Reid Detmers
P
Los Angeles Angels
+0.8
WAR
Age 27
LHP
6'2" / 210 lbs
MLB
Svc 3.0 · Ctrl thru 2028
peak 1.0 · 2027
ERA4.56
FIP4.24
xFIP3.77
SIERA3.43
K%27.5%
BB%8.7%
K-BB%18.8%
IP79
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.0peak
2027
K†6565
FB Velo
p4494.1
Whiff%
p7729.6%
K%
p7025.8%
xwOBA vs
p900.266
SL+3.4 (33%)
CH+1.3 (13%)
SI (4%)
CU (11%)
FB-2.3 (43%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 19 | 19 | 83 | 358 | 127 | 29 | 15 | 29.9% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 4.25 | 4.11 | +1.0 |
| 2022 | 23 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 26 | 26 | 135 | 561 | 136 | 46 | 14 | 22.6% | 8.3% | 2.2% | 3.67 | 3.44 | +2.8 |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 28 | 28 | 149 | 644 | 168 | 58 | 19 | 26.1% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 4.48 | 3.57 | +2.9 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 31 | 31 | 165 | 735 | 210 | 65 | 36 | 26.9% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 6.15 | 5.02 | +0.5 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 61 | 0 | 64 | 266 | 80 | 21 | 6 | 30.1% | 7.9% | 2.4% | 3.96 | 2.86 | +1.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 4 | 4 | 23 | 94 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 27.7% | 6.4% | 1.1% | 3.57 | 2.16 | +0.7 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | LAA | 57 | — | 57 | 239 | 66 | 20 | 8 | 27.6% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 3.89 | 3.56 | +0.9 |
| 2026 Total | 27 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 79 | 333 | 92 | 26 | 9 | 27.6% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 3.80 | 3.16 | +1.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 14 | 14 | 78 | 330 | 91 | 27 | 11 | 27.6% | 8.3% | 3.2% | 4.09 | 3.97 | +1.0 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | LAA | 14 | 14 | 76 | 322 | 87 | 27 | 11 | 27.1% | 8.3% | 3.3% | 4.06 | 4.05 | +0.9 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | LAA | 13 | 13 | 74 | 312 | 83 | 26 | 10 | 26.5% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 4.11 | 4.14 | +0.8 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | LAA | 13 | 13 | 71 | 301 | 78 | 26 | 10 | 25.9% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 4.19 | 4.24 | +0.7 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | LAA | 12 | 12 | 68 | 289 | 73 | 25 | 10 | 25.3% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 4.29 | 4.36 | +0.5 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | LAA | 12 | 12 | 65 | 276 | 68 | 25 | 10 | 24.7% | 8.9% | 3.6% | 4.41 | 4.48 | +0.4 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | LAA | 11 | 11 | 62 | 262 | 63 | 24 | 10 | 24.0% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 4.54 | 4.62 | +0.2 |
| 2034 | 35 | MLB | LAA | 58 | — | 58 | 247 | 57 | 23 | 9 | 23.2% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 4.68 | 4.77 | +0.1 |
| 2035 | 36 | MLB | LAA | 55 | — | 55 | 231 | 52 | 22 | 9 | 22.4% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 4.84 | 4.94 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 169 | 108 | 618 | 2658 | 706 | 231 | 94 | 26.6% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 4.63 | 3.90 | +9.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 35 | 200 | 860 | 228 | 75 | 30 | 26.6% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 4.63 | 3.90 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Reid Detmers (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.23 | 27.6% | 8.7% | 3.6% | — | 4.05 | 27.1% | 18.7% | 228 | -0.18 | — | — | — |
| Greg Nappo L 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.12 | 17.2% | 10.3% | 4.0% | .285 | 6.29 | 12.3% | -0.3% | 11 | +1.17 | 3.36 | 144 | 66 |
| Ozzie Mendez L 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.15 | 14.6% | 6.7% | 2.6% | .269 | 3.94 | 11.3% | 3.0% | 68 | -0.21 | 3.90 | 161 | 66 |
| Garrett Schoenle L 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.18 | 17.9% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.32 | 304 | 65 |
| Adam Liberatore L 2027 · 3.69 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.69 | 21.1% | 7.3% | 2.6% | .267 | 3.20 | 23.3% | 15.2% | 73 | -0.49 | 2.44 | 124 | 65 |
| Juan Grullon L 2025 · 4.67 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.67 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.4% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.67 | 134 | 65 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2028 · 4.12 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.12 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.2% | .291 | 3.71 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.41 | 3.71 | 108 | 64 |
| Jason Gurka L 2026 · 3.14 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.14 | 17.5% | 7.0% | 1.1% | .303 | 3.27 | 23.4% | 17.6% | 95 | +0.13 | 2.91 | 183 | 64 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.61 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.36 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.25 | 3.36 | 153 | 64 |
| Jimmy Reyes L 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.83 | 14.6% | 6.2% | 2.2% | .313 | 4.88 | 13.8% | 5.8% | 66 | +1.05 | 3.03 | 200 | 64 |
| Patrick Schuster L 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.42 | 19.8% | 8.3% | 3.5% | .381 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 160 | 63 |
| Fabian Williamson L 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.42 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 2.2% | .259 | 5.26 | 16.5% | -3.3% | 54 | +1.84 | 3.42 | 154 | 63 |
| Dylan Phillips L 2025 · 4.27 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.27 | 16.9% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.64 | 172 | 63 |
| Will Gilbert L 2024 · 4.40 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.40 | 19.9% | 10.3% | 3.0% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.92 | 141 | 63 |
| Carson Skipper L 2024 · 3.79 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.79 | 19.9% | 9.1% | 2.2% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 176 | 63 |
| Hayden Howard L 2024 · 3.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.76 | 17.5% | 8.4% | 1.9% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.76 | 200 | 62 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2027 · 3.79 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.79 | 17.8% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .321 | 3.32 | 19.2% | 13.8% | 66 | -0.47 | 2.89 | 101 | 62 |
| Stephen Peterson L 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.60 | 13.0% | 9.5% | 2.5% | .284 | 3.04 | 17.3% | 6.3% | 55 | -1.56 | 3.04 | 120 | 62 |
| Derek Holland L 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.86 | 16.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | .270 | 4.63 | 18.8% | 9.6% | 414 | -0.23 | 3.76 | 686 | 62 |
| Colton Turner L 2026 · 3.31 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.31 | 21.1% | 8.4% | 1.7% | .235 | 4.33 | 22.4% | 13.2% | 94 | +1.02 | 2.79 | 325 | 62 |
| James Pazos L 2026 · 3.09 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.09 | 21.3% | 6.6% | 1.7% | .291 | 4.56 | 20.6% | 9.4% | 97 | +1.47 | 2.55 | 261 | 62 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Arb-1
MLB Debut 2021
Service 3.924 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2028
First FA Year 2027
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Arb-1 | $3M | +0.8 | $3M | +$0.6M |
| 2027 | Arb-2 | $5M | +1.0 | $8M | +$3M |
| 2028 | Arb-3 | $7M | +0.9 | $4M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| Totals | $11M | $15M | +$4M | ||