Yusei Kikuchi
P
Los Angeles Angels
+0.9
WAR
INJURED · Injured 15-Day (D15)
Age 35
LHP
6'0" / 210 lbs
MLB
Svc 7.0 · Ctrl thru 2027
peak 1.0 · 2027
ERA4.14
FIP4.26
xFIP3.83
SIERA3.91
K%24.4%
BB%8.1%
K-BB%16.2%
IP154
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.0peak
2027
K†6060
FB Velo
p6295.4
Whiff%
p7128.6%
K%
p6124.3%
xwOBA vs
p150.353
SL (19%)
CU (9%)
CT-2.0 (16%)
FB-5.0 (34%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 28 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | 32 | 32 | 162 | 721 | 116 | 50 | 36 | 16.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.46 | 5.47 | -0.3 |
| 2020 | 29 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | 9 | 9 | 47 | 194 | 47 | 20 | 3 | 24.2% | 10.3% | 1.5% | 5.17 | 3.17 | +0.9 |
| 2021 | 30 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | 29 | 29 | 157 | 666 | 163 | 62 | 27 | 24.5% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 4.41 | 4.52 | +1.4 |
| 2022 | 31 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 33 | 21 | 106 | 472 | 128 | 61 | 23 | 27.3% | 12.8% | 4.6% | 4.94 | 4.95 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 32 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 32 | 32 | 168 | 700 | 181 | 48 | 27 | 25.9% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.86 | 4.03 | +2.4 |
| 2024 | 33 | MLB | Houston Astros | 32 | 32 | 176 | 736 | 206 | 44 | 25 | 28.0% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 4.05 | 3.31 | +4.0 |
| 2025 | 34 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 33 | 33 | 178 | 772 | 174 | 71 | 24 | 22.5% | 9.2% | 3.3% | 3.99 | 4.15 | +2.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 35 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 4 | 4 | 18 | 89 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 21.3% | 11.2% | 3.4% | 7.50 | 4.57 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 35 | MLB | LAA | 53 | — | 53 | 225 | 54 | 20 | 7 | 24.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 3.93 | 3.99 | +0.6 |
| 2026 Total | 35 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 71 | 314 | 73 | 30 | 10 | 23.3% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 4.83 | 4.14 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 36 | MLB | LAA | 23 | 23 | 124 | 524 | 122 | 47 | 18 | 23.2% | 9.0% | 3.4% | 4.47 | 4.55 | +1.1 |
| 2028 | 37 | MLB | LAA | 19 | 19 | 107 | 452 | 101 | 42 | 16 | 22.4% | 9.3% | 3.6% | 4.63 | 4.73 | +0.7 |
| 2029 | 38 | MLB | LAA | 17 | 17 | 92 | 387 | 83 | 37 | 14 | 21.5% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 4.80 | 4.92 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 39 | MLB | LAA | 14 | 14 | 78 | 331 | 75 | 30 | 13 | 22.7% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 4.82 | 4.83 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 204 | 192 | 1011 | 4350 | 1035 | 365 | 171 | 23.8% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 4.50 | 4.32 | +11.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 40 | 38 | 200 | 861 | 205 | 72 | 34 | 23.8% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 4.50 | 4.32 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Yusei Kikuchi (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.21 | 25.1% | 8.1% | 3.3% | — | 4.71 | 22.4% | 13.2% | 323 | +0.50 | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Sánchez L 2027 · 4.73 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.73 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.73 | 109 | 30 |
| Daniel Rodriguez L 2025 · 4.77 FIP | 34 | SP- | 4.77 | 20.8% | 7.8% | 4.5% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.89 | 391 | 30 |
| Mauricio Lara L 2027 · 3.59 FIP | 36 | SP- | 3.59 | 13.9% | 6.9% | 1.5% | .310 | 3.68 | 12.1% | 5.1% | 220 | +0.09 | 3.59 | 444 | 29 |
| Marlon Arias L 2025 · 4.86 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.86 | 19.8% | 11.2% | 3.7% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 154 | 28 |
| Juan Antonio Pena L 2028 · 4.17 FIP | 37 | SP- | 4.17 | 13.6% | 9.9% | 1.8% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 149 | 28 |
| Orlando Lara L 2025 · 4.07 FIP | 34 | SP- | 4.07 | 22.0% | 7.8% | 3.4% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 426 | 28 |
| Arturo Lopez L 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 34 | SP- | 4.33 | 10.3% | 5.4% | 2.6% | .342 | 5.45 | 12.2% | 5.4% | 117 | +1.12 | 4.33 | 445 | 27 |
| Tsuyoshi Wada L 2025 · 3.59 FIP | 34 | SP- | 3.59 | 16.8% | 7.1% | 1.8% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.59 | 119 | 26 |
| Francisco Liriano L 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.34 | 20.9% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .265 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.00 | 650 | 26 |
| Neal Cotts L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.64 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | .257 | 3.78 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 93 | -0.86 | 3.21 | 156 | 25 |
| Phil Coke L 2025 · 3.04 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.04 | 18.0% | 6.7% | 1.1% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.04 | 101 | 25 |
| Wandy Rodriguez L 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 36 | SP- | 3.85 | 19.4% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 101 | 25 |
| Cesár Ramos L 2024 · 4.24 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.24 | 16.7% | 8.3% | 2.7% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.79 | 225 | 24 |
| Heriberto Ruelas L 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.42 | 17.2% | 6.7% | 1.7% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.97 | 117 | 24 |
| Jorge Castillo L 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.79 | 11.2% | 6.7% | 3.3% | .337 | 4.94 | 19.6% | 11.5% | 119 | +0.15 | 4.49 | 408 | 23 |
| Chris Narveson L 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.63 | 12.2% | 10.4% | 2.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.62 | 249 | 23 |
| Horacio Ramirez L 2027 · 3.35 FIP | 36 | SP- | 3.35 | 9.6% | 3.7% | 1.1% | .333 | 4.27 | 7.6% | 2.5% | 97 | +0.92 | 3.35 | 199 | 23 |
| Wilfredo Ledezma L 2026 · 3.28 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.28 | 20.7% | 8.2% | 1.6% | .255 | 3.38 | 26.7% | 18.4% | 22 | +0.10 | 2.57 | 109 | 23 |
| David Price L 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.65 | 17.8% | 7.4% | 2.0% | .301 | 3.67 | 22.2% | 18.0% | 40 | +0.02 | 2.58 | 922 | 23 |
| Manny Parra L 2026 · 3.33 FIP | 35 | SW | 3.33 | 18.4% | 10.3% | 0.9% | .351 | 2.43 | 17.3% | 11.0% | 27 | -0.90 | 2.43 | 114 | 23 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status FA
MLB Debut 2019
Service 7.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2027
First FA Year 2028
OPT
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Ext / FA-deal | $21M | +0.9 | $4M | -$18M |
| 2027 | Ext / FA-deal | $21M | +1.0 | $8M | -$13M |
| Totals | $42M | $12M | -$31M | ||
| Options · projected decision | |||
| 2028 | PLAYER OPT | $13.0M / $0.0M buyout | EXERCISE |
| 2029 | PLAYER OPT | $2022.0M / $0.0M buyout | EXERCISE |