Robert Stock
P
Worcester Red Sox
+0.8
WAR
Age 36
RHP
6'1" / 260 lbs
AAA
Svc 8.0 · Ctrl thru 2026
peak 0.8 · 2026
ERA4.18
FIP4.18
xFIP9.20
SIERA9.14
K%22.9%
BB%10.1%
K-BB%12.8%
IP65
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.8peak
2026
K†6060
FB Velo
p8296.8
Whiff%
p5125.5%
K%
p5222.6%
xwOBA vs
p320.333
CH (5%)
SI (32%)
SL (8%)
CT-0.9 (44%)
FB-1.3 (42%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 25 | AA | Altoona Curve | 12 | 0 | 16 | 81 | 10 | 19 | 0 | — | — | — | 7.71 | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | 41 | 0 | 70 | 281 | 61 | 28 | 1 | 17.2% | 11.1% | 0.5% | 2.82 | 3.31 | +1.4 |
| 2018 | 28 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 64 | 0 | 77 | 316 | 80 | 26 | 4 | 22.2% | 8.5% | 1.1% | 2.10 | 2.91 | +1.9 |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 37 | 5 | 41 | 202 | 60 | 27 | 8 | 25.6% | 14.3% | 4.6% | 5.49 | 5.26 | -0.1 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 10 | 0 | 13 | 62 | 14 | 10 | 0 | 22.6% | 16.1% | 0.0% | 4.72 | 3.24 | +0.3 |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB | New York Mets | 16 | 9 | 44 | 194 | 48 | 21 | 8 | 23.0% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 4.47 | 4.16 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 33 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 11 | 4 | 23 | 114 | 19 | 18 | 6 | 14.7% | 16.6% | 6.3% | 8.22 | 7.43 | -0.6 |
| 2025 | 35 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 21 | 15 | 88 | 382 | 97 | 40 | 6 | 23.0% | 10.3% | 1.5% | 4.11 | 3.29 | +1.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | MLB | STL | 12 | 12 | 65 | 275 | 70 | 28 | 7 | 25.3% | 10.1% | 2.4% | 4.11 | 3.95 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | STL | 11 | 11 | 60 | 255 | 62 | 26 | 7 | 24.3% | 10.3% | 2.6% | 4.15 | 4.16 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 38 | MLB | STL | 56 | — | 56 | 235 | 55 | 25 | 7 | 23.4% | 10.5% | 2.8% | 4.28 | 4.36 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 39 | MLB | STL | 51 | — | 51 | 216 | 49 | 23 | 6 | 22.6% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 4.43 | 4.54 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 212 | 33 | 373 | 1632 | 344 | 190 | 34 | 21.1% | 11.7% | 2.1% | 4.08 | 3.94 | +5.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 114 | 18 | 200 | 875 | 184 | 102 | 18 | 21.1% | 11.7% | 2.1% | 4.08 | 3.94 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Robert Stock (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.95 | 25.3% | 10.1% | 2.4% | — | 4.34 | 23.5% | 13.0% | 167 | +0.39 | — | — | — |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2028 · 3.55 FIP | 38 | SW | 3.55 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 2.6% | .179 | 4.12 | 23.5% | 12.9% | 98 | +0.57 | 3.55 | 164 | 72 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2028 · 4.17 FIP | 38 | SW | 4.17 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.0% | .272 | 3.38 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.79 | 2.67 | 295 | 72 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 36 | SW | 3.73 | 27.0% | 7.1% | 3.7% | .278 | 3.99 | 19.8% | 8.7% | 103 | +0.26 | 3.50 | 219 | 72 |
| Josh Lueke R 2024 · 4.14 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.14 | 20.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 107 | 68 |
| Manny Acosta R 2025 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.09 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .273 | 3.07 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -1.02 | 3.07 | 102 | 67 |
| Daniel Bard R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 36 | SW | 3.57 | 26.3% | 11.5% | 2.2% | .337 | 3.61 | 24.6% | 10.3% | 110 | +0.04 | 2.45 | 200 | 66 |
| Luis Ayala R 2027 · 3.03 FIP | 37 | SW | 3.03 | 19.7% | 5.0% | 1.7% | .270 | 3.25 | 12.1% | 5.9% | 57 | +0.22 | 3.01 | 119 | 65 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2024 · 3.98 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.98 | 18.1% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 104 | 65 |
| Matt Albers R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.19 | 22.1% | 10.1% | 3.0% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 244 | 65 |
| Radhames Liz R 2024 · 4.49 FIP | 34 | SU | 4.49 | 21.8% | 13.9% | 2.7% | .343 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.73 | 110 | 64 |
| Jean Machi R 2025 · 4.11 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.11 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 186 | 64 |
| Charlie Morton R 2026 · 3.14 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.14 | 24.7% | 5.9% | 2.5% | .342 | 3.29 | 27.5% | 18.4% | 521 | +0.15 | 2.52 | 1,534 | 64 |
| Blaine Boyer R 2026 · 3.32 FIP | 36 | SW | 3.32 | 18.0% | 7.6% | 1.4% | .341 | 7.44 | 8.3% | -0.9% | 22 | +4.12 | 3.32 | 209 | 63 |
| Jesse Hahn R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.64 | 19.7% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.19 | 404 | 63 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 36 | SW | 3.46 | 16.7% | 7.2% | 1.6% | .298 | 5.44 | 15.9% | 8.7% | 57 | +1.98 | 3.21 | 225 | 63 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.45 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 3.9% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 208 | 63 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.29 | 17.8% | 9.0% | 2.8% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 326 | 62 |
| Logan Ondrusek R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.34 | 19.2% | 7.3% | 3.5% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 138 | 62 |
| John Axford R 2025 · 3.62 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.62 | 23.2% | 9.0% | 2.4% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 197 | 62 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2024 · 3.94 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.94 | 18.1% | 12.9% | 1.3% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.48 | 147 | 61 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status FA
MLB Debut 2018
Service 8.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2026
First FA Year 2027
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Ext / FA-deal | $9M | +0.8 | $3M | -$6M |
| Totals | $9M | $3M | -$6M | ||