Hyun Jin Ryu
P
Toronto Blue Jays
+0.1
WAR
Age 39
LHP
6'3" / 250 lbs
MLB
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.04
FIP4.42
xFIP4.41
SIERA4.69
K%22.0%
BB%8.6%
K-BB%13.5%
IP42
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
K†4545
FB Velo
p1088.7
Whiff%
p2021.1%
K%
p1417.0%
xwOBA vs
p580.304
CT+1.8
FB+1.1
CH-4.2
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 29 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 9 | 9 | 32 | 140 | 27 | 2 | 5 | 15.2% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 5.29 | 3.95 | +0.4 |
| 2017 | 30 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 25 | 24 | 127 | 541 | 116 | 42 | 22 | 21.4% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 3.77 | 4.60 | +1.0 |
| 2018 | 31 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 17 | 17 | 91 | 357 | 96 | 14 | 9 | 27.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.87 | 2.77 | +2.5 |
| 2019 | 32 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 29 | 29 | 183 | 723 | 163 | 22 | 17 | 22.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.32 | 2.77 | +5.2 |
| 2020 | 33 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 12 | 12 | 67 | 275 | 72 | 17 | 6 | 26.2% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 2.69 | 2.86 | +1.6 |
| 2021 | 34 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 31 | 31 | 169 | 701 | 143 | 37 | 24 | 20.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.37 | 3.90 | +2.7 |
| 2022 | 35 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 7 | 7 | 31 | 131 | 22 | 4 | 6 | 14.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.52 | 4.57 | +0.1 |
| 2023 | 36 | MLB | Toronto Blue Jays | 15 | 15 | 70 | 289 | 54 | 15 | 12 | 17.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.09 | 4.80 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 39 | MLB | LAD | 39 | — | 39 | 166 | 31 | 14 | 5 | 18.7% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 4.05 | 4.71 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 40 | MLB | LAD | 34 | — | 34 | 141 | 25 | 13 | 5 | 17.9% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 4.56 | 4.90 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 145 | 144 | 770 | 3157 | 681 | 158 | 100 | 21.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.31 | 3.66 | +14.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 38 | 37 | 200 | 820 | 177 | 41 | 26 | 21.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.31 | 3.66 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Hyun Jin Ryu (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.71 | 18.7% | 8.6% | 3.2% | — | 4.90 | 17.9% | 9.0% | 34 | +0.19 | — | — | — |
| Horacio Ramirez L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 39 | SU | 4.64 | 5.7% | 6.0% | 2.3% | .233 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 199 | 56 |
| Wandy Rodriguez L 2023 · 3.85 FIP | 36 | SP- | 3.85 | 19.4% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 101 | 49 |
| Rich Hill L 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 39 | SW | 3.52 | 29.8% | 6.6% | 3.8% | .264 | 3.90 | 21.6% | 13.5% | 322 | +0.38 | 2.10 | 1,030 | 45 |
| Jonathan Sánchez L 2023 · 4.73 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.73 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.73 | 109 | 44 |
| Juan Antonio Pena L 2024 · 4.17 FIP | 37 | SP- | 4.17 | 13.6% | 9.9% | 1.8% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 149 | 41 |
| Mauricio Lara L 2025 · 3.70 FIP | 38 | SP- | 3.70 | 12.0% | 6.3% | 1.5% | .301 | 4.93 | 12.3% | 5.5% | 111 | +1.23 | 3.59 | 444 | 40 |
| CC Sabathia L 2026 · 5.30 FIP | 39 | SP- | 5.30 | 22.9% | 8.3% | 5.6% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67 | 756 | 39 |
| Matt Belisle R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.33 | 15.4% | 6.2% | 3.2% | .355 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.49 | 174 | 37 |
| Peter Moylan R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 39 | SU | 4.94 | 17.8% | 11.6% | 3.4% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.11 | 174 | 37 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2025 · 5.44 FIP | 38 | SW | 5.44 | 15.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.21 | 225 | 36 |
| Kyle Lohse R 2024 · 5.01 FIP | 37 | SW | 5.01 | 14.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.01 | 211 | 35 |
| Chris Young R 2025 · 5.54 FIP | 38 | SU | 5.54 | 14.9% | 8.1% | 4.9% | .374 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.62 | 242 | 35 |
| Brad Ziegler R 2025 · 4.01 FIP | 38 | SW | 4.01 | 16.4% | 6.2% | 2.8% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.61 | 257 | 34 |
| Joaquín Benoit R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 39 | SU | 3.77 | 25.5% | 11.3% | 2.5% | .258 | 4.46 | 21.6% | 11.7% | 50 | +0.69 | 3.55 | 164 | 33 |
| Luis Ayala R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 39 | SU | 3.97 | 15.9% | 11.7% | 1.3% | .340 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 119 | 32 |
| Logan Duran R 2024 · 3.65 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.65 | 15.5% | 8.9% | 1.3% | .427 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 187 | 32 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.16 | 16.8% | 15.2% | 1.0% | .248 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 219 | 30 |
| Daniel Bard R 2025 · 5.03 FIP | 38 | SU | 5.03 | 20.3% | 19.8% | 2.1% | .224 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.45 | 200 | 25 |
| Jason Grilli R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 39 | SW | 4.20 | 32.3% | 12.4% | 4.1% | .264 | 5.70 | 26.1% | 16.3% | 40 | +1.50 | 2.03 | 133 | 23 |
| Ryan Vogelsong R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 39 | SP- | 4.88 | 16.7% | 10.4% | 3.4% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.44 | 217 | 21 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.