Tomoyuki Sugano — OGILVIE

Tomoyuki Sugano P Colorado Rockies

Age 36 RHP 6'1" / 227 lbs MLB peak 0.3 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION138 act + 14 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 137129vR 120

ERA4.75

FIP4.92

K%14.4%

BB%5.5%

K-BB%8.9%

ROS IP14

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 151 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL6565

CMD4040

K†3030

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p2292.5

Whiff%

p1018.8%

p1014.2%

xwOBA vs

p100.386

SI (19%)

CU (8%)

SL (20%)

FB-0.7 (39%)

CT-1.6 (11%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	35	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	30	30	157	675	106	34	33	100%	5.2	15.7%	5.0%	10.7%	4.7%	4.64	4.98	-0.1
2025	35	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	30	30	157	675	106	34	33	100%	5.2	15.7%	5.0%	10.7%	4.7%	4.64	4.98	-0.1
2025	35	MLB RAW	Baltimore Orioles	30	30	157	675	106	34	33	100%	5.2	15.7%	5.0%	10.7%	4.9%	4.64	5.13	-0.4
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			56	56	295	1266	190	67	62	100%	5.3	15.0%	5.3%	9.7%	4.9%	4.95	5.23	-1.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	36	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	26	26	138	591	84	33	29	100%	5.3	14.2%	5.6%	8.6%	4.4%	5.30	5.00	-0.2
YTD	36	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	26	26	138	591	84	33	29	100%	5.3	14.2%	5.6%	8.6%	4.4%	5.30	5.00	-0.2
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	36	MLB RAW	COL	26	26	138	591	84	33	29	100%	5.3	14.2%	5.6%	8.6%	4.9%	5.30	5.30	-0.6
SO FAR	36	MLB RAW	COL	26	26	138	591	84	33	29	100%	5.3	14.2%	5.6%	8.6%	4.9%	5.30	5.30	-0.6
ROS	36	MLB MLE	COL	2	2	14	57	8	3	2	100%	6.8	14.4%	5.5%	8.9%	4.3%	4.75	4.92	-0.0
ROS	36	MLB CTX	COL	2	2	14	59	9	3	3	100%	7.0	14.4%	5.5%	8.9%	4.3%	4.75	4.92	-0.0
2026 TOT	36	MLB MLE	COL	—	—	151	648	92	36	31	—	—	14.2%	5.6%	8.7%	4.9%	5.25	4.99	-0.2
FULL	36	MLB A+C	COL	—	—	151	639	92	36	31	—	—	14.4%	5.7%	8.8%	4.9%	5.25	5.30	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	37	MLB MLE	COL	20	20	117	494	66	30	25	100%	5.9	13.4%	6.1%	7.3%	5.0%	5.65	5.88	-1.3
2028	38	MLB MLE	COL	17	17	101	425	52	29	23	100%	5.9	12.2%	6.8%	5.4%	5.5%	6.05	6.31	-1.5
2027	37	MLB CTX	COL	18	18	107	452	60	28	23	100%	5.9	13.4%	6.1%	7.3%	5.0%	5.65	5.88	-1.1
2028	38	MLB CTX	COL	13	13	78	329	40	22	18	100%	6.0	12.2%	6.8%	5.4%	5.5%	6.05	6.31	-1.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		89	89	492	2101	299	120	105	100%	5.5	14.2%	5.7%	8.5%	5.0%	5.27	5.36	-2.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		36	36	200	853	121	49	43	100%	5.5	14.2%	5.7%	8.5%	5.0%	5.27	5.36	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		56	56	295	1266	190	67	57	100%	5.3	15.0%	5.3%	9.7%	4.5%	4.95	4.99	-3.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		38	38	200	859	129	45	39	100%	5.3	15.0%	5.3%	9.7%	4.5%	4.95	4.99	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tomoyuki Sugano (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.21	15.0%	5.2%	4.2%	—	6.08	12.8%	6.4%	218	+0.87	—	—	—
Jeremy Guthrie R 2015 · 5.44 FIP	36	SP-	5.44	12.7%	6.5%	4.7%	.309	4.85	11.6%	3.0%	87	-0.59	4.85	235	76
Aaron Harang R 2015 · 4.47 FIP	37	SP	4.47	14.4%	6.4%	3.2%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	4.47	172	73
Jarrett Grube R 2017 · 4.41 FIP	35	SP	4.41	15.8%	8.1%	3.0%	.296	—	—	—	—	—	3.75	393	72
Edgar Gonzalez R 2019 · 4.58 FIP	36	SP	4.58	12.3%	5.8%	3.2%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	450	70
Frankie De La Cruz R 2019 · 4.38 FIP	35	SP-	4.38	16.2%	8.0%	3.0%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	3.77	240	68
Walter Silva R 2015 · 4.15 FIP	38	SP	4.15	14.8%	7.4%	2.5%	.311	3.91	10.4%	3.7%	209	-0.24	3.67	428	68
Brandon McCarthy R 2018 · 4.69 FIP	35	SP	4.69	19.2%	6.2%	4.4%	.332	—	—	—	—	—	3.09	248	68
Roberto Hernandez R 2016 · 4.38 FIP	35	SP	4.38	13.8%	7.0%	2.8%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.38	171	67
Scott Feldman R 2017 · 4.58 FIP	34	SP	4.58	19.7%	7.0%	4.1%	.292	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	297	67
Josh Lindblom R 2022 · 5.07 FIP	35	SP	5.07	20.8%	8.8%	4.8%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	348	66
Colby Lewis R 2016 · 4.67 FIP	36	SP	4.67	15.5%	5.9%	3.9%	.239	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	321	65
Pablo Ortega R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	38	SP	4.52	8.6%	7.3%	2.2%	.291	4.24	11.5%	6.0%	236	-0.28	4.01	375	65
Dan Haren R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	34	SP	4.54	17.2%	4.7%	4.2%	.251	—	—	—	—	—	4.54	187	64
J.D. Martin R 2019 · 5.89 FIP	36	SP	5.89	13.9%	12.8%	4.3%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	4.85	289	63
Guillermo Moscoso R 2019 · 4.35 FIP	35	SP	4.35	12.6%	6.7%	2.7%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.77	264	61
Jose Oyervides R 2017 · 5.38 FIP	35	SP	5.38	18.0%	6.3%	5.5%	.254	5.66	16.3%	5.1%	115	+0.28	3.01	407	61
Jonathan Castellanos R 2017 · 4.91 FIP	35	SP	4.91	8.4%	9.2%	2.5%	.314	5.24	11.0%	2.0%	67	+0.33	3.40	394	61
Shaun Marcum R 2015 · 4.04 FIP	33	SP	4.04	17.8%	6.0%	3.1%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	4.04	123	61
Ryan Vogelsong R 2015 · 4.45 FIP	38	SP-	4.45	18.1%	9.4%	3.1%	.295	4.79	16.7%	6.3%	82	+0.34	4.45	217	60
Kyle Lohse R 2015 · 4.77 FIP	36	SP-	4.77	16.2%	6.0%	4.2%	.309	4.97	14.8%	8.8%	59	+0.20	4.77	211	59

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.8	117	13.7%	6.0%	1.88	5.53
Homer Bailey ('19)	1.9	96	18.5%	7.8%	1.34	5.56
Cole Irvin ('24)	2.9	118	17.1%	5.6%	1.28	4.46
Dan Straily ('19)	2.7	136	20.0%	8.9%	1.72	4.54
Adrian Sampson ('22)	1.4	72	17.6%	6.1%	1.66	4.38
Zach Plesac ('23)	2.3	93	18.4%	6.3%	1.39	4.20
Sam Gaviglio ('19)	1.5	98	19.3%	6.9%	1.69	4.84