Michael McGreevy
P
St. Louis Cardinals
+0.5
WAR
Age 26
RHP
6'4" / 220 lbs
MLB
peak 0.5 · 2026
ERA4.16
FIP4.27
xFIP4.31
SIERA4.56
K%18.4%
BB%6.0%
K-BB%12.4%
IP71
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2026
STUF4040
CTRL6565
CMD4040
K†4040
FB Velo
p1091.2
Whiff%
p1014.1%
K%
p1014.3%
xwOBA vs
p100.395
CH+4.2 (21%)
FB+3.7 (42%)
CT+1.1 (11%)
SI (17%)
CU (11%)
SL-5.1 (15%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 7 | 7 | 8 | 39 | 7 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 9.39 | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 28 | 28 | 144 | 592 | 117 | 30 | 15 | 15.7% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 3.99 | 4.07 | +2.0 |
| 2023 | 23 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 27 | 27 | 153 | 664 | 123 | 38 | 17 | 16.1% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 4.12 | 4.12 | +2.0 |
| 2024 | 24 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 31 | 30 | 173 | 724 | 156 | 46 | 15 | 19.3% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 3.75 | 3.54 | +3.4 |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 32 | 31 | 171 | 706 | 136 | 35 | 19 | 17.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 4.11 | 3.93 | +2.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 4 | 4 | 22 | 82 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 14.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.49 | 4.34 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | STL | 50 | — | 50 | 210 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 16.0% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.94 | 4.15 | +0.5 |
| 2026 Total | 26 | MLB | STL | — | — | 71 | 292 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 15.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.50 | 4.20 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | STL | 13 | 13 | 71 | 299 | 48 | 17 | 9 | 16.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 4.44 | 4.53 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | STL | 13 | 13 | 70 | 295 | 47 | 17 | 9 | 16.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 4.51 | 4.56 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | STL | 12 | 12 | 68 | 288 | 45 | 16 | 9 | 15.6% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 4.58 | 4.63 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | STL | 12 | 12 | 66 | 280 | 42 | 16 | 9 | 15.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 4.67 | 4.73 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | STL | 12 | 12 | 64 | 270 | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14.4% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 4.77 | 4.83 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB | STL | 11 | 11 | 61 | 259 | 36 | 16 | 9 | 13.8% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 4.88 | 4.95 | +0.0 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | STL | 58 | — | 58 | 247 | 32 | 15 | 9 | 13.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 5.00 | 5.07 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | STL | 56 | — | 56 | 235 | 29 | 15 | 8 | 12.4% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 5.13 | 5.21 | -0.2 |
| 2035 | 35 | MLB | STL | 52 | — | 52 | 221 | 26 | 15 | 8 | 11.7% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 5.27 | 5.36 | -0.2 |
| 2036 | 36 | MLB | STL | 49 | — | 49 | 207 | 23 | 14 | 8 | 10.9% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 5.42 | 5.53 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 129 | 127 | 670 | 2807 | 485 | 162 | 79 | 17.3% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 4.00 | 3.91 | +10.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 38 | 38 | 200 | 837 | 145 | 48 | 24 | 17.3% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 4.00 | 3.91 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Michael McGreevy (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.48 | 16.7% | 6.0% | 3.0% | — | 4.57 | 15.9% | 10.3% | 209 | +0.09 | — | — | — |
| Pedro Echemendia R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.37 | 11.0% | 5.1% | 2.8% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.37 | 141 | 81 |
| Bryce Morrow R 2027 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.33 | 12.8% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .316 | 5.46 | 10.1% | -0.2% | 50 | +1.13 | 4.33 | 125 | 79 |
| John Church R 2028 · 3.85 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.85 | 13.2% | 5.7% | 2.1% | .278 | 2.78 | 17.7% | 8.4% | 30 | -1.07 | 2.78 | 101 | 78 |
| Kurt Spomer R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.35 | 11.1% | 7.3% | 4.1% | .268 | 3.42 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 135 | -1.93 | 3.16 | 199 | 78 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2027 · 4.66 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.66 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 3.3% | .307 | 3.46 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.20 | 3.35 | 227 | 77 |
| Stephen Kohlscheen R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.85 | 15.6% | 8.1% | 1.9% | .311 | 4.02 | 22.8% | 15.0% | 90 | +0.17 | 2.57 | 167 | 77 |
| Ronnie Shaban R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.37 | 14.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | .263 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.02 | 104 | 77 |
| Ryan Doolittle R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.04 | 15.1% | 6.7% | 2.5% | .315 | 4.38 | 13.9% | 6.8% | 44 | +0.34 | 4.04 | 101 | 77 |
| David Martinez R 2027 · 3.95 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.95 | 14.2% | 8.3% | 1.8% | .284 | 4.75 | 15.0% | 7.9% | 230 | +0.80 | 3.95 | 297 | 76 |
| Chase Plymell R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.63 | 14.1% | 8.4% | 3.0% | .248 | 3.93 | 13.0% | 4.1% | 52 | -0.70 | 3.93 | 258 | 76 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2027 · 4.05 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.05 | 16.4% | 9.4% | 2.1% | .297 | 4.12 | 22.9% | 12.0% | 293 | +0.07 | 3.40 | 556 | 76 |
| Colin Welmon R 2024 · 5.31 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.31 | 12.0% | 7.0% | 4.3% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.31 | 142 | 76 |
| Daury Torrez R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.30 | 12.9% | 6.5% | 2.7% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.61 | 356 | 75 |
| Pedro Villarreal R 2027 · 3.35 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.35 | 14.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% | .306 | 5.61 | 16.6% | 13.5% | 26 | +2.26 | 3.35 | 102 | 75 |
| Christian Bergman R 2027 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 12.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% | .326 | 4.44 | 15.2% | 9.4% | 372 | +0.31 | 4.13 | 467 | 75 |
| Ramon Delgado R 2029 · 4.66 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.66 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | .332 | 4.35 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.31 | 4.35 | 135 | 75 |
| Raul Fernandez R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.35 | 13.6% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .270 | 5.55 | 20.4% | 6.2% | 38 | +1.20 | 4.02 | 165 | 75 |
| Logan Bawcom R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.88 | 15.8% | 9.1% | 1.8% | .320 | 4.35 | 15.9% | 6.2% | 259 | +0.47 | 3.73 | 399 | 75 |
| Jordan Piche R 2024 · 4.22 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.22 | 12.3% | 6.9% | 2.3% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.40 | 115 | 74 |
| Dylan Floro R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.68 | 12.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | .310 | 2.70 | 20.9% | 15.8% | 135 | -1.98 | 2.38 | 651 | 74 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.