Ian Kennedy
PosP
B/TR/R
Born1984-12-19
Age (2026)41
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 30 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 30 | 30 | 168 | 713 | 174 | 48 | 31 | 24.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.28 | 4.18 | +2.1 |
| 2016 | 31 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 33 | 33 | 196 | 818 | 184 | 65 | 33 | 22.5% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 3.68 | 4.64 | +1.5 |
| 2017 | 32 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 30 | 30 | 154 | 655 | 131 | 59 | 34 | 20.0% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 5.38 | 5.49 | -0.3 |
| 2018 | 33 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 24 | 24 | 127 | 554 | 112 | 41 | 20 | 20.3% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 5.02 | 4.65 | +0.9 |
| 2019 | 34 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 63 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 73 | 16 | 6 | 27.4% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 3.41 | 2.91 | +1.5 |
| 2020 | 35 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 15 | 1 | 14 | 69 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 21.7% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 9.00 | 7.61 | -0.4 |
| 2021 | 36 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 55 | 0 | 56 | 228 | 62 | 14 | 12 | 27.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.20 | 4.40 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 37 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 58 | 1 | 51 | 240 | 46 | 19 | 11 | 19.0% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 5.79 | 5.34 | -0.2 |
| 2023 | 38 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 38 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 51 | 15 | 9 | 26.8% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 4.93 | 4.57 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 41 | MLB | SD | 28 | — | 28 | 117 | 28 | 11 | 4 | 23.5% | 9.1% | 3.2% | 5.53 | 4.38 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 42 | MLB | SD | 26 | — | 26 | 108 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 22.7% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 4.95 | 4.57 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 346 | 119 | 872 | 3720 | 844 | 282 | 171 | 22.7% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 4.51 | 4.66 | +6.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 79 | 27 | 200 | 853 | 194 | 65 | 39 | 22.7% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 4.51 | 4.66 | +1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ian Kennedy (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.38 | 23.5% | 9.1% | 3.2% | — | 4.57 | 22.7% | 13.2% | 26 | +0.19 | — | — | — |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 40 | SW | 4.46 | 21.6% | 9.9% | 3.5% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 164 | 82 |
| Jose Contreras R 2028 · 3.54 FIP | 43 | SW | 3.54 | 20.2% | 8.3% | 2.0% | .263 | 2.98 | 20.5% | 13.4% | 57 | -0.56 | 2.98 | 111 | 80 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 41 | SW | 3.93 | 24.6% | 10.9% | 2.8% | .311 | 3.89 | 23.3% | 10.4% | 48 | -0.04 | 2.67 | 295 | 80 |
| Rafael Diaz R 2029 · 4.05 FIP | 44 | SW | 4.05 | 17.3% | 10.5% | 2.0% | .301 | 3.16 | 16.2% | 9.4% | 152 | -0.89 | 3.06 | 215 | 73 |
| Jose Valverde R 2026 · 5.46 FIP | 41 | SU | 5.46 | 14.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.20 | 122 | 66 |
| Gaudencio Aguirre R 2027 · 3.26 FIP | 42 | SU | 3.26 | 14.8% | 8.6% | 0.6% | .293 | 3.88 | 14.9% | 6.8% | 75 | +0.62 | 3.26 | 123 | 65 |
| Luis Ayala R 2024 · 3.97 FIP | 39 | SU | 3.97 | 15.9% | 11.7% | 1.3% | .340 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 119 | 61 |
| Koji Uehara R 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 41 | SU | 3.26 | 34.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | .252 | 3.45 | 28.1% | 23.0% | 43 | +0.19 | 2.35 | 130 | 45 |
| Ryan Vogelsong R 2024 · 4.88 FIP | 39 | SP- | 4.88 | 16.7% | 10.4% | 3.4% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.44 | 217 | 41 |
| Francisco Campos R 2027 · 4.76 FIP | 42 | SP- | 4.76 | 11.5% | 7.9% | 3.0% | .303 | 4.00 | 12.2% | 7.0% | 197 | -0.76 | 3.95 | 332 | 37 |
| Tim Hudson R 2025 · 4.40 FIP | 40 | SP- | 4.40 | 12.2% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.40 | 124 | 30 |
| Walter Silva R 2025 · 3.67 FIP | 40 | SP- | 3.67 | 10.4% | 7.6% | 0.9% | .292 | 4.99 | 9.7% | 0.9% | 118 | +1.32 | 3.67 | 428 | 26 |
| Juan Antonio Pena L 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 41 | SU | 4.55 | 13.7% | 14.1% | 1.5% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 149 | 26 |
| Horacio Ramirez L 2024 · 4.64 FIP | 39 | SU | 4.64 | 5.7% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .233 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 199 | 23 |
| Mauricio Lara L 2025 · 4.93 FIP | 40 | SP- | 4.93 | 12.3% | 6.8% | 3.7% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.59 | 444 | 15 |
| Yasutomo Kubo R 2023 · 3.94 FIP | 38 | SP | 3.94 | 20.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.94 | 152 | 0 |
| Pablo Ortega R 2025 · 4.38 FIP | 40 | SP | 4.38 | 13.4% | 6.0% | 3.0% | .298 | 5.22 | 12.4% | 4.2% | 14 | +0.84 | 4.03 | 375 | 0 |
| R.A. Dickey R 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 41 | SP | 4.92 | 17.3% | 8.7% | 4.0% | .276 | 4.51 | 16.7% | 8.8% | 190 | -0.41 | 4.20 | 574 | 0 |
| Bartolo Colon R 2027 · 3.68 FIP | 42 | SP | 3.68 | 16.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | .302 | 4.48 | 14.5% | 10.2% | 481 | +0.80 | 3.68 | 676 | 0 |
| Randy Wolf L 2023 · 3.41 FIP | 38 | SP | 3.41 | 16.6% | 7.7% | 1.4% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 174 | 0 |