Max Scherzer

PosP

B/TR/R

Born1984-07-27

Age (2026)42

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	31	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	33	33	229	899	276	32	27	100%	6.9	30.7%	3.6%	27.1%	3.0%	2.79	2.61	+6.9
2015	31	MLB RAW	Washington Nationals	33	33	229	899	276	32	27	100%	6.9	30.7%	3.6%	27.1%	3.0%	2.79	2.64	+6.7
2016	32	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	34	34	228	902	284	54	31	100%	6.7	31.5%	6.0%	25.5%	3.4%	2.96	3.09	+5.2
2016	32	MLB RAW	Washington Nationals	34	34	228	902	284	54	31	100%	6.7	31.5%	6.0%	25.5%	3.4%	2.96	3.09	+5.2
2017	33	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	31	31	201	780	268	53	22	100%	6.5	34.4%	6.8%	27.6%	2.8%	2.51	2.61	+6.0
2017	33	MLB RAW	Washington Nationals	31	31	201	780	268	53	22	100%	6.5	34.4%	6.8%	27.6%	2.8%	2.51	2.65	+5.9
2018	34	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	33	33	221	866	300	47	23	100%	6.7	34.6%	5.4%	29.2%	2.7%	2.53	2.32	+7.6
2018	34	MLB RAW	Washington Nationals	33	33	221	866	300	47	23	100%	6.7	34.6%	5.4%	29.2%	2.7%	2.53	2.37	+7.4
2019	35	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	27	27	172	693	243	31	18	100%	6.4	35.1%	4.5%	30.6%	2.6%	2.92	2.13	+6.4
2019	35	MLB RAW	Washington Nationals	27	27	172	693	243	31	18	100%	6.4	35.1%	4.5%	30.6%	2.6%	2.92	2.18	+6.2
2020	36	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	12	12	67	295	92	22	10	100%	5.6	31.2%	7.5%	23.7%	3.4%	3.74	3.27	+1.4
2020	36	MLB RAW	Washington Nationals	12	12	67	295	92	22	10	100%	5.6	31.2%	7.5%	23.7%	3.4%	3.74	3.28	+1.3
2021	37	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	30	30	179	693	236	36	23	100%	6.0	34.1%	5.2%	28.9%	3.2%	2.46	2.63	+5.2
2021	37	MLB RAW	Los Angeles Dodgers	30	30	179	693	236	36	23	100%	6.0	34.1%	5.2%	28.9%	3.3%	2.46	2.74	+5.0
2022	38	MIX MLE	3 levels	26	26	157	614	194	27	15	100%	6.0	30.6%	4.2%	26.4%	2.3%	2.41	2.32	+5.3
2022	38	MIX RAW	3 levels	26	26	157	614	194	27	15	100%	6.0	31.6%	4.4%	27.2%	2.4%	2.41	2.39	+5.2
2023	39	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	27	27	153	621	174	45	28	100%	5.7	28.0%	7.2%	20.8%	4.2%	3.77	3.95	+1.7
2023	39	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	27	27	153	621	174	45	28	100%	5.7	28.0%	7.2%	20.8%	4.2%	3.77	3.95	+1.7
2023	39	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	27	27	153	621	174	45	28	100%	5.7	28.0%	7.2%	20.8%	4.5%	3.77	4.09	+1.5
2024	40	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	13	58	235	65	13	10	100%	4.5	25.9%	5.4%	20.4%	4.3%	3.86	3.95	+0.7
2024	40	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	13	58	235	65	13	10	100%	4.5	25.9%	5.4%	20.4%	4.3%	3.86	3.95	+0.7
2024	40	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	13	58	235	65	13	10	100%	4.5	27.7%	5.5%	22.1%	4.3%	3.86	3.77	+0.8
2025	41	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	19	94	392	94	25	20	100%	4.9	22.9%	6.4%	16.5%	5.3%	4.90	4.89	+0.0
2025	41	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	19	94	392	94	25	20	100%	4.9	22.9%	6.4%	16.5%	5.3%	4.90	4.89	+0.0
2025	41	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	19	94	392	94	25	20	100%	4.9	24.0%	6.4%	17.6%	5.1%	4.90	4.67	+0.2
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			291	291	1791	7144	2219	405	235	100%	6.2	31.1%	5.7%	25.4%	3.3%	3.08	3.01	+42.8
▸ 2026 season
YTD	42	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	20	20	86	369	75	33	16	100%	4.3	19.3%	8.6%	10.6%	4.6%	5.94	5.07	-0.2
YTD	42	MLB MLE	Toronto Blue Jays	20	20	86	369	75	33	16	100%	4.3	19.3%	8.6%	10.6%	4.6%	5.94	5.07	-0.2
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	42	A+ RAW	TOR	1	1	3	14	3	2	0	100%	3.0	21.4%	14.3%	7.1%	0.0%	6.00	3.10	—
2026	42	AAA RAW	TOR	4	4	16	60	21	3	2	100%	3.9	35.0%	5.0%	30.0%	3.3%	4.02	2.61	—
2026	42	MLB RAW	TOR	15	15	68	295	51	28	14	100%	4.5	17.3%	9.5%	7.8%	4.7%	6.38	5.45	-0.4
SO FAR	42	MLB RAW	TOR	15	15	68	295	51	28	14	100%	4.5	17.3%	9.5%	7.8%	4.7%	6.38	5.45	-0.4
ROS	42	MLB MLE	TOR	1	1	6	26	6	2	1	100%	6.2	21.2%	7.7%	13.5%	4.4%	4.43	4.67	+0.0
ROS	42	MLB CTX	TOR	1	1	6	25	5	2	1	100%	6.0	21.2%	7.7%	13.5%	4.4%	4.43	4.67	+0.0
2026 TOT	42	MLB MLE	TOR	—	—	93	395	81	35	17	—	—	20.4%	8.9%	11.5%	4.3%	5.84	5.05	-0.2
FULL	42	MLB A+C	TOR	—	—	74	312	81	35	17	—	—	25.8%	11.2%	14.6%	5.5%	7.32	5.36	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	43	MLB MLE	TOR	8	8	48	205	40	18	10	100%	6.1	19.5%	8.8%	10.7%	4.9%	5.38	5.65	-0.4
2027	43	MLB CTX	TOR	8	8	48	203	39	18	10	100%	6.0	19.5%	8.8%	10.7%	4.9%	5.38	5.65	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		301	301	1846	7375	2264	425	246	100%	6.1	30.7%	5.8%	24.9%	3.3%	3.15	3.07	+42.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	799	245	46	27	100%	6.1	30.7%	5.8%	24.9%	3.3%	3.15	3.07	+4.6
Career	—	MLE		305	305	1845	7359	2283	416	241	100%	6.1	31.0%	5.7%	25.4%	3.3%	3.10	2.99	+42.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		33	33	200	798	247	45	26	100%	6.1	31.0%	5.7%	25.4%	3.3%	3.10	2.99	+4.6

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Max Scherzer (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.70	23.9%	6.9%	4.3%	—	5.65	19.5%	10.7%	48	+0.95	—	—	—
Jose Contreras R 2015 · 3.55 FIP	43	SP	3.55	20.2%	8.3%	2.0%	.263	2.96	20.5%	13.4%	57	-0.59	2.96	111	62
Francisco Campos R 2015 · 4.77 FIP	42	SP	4.77	11.5%	7.9%	3.0%	.303	4.08	12.2%	7.0%	197	-0.69	4.06	332	57
Tim Hudson R 2015 · 4.41 FIP	40	SP	4.41	12.2%	6.9%	2.7%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	4.41	124	52
Walter Silva R 2019 · 5.03 FIP	42	SP	5.03	9.7%	8.8%	3.0%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	3.67	428	51
R.A. Dickey R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	42	SP	4.44	16.7%	7.9%	3.2%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	574	44
Bartolo Colon R 2015 · 3.67 FIP	42	SP	3.67	16.7%	2.3%	3.1%	.302	4.60	14.5%	10.2%	481	+0.93	3.67	676	40
Juan Antonio Pena L 2019 · 4.56 FIP	41	SW	4.56	13.7%	14.1%	1.5%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	149	0

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.5	52	21.9%	7.7%	1.78	4.89
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47
Austin Voth ('24)	1.7	58	22.2%	8.2%	1.50	4.63
Eli Morgan ('24)	1.3	66	23.8%	6.4%	1.46	3.97
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Jharel Cotton ('22)	1.2	58	19.8%	9.2%	1.59	4.50

Max Scherzer

Career Stats + Projections

Career Path Comps

Career Comps