Chris Bassitt
P
Baltimore Orioles
Age 37
RHP
6'5" / 220 lbs
MLB
Svc 9.0 · Ctrl thru 2026
peak 2.0 · 2026
ILInjured 15-Day (D15)
2026 ROS PROJECTION56 act + 73 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 101
ERA3.95
FIP4.10
K%17.6%
BB%8.0%
K-BB%9.6%
ROS IP73
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 129 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1091.5
Whiff%
p2121.2%
K%
p1014.2%
xwOBA vs
p230.344
SL+1.0 (8%)
CT (23%)
SI (37%)
CU (23%)
CH (4%)
FB-9.4 (41%)
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 23 | 155 | 646 | 134 | 49 | 6 | 74% | 5.0 | 19.4% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 1.1% | 3.60 | 3.02 | +4.3 |
| 2015 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 23 | 155 | 646 | 134 | 49 | 6 | 74% | 5.0 | 20.7% | 7.6% | 13.2% | 0.9% | 3.60 | 2.82 | +4.7 |
| 2016 | 27 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 5 | 5 | 28 | 133 | 23 | 14 | 5 | 100% | 5.6 | 17.3% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 6.11 | 5.13 | -0.2 |
| 2016 | 27 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 5 | 5 | 28 | 133 | 23 | 14 | 5 | 100% | 5.6 | 17.3% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 6.11 | 5.28 | -0.2 |
| 2017 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 9 | 51 | 218 | 45 | 20 | 3 | 38% | 2.1 | 17.5% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 2.1% | 5.33 | 4.00 | — |
| 2017 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 9 | 51 | 218 | 45 | 20 | 3 | 38% | 2.1 | 20.6% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 1.4% | 5.33 | 3.28 | — |
| 2018 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 21 | 129 | 556 | 124 | 44 | 10 | 72% | 4.5 | 20.5% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 2.0% | 3.83 | 3.48 | +2.9 |
| 2018 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 21 | 129 | 556 | 124 | 44 | 10 | 72% | 4.5 | 22.3% | 7.9% | 14.4% | 1.8% | 3.83 | 3.21 | +3.3 |
| 2019 | 30 | MIX | 3 levels | 31 | 28 | 155 | 657 | 157 | 49 | 23 | 90% | 5.0 | 23.0% | 7.7% | 15.4% | 3.6% | 3.77 | 4.10 | +2.4 |
| 2019 | 30 | MIX | 3 levels | 31 | 28 | 155 | 657 | 157 | 49 | 23 | 90% | 5.0 | 23.9% | 7.5% | 16.4% | 3.5% | 3.77 | 3.95 | +2.6 |
| 2020 | 31 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 11 | 11 | 63 | 261 | 55 | 17 | 6 | 100% | 5.7 | 21.1% | 6.5% | 14.6% | 2.4% | 2.29 | 3.47 | +0.8 |
| 2020 | 31 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 11 | 11 | 63 | 261 | 55 | 17 | 6 | 100% | 5.7 | 21.1% | 6.5% | 14.6% | 2.3% | 2.29 | 3.40 | +0.9 |
| 2021 | 32 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 27 | 27 | 157 | 637 | 159 | 38 | 15 | 100% | 5.8 | 25.0% | 6.0% | 19.0% | 2.5% | 3.15 | 3.10 | +4.2 |
| 2021 | 32 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 27 | 27 | 157 | 637 | 159 | 38 | 15 | 100% | 5.8 | 25.0% | 6.0% | 19.0% | 2.4% | 3.15 | 3.04 | +4.3 |
| 2022 | 33 | MLB | New York Mets | 30 | 30 | 182 | 745 | 167 | 49 | 19 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.4% | 6.6% | 15.8% | 2.6% | 3.42 | 3.45 | +4.1 |
| 2022 | 33 | MLB | New York Mets | 30 | 30 | 182 | 745 | 167 | 49 | 19 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.4% | 6.6% | 15.8% | 2.6% | 3.42 | 3.43 | +4.2 |
| 2023 | 34 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 33 | 33 | 200 | 826 | 186 | 57 | 28 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.5% | 6.9% | 15.6% | 3.4% | 3.60 | 3.93 | +3.4 |
| 2023 | 34 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 33 | 33 | 200 | 826 | 186 | 57 | 28 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.5% | 6.9% | 15.6% | 3.4% | 3.60 | 3.92 | +3.5 |
| 2024 | 35 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 31 | 31 | 171 | 758 | 168 | 68 | 18 | 100% | 5.5 | 22.2% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 2.4% | 4.16 | 3.67 | +3.5 |
| 2024 | 35 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 31 | 31 | 171 | 758 | 168 | 68 | 18 | 100% | 5.5 | 22.2% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 2.4% | 4.16 | 3.70 | +3.4 |
| 2025 | 36 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 32 | 31 | 170 | 736 | 166 | 52 | 22 | 97% | 5.3 | 22.6% | 7.1% | 15.5% | 3.0% | 3.96 | 3.73 | +3.3 |
| 2025 | 36 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 32 | 31 | 170 | 736 | 166 | 52 | 22 | 97% | 5.3 | 22.6% | 7.1% | 15.5% | 3.0% | 3.96 | 3.75 | +3.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 37 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 12 | 10 | 56 | 261 | 37 | 22 | 6 | 83% | 4.7 | 14.2% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 5.27 | 4.23 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 37 | MLB | BAL | 12 | 12 | 73 | 308 | 54 | 25 | 8 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 2.7% | 3.95 | 4.10 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 37 | MLB | BAL | 12 | 12 | 73 | 308 | 54 | 25 | 9 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 2.8% | 4.01 | 4.16 | +0.6 |
| 2026 TOT | 37 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 129 | 569 | 91 | 47 | 14 | — | — | 16.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 2.5% | 4.53 | 4.16 | +1.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 37 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 129 | 546 | 91 | 47 | 15 | — | — | 16.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 4.56 | 4.24 | +1.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 38 | MLB | BAL | 22 | 22 | 130 | 549 | 94 | 48 | 17 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 3.1% | 4.63 | 4.86 | +0.8 |
| 2028 | 39 | MLB | BAL | 19 | 19 | 112 | 472 | 75 | 44 | 17 | 100% | 5.9 | 15.9% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 5.03 | 5.30 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 38 | MLB | BAL | 22 | 22 | 130 | 549 | 94 | 48 | 18 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 4.69 | 4.92 | +0.7 |
| 2028 | 39 | MLB | BAL | 19 | 19 | 112 | 473 | 75 | 44 | 18 | 100% | 5.9 | 15.9% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 5.10 | 5.37 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 291 | 276 | 1620 | 6863 | 1430 | 530 | 193 | 95% | 5.6 | 20.8% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 2.8% | 3.89 | 3.86 | +29.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 36 | 34 | 200 | 847 | 177 | 65 | 24 | 95% | 5.6 | 20.8% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 2.8% | 3.89 | 3.86 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 296 | 259 | 1518 | 6434 | 1390 | 484 | 166 | 88% | 5.1 | 21.6% | 7.5% | 14.1% | 2.6% | 3.78 | 3.65 | +31.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 39 | 34 | 200 | 848 | 183 | 64 | 22 | 88% | 5.1 | 21.6% | 7.5% | 14.1% | 2.6% | 3.78 | 3.65 | +4.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Chris Bassitt (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.20 | 21.7% | 7.7% | 2.9% | — | 5.06 | 16.5% | 7.5% | 242 | +0.86 | — | — | — |
| Jarrett Grube R 2024 · 4.16 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.16 | 15.8% | 8.1% | 2.5% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 393 | 39 |
| Aaron Harang R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 37 | SP | 4.54 | 14.4% | 6.4% | 3.4% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.54 | 172 | 39 |
| Frankie De La Cruz R 2024 · 4.34 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.34 | 16.2% | 8.0% | 2.9% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 240 | 38 |
| Ryan Vogelsong R 2027 · 4.46 FIP | 38 | SP- | 4.46 | 18.1% | 9.4% | 3.1% | .295 | 4.67 | 16.7% | 6.3% | 82 | +0.21 | 4.46 | 217 | 38 |
| A.J. Burnett R 2027 · 3.10 FIP | 38 | SP | 3.10 | 20.5% | 6.7% | 1.6% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.10 | 164 | 37 |
| Tim Hudson R 2029 · 4.42 FIP | 40 | SP | 4.42 | 12.2% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 124 | 37 |
| Walter Silva R 2027 · 3.95 FIP | 38 | SP | 3.95 | 14.8% | 7.4% | 2.1% | .311 | 3.96 | 10.4% | 3.7% | 209 | +0.01 | 3.68 | 428 | 37 |
| Brad Penny R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 37 | SP | 3.52 | 12.0% | 5.8% | 1.3% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.52 | 135 | 36 |
| Yasutomo Kubo R 2027 · 3.67 FIP | 38 | SP | 3.67 | 20.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 152 | 36 |
| Edgar Gonzalez R 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.58 | 12.3% | 5.8% | 3.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.18 | 450 | 35 |
| James Shields R 2025 · 4.81 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.81 | 17.7% | 9.0% | 3.8% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.36 | 720 | 35 |
| Adam Wainwright R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 37 | SP | 3.96 | 20.5% | 7.7% | 3.0% | .310 | 3.55 | 19.6% | 13.5% | 464 | -0.41 | 2.03 | 1,127 | 35 |
| Pablo Ortega R 2027 · 4.41 FIP | 38 | SP | 4.41 | 8.6% | 7.3% | 2.0% | .291 | 4.33 | 11.5% | 6.0% | 236 | -0.08 | 3.92 | 375 | 34 |
| Kameron Loe R 2024 · 3.47 FIP | 35 | SP | 3.47 | 17.1% | 8.0% | 1.5% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 201 | 34 |
| Dan Haren R 2023 · 4.40 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.40 | 17.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | .251 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.40 | 187 | 34 |
| Roberto Hernandez R 2024 · 4.22 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.22 | 13.8% | 7.0% | 2.5% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.22 | 171 | 33 |
| Lorenzo Barcelo R 2026 · 3.07 FIP | 37 | SP | 3.07 | 13.2% | 3.6% | 1.2% | .345 | 3.27 | 12.8% | 11.7% | 45 | +0.20 | 3.07 | 199 | 33 |
| Guillermo Moscoso R 2024 · 4.19 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.19 | 12.6% | 6.7% | 2.4% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 264 | 33 |
| Jake Peavy R 2024 · 4.36 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.36 | 19.6% | 6.7% | 3.8% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.09 | 262 | 32 |
| John Lackey R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 37 | SP | 3.60 | 24.1% | 7.0% | 3.0% | .249 | 4.88 | 20.4% | 13.6% | 171 | +1.28 | 3.42 | 577 | 31 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 127 | 18.4% | 8.5% | 1.23 | 4.54 |
| Jason Vargas ('19) | 4 | 116 | 18.5% | 8.2% | 1.38 | 4.57 |
| Miguel González ('17) | 3 | 145 | 16.2% | 7.5% | 1.18 | 4.44 |
| Jaime García ('18) | 4 | 135 | 19.6% | 8.5% | 1.05 | 4.23 |
| Félix Hernández ('19) | 5 | 134 | 20.0% | 8.1% | 1.39 | 4.48 |
| Matt Garza ('17) | 3 | 122 | 15.5% | 8.5% | 1.26 | 5.10 |
| James Kaprielian ('23) | 3 | 105 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 1.26 | 4.58 |