Max Scherzer
PosP
B/TR/R
Born1984-07-27
Age (2026)42
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 31 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 33 | 33 | 229 | 899 | 276 | 32 | 27 | 30.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.79 | 2.44 | +7.4 |
| 2016 | 32 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 34 | 34 | 228 | 902 | 284 | 54 | 31 | 31.5% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.96 | 3.04 | +5.9 |
| 2017 | 33 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 31 | 31 | 201 | 780 | 268 | 53 | 22 | 34.4% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 2.51 | 2.64 | +6.0 |
| 2018 | 34 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 33 | 33 | 221 | 866 | 300 | 47 | 23 | 34.6% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.53 | 2.36 | +7.4 |
| 2019 | 35 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 27 | 27 | 172 | 693 | 243 | 31 | 18 | 35.1% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.92 | 1.94 | +6.6 |
| 2020 | 36 | MLB | Washington Nationals | 12 | 12 | 67 | 295 | 92 | 22 | 10 | 31.2% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 3.74 | 3.40 | +1.2 |
| 2021 | 37 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 30 | 30 | 179 | 693 | 236 | 36 | 23 | 34.1% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.46 | 2.39 | +5.9 |
| 2022 | 38 | MLB | New York Mets | 26 | 26 | 157 | 614 | 194 | 27 | 15 | 30.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.41 | 2.35 | +5.2 |
| 2023 | 39 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 27 | 27 | 153 | 621 | 174 | 45 | 28 | 28.0% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 3.77 | 3.62 | +2.9 |
| 2024 | 40 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 13 | 13 | 58 | 235 | 65 | 13 | 10 | 26.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.86 | 3.99 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 41 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 19 | 19 | 94 | 392 | 94 | 25 | 20 | 22.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.90 | 4.58 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 42 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 3 | 3 | 10 | 46 | 9 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | 9.58 | — | — |
| ROS | 42 | MLB | LAD | 18 | — | 18 | 75 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 23.8% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 4.36 | 4.55 | +0.1 |
| 2026 Total | 42 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 28 | 121 | 27 | 9 | 7 | 22.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.27 | 2.88 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 43 | MLB | LAD | 48 | — | 48 | 204 | 45 | 15 | 9 | 22.2% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 4.89 | 5.04 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 288 | 288 | 1769 | 7036 | 2222 | 388 | 216 | 31.6% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.00 | 2.82 | +49.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 795 | 251 | 44 | 24 | 31.6% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.00 | 2.82 | +5.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Max Scherzer (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.55 | 23.8% | 6.9% | 4.0% | — | 5.04 | 22.2% | 14.8% | 48 | +0.49 | — | — | — |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2024 · 4.46 FIP | 40 | SW | 4.46 | 21.6% | 9.9% | 3.5% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 164 | 62 |
| Jose Valverde R 2025 · 5.46 FIP | 41 | SU | 5.46 | 14.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.20 | 122 | 61 |
| Jose Contreras R 2027 · 3.54 FIP | 43 | SW | 3.54 | 20.2% | 8.3% | 2.0% | .263 | 2.98 | 20.5% | 13.4% | 57 | -0.56 | 2.98 | 111 | 60 |
| Rafael Diaz R 2028 · 4.05 FIP | 44 | SW | 4.05 | 17.3% | 10.5% | 2.0% | .301 | 3.16 | 16.2% | 9.4% | 152 | -0.89 | 3.06 | 215 | 57 |
| Jason Grilli R 2024 · 5.70 FIP | 40 | SU | 5.70 | 26.1% | 9.8% | 6.5% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.03 | 133 | 56 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 42 | SU | 3.89 | 23.3% | 12.9% | 2.1% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.67 | 295 | 54 |
| Pablo Ortega R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 42 | SU | 5.22 | 12.4% | 8.2% | 3.9% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.03 | 375 | 50 |
| Koji Uehara R 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 42 | SU | 3.45 | 28.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.35 | 130 | 45 |
| Francisco Campos R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 42 | SP- | 4.76 | 11.5% | 7.9% | 3.0% | .303 | 4.00 | 12.2% | 7.0% | 197 | -0.76 | 3.95 | 332 | 39 |
| Tim Hudson R 2024 · 4.40 FIP | 40 | SP- | 4.40 | 12.2% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.40 | 124 | 35 |
| Walter Silva R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 42 | SP- | 4.99 | 9.7% | 8.8% | 2.9% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 428 | 34 |
| Juan Antonio Pena L 2025 · 4.55 FIP | 41 | SU | 4.55 | 13.7% | 14.1% | 1.5% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 149 | 19 |
| Bartolo Colon R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 42 | SP | 3.68 | 16.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | .302 | 4.48 | 14.5% | 10.2% | 481 | +0.80 | 3.68 | 676 | 0 |
| R.A. Dickey R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 42 | SP | 4.51 | 16.7% | 7.9% | 3.3% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.20 | 574 | 0 |