Alex Wood
PosP
B/TR/L
Born1991-01-12
Age (2026)35
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 24 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 32 | 32 | 190 | 801 | 139 | 55 | 15 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.4% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 2.0% | 3.84 | 3.59 | +4.0 |
| 2015 | 24 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 32 | 32 | 190 | 801 | 139 | 55 | 15 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.4% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 1.9% | 3.84 | 3.53 | +4.1 |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 14 | 10 | 60 | 255 | 66 | 20 | 5 | 71% | 4.3 | 25.9% | 7.8% | 18.0% | 2.1% | 3.73 | 3.05 | +1.1 |
| 2016 | 25 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 14 | 10 | 60 | 255 | 66 | 20 | 5 | 71% | 4.3 | 25.9% | 7.8% | 18.0% | 2.0% | 3.73 | 2.98 | +1.1 |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 27 | 25 | 152 | 614 | 151 | 32 | 15 | 93% | 5.6 | 24.6% | 5.2% | 19.4% | 2.6% | 2.72 | 3.10 | +4.1 |
| 2017 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 27 | 25 | 152 | 614 | 151 | 32 | 15 | 93% | 5.6 | 24.6% | 5.2% | 19.4% | 2.4% | 2.72 | 3.03 | +4.2 |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 33 | 27 | 152 | 637 | 135 | 35 | 14 | 82% | 4.6 | 21.2% | 5.5% | 15.7% | 2.3% | 3.68 | 3.28 | +3.8 |
| 2018 | 27 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 33 | 27 | 152 | 637 | 135 | 35 | 14 | 82% | 4.6 | 21.2% | 5.5% | 15.7% | 2.2% | 3.68 | 3.21 | +3.9 |
| 2019 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 11 | 11 | 47 | 201 | 41 | 11 | 11 | 100% | 4.3 | 19.6% | 5.9% | 13.7% | 6.8% | 5.17 | 5.93 | -0.8 |
| 2019 | 28 | MIX | 3 levels | 11 | 11 | 47 | 201 | 41 | 11 | 11 | 100% | 4.3 | 20.4% | 5.5% | 14.9% | 5.5% | 5.17 | 5.10 | -0.3 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 9 | 2 | 13 | 65 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 22% | 1.4 | 23.1% | 7.7% | 15.4% | 3.3% | 6.39 | 3.91 | +0.1 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 9 | 2 | 13 | 65 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 22% | 1.4 | 23.1% | 7.7% | 15.4% | 3.1% | 6.39 | 3.97 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 26 | 26 | 139 | 585 | 152 | 38 | 14 | 100% | 5.3 | 26.0% | 6.5% | 19.5% | 2.6% | 3.83 | 3.16 | +3.6 |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 26 | 26 | 139 | 585 | 152 | 38 | 14 | 100% | 5.3 | 26.0% | 6.5% | 19.5% | 2.4% | 3.83 | 3.04 | +3.8 |
| 2022 | 31 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 26 | 26 | 131 | 555 | 131 | 29 | 17 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.6% | 5.2% | 18.4% | 3.3% | 5.10 | 3.60 | +2.8 |
| 2022 | 31 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 26 | 26 | 131 | 555 | 131 | 29 | 17 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.6% | 5.2% | 18.4% | 3.1% | 5.10 | 3.45 | +3.0 |
| 2023 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 14 | 104 | 457 | 76 | 43 | 9 | 45% | 3.4 | 17.2% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 2.3% | 4.23 | 4.14 | +1.5 |
| 2023 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 14 | 104 | 457 | 76 | 43 | 9 | 45% | 3.4 | 16.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 2.0% | 4.23 | 4.00 | +1.7 |
| 2024 | 33 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 9 | 9 | 39 | 186 | 33 | 18 | 6 | 100% | 4.4 | 17.7% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 5.26 | 4.68 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 33 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 9 | 9 | 39 | 186 | 33 | 18 | 6 | 100% | 4.4 | 17.7% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 5.26 | 4.78 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 35 | MLB | OAK | 6 | 6 | 34 | 145 | 24 | 14 | 4 | 100% | 5.7 | 16.9% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 4.70 | 4.89 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | OAK | 5 | 5 | 30 | 128 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 6.1 | 15.8% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 5.03 | 5.26 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 37 | MLB | OAK | 4 | 4 | 26 | 112 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 6.6 | 14.7% | 10.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.41 | 5.66 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | OAK | 5 | 5 | 30 | 127 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 15.8% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 4.99 | 5.22 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 37 | MLB | OAK | 4 | 4 | 26 | 110 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 6.5 | 14.7% | 10.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.36 | 5.61 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 221 | 185 | 1066 | 4520 | 963 | 308 | 116 | 84% | 4.8 | 21.3% | 6.8% | 14.5% | 2.6% | 4.07 | 3.58 | +22.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 42 | 35 | 200 | 848 | 181 | 58 | 22 | 84% | 4.8 | 21.3% | 6.8% | 14.5% | 2.6% | 4.07 | 3.58 | +4.3 | ||
| Career | — | 218 | 182 | 1027 | 4356 | 940 | 289 | 118 | 83% | 4.7 | 21.6% | 6.6% | 15.0% | 2.7% | 3.99 | 3.60 | +21.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 42 | 35 | 200 | 849 | 183 | 56 | 23 | 83% | 4.7 | 21.6% | 6.6% | 15.0% | 2.7% | 3.99 | 3.60 | +4.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Alex Wood (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.89 | 16.9% | 9.5% | 3.0% | — | 5.45 | 15.3% | 4.9% | 57 | +0.56 | — | — | — |
| Wandy Rodriguez L 2027 · 3.84 FIP | 36 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.4% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 101 | 72 |
| Jonathan Sánchez L 2027 · 4.65 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.65 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 3.7% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.65 | 109 | 70 |
| Juan Antonio Pena L 2028 · 4.15 FIP | 37 | SP- | 4.15 | 13.6% | 9.9% | 1.7% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.15 | 149 | 68 |
| Chris Narveson L 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.40 | 12.2% | 10.4% | 1.8% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.40 | 249 | 68 |
| Tsuyoshi Wada L 2025 · 3.68 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.68 | 16.8% | 7.1% | 2.0% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 119 | 67 |
| Orlando Lara L 2025 · 4.05 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.05 | 22.0% | 7.8% | 3.3% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 426 | 65 |
| Kwang Hyun Kim L 2024 · 4.11 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.11 | 17.7% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 146 | 64 |
| Clayton Richard L 2026 · 5.77 FIP | 35 | SP | 5.77 | 10.9% | 9.0% | 4.5% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 574 | 64 |
| Daniel Rodriguez L 2025 · 4.74 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.74 | 20.8% | 7.8% | 4.4% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 391 | 64 |
| Marlon Arias L 2025 · 5.09 FIP | 34 | SP | 5.09 | 19.8% | 11.2% | 4.1% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 154 | 64 |
| Oscar Rivera L 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.00 | 10.7% | 7.2% | 1.6% | .309 | 5.36 | 9.8% | 2.0% | 42 | +1.36 | 3.85 | 237 | 63 |
| Jorge Castillo L 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.63 | 11.2% | 6.7% | 3.0% | .337 | 5.23 | 19.6% | 11.5% | 119 | +0.60 | 4.40 | 408 | 63 |
| Arturo Lopez L 2025 · 4.24 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.24 | 10.3% | 5.4% | 2.4% | .342 | 5.22 | 12.2% | 5.4% | 117 | +0.98 | 4.24 | 445 | 62 |
| Jorge De La Rosa L 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.34 | 17.3% | 10.1% | 2.6% | .315 | 4.01 | 19.9% | 11.2% | 107 | -0.33 | 3.68 | 405 | 61 |
| Tomas Solis L 2025 · 5.86 FIP | 34 | SP | 5.86 | 11.3% | 7.9% | 4.9% | .322 | 7.02 | 8.9% | 1.4% | 57 | +1.16 | 4.35 | 327 | 61 |
| Eric Stults L 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.25 | 14.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 138 | 61 |
| Barry Zito L 2028 · 4.80 FIP | 37 | SP | 4.80 | 13.6% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.80 | 138 | 58 |
| C.J. Wilson L 2025 · 3.77 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.77 | 19.9% | 8.0% | 2.4% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 132 | 57 |
| Wade LeBlanc L 2026 · 5.99 FIP | 35 | SP | 5.99 | 12.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | .276 | 4.57 | 16.2% | 9.4% | 84 | -1.42 | 3.53 | 609 | 55 |
| Jason Vargas L 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.71 | 20.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% | .300 | 4.39 | 19.1% | 9.7% | 150 | -0.32 | 3.87 | 478 | 55 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 30 | 15.9% | 10.1% | 1.28 | 5.02 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |