Tomoyuki Sugano
P
Colorado Rockies
Age 36
RHP
6'1" / 227 lbs
MLB
peak 0.3 · 2026
ILInjured 15-Day (D15)
2026 ROS PROJECTION84 act + 56 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 146137vR 128
ERA4.87
FIP5.03
K%13.9%
BB%5.8%
K-BB%8.0%
ROS IP56
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 141 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1992.3
Whiff%
p1017.5%
K%
p1013.4%
xwOBA vs
p100.397
SI (19%)
CU (7%)
SL (22%)
FB-0.7 (41%)
CT-1.6 (10%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 35 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 30 | 30 | 157 | 675 | 106 | 34 | 33 | 100% | 5.2 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 10.7% | 4.5% | 4.64 | 4.91 | +0.9 |
| 2025 | 35 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 30 | 30 | 157 | 675 | 106 | 34 | 33 | 100% | 5.2 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 4.64 | 5.13 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 16 | 16 | 84 | 358 | 48 | 23 | 16 | 100% | 5.3 | 13.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.80 | 5.23 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 36 | MLB | COL | 9 | 9 | 56 | 237 | 33 | 14 | 10 | 100% | 6.2 | 13.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 4.87 | 5.03 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 36 | MLB | COL | 9 | 9 | 56 | 236 | 33 | 14 | 10 | 100% | 6.2 | 13.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 4.87 | 5.03 | -0.3 |
| 2026 TOT | 36 | MLB | COL | — | — | 141 | 595 | 81 | 37 | 26 | — | — | 13.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 4.83 | 5.15 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 36 | MLB | COL | — | — | 141 | 593 | 81 | 37 | 26 | — | — | 13.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 4.83 | 5.16 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | COL | 20 | 20 | 117 | 494 | 64 | 32 | 23 | 100% | 5.9 | 12.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.57 | 5.80 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 38 | MLB | COL | 17 | 17 | 101 | 425 | 50 | 31 | 22 | 100% | 5.9 | 11.8% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.97 | 6.23 | -1.0 |
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | COL | 18 | 18 | 107 | 452 | 58 | 29 | 21 | 100% | 5.9 | 12.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.57 | 5.80 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 38 | MLB | COL | 13 | 13 | 78 | 329 | 39 | 24 | 17 | 100% | 6.0 | 11.8% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.97 | 6.23 | -1.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 87 | 87 | 482 | 2048 | 284 | 124 | 97 | 100% | 5.5 | 13.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 5.12 | 5.30 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 36 | 36 | 200 | 850 | 118 | 51 | 40 | 100% | 5.5 | 13.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 5.12 | 5.30 | +0.2 | ||
| Career | — | 46 | 46 | 241 | 1033 | 154 | 57 | 47 | 100% | 5.2 | 14.9% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 4.70 | 5.02 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 38 | 38 | 200 | 856 | 128 | 47 | 39 | 100% | 5.2 | 14.9% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 4.70 | 5.02 | +0.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tomoyuki Sugano (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.19 | 14.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | — | 6.00 | 12.4% | 5.6% | 218 | +0.81 | — | — | — |
| Jeremy Guthrie R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 36 | SP- | 5.42 | 12.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | .309 | 5.00 | 11.6% | 3.0% | 87 | -0.42 | 5.00 | 235 | 77 |
| Aaron Harang R 2027 · 4.54 FIP | 37 | SP | 4.54 | 14.4% | 6.4% | 3.4% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.54 | 172 | 75 |
| Jarrett Grube R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.16 | 15.8% | 8.1% | 2.5% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 393 | 72 |
| Edgar Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.58 | 12.3% | 5.8% | 3.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.18 | 450 | 71 |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.31 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 3.0% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.19 | 485 | 70 |
| Frankie De La Cruz R 2025 · 4.34 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.34 | 16.2% | 8.0% | 2.9% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 240 | 69 |
| Pablo Ortega R 2028 · 4.41 FIP | 38 | SP | 4.41 | 8.6% | 7.3% | 2.0% | .291 | 4.33 | 11.5% | 6.0% | 236 | -0.08 | 3.92 | 375 | 67 |
| Roberto Hernandez R 2025 · 4.22 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.22 | 13.8% | 7.0% | 2.5% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.22 | 171 | 65 |
| J.D. Martin R 2026 · 5.98 FIP | 36 | SP | 5.98 | 13.9% | 12.8% | 4.4% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.84 | 289 | 65 |
| Jonathan Castellanos R 2025 · 5.00 FIP | 35 | SP | 5.00 | 8.4% | 9.2% | 2.6% | .314 | 5.02 | 11.0% | 2.0% | 67 | +0.02 | 3.56 | 394 | 64 |
| Ervin Santana R 2026 · 5.46 FIP | 36 | SP | 5.46 | 12.4% | 8.4% | 4.3% | .309 | 4.38 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 65 | -1.08 | 3.66 | 720 | 64 |
| Dan Haren R 2024 · 4.40 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.40 | 17.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | .251 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.40 | 187 | 64 |
| Brandon McCarthy R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.69 | 19.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | .332 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 248 | 63 |
| Scott Feldman R 2024 · 4.64 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.64 | 19.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 297 | 63 |
| Josh Lindblom R 2025 · 5.22 FIP | 35 | SP | 5.22 | 20.8% | 8.8% | 5.0% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 348 | 62 |
| Guillermo Moscoso R 2025 · 4.19 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.19 | 12.6% | 6.7% | 2.4% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 264 | 62 |
| Colby Lewis R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.70 | 15.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | .239 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 321 | 62 |
| James Shields R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.81 | 17.7% | 9.0% | 3.8% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.36 | 720 | 62 |
| Francisco Rodriguez R 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 36 | SP | 5.11 | 10.7% | 9.3% | 3.2% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 273 | 61 |
| Ryan Vogelsong R 2028 · 4.46 FIP | 38 | SP- | 4.46 | 18.1% | 9.4% | 3.1% | .295 | 4.67 | 16.7% | 6.3% | 82 | +0.21 | 4.46 | 217 | 61 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 114 | 13.2% | 6.3% | 1.80 | 5.49 |
| Jered Weaver ('17) | 3 | 126 | 13.3% | 5.9% | 1.83 | 5.15 |
| Matt Cain ('17) | 3 | 91 | 15.2% | 8.2% | 1.51 | 5.58 |
| Jordan Zimmermann ('19) | 5 | 142 | 17.2% | 5.2% | 1.44 | 5.06 |
| Ricky Nolasco ('17) | 3 | 139 | 18.1% | 6.5% | 1.38 | 4.85 |
| Phil Hughes ('18) | 4 | 75 | 15.2% | 4.0% | 1.89 | 5.18 |
| Jeremy Hellickson ('19) | 5 | 126 | 17.5% | 6.6% | 1.44 | 4.49 |