Jordan Montgomery
P
Round Rock Express
Age 33
LHP
6'6" / 228 lbs
AAA
peak 1.1 · 2026
ILInjured 60-Day (D60)
2026 ROS PROJECTION12 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 106115vR 124
ERA4.36
FIP4.38
K%17.6%
BB%7.3%
K-BB%10.3%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 77 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1692.1
Whiff%
p6026.9%
K%
p1015.6%
xwOBA vs
p180.350
SL+0.6 (2%)
SI (31%)
CU (31%)
CH-7.2 (19%)
FB-13.3 (48%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 24 | 134 | 547 | 132 | 36 | 5 | 96% | 5.4 | 18.3% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 1.6% | 2.95 | 3.43 | — |
| 2015 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 24 | 134 | 547 | 132 | 36 | 5 | 96% | 5.4 | 24.1% | 6.6% | 17.6% | 0.9% | 2.95 | 2.42 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 139 | 582 | 134 | 45 | 5 | 100% | 5.6 | 19.1% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 1.0% | 2.13 | 3.10 | — |
| 2016 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 139 | 582 | 134 | 45 | 5 | 100% | 5.6 | 23.0% | 7.7% | 15.3% | 0.9% | 2.13 | 2.61 | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 31 | 31 | 163 | 678 | 155 | 52 | 21 | 100% | 5.3 | 22.2% | 7.9% | 14.3% | 3.0% | 3.75 | 3.87 | +2.9 |
| 2017 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 31 | 31 | 163 | 678 | 155 | 52 | 21 | 100% | 5.3 | 22.9% | 7.7% | 15.2% | 3.1% | 3.75 | 3.83 | +3.0 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | New York Yankees | 6 | 6 | 27 | 116 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 100% | 4.6 | 19.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 2.4% | 3.62 | 4.06 | +0.2 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | New York Yankees | 6 | 6 | 27 | 116 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 100% | 4.6 | 19.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 2.6% | 3.62 | 4.16 | +0.1 |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 4 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 75% | 1.9 | 30.3% | 0.0% | 30.3% | 3.0% | 3.52 | 2.20 | +0.2 |
| 2019 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 4 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 75% | 1.9 | 30.3% | 0.0% | 30.3% | 3.0% | 3.52 | 2.19 | +0.2 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | New York Yankees | 10 | 10 | 44 | 193 | 47 | 9 | 7 | 100% | 4.4 | 24.4% | 4.7% | 19.7% | 3.4% | 5.11 | 3.49 | +0.5 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | New York Yankees | 10 | 10 | 44 | 193 | 47 | 9 | 7 | 100% | 4.4 | 24.4% | 4.7% | 19.7% | 3.6% | 5.11 | 3.65 | +0.5 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | New York Yankees | 30 | 30 | 157 | 661 | 162 | 51 | 19 | 100% | 5.2 | 24.5% | 7.7% | 16.8% | 2.7% | 3.83 | 3.48 | +3.5 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | New York Yankees | 30 | 30 | 157 | 661 | 162 | 51 | 19 | 100% | 5.2 | 24.5% | 7.7% | 16.8% | 2.9% | 3.83 | 3.58 | +3.3 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 32 | 32 | 178 | 724 | 158 | 36 | 21 | 100% | 5.6 | 21.8% | 5.0% | 16.9% | 2.9% | 3.48 | 3.49 | +4.0 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 32 | 32 | 178 | 724 | 158 | 36 | 21 | 100% | 5.6 | 21.8% | 5.0% | 16.9% | 2.9% | 3.48 | 3.46 | +4.0 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 32 | 32 | 189 | 777 | 166 | 48 | 18 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.4% | 6.2% | 15.2% | 2.3% | 3.20 | 3.32 | +4.6 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 32 | 32 | 189 | 777 | 166 | 48 | 18 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.4% | 6.2% | 15.2% | 2.3% | 3.20 | 3.34 | +4.5 |
| 2024 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 23 | 125 | 571 | 92 | 46 | 16 | 85% | 4.6 | 15.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 2.5% | 6.50 | 4.14 | +1.8 |
| 2024 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 23 | 125 | 571 | 92 | 46 | 16 | 85% | 4.6 | 16.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 2.8% | 6.50 | 4.40 | +1.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 33 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 5 | 5 | 12 | 47 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 2.4 | — | — | — | — | 2.25 | — | — |
| ROS | 33 | MLB | TEX | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 48 | 20 | 7 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.6% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 2.7% | 4.36 | 4.38 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 33 | MLB | TEX | 5 | 5 | 29 | 122 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 5.8 | 17.6% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 2.7% | 4.36 | 4.38 | +0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 33 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 77 | 321 | 59 | 20 | 7 | — | — | 18.5% | 6.2% | 12.2% | 2.3% | 4.03 | 3.70 | +1.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 33 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 29 | 123 | 22 | 9 | 3 | — | — | 17.6% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 2.7% | 4.36 | 4.00 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | TEX | 22 | 22 | 129 | 546 | 91 | 43 | 16 | 100% | 5.9 | 16.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 3.0% | 4.55 | 4.68 | +1.1 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | TEX | 19 | 19 | 116 | 490 | 77 | 41 | 16 | 100% | 6.1 | 15.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 4.83 | 5.02 | +0.5 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | TEX | 17 | 17 | 103 | 434 | 64 | 39 | 16 | 100% | 6.0 | 14.7% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 5.16 | 5.38 | +0.0 |
| 2030 | 37 | MLB | TEX | 15 | 15 | 90 | 378 | 52 | 36 | 15 | 100% | 6.0 | 13.6% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.54 | 5.79 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 34 | MLB | TEX | 22 | 22 | 129 | 545 | 91 | 42 | 16 | 100% | 5.9 | 16.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 3.0% | 4.55 | 4.68 | +1.1 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB | TEX | 19 | 19 | 116 | 490 | 77 | 41 | 16 | 100% | 6.1 | 15.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 4.83 | 5.02 | +0.5 |
| 2029 | 36 | MLB | TEX | 17 | 17 | 103 | 435 | 64 | 39 | 16 | 100% | 6.1 | 14.7% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 5.16 | 5.38 | +0.0 |
| 2030 | 37 | MLB | TEX | 15 | 15 | 90 | 380 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 100% | 6.0 | 13.6% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.54 | 5.79 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 246 | 241 | 1339 | 5642 | 1094 | 415 | 171 | 98% | 5.4 | 19.4% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.06 | +21.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 37 | 36 | 200 | 843 | 163 | 62 | 26 | 98% | 5.4 | 19.4% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.06 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 227 | 221 | 1177 | 4929 | 1028 | 344 | 116 | 97% | 5.2 | 20.8% | 7.0% | 13.9% | 2.4% | 3.67 | 3.52 | +25.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 39 | 38 | 200 | 838 | 175 | 58 | 20 | 97% | 5.2 | 20.8% | 7.0% | 13.9% | 2.4% | 3.67 | 3.52 | +4.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jordan Montgomery (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.38 | 17.6% | 7.3% | 2.7% | — | 5.00 | 15.8% | 7.5% | 348 | +0.62 | — | — | — |
| Jorge Castillo L 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.40 | 16.8% | 9.2% | 2.8% | .292 | 4.68 | 12.4% | 7.2% | 186 | +0.28 | 4.40 | 408 | 65 |
| Oscar Rivera L 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.85 | 14.2% | 6.9% | 2.0% | .298 | 4.45 | 10.4% | 3.0% | 129 | +0.60 | 3.85 | 237 | 64 |
| Jonathan Sánchez L 2029 · 4.65 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.65 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 3.7% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.65 | 109 | 63 |
| Mauricio Lara L 2029 · 3.57 FIP | 36 | SP | 3.57 | 13.9% | 6.9% | 1.4% | .310 | 3.70 | 12.1% | 5.1% | 220 | +0.13 | 3.57 | 444 | 62 |
| Tsuyoshi Wada L 2027 · 3.68 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.68 | 16.8% | 7.1% | 2.0% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 119 | 62 |
| Arturo Lopez L 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.97 | 11.5% | 7.9% | 3.4% | .341 | 4.75 | 11.3% | 5.2% | 224 | -0.22 | 4.24 | 445 | 59 |
| Tomas Solis L 2026 · 5.29 FIP | 33 | SP | 5.29 | 12.4% | 8.5% | 3.9% | .273 | 6.43 | 10.1% | 2.4% | 117 | +1.14 | 4.35 | 327 | 59 |
| C.J. Wilson L 2027 · 3.77 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.77 | 19.9% | 8.0% | 2.4% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.77 | 132 | 59 |
| Jorge De La Rosa L 2027 · 3.68 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.68 | 21.1% | 9.8% | 2.1% | .284 | 4.20 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 256 | +0.52 | 3.68 | 405 | 59 |
| Eric Stults L 2028 · 4.25 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.25 | 14.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 138 | 58 |
| Roy Merritt L 2024 · 3.88 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.88 | 16.2% | 5.8% | 2.6% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 129 | 58 |
| Francisley Bueno L 2027 · 3.79 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.79 | 14.8% | 7.1% | 1.9% | .315 | 4.03 | 13.3% | 6.6% | 110 | +0.24 | 3.39 | 138 | 57 |
| Everett Teaford L 2024 · 4.36 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.36 | 13.9% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.36 | 103 | 57 |
| Orlando Lara L 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.45 | 14.7% | 6.5% | 3.2% | .346 | 4.05 | 22.0% | 14.2% | 104 | -0.40 | 3.82 | 426 | 57 |
| Wei-Yin Chen L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.30 | 19.4% | 7.2% | 3.5% | .279 | 4.87 | 20.5% | 15.3% | 68 | +0.57 | 3.68 | 549 | 57 |
| Daniel Rodriguez L 2025 · 3.82 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.82 | 13.1% | 9.7% | 1.1% | .335 | 4.74 | 20.8% | 13.0% | 112 | +0.92 | 2.87 | 391 | 56 |
| Wandy Rodriguez L 2029 · 3.84 FIP | 36 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.4% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 101 | 56 |
| Gio Gonzalez L 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 33 | SP | 3.90 | 21.7% | 9.6% | 2.6% | .300 | 4.88 | 22.2% | 9.8% | 32 | +0.98 | 2.90 | 864 | 56 |
| Drew Smyly L 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.03 | 20.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | .271 | 4.52 | 22.3% | 13.5% | 201 | +0.49 | 2.01 | 840 | 56 |
| Horacio Ramirez L 2029 · 3.28 FIP | 36 | SP | 3.28 | 9.6% | 3.7% | 0.9% | .333 | 4.32 | 7.6% | 2.5% | 97 | +1.04 | 3.28 | 199 | 56 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 107 | 15.8% | 8.3% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Doug Fister ('18) | 4 | 110 | 15.8% | 7.5% | 1.19 | 4.56 |
| Matt Garza ('17) | 3 | 122 | 15.5% | 8.5% | 1.26 | 5.10 |
| Jason Vargas ('19) | 4 | 116 | 18.5% | 8.2% | 1.38 | 4.57 |
| Daniel Mengden ('19) | 4 | 73 | 17.3% | 7.7% | 1.24 | 4.68 |
| Chad Bettis ('19) | 5 | 106 | 16.7% | 7.8% | 1.17 | 4.90 |
| Chris Tillman ('18) | 4 | 116 | 16.5% | 9.7% | 1.34 | 5.42 |