Tomoyuki Sugano
P
Colorado Rockies
+0.1
WAR
Age 36
RHP
6'1" / 227 lbs
MLB
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.87
FIP5.03
xFIP4.16
SIERA4.22
K%16.8%
BB%5.7%
K-BB%11.1%
IP134
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
STUF3535
CTRL6565
CMD4040
K†3030
FB Velo
p1992.3
Whiff%
p1320.1%
K%
p1717.4%
xwOBA vs
p100.383
SI (14%)
CU (5%)
SL (22%)
FB-0.7 (38%)
CT-1.6 (12%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 35 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 30 | 30 | 157 | 675 | 106 | 34 | 33 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.64 | 4.89 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 3 | 3 | 17 | 63 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 19.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 2.16 | 5.58 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 36 | MLB | COL | 20 | 20 | 108 | 457 | 73 | 25 | 20 | 15.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.75 | 4.89 | +0.5 |
| 2026 Total | 36 | MLB | COL | — | — | 125 | 520 | 85 | 28 | 24 | 16.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.41 | 4.99 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | COL | 20 | 20 | 108 | 454 | 68 | 26 | 21 | 15.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.32 | 5.44 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 33 | 33 | 174 | 738 | 118 | 37 | 34 | 16.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.40 | 4.95 | +0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 38 | 38 | 200 | 850 | 136 | 43 | 39 | 16.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.40 | 4.95 | +0.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tomoyuki Sugano (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.24 | 14.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | — | 5.44 | 15.0% | 9.2% | 108 | +0.20 | — | — | — |
| Edgar Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.58 | 12.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.19 | 450 | 72 |
| Pablo Ortega R 2028 · 4.51 FIP | 38 | SP- | 4.51 | 8.6% | 7.3% | 2.2% | .291 | 4.23 | 11.5% | 6.0% | 236 | -0.28 | 4.03 | 375 | 71 |
| Frankie De La Cruz R 2025 · 4.37 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.37 | 16.2% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 240 | 69 |
| Walter Silva R 2028 · 4.13 FIP | 38 | SP- | 4.13 | 14.8% | 7.4% | 2.5% | .311 | 3.92 | 10.4% | 3.7% | 209 | -0.21 | 3.67 | 428 | 68 |
| Jonathan Castellanos R 2025 · 4.90 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.90 | 8.4% | 9.2% | 2.5% | .314 | 5.22 | 11.0% | 2.0% | 67 | +0.32 | 3.41 | 394 | 67 |
| J.D. Martin R 2026 · 5.87 FIP | 36 | SP- | 5.87 | 13.9% | 12.8% | 4.2% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.85 | 289 | 66 |
| Jesse Estrada R 2025 · 4.36 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.36 | 14.4% | 6.6% | 3.0% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 257 | 66 |
| Jason Hammel R 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.39 | 15.8% | 6.0% | 3.4% | .342 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 645 | 66 |
| Roberto Hernandez R 2025 · 4.35 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.35 | 13.8% | 7.0% | 2.8% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 171 | 65 |
| Ervin Santana R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 36 | SP- | 5.42 | 12.4% | 8.4% | 4.2% | .309 | 4.32 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 65 | -1.10 | 3.75 | 720 | 65 |
| Guillermo Moscoso R 2025 · 4.34 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.34 | 12.6% | 6.7% | 2.6% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 264 | 64 |
| Francisco Rodriguez R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 36 | SP- | 5.18 | 10.7% | 9.3% | 3.3% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.17 | 273 | 63 |
| Chris Young R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.62 | 16.6% | 8.6% | 3.3% | .209 | 6.35 | 21.1% | 11.4% | 119 | +1.73 | 4.62 | 242 | 63 |
| Hector Ambriz R 2025 · 6.40 FIP | 35 | SP- | 6.40 | 10.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | .347 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 155 | 62 |
| Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.20 | 15.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.94 | 567 | 62 |
| Colby Lewis R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.67 | 15.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | .239 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 321 | 61 |
| Jake Peavy R 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.39 | 19.6% | 6.7% | 3.8% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.07 | 262 | 61 |
| Chris Smith R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.81 | 15.6% | 7.5% | 3.8% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 413 | 60 |
| Ivan Maldonado R 2026 · 5.47 FIP | 36 | SP- | 5.47 | 6.4% | 9.7% | 3.1% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.63 | 172 | 59 |
| Scott Feldman R 2024 · 4.56 FIP | 34 | SP- | 4.56 | 19.7% | 7.0% | 4.1% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.98 | 297 | 58 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.