Martín Pérez — OGILVIE

Martín Pérez P Atlanta Braves

Age 35 LHP 6'0" / 210 lbs MLB peak 0.5 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION132 act + 12 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 101109vR 117

ERA4.26

FIP4.45

K%17.7%

BB%9.6%

K-BB%8.2%

ROS IP12

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 144 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL5050

CMD4545

K†4040

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1089.9

Whiff%

p2321.5%

p2117.9%

xwOBA vs

p360.328

CH+3.2 (31%)

SI (35%)

CU (7%)

CT (22%)

FB-0.8 (40%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	20	20	104	448	73	26	6	100%	5.2	14.9%	5.9%	9.0%	1.1%	4.49	3.21	+2.2
2015	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	20	20	104	448	73	26	6	100%	5.2	16.3%	5.8%	10.5%	1.3%	4.49	3.20	+2.2
2016	25	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	33	33	199	855	103	76	18	100%	6.0	12.0%	8.9%	3.2%	2.0%	4.39	4.32	+1.4
2016	25	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	33	33	199	855	103	76	18	100%	6.0	12.0%	8.9%	3.2%	2.1%	4.39	4.39	+1.2
2017	26	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	32	32	185	811	115	60	23	100%	5.8	14.2%	7.4%	6.8%	2.7%	4.82	4.34	+1.2
2017	26	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	32	32	185	811	115	60	23	100%	5.8	14.2%	7.4%	6.8%	2.8%	4.82	4.45	+1.0
2018	27	MIX MLE	4 levels	25	18	103	462	71	38	17	72%	4.1	13.1%	8.8%	4.3%	3.9%	5.26	5.24	-0.4
2018	27	MIX RAW	4 levels	25	18	103	462	71	38	17	72%	4.1	15.4%	8.2%	7.1%	3.7%	5.26	4.98	-0.1
2019	28	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	32	29	165	737	135	66	23	91%	5.2	18.3%	9.0%	9.4%	3.1%	5.12	4.39	+1.0
2019	28	MLB RAW	Minnesota Twins	32	29	165	737	135	66	23	91%	5.2	18.3%	9.0%	9.4%	3.1%	5.12	4.47	+0.8
2020	29	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	12	12	62	262	46	28	8	100%	5.2	17.6%	10.7%	6.9%	3.1%	4.50	4.69	+0.2
2020	29	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	12	12	62	262	46	28	8	100%	5.2	17.6%	10.7%	6.9%	3.1%	4.50	4.65	+0.2
2021	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	22	115	513	98	34	19	59%	3.1	19.1%	6.7%	12.4%	3.8%	4.70	4.44	+0.6
2021	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	22	115	513	98	34	19	59%	3.1	19.1%	6.6%	12.5%	3.7%	4.70	4.43	+0.6
2022	31	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	32	32	196	821	169	69	11	100%	6.1	20.6%	8.4%	12.2%	1.2%	2.89	3.11	+4.4
2022	31	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	32	32	196	821	169	69	11	100%	6.1	20.6%	8.4%	12.2%	1.3%	2.89	3.16	+4.3
2023	32	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	35	20	142	608	93	48	21	57%	4.0	15.3%	7.9%	7.4%	3.2%	4.45	4.57	+0.5
2023	32	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	35	20	142	608	93	48	21	57%	4.0	15.3%	7.9%	7.4%	3.2%	4.45	4.57	+0.5
2023	32	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	35	20	142	608	93	48	21	57%	4.0	15.3%	7.9%	7.4%	3.5%	4.45	4.73	+0.3
2024	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	27	140	609	111	49	22	100%	5.2	18.1%	8.3%	9.8%	3.6%	4.44	4.62	+0.5
2024	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	27	140	609	111	49	22	100%	5.2	18.1%	8.3%	9.8%	3.6%	4.44	4.62	+0.5
2024	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	27	140	609	111	49	22	100%	5.2	18.2%	8.0%	10.2%	3.6%	4.44	4.61	+0.5
2025	34	MIX MLE	3 levels	13	12	63	257	49	25	7	92%	4.8	19.3%	9.6%	9.6%	2.6%	3.59	4.11	+0.6
2025	34	MIX MLE	3 levels	13	12	63	257	49	25	7	92%	4.8	19.3%	9.6%	9.6%	2.6%	3.59	4.11	+0.6
2025	34	MIX RAW	3 levels	13	12	63	257	49	25	7	92%	4.8	19.1%	9.7%	9.3%	2.7%	3.59	4.19	+0.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			313	269	1550	6704	1107	565	183	86%	5.0	16.5%	8.4%	8.1%	2.7%	4.34	4.30	+10.9
▸ 2026 season
YTD	35	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	28	24	132	547	98	55	13	86%	4.7	17.9%	10.1%	7.9%	2.4%	3.08	4.17	+1.1
YTD	35	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	28	24	132	547	98	55	13	86%	4.7	17.9%	10.1%	7.9%	2.4%	3.08	4.17	+1.1
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	35	MLB RAW	ATL	28	24	132	547	98	55	13	86%	4.7	17.9%	10.1%	7.9%	2.4%	3.08	4.17	+1.1
SO FAR	35	MLB RAW	ATL	28	24	132	547	98	55	13	86%	4.7	17.9%	10.1%	7.9%	2.4%	3.08	4.17	+1.1
ROS	35	MLB MLE	ATL	2	2	12	51	9	5	2	100%	6.0	17.7%	9.6%	8.2%	3.0%	4.26	4.45	+0.1
ROS	35	MLB CTX	ATL	2	2	12	51	9	5	2	100%	6.0	17.7%	9.6%	8.2%	3.0%	4.26	4.45	+0.1
2026 TOT	35	MLB MLE	ATL	—	—	144	598	107	60	15	—	—	17.9%	10.0%	7.9%	2.4%	3.18	4.19	+1.2
FULL	35	MLB A+C	ATL	—	—	144	607	107	60	15	—	—	17.6%	9.9%	7.8%	2.4%	3.18	4.17	+1.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	36	MLB MLE	ATL	11	11	68	287	48	29	9	100%	6.2	16.6%	10.2%	6.5%	3.1%	4.85	5.07	-0.1
2028	37	MLB MLE	ATL	10	10	59	250	39	27	9	100%	5.9	15.6%	10.8%	4.8%	3.5%	5.22	5.47	-0.4
2027	36	MLB CTX	ATL	11	11	68	287	48	29	9	100%	6.2	16.6%	10.2%	6.5%	3.1%	4.85	5.07	-0.1
2028	37	MLB CTX	ATL	10	10	59	249	39	27	9	100%	5.9	15.6%	10.8%	4.8%	3.5%	5.22	5.47	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		336	292	1689	7292	1203	626	202	87%	5.0	16.5%	8.6%	7.9%	2.8%	4.39	4.32	+11.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		40	35	200	864	142	74	24	87%	5.0	16.5%	8.6%	7.9%	2.8%	4.39	4.32	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		326	281	1605	6930	1144	579	185	86%	4.9	16.5%	8.4%	8.2%	2.7%	4.29	4.23	+10.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		41	35	200	863	143	72	23	86%	4.9	16.5%	8.4%	8.2%	2.7%	4.29	4.23	+1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Martín Pérez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.86	17.2%	8.8%	3.1%	—	5.26	16.1%	5.7%	127	+0.40	—	—	—
Clayton Richard L 2019 · 5.77 FIP	35	SP	5.77	10.9%	9.0%	4.5%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	574	64
Jorge De La Rosa L 2016 · 4.56 FIP	35	SP	4.56	17.3%	10.1%	3.0%	.315	4.08	19.9%	11.2%	107	-0.48	3.86	405	62
Chris Narveson L 2017 · 4.59 FIP	35	SP	4.59	12.2%	10.4%	2.2%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.59	249	59
Jason Vargas L 2018 · 4.71 FIP	35	SP	4.71	20.8%	7.2%	4.5%	.300	4.33	19.1%	9.7%	150	-0.38	4.02	478	58
Wandy Rodriguez L 2015 · 3.83 FIP	36	SP-	3.83	19.4%	8.5%	2.4%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.83	101	58
Wade LeBlanc L 2020 · 5.91 FIP	35	SP	5.91	12.6%	7.8%	5.3%	.276	4.62	16.2%	9.4%	84	-1.29	3.65	609	57
Jonathan Sánchez L 2019 · 4.73 FIP	36	SP	4.73	18.1%	8.3%	3.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	4.73	109	56
Kwang Hyun Kim L 2021 · 4.21 FIP	33	SP-	4.21	17.7%	8.2%	2.9%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	146	54
Juan Antonio Pena L 2015 · 4.20 FIP	37	SP-	4.20	13.6%	9.9%	1.8%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	149	54
Orlando Lara L 2019 · 4.09 FIP	34	SP	4.09	22.0%	7.8%	3.4%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.85	426	54
Marlon Arias L 2019 · 4.83 FIP	34	SP	4.83	19.8%	11.2%	3.6%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	154	53
Daniel Rodriguez L 2019 · 4.77 FIP	34	SP	4.77	20.8%	7.8%	4.5%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	2.89	391	53
Cole Hamels L 2019 · 3.84 FIP	35	SP	3.84	23.2%	8.9%	2.9%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.21	893	52
Eric Stults L 2015 · 4.27 FIP	35	SP	4.27	14.5%	5.9%	3.0%	.266	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	138	52
Oscar Rivera L 2016 · 4.10 FIP	35	SP	4.10	10.7%	7.2%	1.8%	.309	5.80	9.8%	2.0%	42	+1.70	3.68	237	51
Arturo Lopez L 2017 · 4.34 FIP	34	SP	4.34	10.3%	5.4%	2.6%	.342	5.46	12.2%	5.4%	117	+1.12	4.34	445	50
Jorge Castillo L 2017 · 4.97 FIP	35	SP	4.97	11.2%	6.7%	3.6%	.337	4.91	19.6%	11.5%	119	-0.06	4.50	408	50
C.J. Wilson L 2015 · 3.69 FIP	34	SP	3.69	19.9%	8.0%	2.3%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	132	50
Tomas Solis L 2017 · 5.48 FIP	34	SP	5.48	11.3%	7.9%	4.2%	.322	6.44	8.9%	1.4%	57	+0.96	4.20	327	49
Barry Zito L 2015 · 4.52 FIP	37	SP	4.52	13.6%	10.7%	2.2%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	4.52	138	49

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	68	16.5%	9.8%	1.26	4.89
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38