Michael Darrell-Hicks

Michael Darrell-Hicks P Indianapolis Indians

Age 28 RHP 6'5" / 231 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 31 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118110vR 102

ERA4.48

FIP4.48

K%19.5%

BB%7.5%

K-BB%12.0%

ROS IP31

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 31 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

CT (34%)

SI (43%)

FB (47%)

SL (19%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	24	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	7	0	9	47	10	8	1	0%	1.3	21.3%	17.0%	4.3%	2.1%	10.61	4.63	—
2022	24	A RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	7	0	9	47	10	8	1	0%	1.3	21.3%	17.0%	4.3%	2.1%	10.61	4.92	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	18	109	465	124	35	8	64%	3.9	20.3%	8.7%	11.6%	2.2%	3.88	3.71	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	18	109	465	124	35	8	64%	3.9	20.3%	8.7%	11.6%	2.2%	3.88	3.71	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	28	18	109	465	124	35	8	64%	3.9	26.7%	7.5%	19.1%	1.7%	3.88	2.74	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	62	261	69	12	0	0%	1.6	21.6%	4.7%	16.9%	0.0%	2.60	1.87	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	62	261	69	12	0	0%	1.6	21.6%	4.7%	16.9%	0.0%	2.60	1.87	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	0	62	261	69	12	0	0%	1.6	26.4%	4.6%	21.8%	0.0%	2.60	1.46	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	48	233	50	22	9	0%	1.2	18.3%	8.5%	9.8%	5.1%	8.25	5.41	-0.5
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	48	233	50	22	9	0%	1.2	18.3%	8.5%	9.8%	5.1%	8.25	5.41	-0.5
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	48	233	50	22	9	0%	1.2	21.5%	9.4%	12.0%	3.9%	8.25	4.83	-0.2
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			7	0	10	43	8	4	1	0%	1.4	18.6%	9.3%	9.3%	2.3%	7.45	4.03	+0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	39	1	45	191	52	26	4	3%	1.1	22.8%	12.9%	9.9%	2.5%	4.23	4.19	—
YTD	28	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	39	1	45	191	52	26	4	3%	1.1	22.8%	12.9%	9.9%	2.5%	4.23	4.19	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	ROK RAW	PIT	1	0	1	4	2	0	0	0%	1.0	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%	0.00	-1.12	—
2026	28	A RAW	PIT	2	0	3	12	2	1	0	0%	1.4	16.7%	8.3%	8.3%	0.0%	10.12	2.75	—
2026	28	AAA RAW	PIT	36	1	41	175	48	25	4	3%	1.1	27.4%	14.3%	13.1%	2.3%	3.95	3.85	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	PIT	28	0	30	125	25	10	4	0%	1.1	19.6%	7.9%	11.7%	3.2%	4.54	4.60	-0.0
2027	29	MLB CTX	PIT	10	0	11	46	9	4	2	0%	1.1	19.6%	7.9%	11.7%	3.2%	4.54	4.60	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		17	0	21	89	17	8	2	0%	1.2	19.1%	8.6%	10.6%	2.8%	5.91	4.10	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		169	0	200	866	165	78	19	0%	1.2	19.1%	8.6%	10.6%	2.8%	5.91	4.10	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		153	19	273	1197	247	105	28	12%	1.8	20.6%	8.8%	11.9%	2.3%	4.64	3.75	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		112	14	200	876	181	77	21	12%	1.8	20.6%	8.8%	11.9%	2.3%	4.64	3.75	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Michael Darrell-Hicks (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.48	19.5%	7.5%	3.1%	—	4.60	19.6%	11.7%	30	+0.12	—	—	—
Rob Scahill R 2015 · 3.91 FIP	28	SU	3.91	16.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.288	3.34	17.9%	10.1%	171	-0.57	3.06	201	83
Cory Gearrin R 2015 · 3.52 FIP	29	SU	3.52	22.1%	7.5%	2.5%	.283	3.54	22.2%	13.6%	174	+0.02	3.15	272	81
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	81
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	80
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	79
Gerardo Sanchez R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	21.6%	8.4%	2.1%	.355	3.58	20.5%	15.1%	56	+0.11	2.65	137	79
David Hernandez R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	30	SU	4.40	22.9%	7.6%	4.1%	.287	3.17	24.9%	18.4%	192	-1.23	2.60	268	77
Matt Ramsey R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	28	SU	3.78	24.9%	8.8%	3.0%	.276	2.42	21.7%	12.6%	34	-1.36	2.42	125	77
Francisco Mendoza R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	28	SU	3.81	17.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	120	77
Miguel Mejia R 2016 · 3.37 FIP	28	SU	3.37	19.6%	7.2%	1.8%	.359	5.21	12.8%	2.8%	47	+1.84	3.37	108	77
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	77
Daniel Robert R 2023 · 3.51 FIP	28	SU	3.51	21.9%	10.7%	1.7%	.310	3.09	24.6%	16.4%	87	-0.42	2.32	186	76
Tommy Hunter R 2015 · 3.72 FIP	29	SU	3.72	18.9%	4.8%	2.9%	.295	3.14	21.2%	15.9%	172	-0.58	2.78	316	76
Brad Deppermann R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	22.7%	9.4%	3.4%	.417	2.87	19.5%	13.2%	71	-1.38	1.94	143	75
Jaye Chapman R 2015 · 3.32 FIP	28	SU	3.32	21.6%	8.5%	1.8%	.276	4.08	20.3%	11.3%	85	+0.76	3.25	150	75
Ryan Doolittle R 2016 · 4.38 FIP	28	SU	4.38	13.9%	7.1%	2.8%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	101	75
Jhan Mariñez R 2017 · 3.97 FIP	28	SU	3.97	17.2%	8.8%	2.2%	.309	4.09	21.2%	13.3%	48	+0.12	3.16	253	75
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	75
Drew Storen R 2016 · 3.72 FIP	28	SU	3.72	21.1%	5.3%	3.1%	.304	3.91	19.5%	11.6%	65	+0.19	2.36	172	74
J.J. Hoover R 2016 · 4.56 FIP	28	SU	4.56	22.6%	8.6%	4.2%	.350	5.77	20.3%	10.0%	137	+1.21	4.22	258	74

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	30	19.5%	7.7%	1.22	4.51
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47