Ryan Johnson
P
Los Angeles Angels
Age 23
RHP
6'6" / 215 lbs
MLB
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION62 act + 26 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10899vR 90
ERA3.93
FIP3.90
K%21.7%
BB%5.5%
K-BB%16.2%
ROS IP26
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 88 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1592.0
Whiff%
p4524.6%
K%
p1316.8%
xwOBA vs
p240.342
SI (30%)
SL (13%)
FB (30%)
CT-2.3 (29%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 12 | 72 | 291 | 81 | 14 | 7 | 46% | 2.8 | 22.7% | 5.3% | 17.4% | 2.7% | 3.00 | 3.35 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 12 | 72 | 291 | 81 | 14 | 7 | 46% | 2.8 | 27.8% | 4.8% | 23.0% | 2.4% | 3.00 | 2.70 | +1.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 15 | 12 | 62 | 262 | 62 | 17 | 11 | 80% | 4.1 | 20.1% | 7.2% | 12.9% | 4.5% | 4.79 | 4.81 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | LAA | 5 | 5 | 26 | 110 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 100% | 5.2 | 21.7% | 5.5% | 16.2% | 3.5% | 3.93 | 3.90 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | LAA | 5 | 5 | 26 | 110 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 100% | 5.2 | 21.7% | 5.5% | 16.2% | 3.5% | 3.93 | 3.90 | +0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 88 | 372 | 86 | 23 | 15 | — | — | 23.1% | 6.2% | 16.9% | 4.0% | 4.54 | 4.54 | +0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 59 | 250 | 86 | 23 | 15 | — | — | 34.2% | 9.2% | 25.1% | 5.9% | 6.73 | 4.63 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | LAA | 11 | 11 | 61 | 257 | 55 | 16 | 10 | 100% | 5.5 | 21.6% | 6.1% | 15.5% | 3.8% | 4.54 | 4.49 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | LAA | 11 | 11 | 62 | 260 | 57 | 16 | 10 | 100% | 5.6 | 22.1% | 6.2% | 15.9% | 3.7% | 4.46 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | LAA | 10 | 10 | 62 | 260 | 58 | 16 | 10 | 100% | 6.2 | 22.4% | 6.3% | 16.1% | 3.7% | 4.42 | 4.39 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | LAA | 10 | 10 | 61 | 256 | 57 | 16 | 9 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.4% | 6.4% | 15.9% | 3.7% | 4.43 | 4.43 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 10 | 10 | 59 | 249 | 55 | 16 | 9 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.2% | 6.6% | 15.7% | 3.8% | 4.48 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | LAA | 10 | 10 | 58 | 245 | 53 | 15 | 9 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.6% | 6.1% | 15.5% | 3.8% | 4.54 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | LAA | 10 | 10 | 59 | 249 | 55 | 15 | 9 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.1% | 6.2% | 15.9% | 3.7% | 4.46 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | LAA | 10 | 10 | 59 | 249 | 56 | 16 | 9 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.4% | 6.3% | 16.1% | 3.7% | 4.42 | 4.39 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | LAA | 10 | 10 | 58 | 245 | 55 | 16 | 9 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.4% | 6.4% | 15.9% | 3.7% | 4.43 | 4.43 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 9 | 9 | 56 | 236 | 53 | 16 | 9 | 100% | 6.2 | 22.2% | 6.6% | 15.7% | 3.8% | 4.48 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 77 | 60 | 362 | 1548 | 334 | 100 | 62 | 78% | 4.7 | 21.6% | 6.4% | 15.1% | 4.0% | 4.75 | 4.30 | +4.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 43 | 33 | 200 | 855 | 184 | 55 | 34 | 78% | 4.7 | 21.6% | 6.4% | 15.1% | 4.0% | 4.75 | 4.30 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 41 | 24 | 134 | 553 | 119 | 34 | 20 | 59% | 3.3 | 21.5% | 6.2% | 15.2% | 3.6% | 3.83 | 4.04 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 61 | 36 | 200 | 825 | 177 | 51 | 30 | 59% | 3.3 | 21.5% | 6.2% | 15.2% | 3.6% | 3.83 | 4.04 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ryan Johnson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.94 | 22.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | — | 4.43 | 22.0% | 15.8% | 184 | +0.49 | — | — | — |
| Clay Chandler R 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.97 | 18.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | .319 | 5.05 | 14.8% | 8.8% | 293 | +0.08 | 4.82 | 328 | 82 |
| Casey Legumina R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 79 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 78 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2027 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 77 |
| Evan McKendry R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.24 | 18.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | .256 | 5.40 | 18.7% | 11.6% | 324 | +1.16 | 4.14 | 474 | 76 |
| Nick Fraze R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.68 | 18.8% | 7.3% | 4.1% | .271 | 4.64 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 162 | -0.04 | 3.81 | 278 | 76 |
| Rico Garcia R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.21 | 18.8% | 7.0% | 1.5% | .316 | 3.82 | 19.8% | 11.5% | 296 | +0.61 | 3.21 | 566 | 73 |
| Ricky Castro R 2027 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.93 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .287 | 4.58 | 19.4% | 11.0% | 140 | +0.65 | 3.90 | 202 | 72 |
| Travis Herrin R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.21 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 3.6% | .315 | 5.04 | 17.6% | 5.2% | 106 | +0.83 | 4.21 | 236 | 72 |
| Hunter Dollander R 2028 · 3.81 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.81 | 19.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | .311 | 6.73 | 17.6% | -0.7% | 51 | +2.92 | 3.81 | 106 | 72 |
| Steven Bruce R 2028 · 3.70 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.70 | 14.9% | 5.0% | 2.2% | .300 | 3.62 | 15.0% | 9.8% | 94 | -0.08 | 3.62 | 148 | 70 |
| Nick Payero R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.06 | 16.5% | 6.3% | 2.8% | .285 | 5.72 | 16.6% | 4.6% | 107 | +1.66 | 4.06 | 178 | 70 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2029 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 70 |
| Noah Gotsis R 2028 · 3.38 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.38 | 16.5% | 6.5% | 1.5% | .296 | 4.26 | 15.9% | 8.6% | 90 | +0.88 | 3.38 | 138 | 70 |
| Bobby Milacki R 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.17 | 17.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | .325 | 5.00 | 18.0% | 10.0% | 193 | +0.83 | 2.90 | 320 | 70 |
| Greyfer Eregua R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.85 | 18.3% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 126 | 70 |
| Michael Knorr R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 69 |
| Brett Gillis R 2028 · 3.37 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.37 | 20.3% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .278 | 5.10 | 15.8% | 6.7% | 73 | +1.73 | 3.37 | 119 | 69 |
| Michael Baird R 2027 · 2.90 FIP | 24 | SP- | 2.90 | 21.2% | 8.3% | 1.0% | .273 | 6.19 | 21.6% | 13.1% | 94 | +3.29 | 2.90 | 132 | 69 |
| Ryan Atkinson R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.4% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.53 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 305 | -0.05 | 4.07 | 338 | 68 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 6 | 60 | 22.2% | 6.1% | 1.41 | 4.38 |
| Jake McGee ('22) | 8 | 44 | 23.3% | 6.3% | 1.34 | 4.27 |
| Fernando Salas ('18) | 4 | 59 | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.22 | 4.42 |
| Adam Morgan ('21) | 6 | 59 | 20.5% | 7.1% | 1.56 | 4.77 |
| Tyler Duffey ('22) | 8 | 59 | 23.0% | 6.8% | 1.25 | 4.57 |
| Eli Morgan ('24) | 4 | 66 | 23.8% | 6.4% | 1.46 | 3.97 |
| Matt Andriese ('21) | 7 | 73 | 21.7% | 6.7% | 1.34 | 4.63 |