Chris Bassitt
P
Baltimore Orioles
+1.7
WAR
Age 37
RHP
6'5" / 220 lbs
MLB
Svc 9.0 · Ctrl thru 2026
peak 1.7 · 2026
ERA3.99
FIP4.05
xFIP6.14
SIERA6.02
K%22.5%
BB%7.8%
K-BB%14.7%
IP146
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.7peak
2026
K†5050
FB Velo
p1091.1
Whiff%
p1220.0%
K%
p109.3%
xwOBA vs
p100.385
SL+1.0 (7%)
CT (17%)
SI (37%)
CU (25%)
CH (6%)
FB-9.4 (46%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 26 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 31 | 23 | 155 | 646 | 134 | 49 | 6 | 19.4% | 7.7% | 1.1% | 3.60 | 3.04 | +4.0 |
| 2016 | 27 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 5 | 5 | 28 | 133 | 23 | 14 | 5 | 17.3% | 10.5% | 4.3% | 6.11 | 5.32 | -0.1 |
| 2017 | 28 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 24 | 9 | 51 | 218 | 45 | 20 | 3 | 17.5% | 9.8% | 1.7% | 5.33 | 3.79 | +0.7 |
| 2018 | 29 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 29 | 21 | 129 | 556 | 124 | 44 | 10 | 20.5% | 8.1% | 2.0% | 3.83 | 3.51 | +2.6 |
| 2019 | 30 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 31 | 28 | 155 | 657 | 157 | 49 | 23 | 23.0% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 3.77 | 4.13 | +2.1 |
| 2020 | 31 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 11 | 11 | 63 | 261 | 55 | 17 | 6 | 21.1% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 2.29 | 3.46 | +1.1 |
| 2021 | 32 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 27 | 27 | 157 | 637 | 159 | 38 | 15 | 25.0% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 3.15 | 3.13 | +3.9 |
| 2022 | 33 | MLB | New York Mets | 30 | 30 | 182 | 745 | 167 | 49 | 19 | 22.4% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 3.42 | 3.48 | +3.7 |
| 2023 | 34 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 33 | 33 | 200 | 826 | 186 | 57 | 28 | 22.5% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 3.60 | 4.05 | +2.8 |
| 2024 | 35 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 31 | 31 | 171 | 758 | 168 | 68 | 18 | 22.2% | 9.0% | 2.3% | 4.16 | 3.62 | +3.3 |
| 2025 | 36 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 32 | 31 | 170 | 736 | 166 | 52 | 22 | 22.6% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 3.96 | 3.56 | +3.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 37 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 3 | 3 | 11 | 61 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 8.2% | 11.5% | 1.6% | 9.00 | 4.76 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 37 | MLB | BAL | 23 | 23 | 124 | 526 | 98 | 43 | 14 | 18.7% | 8.2% | 2.6% | 3.81 | 4.01 | +1.8 |
| 2026 Total | 37 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 136 | 587 | 103 | 50 | 15 | 17.6% | 8.5% | 2.5% | 4.23 | 4.07 | +1.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 38 | MLB | BAL | 21 | 21 | 116 | 489 | 84 | 42 | 13 | 17.3% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 4.47 | 4.62 | +0.9 |
| 2028 | 39 | MLB | BAL | 18 | 18 | 99 | 419 | 69 | 37 | 12 | 16.4% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 4.67 | 4.81 | +0.5 |
| 2029 | 40 | MLB | BAL | 15 | 15 | 85 | 358 | 56 | 33 | 11 | 15.6% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 4.87 | 5.00 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 287 | 252 | 1472 | 6234 | 1358 | 469 | 161 | 21.8% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 3.77 | 3.63 | +27.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 39 | 34 | 200 | 847 | 184 | 64 | 22 | 21.8% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 3.77 | 3.63 | +3.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Chris Bassitt (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.18 | 21.1% | 7.8% | 2.7% | — | 4.79 | 16.5% | 7.6% | 300 | +0.61 | — | — | — |
| Ryan Vogelsong R 2027 · 4.44 FIP | 38 | SP | 4.44 | 18.1% | 9.4% | 3.1% | .295 | 4.88 | 16.7% | 6.3% | 82 | +0.44 | 4.44 | 217 | 41 |
| Aaron Harang R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 37 | SP | 4.43 | 14.4% | 6.4% | 3.2% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.43 | 172 | 40 |
| Jarrett Grube R 2024 · 4.47 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.47 | 15.8% | 8.1% | 3.1% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.71 | 393 | 40 |
| Brad Penny R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 37 | SP | 3.75 | 12.0% | 5.8% | 1.7% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.75 | 135 | 39 |
| A.J. Burnett R 2027 · 3.04 FIP | 38 | SP | 3.04 | 20.5% | 6.7% | 1.5% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.04 | 164 | 38 |
| Lorenzo Barcelo R 2026 · 3.18 FIP | 37 | SP | 3.18 | 13.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% | .345 | 3.38 | 12.8% | 11.7% | 45 | +0.20 | 3.18 | 199 | 37 |
| Kameron Loe R 2024 · 3.36 FIP | 35 | SP | 3.36 | 17.1% | 8.0% | 1.3% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 201 | 36 |
| Yasutomo Kubo R 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 38 | SP | 3.94 | 20.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.94 | 152 | 36 |
| James Shields R 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.83 | 17.7% | 9.0% | 3.8% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.12 | 720 | 35 |
| Dan Haren R 2023 · 4.29 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.29 | 17.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | .251 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.29 | 187 | 33 |
| Adam Wainwright R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 37 | SP | 4.18 | 20.5% | 7.7% | 3.4% | .310 | 3.58 | 19.6% | 13.5% | 464 | -0.60 | 2.03 | 1,127 | 33 |
| R.A. Dickey R 2029 · 4.20 FIP | 40 | SP | 4.20 | 14.3% | 6.8% | 2.6% | .253 | 4.70 | 17.0% | 8.7% | 360 | +0.50 | 4.20 | 574 | 32 |
| John Lackey R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 37 | SP | 3.82 | 24.1% | 7.0% | 3.4% | .249 | 4.85 | 20.4% | 13.6% | 171 | +1.03 | 3.56 | 577 | 31 |
| Frankie De La Cruz R 2024 · 4.37 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.37 | 16.2% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 240 | 26 |
| Tim Hudson R 2029 · 4.40 FIP | 40 | SP- | 4.40 | 12.2% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.40 | 124 | 25 |
| Walter Silva R 2027 · 4.13 FIP | 38 | SP- | 4.13 | 14.8% | 7.4% | 2.5% | .311 | 3.92 | 10.4% | 3.7% | 209 | -0.21 | 3.67 | 428 | 25 |
| Pablo Ortega R 2027 · 4.51 FIP | 38 | SP- | 4.51 | 8.6% | 7.3% | 2.2% | .291 | 4.23 | 11.5% | 6.0% | 236 | -0.28 | 4.03 | 375 | 25 |
| Edgar Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.58 | 12.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.19 | 450 | 24 |
| Jake Peavy R 2024 · 4.39 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.39 | 19.6% | 6.7% | 3.8% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.07 | 262 | 23 |
| Roberto Hernandez R 2024 · 4.35 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.35 | 13.8% | 7.0% | 2.8% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 171 | 23 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status FA
MLB Debut 2015
Service 9.756 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2026
First FA Year 2027
OPT
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Ext / FA-deal | $18M | +1.7 | $14M | -$5M |
| Totals | $18M | $14M | -$5M | ||
| Options · projected decision | |||
| 2027 | MUTUAL OPT | $2023.0M / $0.0M buyout | DECLINE |
| 2028 | MUTUAL OPT | $19.0M / $0.0M buyout | DECLINE |