Robert Stock

P New York Mets

Age 37 RHP 6'1" / 260 lbs MLB peak 0.2 · 2027

Overview

MLBSP40-MAN

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	33	AAAMIL	11	4	23	8.22	7.19	16.7%	15.8%	—	K 14.3% · BB 14.2% · FIP 7.20
2025	35	MIX2 levels	21	15	88	4.11	3.15	25.4%	10.5%	2.4	K 22.5% · BB 8.8% · FIP 3.15
2026	36	MIX3 levels	16	13	52	4.67	2.58	25.6%	7.7%	1.8	K 22.7% · BB 8.0% · FIP 2.74
2027PROJ	37	MLBNYM	32	0	34	4.13	3.96	23.1%	8.8%	0.2
2028PROJ76% MLB	38	MLBNYM	14	0	15	4.29	4.39	21.9%	9.5%	0.0

Last 3 seasons WAR 4.2 · Next 2 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

FB Velo68

K%33

xwOBA vs24

Form5.93 ERA (proj 4.13) · K 19.7% (proj 23.1%) · BB 10.2% (proj 8.8%) ▼ last 90d · 30 IP through Oct 27

CompsMatt Bush (age 37) · Keiichi Yabu (age 36) · Juan Sandoval (age 36)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108100vR 92

ERA4.13

FIP3.96

K%23.1%

BB%8.8%

K-BB%14.3%

Proj IP38

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 38 IP

Grades · Statcast · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL5050

CMD5555

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p6895.8

Whiff%

p4124.0%

p3319.7%

xwOBA vs

p240.343

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	12	0	16	81	10	19	0	0%	1.4	12.3%	23.5%	-11.1%	0.0%	7.71	5.03	—
2015	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	12	0	16	81	10	19	0	0%	1.4	12.3%	23.5%	-11.1%	0.0%	7.71	5.37	—
2017	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	70	281	61	28	1	0%	1.7	17.2%	11.1%	6.1%	0.5%	2.82	3.31	—
2017	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	0	70	281	61	28	1	0%	1.7	21.7%	10.0%	11.7%	0.4%	2.82	2.74	—
2018	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	64	0	77	316	80	26	4	0%	1.2	22.2%	8.5%	13.7%	1.1%	2.10	2.91	+1.5
2018	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	64	0	77	316	80	26	4	0%	1.2	25.3%	8.2%	17.1%	1.3%	2.10	2.71	+1.7
2019	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	37	5	41	202	60	27	8	14%	1.1	25.6%	14.3%	11.4%	4.5%	5.49	5.24	-0.3
2019	29	MIX RAW	3 levels	37	5	41	202	60	27	8	14%	1.1	29.7%	13.4%	16.3%	4.0%	5.49	4.69	-0.1
2020	30	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	10	0	13	62	14	10	0	0%	1.3	22.6%	16.1%	6.5%	0.0%	4.72	3.24	+0.2
2020	30	MLB RAW	Boston Red Sox	10	0	13	62	14	10	0	0%	1.3	22.6%	16.1%	6.5%	0.0%	4.72	3.25	+0.2
2021	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	9	44	194	48	21	8	56%	2.8	23.0%	8.5%	14.6%	3.6%	4.47	4.18	+0.6
2021	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	9	44	194	48	21	8	56%	2.8	24.7%	10.8%	13.9%	4.1%	4.47	4.70	+0.4
2023	33	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	11	4	23	114	19	18	6	36%	2.1	14.3%	14.2%	0.1%	6.4%	8.22	7.20	—
2023	33	AAA RAW	Nashville Sounds	11	4	23	114	19	18	6	36%	2.1	16.7%	15.8%	0.9%	5.3%	8.22	7.19	—
2025	35	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	15	88	382	97	40	6	71%	4.2	22.5%	8.8%	13.7%	1.5%	4.11	3.15	+2.4
2025	35	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	15	88	382	97	40	6	71%	4.2	22.5%	8.8%	13.7%	1.5%	4.11	3.15	+2.4
2025	35	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	15	88	382	97	40	6	71%	4.2	25.4%	10.5%	14.9%	1.6%	4.11	3.15	+2.4
2026	36	MIX MLE	3 levels	16	13	52	234	60	18	3	81%	3.2	22.7%	8.0%	14.7%	1.0%	4.67	2.74	+1.7
2026	36	MIX MLE	3 levels	16	13	52	234	60	18	3	81%	3.2	22.7%	8.0%	14.7%	1.0%	4.67	2.74	+1.7
2026	36	MIX RAW	3 levels	16	13	52	234	60	18	3	81%	3.2	25.6%	7.7%	17.9%	1.3%	4.67	2.58	+1.8
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			65	10	106	491	106	58	9	15%	1.6	21.6%	11.8%	9.8%	1.8%	5.20	3.85	+0.9
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	37	MLB	NYM	32	0	34	144	33	13	3	0%	1.1	23.1%	8.8%	14.3%	2.4%	4.13	3.96	+0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	38	MLB MLE	NYM	18	0	19	81	18	8	2	0%	1.1	21.9%	9.5%	12.4%	2.8%	4.29	4.39	+0.0
2028	38	MLB CTX	NYM	14	0	15	63	14	6	2	0%	1.1	21.9%	9.5%	12.4%	2.8%	4.29	4.39	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		79	10	120	553	120	64	11	13%	1.5	21.6%	11.6%	10.1%	1.9%	5.09	3.81	+1.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		131	17	200	919	199	106	18	13%	1.5	21.6%	11.6%	10.1%	1.9%	5.09	3.81	+1.8
Career	—	MLE		228	46	425	1866	395	201	36	20%	1.9	21.1%	10.8%	10.4%	1.9%	4.15	3.75	+0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		107	22	200	878	186	94	17	20%	1.9	21.1%	10.8%	10.4%	1.9%	4.15	3.75	+1.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Brooklyn Cyclones · 14 IPFIP -0.05 → 0.76 (+0.81)K% 40.0% → 30.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	40.00%	—	×0.770	30.80%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	1.82%	—	×1.150	2.09%
HR / BF /BF	0.00%	÷1.000	×1.250	0.00%

Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP -0.05 → 0.76, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAASyracuse Mets · 8 IPFIP 3.23 → 3.66 (+0.42)K% 28.1% → 24.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	28.12%	—	×0.860	24.19%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	6.25%	—	×0.900	5.62%
HR / BF /BF	3.12%	÷1.000	×1.100	3.44%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 3.23 → 3.66, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAAWorcester Red Sox · 85 IPFIP 2.88 → 3.15 (+0.27)K% 26.2% → 22.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	26.16%	—	×0.860	22.50%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	9.81%	—	×0.900	8.83%
HR / BF /BF	1.36%	÷0.984	×1.100	1.52%

Result: FIP 2.88 → 3.15, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAANashville Sounds · 23 IPFIP 6.58 → 7.20 (+0.62)K% 16.7% → 14.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	16.67%	—	×0.860	14.33%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	15.79%	—	×0.900	14.21%
HR / BF /BF	5.26%	÷0.905	×1.100	6.40%

Result: FIP 6.58 → 7.20, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAASyracuse Mets · 35 IPFIP 3.75 → 4.18 (+0.42)K% 26.2% → 23.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	26.17%	—	×0.880	23.03%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	8.05%	—	×1.050	8.46%
HR / BF /BF	3.36%	÷1.039	×1.100	3.55%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors — K ×0.88, BB ×1.05, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 108).

Result: FIP 3.75 → 4.18, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 28 IPFIP 4.76 → 5.51 (+0.75)K% 28.6% → 25.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	28.57%	—	×0.880	25.14%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	13.57%	—	×1.050	14.25%
HR / BF /BF	4.29%	÷0.950	×1.100	4.96%

Result: FIP 4.76 → 5.51, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 28 IPFIP 3.29 → 3.65 (+0.36)K% 24.1% → 21.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	24.11%	—	×0.880	21.21%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	9.82%	—	×1.050	10.31%
HR / BF /BF	1.79%	÷1.045	×1.100	1.88%

Result: FIP 3.29 → 3.65, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AASan Antonio Missions · 9 IPFIP 2.21 → 3.60 (+1.39)K% 39.5% → 32.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	39.47%	—	×0.810	31.97%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	7.89%	—	×1.100	8.68%
HR / BF /BF	2.63%	÷0.824	×1.200	3.83%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 65).

Result: FIP 2.21 → 3.60, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Robert Stock (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.96	23.1%	8.8%	2.4%	—	4.39	21.9%	12.4%	19	+0.43	—	—	—
Matt Bush R 2023 · 3.79 FIP	37	SU	3.79	26.2%	8.7%	3.3%	.225	—	—	—	—	—	2.87	249	72
Keiichi Yabu R 2005 · 4.05 FIP	36	SU	4.05	16.8%	8.8%	2.3%	.307	3.48	15.9%	6.6%	68	-0.57	3.48	126	71
Juan Sandoval R 2017 · 3.42 FIP	36	SU	3.42	16.7%	7.2%	1.5%	.298	5.41	15.9%	8.7%	57	+1.99	3.24	225	67
Salvador Valdez R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	36	SW	4.30	17.1%	8.2%	2.9%	.405	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	326	65
Roy Corcoran R 2015 · 2.87 FIP	35	SU	2.87	17.7%	8.2%	0.4%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.87	129	63
Erubiel Gonzalez R 2016 · 2.99 FIP	37	SU	2.99	16.4%	6.5%	0.8%	.333	3.51	13.3%	10.8%	35	+0.52	2.99	119	63
Rudy Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	36	SU	4.72	15.8%	7.1%	3.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	119	62
Pete Walker R 2006 · 4.45 FIP	37	SU	4.45	19.6%	8.0%	3.6%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	4.45	327	61
Zack Segovia R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	36	SU	4.55	17.6%	13.6%	2.2%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	3.33	144	60
Chris Nichting R 2002 · 4.67 FIP	36	SU	4.67	16.6%	3.3%	4.6%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	103	58
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	3.93	194	57
Hector Navarro R 2017 · 3.53 FIP	37	SU	3.53	11.5%	5.6%	1.3%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	2.30	126	57
Scott Atchison R 2013 · 3.80 FIP	37	SU	3.80	14.4%	6.2%	2.1%	.273	3.60	16.7%	12.9%	92	-0.20	2.52	340	55
Logan Duran R 2019 · 3.66 FIP	37	SP-	3.66	15.5%	8.9%	1.4%	.427	—	—	—	—	—	3.42	187	51
Tony Pena Jr. R 2017 · 3.43 FIP	36	SU	3.43	10.9%	4.3%	1.3%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	128	49
Brian Sweeney R 2010 · 4.63 FIP	36	SU	4.63	9.5%	3.4%	3.5%	.226	—	—	—	—	—	3.03	108	49
Yoshihisa Hirano R 2020 · 5.02 FIP	36	SU	5.02	17.5%	12.7%	3.3%	.381	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	132	45
Heriberto Ruelas L 2017 · 3.42 FIP	35	SU	3.42	17.2%	6.7%	1.7%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	2.95	117	35
Hisanori Takahashi L 2012 · 4.04 FIP	37	SU	4.04	24.5%	6.1%	4.1%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	240	32
Brian Shouse L 2006 · 4.19 FIP	37	SU	4.19	13.2%	7.5%	2.3%	.269	3.37	15.3%	11.0%	127	-0.82	2.32	339	28

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	41	22.0%	11.0%	0.80	4.84
Bob Allen ('61-'67, -1 WAR*)	1.4	55	21.4%*	10.4%*	0.89*	4.79*
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Charlie Kerfeld ('85-'90, -0 WAR*)	1.0	50	22.3%*	12.7%*	0.72*	4.84*
Chris Resop ('13)	1.2	61	18.6%	10.3%	0.85	4.62
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. ('16)	1.2	58	24.6%	11.1%	0.93	4.35
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12