIP | 38 | SP | 3.94 | 20.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.94 | 152 | 40 |
| Kyle Lohse R 2024 · 5.01 FIP | 37 | SW | 5.01 | 14.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.01 | 211 | 40 |
| Jason Grilli R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 39 | SW | 4.20 | 32.3% | 12.4% | 4.1% | .264 | 5.70 | 26.1% | 16.3% | 40 | +1.50 | 2.03 | 133 | 36 |
| Brad Ziegler R 2025 · 4.01 FIP | 38 | SW | 4.01 | 16.4% | 6.2% | 2.8% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.61 | 257 | 36 |
| Brad Penny R 2024 · 3.75 FIP | 37 | SP | 3.75 | 12.0% | 5.8% | 1.7% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.75 | 135 | 36 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 39 | SU | 3.77 | 25.5% | 11.3% | 2.5% | .258 | 4.46 | 21.6% | 11.7% | 50 | +0.69 | 3.55 | 164 | 35 |
| John Lackey R 2025 · 4.85 FIP | 38 | SP | 4.85 | 20.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | .260 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 577 | 33 |
| Jonathan Sánchez L 2023 · 4.73 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.73 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.73 | 109 | 32 |
| Matt Belisle R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.33 | 15.4% | 6.2% | 3.2% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.49 | 174 | 31 |
| Aaron Harang R 2024 · 4.43 FIP | 37 | SP | 4.43 | 14.4% | 6.4% | 3.2% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.43 | 172 | 30 |
| Wandy Rodriguez L 2023 · 3.85 FIP | 36 | SP- | 3.85 | 19.4% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 101 | 30 |
| Peter Moylan R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 39 | SU | 4.94 | 17.8% | 11.6% | 3.4% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.11 | 174 | 30 |