Michael Darrell-Hicks
P
Indianapolis Indians
+0.3
WAR
Age 28
RHP
6'5" / 231 lbs
AAA
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.45
FIP4.45
xFIP4.79
SIERA4.44
K%21.5%
BB%8.7%
K-BB%12.9%
IP44
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
K†5050
CT (34%)
SI (43%)
FB (47%)
SL (19%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 24 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 7 | 0 | 9 | 47 | 10 | 8 | 1 | — | — | — | 10.61 | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 28 | 18 | 109 | 465 | 124 | 35 | 8 | 20.3% | 8.7% | 2.2% | 3.88 | 3.70 | +2.0 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 40 | 0 | 62 | 261 | 69 | 12 | 0 | 22.0% | 5.0% | 0.0% | 2.60 | 1.87 | +2.2 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 39 | 0 | 48 | 233 | 50 | 22 | 9 | 19.5% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 8.25 | 5.46 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 7 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 6 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 2.70 | — | — |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | PIT | 44 | — | 44 | 187 | 40 | 16 | 6 | 21.5% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 4.45 | 4.45 | +0.3 |
| 2026 Total | 28 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 51 | 213 | 46 | 19 | 6 | 21.7% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 4.22 | 3.87 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | PIT | 43 | — | 43 | 183 | 39 | 16 | 6 | 21.6% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 4.46 | 4.48 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | PIT | 42 | — | 42 | 177 | 38 | 16 | 6 | 21.5% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 4.50 | 4.53 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | PIT | 40 | — | 40 | 171 | 37 | 16 | 6 | 21.4% | 9.1% | 3.2% | 4.55 | 4.59 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | PIT | 39 | — | 39 | 164 | 35 | 15 | 5 | 21.2% | 9.2% | 3.3% | 4.62 | 4.67 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB | PIT | 37 | — | 37 | 157 | 33 | 15 | 5 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.4% | 4.71 | 4.77 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB | PIT | 35 | — | 35 | 149 | 30 | 14 | 5 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 4.81 | 4.88 | +0.0 |
| 2033 | 35 | MLB | PIT | 33 | — | 33 | 140 | 28 | 14 | 5 | 20.1% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 4.92 | 5.00 | -0.0 |
| 2034 | 36 | MLB | PIT | 31 | — | 31 | 131 | 26 | 13 | 5 | 19.7% | 10.1% | 3.7% | 5.05 | 5.13 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 121 | 18 | 235 | 1032 | 213 | 87 | 23 | 20.7% | 8.5% | 2.2% | 4.67 | 3.65 | +4.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 103 | 15 | 200 | 877 | 181 | 74 | 20 | 20.7% | 8.5% | 2.2% | 4.67 | 3.65 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Michael Darrell-Hicks (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.45 | 21.5% | 8.7% | 3.1% | — | 4.53 | 21.5% | 12.6% | 126 | +0.08 | — | — | — |
| Cory Gearrin R 2027 · 3.52 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.52 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 2.4% | .283 | 3.61 | 22.2% | 13.6% | 174 | +0.09 | 3.17 | 272 | 84 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2027 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.33 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.6% | .241 | 3.99 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.34 | 3.47 | 149 | 83 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.47 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.57 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.10 | 2.59 | 137 | 82 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.76 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 3.0% | .276 | 2.42 | 21.7% | 12.6% | 34 | -1.34 | 2.42 | 125 | 82 |
| Rob Scahill R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.75 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.0% | .288 | 3.35 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.40 | 3.08 | 201 | 81 |
| David Hernandez R 2028 · 4.62 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.62 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | .287 | 3.18 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.44 | 2.56 | 268 | 80 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.01 | 19.6% | 7.3% | 3.0% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.00 | 125 | 79 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.39 | 23.5% | 10.7% | 1.7% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.11 | 166 | 77 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.83 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.83 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .292 | 1.31 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.52 | 1.30 | 218 | 77 |
| Joe Colón J R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.5% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 113 | 77 |
| Mitchell Stumpo R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.70 | 22.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.90 | 158 | 76 |
| Daniel Robert R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.63 | 23.3% | 12.5% | 1.7% | .310 | 3.09 | 25.8% | 16.6% | 87 | -0.54 | 2.28 | 186 | 76 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2028 · 5.16 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.16 | 18.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | .373 | 3.54 | 18.5% | 9.3% | 93 | -1.62 | 3.45 | 170 | 76 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.85 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.1% | .265 | 3.87 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.98 | 3.45 | 315 | 75 |
| Casey Legumina R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.01 | 25.1% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 283 | 75 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.54 | 25.1% | 9.1% | 2.6% | .277 | 3.88 | 21.1% | 12.7% | 203 | +0.34 | 2.86 | 596 | 75 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2026 · 3.34 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.34 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.07 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.73 | 3.25 | 150 | 75 |
| Brandon Morrow R 2029 · 3.51 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.51 | 18.3% | 5.6% | 2.3% | .280 | 3.50 | 21.2% | 14.8% | 153 | -0.01 | 2.67 | 186 | 75 |
| Hunter Strickland R 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.45 | 21.6% | 9.3% | 1.8% | .304 | 4.62 | 17.9% | 9.1% | 70 | +1.17 | 2.30 | 511 | 75 |
| J.J. Hoover R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.61 | 22.6% | 8.6% | 4.2% | .350 | 5.75 | 20.3% | 10.0% | 137 | +1.14 | 4.26 | 258 | 75 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.