Michael Darrell-Hicks
P
Indianapolis Indians
Age 28
RHP
6'5" / 231 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION23 act + 31 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 106
ERA4.64
FIP4.64
K%20.2%
BB%8.7%
K-BB%11.5%
ROS IP31
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 54 IP
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
CT (34%)
SI (43%)
FB (47%)
SL (19%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 24 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 7 | 0 | 9 | 47 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.3% | 17.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 10.61 | 4.63 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 7 | 0 | 9 | 47 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.3% | 17.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 10.61 | 4.92 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 18 | 109 | 465 | 124 | 35 | 8 | 64% | 3.9 | 20.3% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 2.4% | 3.88 | 3.77 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 18 | 109 | 465 | 124 | 35 | 8 | 64% | 3.9 | 26.7% | 7.5% | 19.1% | 1.7% | 3.88 | 2.74 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 62 | 261 | 69 | 12 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 22.0% | 5.0% | 17.1% | 0.0% | 2.60 | 1.87 | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 62 | 261 | 69 | 12 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 26.4% | 4.6% | 21.8% | 0.0% | 2.60 | 1.46 | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 48 | 233 | 50 | 22 | 9 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.5% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 8.25 | 5.78 | -0.7 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 48 | 233 | 50 | 22 | 9 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.5% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 3.9% | 8.25 | 4.83 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | 22 | 1 | 23 | 97 | 25 | 13 | 3 | 5% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 14.1% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 4.37 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | PIT | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 26 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.2% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 3.2% | 4.64 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | PIT | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.2% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 3.2% | 4.64 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 54 | 228 | 51 | 24 | 7 | — | — | 22.6% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 3.2% | 4.52 | 4.72 | -0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 3 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 20.2% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 3.2% | 4.64 | 4.26 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | PIT | 28 | 0 | 30 | 125 | 25 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 3.3% | 4.68 | 4.74 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | PIT | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 3.3% | 4.68 | 4.74 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 20 | 0 | 24 | 102 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 2.9% | 5.81 | 4.19 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 172 | 0 | 200 | 863 | 169 | 76 | 25 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 2.9% | 5.81 | 4.19 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 136 | 19 | 251 | 1103 | 229 | 98 | 28 | 14% | 1.8 | 20.8% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 2.6% | 4.69 | 3.88 | +4.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 108 | 15 | 200 | 878 | 182 | 78 | 22 | 14% | 1.8 | 20.8% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 2.6% | 4.69 | 3.88 | +3.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Michael Darrell-Hicks (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.64 | 20.2% | 8.7% | 3.2% | — | 4.74 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 30 | +0.10 | — | — | — |
| Rob Scahill R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.34 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.49 | 2.93 | 201 | 81 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2027 · 3.55 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.55 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .283 | 3.52 | 22.2% | 13.6% | 174 | -0.03 | 3.15 | 272 | 80 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2027 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 80 |
| Nick Merkel R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.85 | 17.9% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 201 | 79 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.49 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.55 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.06 | 2.51 | 137 | 78 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.87 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .276 | 2.42 | 21.7% | 12.6% | 34 | -1.45 | 2.42 | 125 | 78 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.72 | 19.6% | 7.3% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 125 | 77 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 77 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 77 |
| David Hernandez R 2028 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 77 |
| Francisco Mendoza R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.11 | 17.9% | 7.7% | 2.8% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 120 | 76 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 76 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 76 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 19.6% | 7.2% | 2.0% | .359 | 5.26 | 12.8% | 2.8% | 47 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 108 | 76 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2028 · 4.81 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.81 | 18.6% | 7.6% | 4.2% | .373 | 3.58 | 18.5% | 9.3% | 93 | -1.23 | 3.37 | 170 | 75 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.99 | 17.2% | 8.8% | 2.2% | .309 | 4.16 | 21.2% | 13.3% | 48 | +0.17 | 3.23 | 253 | 75 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2024 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.25 | 121 | 75 |
| Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 75 |
| J.J. Hoover R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 22.6% | 8.6% | 4.4% | .350 | 5.85 | 20.3% | 10.0% | 137 | +1.16 | 4.26 | 258 | 75 |
| Joe Colón J R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 74 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 30 | 20.3% | 8.8% | 1.27 | 4.66 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |