Ian Kennedy
PosP
B/TR/R
Born1984-12-19
Age (2026)41
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 30 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 30 | 30 | 168 | 713 | 174 | 48 | 31 | 100% | 5.6 | 24.4% | 6.7% | 17.7% | 4.7% | 4.28 | 4.46 | +1.9 |
| 2015 | 30 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 30 | 30 | 168 | 713 | 174 | 48 | 31 | 100% | 5.6 | 24.4% | 6.7% | 17.7% | 4.3% | 4.28 | 4.28 | +2.2 |
| 2016 | 31 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 33 | 33 | 196 | 818 | 184 | 65 | 33 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.5% | 7.9% | 14.5% | 4.3% | 3.68 | 4.58 | +1.9 |
| 2016 | 31 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 33 | 33 | 196 | 818 | 184 | 65 | 33 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.5% | 7.9% | 14.5% | 4.0% | 3.68 | 4.41 | +2.3 |
| 2017 | 32 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 30 | 30 | 154 | 655 | 131 | 59 | 34 | 100% | 5.1 | 20.0% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 5.6% | 5.38 | 5.60 | -0.4 |
| 2017 | 32 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 30 | 30 | 154 | 655 | 131 | 59 | 34 | 100% | 5.1 | 20.0% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 5.2% | 5.38 | 5.42 | -0.0 |
| 2018 | 33 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 24 | 127 | 554 | 112 | 41 | 20 | 100% | 5.3 | 20.3% | 7.3% | 12.9% | 4.1% | 5.02 | 4.58 | +1.2 |
| 2018 | 33 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 24 | 127 | 554 | 112 | 41 | 20 | 100% | 5.3 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 12.8% | 3.6% | 5.02 | 4.35 | +1.6 |
| 2019 | 34 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 63 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 73 | 16 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.4% | 6.0% | 21.4% | 2.4% | 3.41 | 2.87 | +1.3 |
| 2019 | 34 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 63 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 73 | 16 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.4% | 6.0% | 21.4% | 2.3% | 3.41 | 2.78 | +1.4 |
| 2020 | 35 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 15 | 1 | 14 | 69 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 7% | 0.9 | 21.7% | 5.8% | 15.9% | 10.9% | 9.00 | 7.95 | -0.6 |
| 2020 | 35 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 15 | 1 | 14 | 69 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 7% | 0.9 | 21.7% | 5.8% | 15.9% | 10.1% | 9.00 | 8.31 | -0.6 |
| 2021 | 36 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 55 | 0 | 56 | 228 | 62 | 14 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.2% | 6.1% | 21.1% | 5.1% | 3.20 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 36 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | 55 | 0 | 56 | 228 | 62 | 14 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.2% | 6.1% | 21.1% | 5.3% | 3.20 | 4.41 | +0.1 |
| 2022 | 37 | MIX | 2 levels | 58 | 1 | 51 | 240 | 46 | 19 | 11 | 2% | 0.9 | 19.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 4.5% | 5.79 | 5.03 | -0.3 |
| 2022 | 37 | MIX | 2 levels | 58 | 1 | 51 | 240 | 46 | 19 | 11 | 2% | 0.9 | 19.2% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 4.6% | 5.79 | 5.20 | -0.4 |
| 2023 | 38 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 51 | 15 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.8% | 8.7% | 18.1% | 5.1% | 4.93 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 38 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 51 | 15 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.8% | 8.5% | 20.3% | 5.1% | 4.93 | 4.53 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 41 | MLB | TEX | 19 | 0 | 20 | 82 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.7% | 9.1% | 14.5% | 3.2% | 4.37 | 4.39 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 42 | MLB | TEX | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 3.6% | 4.64 | 4.82 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 42 | MLB | TEX | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 3.7% | 4.66 | 4.84 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 340 | 116 | 858 | 3658 | 828 | 278 | 161 | 34% | 2.5 | 22.6% | 7.6% | 15.0% | 4.4% | 4.46 | 4.57 | +8.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 79 | 27 | 200 | 853 | 193 | 65 | 38 | 34% | 2.5 | 22.6% | 7.6% | 15.0% | 4.4% | 4.46 | 4.57 | +1.9 | ||
| Career | — | 346 | 119 | 872 | 3720 | 844 | 282 | 173 | 34% | 2.5 | 22.7% | 7.6% | 15.1% | 4.7% | 4.51 | 4.70 | +7.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 79 | 27 | 200 | 853 | 194 | 65 | 40 | 34% | 2.5 | 22.7% | 7.6% | 15.1% | 4.7% | 4.51 | 4.70 | +1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ian Kennedy (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.39 | 23.7% | 9.1% | 3.2% | — | 4.82 | 22.5% | 12.7% | 20 | +0.43 | — | — | — |
| Rafael Diaz R 2029 · 3.91 FIP | 44 | SW | 3.91 | 17.3% | 10.5% | 1.7% | .301 | 3.13 | 16.2% | 9.4% | 152 | -0.78 | 3.09 | 215 | 51 |
| Ryan Vogelsong R 2024 · 4.67 FIP | 39 | SP- | 4.67 | 16.7% | 10.4% | 3.0% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.46 | 217 | 51 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 41 | SU | 3.82 | 24.6% | 10.9% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.07 | 23.3% | 10.4% | 48 | +0.25 | 2.67 | 295 | 49 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2025 · 4.35 FIP | 40 | SU | 4.35 | 21.6% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.72 | 164 | 45 |
| Gaudencio Aguirre R 2027 · 3.31 FIP | 42 | SU | 3.31 | 14.8% | 8.6% | 0.7% | .293 | 3.98 | 14.9% | 6.8% | 75 | +0.67 | 3.31 | 123 | 36 |
| Jose Valverde R 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 41 | SU | 5.20 | 14.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.19 | 122 | 34 |
| Tim Hudson R 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 40 | SP | 4.42 | 12.2% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 124 | 24 |
| Yasutomo Kubo R 2023 · 3.67 FIP | 38 | SP | 3.67 | 20.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 152 | 24 |
| Koji Uehara R 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 41 | SU | 3.26 | 34.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | .252 | 3.47 | 28.1% | 23.0% | 43 | +0.21 | 2.27 | 130 | 23 |
| Luis Ayala R 2024 · 3.94 FIP | 39 | SU | 3.94 | 15.9% | 11.7% | 1.3% | .340 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.99 | 119 | 23 |
| Francisco Campos R 2027 · 4.67 FIP | 42 | SP | 4.67 | 11.5% | 7.9% | 2.8% | .303 | 3.91 | 12.2% | 7.0% | 197 | -0.76 | 3.85 | 332 | 20 |
| Bartolo Colon R 2027 · 3.68 FIP | 42 | SP | 3.68 | 16.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | .302 | 4.62 | 14.5% | 10.2% | 481 | +0.94 | 3.68 | 676 | 17 |
| R.A. Dickey R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 41 | SP | 4.85 | 17.3% | 8.7% | 3.9% | .276 | 4.44 | 16.7% | 8.8% | 190 | -0.41 | 4.31 | 574 | 14 |
| Juan Antonio Pena L 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 41 | SW | 4.46 | 13.7% | 14.1% | 1.3% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.15 | 149 | 13 |
| Jose Contreras R 2028 · 3.39 FIP | 43 | SP | 3.39 | 20.2% | 8.3% | 1.7% | .263 | 2.90 | 20.5% | 13.4% | 57 | -0.49 | 2.90 | 111 | 11 |
| Mauricio Lara L 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 40 | SP | 4.73 | 12.3% | 6.8% | 3.3% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 444 | 11 |
| Walter Silva R 2025 · 3.68 FIP | 40 | SP | 3.68 | 10.4% | 7.6% | 0.9% | .292 | 4.77 | 9.7% | 0.9% | 118 | +1.09 | 3.68 | 428 | 10 |
| Pablo Ortega R 2025 · 4.64 FIP | 40 | SP | 4.64 | 13.4% | 6.0% | 3.5% | .298 | 5.46 | 12.4% | 4.2% | 14 | +0.82 | 3.92 | 375 | 7 |
| Horacio Ramirez L 2024 · 4.62 FIP | 39 | SU | 4.62 | 5.7% | 6.0% | 2.2% | .233 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 199 | 4 |
| Randy Wolf L 2023 · 3.43 FIP | 38 | SP | 3.43 | 16.6% | 7.7% | 1.4% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 174 | 4 |