Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 14 | 71 | 288 | 59 | 21 | 7 | 100% | 5.1 | 16.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 3.66 | 4.26 | — |
| 2015 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 14 | 71 | 288 | 59 | 21 | 7 | 100% | 5.1 | 20.5% | 7.3% | 13.2% | 2.4% | 3.66 | 3.60 | — |
| 2016 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 19 | 120 | 503 | 94 | 31 | 12 | 68% | 4.3 | 18.2% | 5.9% | 12.2% | 2.7% | 3.91 | 3.78 | +2.3 |
| 2016 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 19 | 120 | 503 | 94 | 31 | 12 | 68% | 4.3 | 18.7% | 6.2% | 12.5% | 2.4% | 3.91 | 3.61 | +2.5 |
| 2017 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 2 | 78 | 319 | 78 | 16 | 10 | 4% | 1.5 | 24.3% | 4.9% | 19.4% | 3.5% | 3.59 | 3.58 | +1.2 |
| 2017 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 52 | 2 | 78 | 319 | 78 | 16 | 10 | 4% | 1.5 | 24.5% | 5.0% | 19.4% | 3.1% | 3.59 | 3.38 | +1.4 |
| 2018 | 28 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 33 | 21 | 122 | 503 | 136 | 20 | 18 | 64% | 3.7 | 27.0% | 4.0% | 23.1% | 3.8% | 3.02 | 3.40 | +2.9 |
| 2018 | 28 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 33 | 21 | 122 | 503 | 136 | 20 | 18 | 64% | 3.7 | 27.0% | 4.0% | 23.1% | 3.6% | 3.02 | 3.28 | +3.0 |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 32 | 15 | 91 | 370 | 93 | 20 | 11 | 47% | 2.8 | 25.1% | 5.4% | 19.7% | 3.1% | 3.47 | 3.39 | +1.9 |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 32 | 15 | 91 | 370 | 93 | 20 | 11 | 47% | 2.8 | 25.1% | 5.4% | 19.7% | 3.0% | 3.47 | 3.29 | +2.0 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 12 | 9 | 49 | 220 | 40 | 18 | 13 | 75% | 4.1 | 18.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 5.84 | 5.84 | -0.7 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 12 | 9 | 49 | 220 | 40 | 18 | 13 | 75% | 4.1 | 18.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 5.84 | 6.00 | -0.8 |
| 2021 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 20 | 103 | 437 | 95 | 31 | 23 | 80% | 4.1 | 21.8% | 7.0% | 14.8% | 5.3% | 4.73 | 5.07 | +0.4 |
| 2021 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 20 | 103 | 437 | 95 | 31 | 23 | 80% | 4.1 | 21.7% | 7.1% | 14.6% | 5.3% | 4.73 | 5.07 | +0.4 |
| 2022 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 25 | 139 | 553 | 114 | 20 | 12 | 76% | 4.2 | 20.7% | 3.7% | 17.0% | 2.2% | 2.91 | 3.05 | +3.8 |
| 2022 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 25 | 139 | 553 | 114 | 20 | 12 | 76% | 4.2 | 20.6% | 3.6% | 17.0% | 2.2% | 2.91 | 3.01 | +3.9 |
| 2023 | 33 | MIX | 4 levels | 26 | 15 | 100 | 430 | 87 | 17 | 20 | 58% | 3.8 | 18.4% | 4.2% | 14.2% | 5.7% | 5.31 | 5.21 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 33 | MIX | 4 levels | 26 | 15 | 100 | 430 | 87 | 17 | 20 | 58% | 3.8 | 20.2% | 4.0% | 16.3% | 4.7% | 5.31 | 4.47 | +1.1 |
| 2024 | 34 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 17 | 94 | 423 | 51 | 22 | 8 | 68% | 3.8 | 12.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 1.9% | 6.03 | 3.73 | +1.7 |
| 2024 | 34 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 17 | 94 | 423 | 51 | 22 | 8 | 68% | 3.8 | 12.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 1.9% | 6.03 | 3.82 | +1.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | MLB | OAK | 12 | 12 | 74 | 311 | 43 | 20 | 9 | 100% | 6.1 | 13.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 4.77 | 4.73 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | OAK | 10 | 10 | 64 | 271 | 35 | 19 | 9 | 100% | 6.4 | 12.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 4.99 | 5.13 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 38 | MLB | OAK | 9 | 9 | 55 | 233 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 100% | 6.1 | 11.7% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.34 | 5.57 | -0.7 |
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | OAK | 10 | 10 | 64 | 270 | 35 | 19 | 9 | 100% | 6.4 | 12.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 4.95 | 5.09 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 38 | MLB | OAK | 9 | 9 | 55 | 232 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 100% | 6.1 | 11.7% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.29 | 5.52 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 267 | 148 | 966 | 4050 | 803 | 223 | 142 | 55% | 3.6 | 19.8% | 5.5% | 14.3% | 3.5% | 4.28 | 4.04 | +15.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 55 | 31 | 200 | 839 | 166 | 46 | 29 | 56% | 3.6 | 19.8% | 5.5% | 14.3% | 3.5% | 4.28 | 4.04 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 280 | 157 | 967 | 4046 | 828 | 217 | 145 | 56% | 3.5 | 20.5% | 5.4% | 15.1% | 3.6% | 4.11 | 4.01 | +15.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 58 | 32 | 200 | 837 | 171 | 45 | 30 | 56% | 3.5 | 20.5% | 5.4% | 15.1% | 3.6% | 4.11 | 4.01 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ross Stripling (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.73 | 13.9% | 6.3% | 3.0% | — | 5.33 | 12.3% | 5.0% | 120 | +0.60 | — | — | — |
| Jesse Estrada R 2025 · 4.91 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.91 | 14.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.71 | 257 | 67 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2024 · 3.95 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.95 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 132 | 63 |
| Ryan Vogelsong R 2028 · 4.46 FIP | 38 | SP- | 4.46 | 18.1% | 9.4% | 3.1% | .295 | 4.67 | 16.7% | 6.3% | 82 | +0.21 | 4.46 | 217 | 60 |
| Jason Hammel R 2025 · 4.34 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.34 | 15.8% | 6.0% | 3.3% | .342 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 645 | 60 |
| Chris Young R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.67 | 16.6% | 8.6% | 3.4% | .209 | 6.29 | 21.1% | 11.4% | 119 | +1.62 | 4.67 | 242 | 59 |
| Jake Peavy R 2025 · 4.36 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.36 | 19.6% | 6.7% | 3.8% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.09 | 262 | 59 |
| Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.17 | 15.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 567 | 58 |
| Kyle Lohse R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.98 | 16.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | .309 | 5.53 | 14.8% | 8.8% | 59 | +0.55 | 4.98 | 211 | 57 |
| Alfredo Simon R 2025 · 5.63 FIP | 35 | SP- | 5.63 | 12.3% | 9.6% | 4.3% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.69 | 261 | 54 |
| Logan Duran R 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 37 | SP- | 3.58 | 15.5% | 8.9% | 1.2% | .427 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 187 | 54 |
| Juan Delgadillo R 2024 · 4.56 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.56 | 10.9% | 6.2% | 2.9% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.56 | 143 | 52 |
| Frankie De La Cruz R 2025 · 4.34 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.34 | 16.2% | 8.0% | 2.9% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 240 | 52 |
| Tim Dillard R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.11 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 2.6% | .298 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15 | 352 | 51 |
| Edgar Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.58 | 12.3% | 5.8% | 3.3% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.18 | 450 | 50 |
| Jeremy Guthrie R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 36 | SP- | 5.42 | 12.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | .309 | 5.00 | 11.6% | 3.0% | 87 | -0.42 | 5.00 | 235 | 50 |
| Chris Smith R 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 36 | SP- | 5.11 | 15.6% | 7.5% | 4.3% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 413 | 50 |
| Alfredo Aceves R 2024 · 4.97 FIP | 34 | SP | 4.97 | 8.9% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.71 | 160 | 50 |
| Guillermo Moscoso R 2025 · 4.19 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.19 | 12.6% | 6.7% | 2.4% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 264 | 49 |
| Mitch Talbot R 2025 · 5.05 FIP | 35 | SP | 5.05 | 13.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 162 | 49 |
| Logan Ondrusek R 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.35 | 19.2% | 7.3% | 3.5% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.35 | 138 | 49 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 64 | 12.9% | 6.9% | 1.30 | 5.01 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Austin Pruitt ('23) | 5 | 61 | 16.9% | 5.6% | 1.22 | 4.45 |
| Josh Fleming ('24) | 5 | 51 | 14.6% | 7.5% | 1.17 | 4.77 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne ('18) | 4 | 63 | 13.5% | 8.1% | 0.96 | 5.54 |