Tomoyuki Sugano

P Colorado Rockies

Age 37 RHP 6'1" / 227 lbs MLB peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

MLBSP40-MAN

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR
2025	35	MLBBAL	30	30	157	4.64	5.13	15.7%	5.0%	0.5
2026	36	MLBCOL	29	29	154	5.37	5.34	14.6%	5.5%	0.1
2027PROJ	37	MLBCOL	15	15	92	5.24	5.30	14.5%	5.5%	0.1
2028PROJ86% MLB	38	MLBCOL	6	6	37	5.53	5.73	13.3%	6.2%	-0.1
2029PROJ72% MLB	39	MLBCOL	2	2	14	5.91	6.16	12.2%	6.9%	-0.1

Last 2 seasons WAR 0.6 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

FB Velo23

K%10

xwOBA vs10

Form5.97 ERA (proj 5.24) · K 18.1% (proj 14.5%) · BB 6.0% (proj 5.5%) ▲ last 60d · 29 IP through Oct 27

CompsJarrett Grube (age 35) · Masato Yoshii (age 37) · Pablo Ortega (age 38)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 139131vR 123

ERA5.24

FIP5.30

K%14.5%

BB%5.5%

K-BB%9.0%

Proj IP92

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 92 IP

Grades · Statcast · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL6565

CMD4040

K†3030

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p2392.6

Whiff%

p1019.6%

p1014.6%

xwOBA vs

p100.377

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	35	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	30	30	157	675	106	34	33	100%	5.2	15.7%	5.0%	10.7%	4.7%	4.64	4.98	+0.8
2025	35	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	30	30	157	675	106	34	33	100%	5.2	15.7%	5.0%	10.7%	4.7%	4.64	4.98	+0.8
2025	35	MLB RAW	Baltimore Orioles	30	30	157	675	106	34	33	100%	5.2	15.7%	5.0%	10.7%	4.9%	4.64	5.13	+0.5
2026	36	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	29	29	154	656	96	36	33	100%	5.3	14.6%	5.5%	9.1%	4.5%	5.37	5.01	+0.7
2026	36	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	29	29	154	656	96	36	33	100%	5.3	14.6%	5.5%	9.1%	4.5%	5.37	5.01	+0.7
2026	36	MLB RAW	Colorado Rockies	29	29	154	656	96	36	33	100%	5.3	14.6%	5.5%	9.1%	5.0%	5.37	5.34	+0.1
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			59	59	311	1331	202	70	66	100%	5.3	15.2%	5.3%	9.9%	5.0%	5.00	5.23	+0.6
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	37	MLB	COL	15	15	92	388	56	21	17	100%	6.1	14.5%	5.5%	9.0%	4.3%	5.24	5.30	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	38	MLB MLE	COL	7	7	44	184	24	11	9	100%	6.2	13.3%	6.2%	7.1%	4.7%	5.53	5.73	-0.2
2029	39	MLB MLE	COL	3	3	19	80	10	5	4	100%	6.3	12.2%	6.9%	5.3%	5.2%	5.91	6.16	-0.2
2028	38	MLB CTX	COL	6	6	37	156	21	10	7	100%	6.2	13.3%	6.2%	7.1%	4.7%	5.53	5.73	-0.1
2029	39	MLB CTX	COL	2	2	14	59	7	4	3	100%	7.0	12.2%	6.9%	5.3%	5.2%	5.91	6.16	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		68	68	362	1546	230	84	76	100%	5.3	14.9%	5.4%	9.5%	4.9%	5.09	5.24	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		37	37	200	854	127	46	42	100%	5.4	14.9%	5.4%	9.5%	4.9%	5.09	5.24	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		59	59	311	1331	202	70	61	100%	5.3	15.2%	5.3%	9.9%	4.6%	5.00	4.99	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		38	38	200	855	130	45	39	100%	5.3	15.2%	5.3%	9.9%	4.6%	5.00	4.99	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tomoyuki Sugano (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.30	14.5%	5.5%	4.3%	—	5.86	13.0%	6.6%	62	+0.56	—	—	—
Jarrett Grube R 2017 · 4.41 FIP	35	SP	4.41	15.8%	8.1%	3.0%	.296	—	—	—	—	—	3.75	393	61
Masato Yoshii R 2002 · 4.15 FIP	37	SP-	4.15	13.4%	5.4%	2.7%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	4.15	757	61
Pablo Ortega R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	38	SP	4.52	8.6%	7.3%	2.2%	.291	4.24	11.5%	6.0%	236	-0.28	4.01	375	56
Walter Silva R 2015 · 4.15 FIP	38	SP	4.15	14.8%	7.4%	2.5%	.311	3.91	10.4%	3.7%	209	-0.24	3.67	453	53
Jose Oyervides R 2019 · 5.66 FIP	37	SP	5.66	16.3%	11.2%	4.6%	.320	—	—	—	—	—	3.01	407	52
Ivan Maldonado R 2016 · 5.41 FIP	36	SP	5.41	6.4%	9.7%	3.0%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	4.60	172	47
Arturo Lopez L 2019 · 5.46 FIP	36	SP	5.46	12.2%	6.8%	4.6%	.320	—	—	—	—	—	4.34	445	32
Jason Lane L 2015 · 5.56 FIP	38	SP	5.56	8.4%	6.2%	4.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	5.56	164	31
Jorge Castillo L 2019 · 4.91 FIP	37	SP	4.91	19.6%	8.1%	4.5%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	4.50	408	27
Juan Antonio Pena L 2015 · 4.20 FIP	37	SP-	4.20	13.6%	9.9%	1.8%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	149	23
Jonathan Castellanos R 2019 · 5.24 FIP	37	SW	5.24	11.0%	9.0%	3.5%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	394	22
Oscar Rivera L 2017 · 5.80 FIP	36	SP	5.80	9.8%	7.8%	4.6%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	3.68	237	17
Chris Michalak L 2006 · 5.71 FIP	35	SP-	5.71	6.2%	8.6%	3.7%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	186	13

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 2,161 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 910 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.3	93	14.7%	5.6%	1.86	5.13
Luke Prokopec ('02)	1.2	77	14.1%	7.3%	1.87	5.30
Kris Wilson ('06)	1.2	81	13.0%	6.2%	1.96	5.44
Paolo Espino ('24)	1.3	89	18.9%	6.0%	1.86	5.12
John Cumberland ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.7	84	13.3%*	7.3%*	1.84*	4.67*
Jose Bautista ('88-'97, -2 WAR*)	3.4	86	14.0%*	5.8%*	1.72*	4.90*
Dave Johnson ('87-'93, -2 WAR*)	1.8	123	11.9%*	6.1%*	2.05*	5.61*