Nathan Eovaldi
P
Texas Rangers
+2.4
WAR
Age 36
RHP
6'2" / 217 lbs
MLB
Svc 14.0 · Ctrl thru 2027
peak 2.4 · 2026
ERA3.38
FIP3.52
xFIP3.33
SIERA3.40
K%24.7%
BB%5.6%
K-BB%19.1%
IP123
trajectory · 10 yrs
2.4peak
2026
K†6060
FB Velo
p5094.5
Whiff%
p8430.7%
K%
p5923.8%
xwOBA vs
p420.321
SI (7%)
CU (20%)
CT-2.0 (23%)
FB-6.7 (19%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 25 | MLB | New York Yankees | 27 | 27 | 154 | 673 | 121 | 49 | 10 | 18.0% | 7.3% | 1.3% | 4.20 | 3.20 | +3.7 |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB | New York Yankees | 24 | 21 | 125 | 525 | 97 | 38 | 23 | 18.5% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 4.76 | 4.27 | +1.5 |
| 2018 | 28 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 26 | 25 | 121 | 501 | 114 | 19 | 17 | 22.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.31 | 3.41 | +2.6 |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 24 | 12 | 69 | 306 | 73 | 36 | 16 | 23.2% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 5.90 | 5.56 | -0.4 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 9 | 9 | 48 | 199 | 52 | 7 | 8 | 26.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.72 | 3.75 | +0.7 |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 32 | 32 | 182 | 764 | 195 | 33 | 15 | 25.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 3.75 | 2.59 | +5.6 |
| 2022 | 32 | MLB | Boston Red Sox | 22 | 22 | 115 | 490 | 111 | 22 | 23 | 22.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.06 | 4.22 | +1.4 |
| 2023 | 33 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 25 | 25 | 144 | 577 | 132 | 47 | 15 | 22.9% | 8.1% | 2.1% | 3.62 | 3.33 | +3.2 |
| 2024 | 34 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 29 | 29 | 171 | 696 | 166 | 42 | 23 | 23.9% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 3.80 | 3.60 | +3.3 |
| 2025 | 35 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 22 | 22 | 130 | 496 | 129 | 20 | 10 | 26.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.73 | 2.55 | +4.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 4 | 4 | 22 | 97 | 26 | 7 | 4 | 26.8% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 5.40 | 4.01 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 36 | MLB | MIA | 17 | 17 | 93 | 391 | 101 | 23 | 11 | 25.8% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 3.10 | 3.24 | +2.1 |
| 2026 Total | 36 | MLB | MIA | — | — | 114 | 488 | 127 | 30 | 15 | 26.0% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 3.53 | 3.38 | +2.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | MIA | 18 | 18 | 98 | 416 | 104 | 26 | 12 | 25.0% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 3.67 | 3.80 | +1.7 |
| 2028 | 38 | MLB | MIA | 15 | 15 | 84 | 356 | 86 | 23 | 11 | 24.2% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 3.86 | 3.98 | +1.1 |
| 2029 | 39 | MLB | MIA | 13 | 13 | 72 | 304 | 77 | 18 | 10 | 25.3% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 3.88 | 3.90 | +0.9 |
| 2030 | 40 | MLB | MIA | 11 | 11 | 62 | 261 | 64 | 17 | 9 | 24.5% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 4.00 | 4.09 | +0.6 |
| 2031 | 41 | MLB | MIA | 53 | — | 53 | 223 | 53 | 15 | 8 | 23.6% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 4.16 | 4.27 | +0.4 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 244 | 228 | 1281 | 5324 | 1210 | 321 | 152 | 22.7% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 3.91 | 3.51 | +26.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 38 | 36 | 200 | 831 | 189 | 50 | 24 | 22.7% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 3.91 | 3.51 | +4.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nathan Eovaldi (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.48 | 25.3% | 5.6% | 2.6% | — | 3.89 | 24.8% | 18.5% | 255 | +0.41 | — | — | — |
| Walter Silva R 2028 · 4.13 FIP | 38 | SP- | 4.13 | 14.8% | 7.4% | 2.5% | .311 | 3.92 | 10.4% | 3.7% | 209 | -0.21 | 3.67 | 428 | 50 |
| Frankie De La Cruz R 2025 · 4.37 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.37 | 16.2% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 240 | 50 |
| Jesse Estrada R 2025 · 4.36 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.36 | 14.4% | 6.6% | 3.0% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 257 | 49 |
| Edgar Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.58 | 12.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.19 | 450 | 48 |
| Josh Roenicke R 2024 · 3.38 FIP | 34 | SP- | 3.38 | 18.0% | 5.8% | 1.9% | .332 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.27 | 283 | 47 |
| Jorge Martinez R 2024 · 3.66 FIP | 34 | SP- | 3.66 | 16.3% | 5.7% | 2.2% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.48 | 214 | 47 |
| Jason Hammel R 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.39 | 15.8% | 6.0% | 3.4% | .342 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 645 | 46 |
| Pablo Ortega R 2028 · 4.51 FIP | 38 | SP- | 4.51 | 8.6% | 7.3% | 2.2% | .291 | 4.23 | 11.5% | 6.0% | 236 | -0.28 | 4.03 | 375 | 45 |
| Guillermo Moscoso R 2025 · 4.34 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.34 | 12.6% | 6.7% | 2.6% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 264 | 45 |
| Jake Peavy R 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.39 | 19.6% | 6.7% | 3.8% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.07 | 262 | 45 |
| Roberto Hernandez R 2025 · 4.35 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.35 | 13.8% | 7.0% | 2.8% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 171 | 44 |
| Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.20 | 15.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.94 | 567 | 43 |
| Scott Feldman R 2024 · 4.56 FIP | 34 | SP- | 4.56 | 19.7% | 7.0% | 4.1% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 297 | 43 |
| Chris Young R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.62 | 16.6% | 8.6% | 3.3% | .209 | 6.35 | 21.1% | 11.4% | 119 | +1.73 | 4.62 | 242 | 41 |
| Colby Lewis R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.67 | 15.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | .239 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 321 | 40 |
| Shaun Marcum R 2023 · 4.03 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.03 | 17.8% | 6.0% | 3.0% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.03 | 123 | 39 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.45 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 3.9% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 208 | 39 |
| Jean Machi R 2025 · 4.11 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.11 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 186 | 39 |
| Jim Johnson R 2025 · 4.52 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.52 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.4% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.57 | 251 | 38 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 36 | SW | 3.46 | 16.7% | 7.2% | 1.6% | .298 | 5.44 | 15.9% | 8.7% | 57 | +1.98 | 3.21 | 225 | 37 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status FA
MLB Debut 2012
Service 14.076 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2027
First FA Year 2028
NTCOPT
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Ext / FA-deal | $25M | +2.4 | $19M | -$6M |
| 2027 | Ext / FA-deal | $25M | +1.7 | $14M | -$11M |
| Totals | $50M | $33M | -$17M | ||
| Options · projected decision | |||
| 2028 | PLAYER OPT | $2025.0M / $0.0M buyout | EXERCISE |
| 2029 | PLAYER OPT | $20.0M / $0.0M buyout | EXERCISE |
| 2030 | CLUB OPT | $2018.0M / $0.0M buyout | DECLINE |
| 2031 | CLUB OPT | $2.0M / $0.0M buyout | DECLINE |