Zac Gallen
P
Arizona Diamondbacks
Age 30
RHP
6'2" / 189 lbs
MLB
Svc 6.0 · Ctrl thru 2026
peak 2.3 · 2026
ILInjured 15-Day (D15)
2026 ROS PROJECTION98 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136127vR 117
ERA4.46
FIP4.57
K%16.7%
BB%7.3%
K-BB%9.4%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 165 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p3493.4
Whiff%
p1019.0%
K%
p1013.9%
xwOBA vs
p100.383
CH+1.6 (18%)
CT+0.5 (1%)
SI (5%)
CU (19%)
SL (21%)
FB (42%)
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 20 | ROK | GCL Cardinals | 6 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 50% | 1.6 | 41.7% | 0.0% | 41.7% | 0.0% | 1.86 | -0.42 | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK | GCL Cardinals | 6 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 50% | 1.6 | 41.7% | 0.0% | 41.7% | 0.0% | 1.86 | -0.00 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 26 | 26 | 148 | 608 | 121 | 34 | 11 | 100% | 5.7 | 16.0% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 1.7% | 2.93 | 3.44 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 26 | 26 | 148 | 608 | 121 | 34 | 11 | 100% | 5.7 | 19.9% | 5.6% | 14.3% | 1.8% | 2.93 | 3.12 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AAA | New Orleans Baby Cakes | 25 | 25 | 133 | 588 | 136 | 48 | 14 | 100% | 5.3 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 2.9% | 3.64 | 4.06 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AAA | New Orleans Baby Cakes | 25 | 25 | 133 | 588 | 136 | 48 | 14 | 100% | 5.3 | 23.1% | 8.2% | 15.0% | 2.4% | 3.64 | 3.50 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 29 | 171 | 667 | 208 | 52 | 18 | 100% | 5.9 | 29.2% | 7.9% | 21.2% | 2.5% | 2.26 | 3.02 | +4.8 |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 29 | 171 | 667 | 208 | 52 | 18 | 100% | 5.9 | 31.2% | 7.8% | 23.4% | 2.7% | 2.26 | 2.95 | +4.9 |
| 2020 | 24 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 12 | 12 | 72 | 291 | 82 | 25 | 9 | 100% | 6.0 | 28.2% | 8.6% | 19.6% | 3.0% | 2.75 | 3.43 | +1.2 |
| 2020 | 24 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 12 | 12 | 72 | 291 | 82 | 25 | 9 | 100% | 6.0 | 28.2% | 8.6% | 19.6% | 3.1% | 2.75 | 3.49 | +1.1 |
| 2021 | 25 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 23 | 23 | 121 | 523 | 139 | 48 | 19 | 100% | 5.3 | 26.6% | 9.2% | 17.4% | 3.5% | 4.30 | 3.93 | +2.1 |
| 2021 | 25 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 23 | 23 | 121 | 523 | 139 | 48 | 19 | 100% | 5.3 | 26.6% | 9.2% | 17.4% | 3.6% | 4.30 | 4.03 | +1.9 |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 31 | 31 | 184 | 714 | 192 | 47 | 15 | 100% | 5.9 | 26.9% | 6.6% | 20.3% | 2.0% | 2.54 | 2.77 | +5.7 |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 31 | 31 | 184 | 714 | 192 | 47 | 15 | 100% | 5.9 | 26.9% | 6.6% | 20.3% | 2.1% | 2.54 | 2.84 | +5.5 |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 34 | 34 | 210 | 846 | 220 | 47 | 22 | 100% | 6.2 | 26.0% | 5.6% | 20.4% | 2.5% | 3.47 | 2.97 | +6.0 |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 34 | 34 | 210 | 846 | 220 | 47 | 22 | 100% | 6.2 | 26.0% | 5.6% | 20.4% | 2.6% | 3.47 | 3.04 | +5.8 |
| 2024 | 28 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 28 | 28 | 148 | 621 | 156 | 54 | 13 | 100% | 5.3 | 25.1% | 8.7% | 16.4% | 2.0% | 3.65 | 3.18 | +3.8 |
| 2024 | 28 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 28 | 28 | 148 | 621 | 156 | 54 | 13 | 100% | 5.3 | 25.1% | 8.7% | 16.4% | 2.1% | 3.65 | 3.23 | +3.8 |
| 2025 | 29 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 33 | 33 | 192 | 813 | 175 | 65 | 31 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.5% | 8.0% | 13.5% | 3.6% | 4.83 | 4.30 | +2.5 |
| 2025 | 29 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 33 | 33 | 192 | 813 | 175 | 65 | 31 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.5% | 8.0% | 13.5% | 3.8% | 4.83 | 4.39 | +2.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 19 | 19 | 98 | 440 | 61 | 30 | 18 | 100% | 5.2 | 13.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 6.34 | 5.04 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | ARI | 11 | 11 | 67 | 282 | 47 | 21 | 10 | 100% | 6.1 | 16.7% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 4.46 | 4.57 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | ARI | 11 | 11 | 67 | 283 | 47 | 21 | 10 | 100% | 6.1 | 16.7% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 4.50 | 4.61 | +0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 30 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 165 | 722 | 108 | 51 | 28 | — | — | 15.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 5.57 | 4.85 | +1.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 30 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 165 | 696 | 108 | 51 | 28 | — | — | 15.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 5.59 | 4.94 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | ARI | 28 | 28 | 171 | 722 | 121 | 55 | 27 | 100% | 6.1 | 16.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 3.8% | 4.99 | 5.12 | +0.6 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | ARI | 26 | 26 | 158 | 668 | 106 | 54 | 27 | 100% | 6.1 | 15.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 5.22 | 5.38 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | ARI | 24 | 24 | 145 | 613 | 92 | 52 | 26 | 100% | 6.0 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.48 | 5.66 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | ARI | 28 | 28 | 171 | 722 | 121 | 55 | 28 | 100% | 6.1 | 16.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 3.9% | 5.04 | 5.17 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | ARI | 26 | 26 | 158 | 667 | 106 | 54 | 28 | 100% | 6.1 | 15.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 5.27 | 5.43 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | ARI | 24 | 24 | 145 | 612 | 92 | 52 | 27 | 100% | 6.0 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.53 | 5.71 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 287 | 287 | 1646 | 6866 | 1487 | 533 | 228 | 100% | 5.7 | 21.7% | 7.8% | 13.9% | 3.3% | 4.27 | 4.08 | +25.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 35 | 35 | 200 | 834 | 181 | 65 | 28 | 100% | 5.7 | 21.7% | 7.8% | 13.9% | 3.3% | 4.27 | 4.08 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 266 | 263 | 1487 | 6147 | 1452 | 457 | 166 | 99% | 5.6 | 23.6% | 7.4% | 16.2% | 2.7% | 3.58 | 3.53 | +32.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 36 | 35 | 200 | 827 | 195 | 61 | 22 | 99% | 5.6 | 23.6% | 7.4% | 16.2% | 2.7% | 3.58 | 3.53 | +4.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Zac Gallen (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.28 | 22.7% | 7.9% | 3.1% | — | 5.37 | 15.9% | 7.9% | 474 | +1.09 | — | — | — |
| Merrill Kelly R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.21 | 20.3% | 6.8% | 3.6% | .289 | 3.67 | 21.1% | 14.8% | 390 | -0.54 | 3.54 | 1,102 | 40 |
| Thad Weber R 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.82 | 13.7% | 6.4% | 3.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 11.2% | 5.7% | 202 | -0.19 | 4.55 | 363 | 39 |
| Lance Lynn R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.55 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 3.5% | .237 | 3.28 | 25.9% | 17.8% | 449 | -1.27 | 2.87 | 1,390 | 39 |
| Edinson Volquez R 2028 · 3.72 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.72 | 18.2% | 8.4% | 2.0% | .286 | 4.33 | 17.6% | 7.6% | 282 | +0.61 | 3.72 | 498 | 39 |
| Tom Koehler R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.39 | 19.0% | 9.8% | 3.0% | .291 | 4.71 | 22.4% | 13.4% | 110 | +0.32 | 4.39 | 474 | 39 |
| Matt Garza R 2027 · 4.78 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.78 | 15.6% | 8.1% | 3.6% | .315 | 4.45 | 15.5% | 7.7% | 216 | -0.33 | 4.12 | 365 | 39 |
| Miguel González R 2027 · 4.59 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.59 | 17.5% | 7.9% | 3.6% | .289 | 4.25 | 15.9% | 9.0% | 325 | -0.34 | 3.73 | 469 | 38 |
| Jesse Chavez R 2027 · 3.80 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.80 | 20.2% | 6.8% | 2.8% | .309 | 4.37 | 22.0% | 16.2% | 300 | +0.57 | 2.03 | 804 | 38 |
| Cory Riordan R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.19 | 14.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 154 | 38 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez R 2027 · 3.67 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.67 | 21.2% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .302 | 4.58 | 20.6% | 10.5% | 285 | +0.91 | 3.67 | 469 | 38 |
| Toru Murata R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 30 | SP | 3.86 | 13.3% | 6.9% | 1.8% | .261 | 3.55 | 12.9% | 7.2% | 102 | -0.31 | 3.55 | 267 | 38 |
| Kyle Davies R 2027 · 3.72 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.72 | 13.8% | 6.1% | 1.8% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.72 | 153 | 38 |
| Jhoulys Chacín R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 30 | SP | 3.82 | 19.6% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .244 | 4.93 | 20.0% | 10.1% | 168 | +1.11 | 3.79 | 887 | 37 |
| Nate Long R 2025 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.86 | 14.8% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 151 | 37 |
| Matt Buschmann R 2027 · 3.92 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.92 | 17.2% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .282 | 4.71 | 12.8% | 4.4% | 142 | +0.79 | 3.92 | 277 | 37 |
| Mike Pelfrey R 2027 · 3.70 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.70 | 12.0% | 6.2% | 1.5% | .326 | 5.31 | 12.5% | 2.9% | 239 | +1.61 | 3.70 | 404 | 37 |
| Ervin Santana R 2028 · 4.02 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.02 | 17.1% | 7.1% | 2.7% | .273 | 4.18 | 19.2% | 12.4% | 417 | +0.16 | 3.66 | 720 | 36 |
| Alex Cobb R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.38 | 15.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | .298 | 3.92 | 21.3% | 13.4% | 158 | -0.46 | 2.78 | 844 | 36 |
| Elih Villanueva R 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 29 | SP | 3.73 | 11.0% | 5.5% | 1.6% | .269 | 5.43 | 14.1% | 8.1% | 57 | +1.70 | 3.73 | 225 | 36 |
| Kyle Gibson R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 30 | SP | 3.96 | 21.7% | 9.3% | 2.8% | .282 | 3.94 | 21.2% | 12.9% | 409 | -0.02 | 3.60 | 1,689 | 36 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 161 | 17.7% | 8.0% | 1.47 | 4.94 |
| Ricky Nolasco ('17) | 3 | 139 | 18.1% | 6.5% | 1.38 | 4.85 |
| Marco Estrada ('19) | 5 | 142 | 19.6% | 8.3% | 1.44 | 4.33 |
| Félix Hernández ('19) | 5 | 134 | 20.0% | 8.1% | 1.39 | 4.48 |
| Jason Vargas ('19) | 4 | 116 | 18.5% | 8.2% | 1.38 | 4.57 |
| CC Sabathia ('19) CYAS×6HOF | 5 | 151 | 20.2% | 7.8% | 1.39 | 4.14 |
| Jason Hammel ('18) | 4 | 161 | 19.8% | 6.5% | 1.28 | 4.65 |