Eduardo Rodriguez
P
Arizona Diamondbacks
Age 33
LHP
6'2" / 231 lbs
MLB
peak 1.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION114 act + 76 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103112vR 121
ERA4.11
FIP4.26
K%18.0%
BB%8.4%
K-BB%9.7%
ROS IP76
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 190 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1592.0
Whiff%
p1019.7%
K%
p1517.1%
xwOBA vs
p220.345
CH+2.4 (27%)
FB (48%)
SI (8%)
CU (13%)
CT-2.0 (12%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 29 | 170 | 712 | 142 | 43 | 15 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.2% | 6.1% | 13.1% | 2.1% | 3.60 | 3.41 | +4.0 |
| 2015 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 29 | 170 | 712 | 142 | 43 | 15 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.9% | 6.0% | 13.9% | 2.1% | 3.60 | 3.34 | +4.1 |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 145 | 612 | 124 | 46 | 22 | 100% | 5.4 | 19.8% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 3.7% | 4.28 | 4.41 | +1.7 |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 145 | 612 | 124 | 46 | 22 | 100% | 5.4 | 20.3% | 7.5% | 12.7% | 3.6% | 4.28 | 4.31 | +1.8 |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 27 | 151 | 644 | 165 | 54 | 20 | 96% | 5.4 | 25.8% | 8.4% | 17.4% | 3.2% | 4.42 | 3.76 | +2.9 |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 27 | 151 | 644 | 165 | 54 | 20 | 96% | 5.4 | 25.6% | 8.4% | 17.2% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 3.71 | +3.0 |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 25 | 138 | 584 | 160 | 48 | 16 | 86% | 4.7 | 26.4% | 8.0% | 18.4% | 2.9% | 3.60 | 3.45 | +3.1 |
| 2018 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 25 | 138 | 584 | 160 | 48 | 16 | 86% | 4.7 | 27.4% | 8.2% | 19.2% | 2.7% | 3.60 | 3.33 | +3.3 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 34 | 34 | 203 | 859 | 213 | 73 | 24 | 100% | 6.0 | 24.8% | 8.5% | 16.3% | 2.8% | 3.81 | 3.60 | +4.3 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 34 | 34 | 203 | 859 | 213 | 73 | 24 | 100% | 6.0 | 24.8% | 8.5% | 16.3% | 2.8% | 3.81 | 3.62 | +4.2 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 32 | 31 | 158 | 675 | 185 | 47 | 19 | 97% | 4.9 | 27.4% | 7.0% | 20.4% | 2.8% | 4.74 | 3.20 | +4.1 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 32 | 31 | 158 | 675 | 185 | 47 | 19 | 97% | 4.9 | 27.4% | 7.0% | 20.4% | 2.8% | 4.74 | 3.21 | +4.0 |
| 2022 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 21 | 21 | 109 | 459 | 103 | 37 | 12 | 100% | 5.2 | 21.3% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 2.9% | 3.55 | 3.94 | +1.9 |
| 2022 | 29 | MIX | 3 levels | 21 | 21 | 109 | 459 | 103 | 37 | 12 | 100% | 5.2 | 22.4% | 8.1% | 14.4% | 2.6% | 3.55 | 3.66 | +2.2 |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 157 | 637 | 147 | 49 | 15 | 100% | 5.8 | 23.0% | 7.7% | 15.3% | 2.6% | 3.21 | 3.58 | +3.3 |
| 2023 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 157 | 637 | 147 | 49 | 15 | 100% | 5.8 | 23.1% | 7.7% | 15.4% | 2.4% | 3.21 | 3.41 | +3.7 |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 10 | 10 | 50 | 224 | 47 | 18 | 8 | 100% | 5.0 | 21.0% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 3.4% | 5.04 | 4.22 | +0.2 |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 10 | 10 | 50 | 224 | 47 | 18 | 8 | 100% | 5.0 | 21.0% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 3.6% | 5.04 | 4.38 | +0.1 |
| 2025 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 30 | 159 | 712 | 152 | 59 | 28 | 100% | 5.3 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 3.4% | 5.04 | 4.31 | +2.0 |
| 2025 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 30 | 159 | 712 | 152 | 59 | 28 | 100% | 5.3 | 21.3% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 3.9% | 5.04 | 4.59 | +1.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 19 | 19 | 114 | 462 | 79 | 39 | 12 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 2.6% | 2.29 | 4.15 | +1.7 |
| ROS | 33 | MLB | ARI | 13 | 13 | 76 | 321 | 58 | 27 | 9 | 100% | 5.8 | 18.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 2.9% | 4.11 | 4.26 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 33 | MLB | ARI | 13 | 13 | 76 | 321 | 58 | 27 | 9 | 100% | 5.8 | 18.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 2.9% | 4.11 | 4.26 | +0.6 |
| 2026 TOT | 33 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 190 | 783 | 137 | 66 | 21 | — | — | 17.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 2.7% | 3.02 | 4.19 | +2.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 33 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 190 | 802 | 137 | 66 | 21 | — | — | 17.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 3.02 | 4.17 | +2.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | ARI | 18 | 18 | 111 | 467 | 81 | 41 | 15 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 4.73 | 4.92 | +0.6 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | ARI | 17 | 17 | 99 | 419 | 69 | 39 | 15 | 100% | 5.8 | 16.5% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 5.04 | 5.25 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | ARI | 15 | 15 | 88 | 371 | 57 | 37 | 15 | 100% | 5.9 | 15.5% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.39 | 5.62 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | ARI | 18 | 18 | 111 | 469 | 82 | 42 | 15 | 100% | 6.2 | 17.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 4.73 | 4.92 | +0.6 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | ARI | 16 | 16 | 99 | 418 | 69 | 39 | 15 | 100% | 6.2 | 16.5% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 5.04 | 5.25 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | ARI | 15 | 15 | 88 | 372 | 57 | 37 | 15 | 100% | 5.9 | 15.5% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.39 | 5.62 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 322 | 316 | 1792 | 7619 | 1642 | 630 | 233 | 98% | 5.6 | 21.5% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 4.20 | 4.01 | +29.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 36 | 35 | 200 | 850 | 183 | 70 | 26 | 98% | 5.6 | 21.5% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 4.20 | 4.01 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 286 | 280 | 1553 | 6580 | 1493 | 513 | 192 | 98% | 5.4 | 22.7% | 7.8% | 14.9% | 2.9% | 3.94 | 3.78 | +29.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 36 | 200 | 847 | 192 | 66 | 25 | 98% | 5.4 | 22.7% | 7.8% | 14.9% | 2.9% | 3.94 | 3.78 | +3.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Eduardo Rodriguez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.62 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 3.3% | — | 5.24 | 16.5% | 7.1% | 298 | +0.62 | — | — | — |
| Jorge De La Rosa L 2027 · 3.68 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.68 | 21.1% | 9.8% | 2.1% | .284 | 4.20 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 256 | +0.52 | 3.68 | 405 | 60 |
| C.J. Wilson L 2027 · 3.77 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.77 | 19.9% | 8.0% | 2.4% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 132 | 58 |
| CC Sabathia L 2028 · 4.30 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.30 | 18.9% | 6.5% | 3.6% | .311 | 3.96 | 20.1% | 12.1% | 481 | -0.34 | 3.75 | 756 | 58 |
| Jorge Castillo L 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.40 | 16.8% | 9.2% | 2.8% | .292 | 4.68 | 12.4% | 7.2% | 186 | +0.28 | 4.40 | 408 | 57 |
| Eric Stults L 2028 · 4.25 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.25 | 14.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 138 | 57 |
| Tsuyoshi Wada L 2027 · 3.68 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.68 | 16.8% | 7.1% | 2.0% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 119 | 57 |
| Jonathan Sánchez L 2029 · 4.65 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.65 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 3.7% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.65 | 109 | 57 |
| Oscar Rivera L 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.85 | 14.2% | 6.9% | 2.0% | .298 | 4.45 | 10.4% | 3.0% | 129 | +0.60 | 3.85 | 237 | 56 |
| Mauricio Lara L 2029 · 3.57 FIP | 36 | SP | 3.57 | 13.9% | 6.9% | 1.4% | .310 | 3.70 | 12.1% | 5.1% | 220 | +0.13 | 3.57 | 444 | 55 |
| Cole Hamels L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.30 | 17.1% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .244 | 3.94 | 23.3% | 14.8% | 332 | -0.36 | 3.22 | 893 | 55 |
| Wei-Yin Chen L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.30 | 19.4% | 7.2% | 3.5% | .279 | 4.87 | 20.5% | 15.3% | 68 | +0.57 | 3.68 | 549 | 54 |
| Arturo Lopez L 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.97 | 11.5% | 7.9% | 3.4% | .341 | 4.75 | 11.3% | 5.2% | 224 | -0.22 | 4.24 | 445 | 53 |
| Jon Lester L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 33 | SP | 3.88 | 23.6% | 7.5% | 3.3% | .306 | 4.18 | 19.9% | 12.5% | 414 | +0.30 | 2.74 | 1,144 | 53 |
| Tomas Solis L 2026 · 5.29 FIP | 33 | SP | 5.29 | 12.4% | 8.5% | 3.9% | .273 | 6.43 | 10.1% | 2.4% | 117 | +1.14 | 4.35 | 327 | 52 |
| Daniel Rodriguez L 2025 · 3.82 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.82 | 13.1% | 9.7% | 1.1% | .335 | 4.74 | 20.8% | 13.0% | 112 | +0.92 | 2.87 | 391 | 52 |
| Roy Merritt L 2024 · 3.88 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.88 | 16.2% | 5.8% | 2.6% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 129 | 52 |
| Clayton Richard L 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.05 | 17.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% | .343 | 4.78 | 14.7% | 5.9% | 204 | +0.73 | 3.58 | 574 | 51 |
| Mike Minor L 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.28 | 22.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | .287 | 5.11 | 18.0% | 10.9% | 114 | +0.83 | 2.42 | 807 | 50 |
| J.A. Happ L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 33 | SP | 3.84 | 20.5% | 7.5% | 2.8% | .265 | 4.04 | 23.3% | 16.2% | 484 | +0.20 | 3.28 | 1,053 | 50 |
| Wandy Rodriguez L 2029 · 3.84 FIP | 36 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.4% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 101 | 49 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 105 | 17.6% | 9.1% | 1.35 | 4.87 |
| Jason Vargas ('19) | 4 | 116 | 18.5% | 8.2% | 1.38 | 4.57 |
| Matt Garza ('17) | 3 | 122 | 15.5% | 8.5% | 1.26 | 5.10 |
| Chris Tillman ('18) | 4 | 116 | 16.5% | 9.7% | 1.34 | 5.42 |
| James Kaprielian ('23) | 3 | 105 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 1.26 | 4.58 |
| Daniel Mengden ('19) | 4 | 73 | 17.3% | 7.7% | 1.24 | 4.68 |
| Homer Bailey ('19) | 4 | 96 | 18.5% | 7.8% | 1.34 | 5.56 |