Ian Kennedy

PosP

B/TR/R

Born1984-12-19

Age (2026)41

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	30	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	30	30	168	713	174	48	31	100%	5.6	24.4%	6.7%	17.7%	4.2%	4.28	4.22	+1.3
2015	30	MLB RAW	San Diego Padres	30	30	168	713	174	48	31	100%	5.6	24.4%	6.7%	17.7%	4.3%	4.28	4.28	+1.2
2016	31	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	33	33	196	818	184	65	33	100%	5.9	22.5%	7.9%	14.5%	4.4%	3.68	4.60	+0.7
2016	31	MLB RAW	Kansas City Royals	33	33	196	818	184	65	33	100%	5.9	22.5%	7.9%	14.5%	4.0%	3.68	4.41	+1.1
2017	32	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	30	30	154	655	131	59	34	100%	5.1	20.0%	9.0%	11.0%	5.6%	5.38	5.63	-1.2
2017	32	MLB RAW	Kansas City Royals	30	30	154	655	131	59	34	100%	5.1	20.0%	9.0%	11.0%	5.2%	5.38	5.42	-0.9
2018	33	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	24	127	554	112	41	20	100%	5.3	20.3%	7.3%	12.9%	4.2%	5.02	4.61	+0.4
2018	33	MIX RAW	3 levels	24	24	127	554	112	41	20	100%	5.3	20.2%	7.4%	12.8%	3.6%	5.02	4.35	+0.8
2019	34	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	63	0	63	266	73	16	6	0%	1.0	27.4%	6.0%	21.4%	2.4%	3.41	2.88	+1.3
2019	34	MLB RAW	Kansas City Royals	63	0	63	266	73	16	6	0%	1.0	27.4%	6.0%	21.4%	2.3%	3.41	2.78	+1.3
2020	35	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	15	1	14	69	15	4	7	7%	0.9	21.7%	5.8%	15.9%	11.0%	9.00	8.02	-0.6
2020	35	MLB RAW	Kansas City Royals	15	1	14	69	15	4	7	7%	0.9	21.7%	5.8%	15.9%	10.1%	9.00	8.31	-0.6
2021	36	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	55	0	56	228	62	14	12	0%	1.0	27.2%	6.1%	21.1%	4.9%	3.20	4.28	+0.2
2021	36	MLB RAW	Philadelphia Phillies	55	0	56	228	62	14	12	0%	1.0	27.2%	6.1%	21.1%	5.3%	3.20	4.41	+0.1
2022	37	MIX MLE	2 levels	58	1	51	240	46	19	11	2%	0.9	19.0%	8.2%	10.8%	5.0%	5.79	5.29	-0.4
2022	37	MIX RAW	2 levels	58	1	51	240	46	19	11	2%	0.9	19.2%	7.9%	11.3%	4.6%	5.79	5.20	-0.4
2023	38	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	42	177	51	15	9	0%	1.1	25.9%	8.0%	17.9%	5.1%	4.93	4.73	-0.1
2023	38	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	42	177	51	15	9	0%	1.1	25.9%	8.0%	17.9%	5.1%	4.93	4.73	-0.1
2023	38	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	0	42	177	51	15	9	0%	1.1	28.8%	8.5%	20.3%	5.1%	4.93	4.53	+0.0
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			321	116	838	3574	809	270	158	36%	2.6	22.6%	7.6%	15.1%	4.4%	4.46	4.59	-0.4
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	41	MLB	TEX	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	23.6%	9.0%	14.5%	3.2%	4.36	4.38	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	42	MLB MLE	TEX	19	0	20	84	19	8	3	0%	1.1	22.4%	9.8%	12.7%	3.6%	4.63	4.81	-0.1
2027	42	MLB CTX	TEX	19	0	20	84	19	8	3	0%	1.1	22.4%	9.8%	12.7%	3.9%	4.78	4.96	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		340	116	858	3658	828	278	161	34%	2.5	22.6%	7.6%	15.0%	4.4%	4.46	4.57	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		79	27	200	853	193	65	38	34%	2.5	22.6%	7.6%	15.0%	4.4%	4.46	4.57	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		346	119	872	3720	843	280	172	34%	2.5	22.7%	7.5%	15.1%	4.6%	4.51	4.68	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		79	27	200	853	193	64	39	34%	2.5	22.7%	7.5%	15.1%	4.6%	4.51	4.68	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ian Kennedy (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.38	23.6%	9.0%	3.2%	—	4.81	22.4%	12.7%	20	+0.43	—	—	—
Rafael Diaz R 2015 · 4.07 FIP	44	SW	4.07	17.3%	10.5%	2.0%	.301	3.17	16.2%	9.4%	152	-0.90	3.04	215	51
Ryan Vogelsong R 2016 · 4.79 FIP	39	SP-	4.79	16.7%	10.4%	3.2%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	4.45	217	49
Fernando Rodney R 2018 · 3.89 FIP	41	SU	3.89	24.6%	10.9%	2.7%	.311	4.07	23.3%	10.4%	48	+0.18	2.69	295	46
Joaquín Benoit R 2017 · 4.48 FIP	40	SU	4.48	21.6%	9.9%	3.5%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	164	45
Gaudencio Aguirre R 2015 · 3.25 FIP	42	SU	3.25	14.8%	8.6%	0.6%	.293	3.88	14.9%	6.8%	75	+0.63	3.25	123	36
Jose Valverde R 2019 · 5.47 FIP	41	SU	5.47	14.9%	6.1%	5.2%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	2.21	122	33
Tim Hudson R 2015 · 4.41 FIP	40	SP	4.41	12.2%	6.9%	2.7%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	4.41	124	24
Yasutomo Kubo R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	38	SP	3.98	20.4%	4.7%	3.6%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	3.98	152	24
Koji Uehara R 2016 · 3.34 FIP	41	SU	3.34	34.2%	5.4%	4.5%	.252	3.61	28.1%	23.0%	43	+0.27	2.31	130	23
Luis Ayala R 2017 · 4.00 FIP	39	SU	4.00	15.9%	11.7%	1.4%	.340	—	—	—	—	—	3.03	119	23
Francisco Campos R 2015 · 4.77 FIP	42	SP	4.77	11.5%	7.9%	3.0%	.303	4.08	12.2%	7.0%	197	-0.69	4.06	332	20
Bartolo Colon R 2015 · 3.67 FIP	42	SP	3.67	16.7%	2.3%	3.1%	.302	4.60	14.5%	10.2%	481	+0.93	3.67	676	17
Juan Antonio Pena L 2019 · 4.56 FIP	41	SW	4.56	13.7%	14.1%	1.5%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	4.20	149	14
R.A. Dickey R 2016 · 4.85 FIP	41	SP	4.85	17.3%	8.7%	3.9%	.276	4.44	16.7%	8.8%	190	-0.41	4.31	574	12
Jose Contreras R 2015 · 3.55 FIP	43	SP	3.55	20.2%	8.3%	2.0%	.263	2.96	20.5%	13.4%	57	-0.59	2.96	111	12
Mauricio Lara L 2019 · 4.96 FIP	40	SP	4.96	12.3%	6.8%	3.7%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	444	11
Walter Silva R 2017 · 3.67 FIP	40	SP	3.67	10.4%	7.6%	0.9%	.292	5.03	9.7%	0.9%	118	+1.36	3.67	428	11
Pablo Ortega R 2017 · 4.42 FIP	40	SP	4.42	13.4%	6.0%	3.1%	.298	5.20	12.4%	4.2%	14	+0.78	4.01	375	8
Horacio Ramirez L 2019 · 4.65 FIP	39	SU	4.65	5.7%	6.0%	2.3%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	199	4
Randy Wolf L 2015 · 3.40 FIP	38	SP	3.40	16.6%	7.7%	1.3%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	174	4