Reid Detmers
P
Los Angeles Angels
Age 27
LHP
6'2" / 210 lbs
MLB
Svc 3.0 · Ctrl thru 2028
peak 1.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION109 act + 72 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 7887vR 96
ERA3.72
FIP3.59
K%27.4%
BB%8.1%
K-BB%19.3%
ROS IP72
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 181 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p4494.1
Whiff%
p7228.7%
K%
p7727.2%
xwOBA vs
p760.287
SL+3.4 (31%)
CH+1.3 (11%)
SI (2%)
CU (11%)
FB-2.3 (46%)
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 19 | 19 | 83 | 358 | 127 | 29 | 15 | 100% | 4.4 | 29.9% | 9.1% | 20.8% | 4.0% | 4.25 | 3.95 | +1.0 |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 19 | 19 | 83 | 358 | 127 | 29 | 15 | 100% | 4.4 | 35.5% | 8.1% | 27.4% | 4.2% | 4.25 | 3.44 | +1.5 |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 135 | 561 | 136 | 46 | 14 | 100% | 5.2 | 22.6% | 8.3% | 14.3% | 2.5% | 3.67 | 3.62 | +2.8 |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 26 | 135 | 561 | 136 | 46 | 14 | 100% | 5.2 | 24.2% | 8.2% | 16.0% | 2.5% | 3.67 | 3.46 | +3.1 |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 28 | 28 | 149 | 644 | 168 | 58 | 19 | 100% | 5.3 | 26.1% | 9.0% | 17.1% | 3.1% | 4.48 | 3.72 | +2.9 |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 28 | 28 | 149 | 644 | 168 | 58 | 19 | 100% | 5.3 | 26.1% | 9.0% | 17.1% | 3.0% | 4.48 | 3.67 | +3.0 |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 31 | 165 | 735 | 210 | 65 | 36 | 100% | 5.3 | 26.9% | 9.0% | 17.9% | 6.0% | 6.15 | 5.28 | +0.2 |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 31 | 31 | 165 | 735 | 210 | 65 | 36 | 100% | 5.3 | 28.6% | 8.8% | 19.7% | 4.9% | 6.15 | 4.57 | +1.6 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 61 | 0 | 64 | 266 | 80 | 21 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.1% | 7.9% | 22.2% | 2.3% | 3.96 | 2.84 | +1.3 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 61 | 0 | 64 | 266 | 80 | 21 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 30.1% | 7.9% | 22.2% | 2.3% | 3.96 | 2.80 | +1.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 19 | 19 | 109 | 452 | 123 | 35 | 12 | 100% | 5.7 | 27.2% | 7.7% | 19.5% | 2.7% | 4.39 | 3.24 | +2.7 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | LAA | 12 | 12 | 72 | 306 | 84 | 25 | 10 | 100% | 6.0 | 27.4% | 8.1% | 19.3% | 3.2% | 3.72 | 3.59 | +1.0 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | LAA | 12 | 12 | 72 | 304 | 83 | 25 | 10 | 100% | 6.0 | 27.4% | 8.1% | 19.3% | 3.2% | 3.68 | 3.55 | +1.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 181 | 758 | 207 | 60 | 22 | — | — | 27.3% | 7.9% | 19.4% | 2.9% | 4.12 | 3.38 | +4.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 181 | 765 | 207 | 60 | 22 | — | — | 27.0% | 7.8% | 19.2% | 2.8% | 4.11 | 3.36 | +4.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 13 | 13 | 77 | 325 | 89 | 27 | 11 | 100% | 5.9 | 27.4% | 8.3% | 19.1% | 3.3% | 4.07 | 4.05 | +0.8 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | LAA | 12 | 12 | 73 | 310 | 83 | 26 | 11 | 100% | 6.1 | 26.8% | 8.5% | 18.2% | 3.5% | 4.15 | 4.21 | +0.5 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | LAA | 11 | 11 | 69 | 291 | 76 | 26 | 11 | 100% | 6.3 | 26.1% | 8.8% | 17.2% | 3.7% | 4.31 | 4.42 | +0.3 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 13 | 13 | 77 | 325 | 89 | 27 | 11 | 100% | 5.9 | 27.4% | 8.3% | 19.1% | 3.3% | 4.04 | 4.02 | +0.8 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | LAA | 12 | 12 | 73 | 308 | 82 | 26 | 11 | 100% | 6.1 | 26.8% | 8.5% | 18.2% | 3.4% | 4.12 | 4.18 | +0.6 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | LAA | 11 | 11 | 69 | 291 | 76 | 26 | 11 | 100% | 6.3 | 26.1% | 8.8% | 17.2% | 3.6% | 4.27 | 4.38 | +0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 204 | 143 | 850 | 3625 | 952 | 311 | 114 | 70% | 4.2 | 26.3% | 8.6% | 17.7% | 3.2% | 4.46 | 3.70 | +16.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 48 | 34 | 200 | 853 | 224 | 73 | 27 | 70% | 4.2 | 26.3% | 8.6% | 17.7% | 3.2% | 4.46 | 3.70 | +4.0 | ||
| Career | — | 184 | 123 | 704 | 3016 | 803 | 260 | 111 | 67% | 3.8 | 26.6% | 8.6% | 18.0% | 3.7% | 4.63 | 3.96 | +11.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 52 | 35 | 200 | 857 | 228 | 74 | 31 | 67% | 3.8 | 26.6% | 8.6% | 18.0% | 3.7% | 4.63 | 3.96 | +3.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Reid Detmers (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.28 | 27.9% | 8.6% | 3.7% | — | 4.22 | 26.7% | 18.2% | 219 | -0.06 | — | — | — |
| Andy Otero L 2028 · 4.08 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.08 | 24.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | .298 | 4.38 | 14.5% | 5.6% | 68 | +0.30 | 2.85 | 200 | 60 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.27 | 21.7% | 9.8% | 5.0% | .289 | 5.37 | 15.7% | 5.0% | 26 | +0.10 | 5.27 | 128 | 58 |
| Manny Banuelos L 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.46 | 23.8% | 8.9% | 2.2% | .338 | 5.84 | 18.7% | 5.9% | 51 | +2.38 | 2.92 | 486 | 56 |
| Shane Drohan L 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.39 | 23.1% | 7.7% | 2.3% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.91 | 484 | 53 |
| Aaron Rozek L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.53 | 17.4% | 8.8% | 3.3% | .311 | 4.31 | 17.2% | 9.9% | 300 | -0.22 | 3.88 | 523 | 53 |
| Hector Hernandez L 2027 · 3.57 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.57 | 20.2% | 9.0% | 1.9% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 121 | 52 |
| Andrew Alvarez L 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.78 | 25.9% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 575 | 51 |
| Chris O'Grady L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.44 | 21.4% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 232 | 51 |
| Nico Tellache L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.89 | 16.3% | 7.3% | 2.3% | .373 | 4.65 | 13.4% | 4.8% | 78 | +0.76 | 3.89 | 160 | 50 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.30 | 22.8% | 12.2% | 1.1% | .292 | 3.80 | 20.2% | 11.3% | 127 | +0.50 | 2.68 | 175 | 50 |
| Nik Turley L 2026 · 3.12 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.12 | 26.6% | 8.4% | 2.2% | .320 | 3.24 | 21.7% | 10.8% | 22 | +0.12 | 3.12 | 313 | 49 |
| Adam Laskey L 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.39 | 17.1% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 310 | 49 |
| Ryan Magdic L 2025 · 3.18 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.18 | 21.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.18 | 150 | 49 |
| Phil Pfeifer L 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.74 | 21.9% | 8.5% | 2.6% | .298 | 5.80 | 19.5% | 4.7% | 35 | +2.06 | 3.58 | 307 | 49 |
| Danny Wirchansky L 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.98 | 16.2% | 7.4% | 4.2% | .246 | 6.63 | 13.0% | 0.2% | 68 | +1.65 | 4.98 | 179 | 49 |
| Garrett Williams L 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.60 | 24.9% | 14.2% | 3.3% | .323 | 4.39 | 24.3% | -0.2% | 53 | -0.21 | 3.36 | 470 | 49 |
| Zach Penrod L 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.47 | 29.3% | 13.2% | 2.1% | .324 | 5.30 | 17.5% | -1.4% | 70 | +1.83 | 3.47 | 165 | 49 |
| Michael Plassmeyer L 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.18 | 23.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | .401 | 5.13 | 19.5% | 9.7% | 168 | +0.95 | 3.41 | 675 | 48 |
| Tyler Anderson L 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.77 | 22.4% | 7.3% | 3.0% | .315 | 4.12 | 20.7% | 12.2% | 256 | +0.35 | 3.14 | 1,288 | 48 |
| Jacques Pucheu L 2024 · 3.21 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.21 | 21.4% | 8.2% | 1.6% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 134 | 47 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 75 | 27.0% | 8.6% | 1.38 | 4.24 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Colin Poche ('24) | 4 | 52 | 27.0% | 9.2% | 1.34 | 3.63 |
| Robert Stephenson ('23) | 6 | 57 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 1.39 | 4.33 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Mike Mayers ('23) | 5 | 47 | 24.3% | 7.8% | 1.50 | 4.47 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |