Michael King
P
San Diego Padres
Age 31
RHP
6'3" / 210 lbs
MLB
peak 0.6 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION108 act + 72 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111102vR 93
ERA3.59
FIP3.85
K%22.5%
BB%9.1%
K-BB%13.4%
ROS IP72
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 181 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p4394.0
Whiff%
p5325.7%
K%
p4120.8%
xwOBA vs
p350.329
FB+2.5 (48%)
SL+2.4 (19%)
CT+1.1 (5%)
SI (29%)
CH (27%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 0 | 9 | 45 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.9 | 11.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 0.0% | 5.79 | 3.01 | — |
| 2016 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 0 | 9 | 45 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 1.9 | 11.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 0.0% | 5.79 | 2.99 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 26 | 25 | 149 | 597 | 106 | 21 | 14 | 96% | 5.7 | 13.1% | 4.2% | 9.0% | 2.3% | 3.14 | 3.77 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A | Greensboro Grasshoppers | 26 | 25 | 149 | 597 | 106 | 21 | 14 | 96% | 5.7 | 17.8% | 3.5% | 14.2% | 2.3% | 3.14 | 3.32 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 24 | 161 | 624 | 152 | 28 | 8 | 96% | 6.5 | 19.8% | 5.0% | 14.8% | 1.3% | 1.79 | 2.80 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 24 | 161 | 624 | 152 | 28 | 8 | 96% | 6.5 | 24.4% | 4.5% | 19.9% | 1.3% | 1.79 | 2.38 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 4 levels | 11 | 7 | 44 | 191 | 45 | 10 | 4 | 64% | 4.0 | 19.6% | 5.3% | 14.2% | 2.6% | 5.73 | 3.54 | +0.5 |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 4 levels | 11 | 7 | 44 | 191 | 45 | 10 | 4 | 64% | 4.0 | 23.6% | 5.2% | 18.3% | 2.1% | 5.73 | 2.92 | +0.8 |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | New York Yankees | 9 | 4 | 27 | 121 | 26 | 11 | 5 | 44% | 3.0 | 21.5% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 3.8% | 7.76 | 4.55 | +0.0 |
| 2020 | 25 | MLB | New York Yankees | 9 | 4 | 27 | 121 | 26 | 11 | 5 | 44% | 3.0 | 21.5% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 4.1% | 7.76 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 7 | 69 | 298 | 73 | 23 | 7 | 28% | 2.8 | 22.5% | 8.4% | 14.2% | 2.0% | 3.65 | 3.37 | +1.1 |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 7 | 69 | 298 | 73 | 23 | 7 | 28% | 2.8 | 24.5% | 7.7% | 16.8% | 2.3% | 3.65 | 3.30 | +1.2 |
| 2022 | 27 | MLB | New York Yankees | 34 | 0 | 51 | 199 | 66 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 33.2% | 7.0% | 26.1% | 1.4% | 2.29 | 1.96 | +1.5 |
| 2022 | 27 | MLB | New York Yankees | 34 | 0 | 51 | 199 | 66 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 33.2% | 7.0% | 26.1% | 1.5% | 2.29 | 2.10 | +1.5 |
| 2023 | 28 | MLB | New York Yankees | 49 | 9 | 105 | 431 | 127 | 31 | 10 | 18% | 2.1 | 29.5% | 7.2% | 22.3% | 2.2% | 2.75 | 2.71 | +3.3 |
| 2023 | 28 | MLB | New York Yankees | 49 | 9 | 105 | 431 | 127 | 31 | 10 | 18% | 2.1 | 29.5% | 7.2% | 22.3% | 2.3% | 2.75 | 2.80 | +3.2 |
| 2024 | 29 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 31 | 30 | 174 | 726 | 201 | 61 | 17 | 97% | 5.6 | 27.7% | 8.4% | 19.3% | 2.5% | 2.95 | 3.21 | +4.5 |
| 2024 | 29 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 31 | 30 | 174 | 726 | 201 | 61 | 17 | 97% | 5.6 | 27.7% | 8.4% | 19.3% | 2.3% | 2.95 | 3.11 | +4.6 |
| 2025 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 16 | 77 | 324 | 81 | 27 | 14 | 100% | 4.8 | 24.7% | 8.4% | 16.2% | 4.2% | 3.99 | 4.39 | +0.5 |
| 2025 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 16 | 77 | 324 | 81 | 27 | 14 | 100% | 4.8 | 25.0% | 8.3% | 16.7% | 4.3% | 3.99 | 4.42 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 19 | 19 | 108 | 443 | 92 | 43 | 10 | 100% | 5.7 | 20.8% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 2.3% | 3.41 | 3.81 | +2.0 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | SD | 12 | 12 | 72 | 305 | 69 | 28 | 8 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.5% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 2.7% | 3.59 | 3.85 | +0.8 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | SD | 12 | 12 | 72 | 304 | 68 | 28 | 8 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.5% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 2.7% | 3.59 | 3.85 | +0.8 |
| 2026 TOT | 31 | MLB | SD | — | — | 181 | 748 | 161 | 71 | 18 | — | — | 21.5% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 2.4% | 3.48 | 3.83 | +3.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 31 | MLB | SD | — | — | 181 | 762 | 161 | 71 | 18 | — | — | 21.1% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 2.4% | 3.48 | 3.81 | +3.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | SD | 14 | 14 | 92 | 388 | 86 | 37 | 12 | 100% | 6.6 | 22.2% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 3.0% | 4.23 | 4.44 | +0.8 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | SD | 13 | 13 | 84 | 356 | 76 | 35 | 12 | 100% | 6.5 | 21.4% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 3.3% | 4.52 | 4.72 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | SD | 12 | 12 | 77 | 324 | 73 | 31 | 11 | 100% | 6.4 | 22.5% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 3.6% | 4.66 | 4.75 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | SD | 14 | 14 | 92 | 388 | 86 | 37 | 12 | 100% | 6.6 | 22.2% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 3.0% | 4.23 | 4.44 | +0.9 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | SD | 13 | 13 | 84 | 355 | 76 | 35 | 12 | 100% | 6.5 | 21.4% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 3.3% | 4.52 | 4.72 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | SD | 12 | 12 | 77 | 325 | 73 | 31 | 12 | 100% | 6.4 | 22.5% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 3.6% | 4.66 | 4.75 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 231 | 134 | 928 | 3885 | 955 | 340 | 106 | 58% | 4.0 | 24.6% | 8.8% | 15.8% | 2.7% | 3.62 | 3.63 | +19.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 50 | 29 | 200 | 837 | 206 | 73 | 23 | 58% | 4.0 | 24.6% | 8.8% | 15.8% | 2.7% | 3.62 | 3.63 | +4.1 | ||
| Career | — | 250 | 141 | 974 | 3999 | 903 | 281 | 92 | 56% | 3.9 | 22.6% | 7.0% | 15.6% | 2.3% | 3.20 | 3.34 | +23.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 51 | 29 | 200 | 821 | 186 | 58 | 19 | 56% | 3.9 | 22.6% | 7.0% | 15.6% | 2.3% | 3.20 | 3.34 | +4.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Michael King (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.03 | 26.4% | 8.3% | 3.1% | — | 4.63 | 22.0% | 12.3% | 253 | +0.60 | — | — | — |
| Elian Leyva R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 158 | 55 |
| Brad Peacock R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.04 | 25.1% | 8.1% | 3.7% | .261 | 4.12 | 22.8% | 12.5% | 96 | +0.08 | 2.88 | 533 | 55 |
| Yohan Pino R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.95 | 17.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | .312 | 5.48 | 15.2% | 11.6% | 35 | +1.53 | 3.95 | 133 | 53 |
| Mitch Lively R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.49 | 17.0% | 6.4% | 1.8% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 158 | 51 |
| Matt Cain R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.96 | 18.1% | 7.8% | 4.4% | .313 | 4.83 | 13.2% | 5.6% | 124 | -0.13 | 4.83 | 294 | 51 |
| Dillon Gee R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.88 | 18.0% | 5.9% | 2.8% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 380 | 51 |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.15 | 20.6% | 9.1% | 3.0% | .305 | 3.56 | 27.5% | 19.3% | 120 | -0.59 | 3.52 | 316 | 51 |
| Josh A. Smith R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.57 | 20.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | .341 | 3.72 | 17.4% | 8.6% | 59 | -0.85 | 2.71 | 598 | 50 |
| Tom Koehler R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.71 | 22.4% | 9.0% | 4.3% | .298 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.39 | 474 | 50 |
| Ricky Nolasco R 2027 · 3.21 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.21 | 20.2% | 6.9% | 1.7% | .382 | 4.52 | 17.9% | 11.7% | 379 | +1.31 | 3.21 | 425 | 50 |
| Bruce Billings R 2024 · 3.01 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.01 | 15.6% | 5.6% | 0.9% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 121 | 50 |
| Mike Wright Jr. R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.73 | 19.1% | 8.8% | 2.1% | .237 | 4.51 | 14.4% | 1.1% | 56 | +0.78 | 3.73 | 725 | 49 |
| Casey Lawrence R 2025 · 3.92 FIP | 30 | SP- | 3.92 | 18.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | .305 | 3.98 | 20.0% | 14.8% | 86 | +0.06 | 3.50 | 1,320 | 49 |
| Jason Berken R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.69 | 13.5% | 6.6% | 3.5% | .315 | 4.31 | 11.5% | 3.2% | 106 | -0.38 | 4.31 | 219 | 49 |
| Jorge Martinez R 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.42 | 12.9% | 5.3% | 1.4% | .266 | 3.59 | 16.5% | 11.5% | 154 | +0.17 | 3.42 | 214 | 48 |
| Zack Segovia R 2027 · 5.00 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.00 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .314 | 3.41 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.59 | 3.41 | 144 | 48 |
| Jair Jurrjens R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.29 | 16.3% | 7.9% | 2.8% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.29 | 125 | 48 |
| Phil Hughes R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.03 | 15.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | .328 | 6.34 | 21.1% | 15.2% | 33 | +1.31 | 4.61 | 301 | 48 |
| Mike Bolsinger R 2024 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.2% | 9.4% | 3.1% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 327 | 47 |
| Daniel McCutchen R 2027 · 4.47 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.47 | 13.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | .268 | 4.60 | 10.8% | 4.9% | 155 | +0.13 | 4.47 | 287 | 47 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 88 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 1.24 | 4.26 |
| Félix Peña ('20) | 4 | 62 | 23.6% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.46 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Junior Guerra ('21) | 6 | 84 | 21.3% | 11.0% | 1.16 | 4.04 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |