Matt Moore
P
ACL Royals
Age 37
LHP
6'3" / 210 lbs
ROK
2026 ROS PROJECTION3 act + 33 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 105115vR 124
ERA4.42
FIP4.84
K%21.7%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%12.1%
ROS IP33
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p2592.7
Whiff%
p5926.7%
K%
p3219.5%
xwOBA vs
p390.324
FB+4.2 (50%)
CU (18%)
CT-2.0 (1%)
CH-5.1 (32%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 22 | 22 | 114 | 490 | 113 | 38 | 16 | 100% | 5.2 | 21.9% | 7.8% | 14.1% | 3.5% | 4.41 | 4.18 | +1.6 |
| 2015 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 22 | 22 | 114 | 490 | 113 | 38 | 16 | 100% | 5.2 | 23.1% | 7.8% | 15.3% | 3.3% | 4.41 | 3.94 | +2.0 |
| 2016 | 27 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 33 | 33 | 198 | 838 | 178 | 71 | 25 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.2% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 3.2% | 4.08 | 4.16 | +2.9 |
| 2016 | 27 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 33 | 33 | 198 | 838 | 178 | 71 | 25 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.2% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 3.0% | 4.08 | 4.02 | +3.2 |
| 2017 | 28 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 32 | 31 | 174 | 790 | 148 | 64 | 27 | 97% | 5.4 | 18.7% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 3.7% | 5.52 | 4.58 | +1.7 |
| 2017 | 28 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | 32 | 31 | 174 | 790 | 148 | 64 | 27 | 97% | 5.4 | 18.7% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 3.4% | 5.52 | 4.52 | +1.8 |
| 2018 | 29 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 39 | 12 | 102 | 471 | 86 | 40 | 19 | 31% | 2.6 | 18.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 3.9% | 6.79 | 4.79 | +0.7 |
| 2018 | 29 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 39 | 12 | 102 | 471 | 86 | 40 | 19 | 31% | 2.6 | 18.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 4.0% | 6.79 | 5.01 | +0.5 |
| 2019 | 30 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 2 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 5.0 | 27.3% | 3.0% | 24.2% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.18 | +0.4 |
| 2019 | 30 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | 2 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 5.0 | 27.3% | 3.0% | 24.2% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.60 | +0.3 |
| 2021 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 18 | 92 | 421 | 85 | 45 | 20 | 62% | 3.2 | 19.6% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 5.95 | 5.49 | -0.3 |
| 2021 | 32 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 18 | 92 | 421 | 85 | 45 | 20 | 62% | 3.2 | 20.2% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 5.95 | 5.54 | -0.3 |
| 2022 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 65 | 0 | 79 | 321 | 90 | 37 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 27.3% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 1.0% | 1.82 | 2.82 | +2.0 |
| 2022 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 65 | 0 | 79 | 321 | 90 | 37 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 28.0% | 11.5% | 16.5% | 0.9% | 1.82 | 2.72 | +2.1 |
| 2023 | 34 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 50 | 0 | 53 | 218 | 60 | 12 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.5% | 5.5% | 22.0% | 3.4% | 2.56 | 3.34 | +0.7 |
| 2023 | 34 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 50 | 0 | 53 | 218 | 60 | 12 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.5% | 5.5% | 22.0% | 3.2% | 2.56 | 3.23 | +0.8 |
| 2024 | 35 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 51 | 0 | 48 | 210 | 41 | 24 | 11 | 0% | 0.9 | 19.5% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.03 | 5.88 | -0.8 |
| 2024 | 35 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 51 | 0 | 48 | 210 | 41 | 24 | 11 | 0% | 0.9 | 19.5% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.03 | 5.85 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 37 | ROK | ACL Royals | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1.5 | — | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 37 | MLB | KC | 5 | 5 | 33 | 138 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 100% | 6.6 | 21.7% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 3.6% | 4.42 | 4.84 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 37 | MLB | KC | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.7% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 3.5% | 4.36 | 4.78 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 37 | MLB | KC | — | — | 36 | 148 | 34 | 13 | 5 | — | — | 22.9% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 3.4% | 4.05 | 4.43 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 38 | MLB | KC | 27 | 0 | 28 | 119 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 4.0% | 4.93 | 5.27 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 38 | MLB | KC | 27 | 0 | 28 | 118 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 3.9% | 4.86 | 5.20 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 333 | 103 | 824 | 3595 | 738 | 316 | 121 | 31% | 2.5 | 20.5% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 3.4% | 4.77 | 4.32 | +10.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 81 | 25 | 200 | 873 | 179 | 77 | 29 | 31% | 2.5 | 20.5% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 3.4% | 4.77 | 4.32 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 325 | 120 | 874 | 3802 | 803 | 334 | 135 | 37% | 2.7 | 21.1% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 3.5% | 4.62 | 4.37 | +10.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 74 | 27 | 200 | 870 | 184 | 76 | 31 | 37% | 2.7 | 21.1% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 3.5% | 4.62 | 4.37 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Matt Moore (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.84 | 21.7% | 9.6% | 3.6% | — | 5.27 | 20.5% | 10.2% | 28 | +0.43 | — | — | — |
| Wandy Rodriguez L 2025 · 3.84 FIP | 36 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.4% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 101 | 55 |
| Jorge De La Rosa L 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 37 | SU | 3.99 | 19.3% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 405 | 54 |
| Scott Kazmir L 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 37 | SP | 4.59 | 19.2% | 8.8% | 3.6% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.72 | 395 | 51 |
| Juan Antonio Pena L 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 37 | SP- | 4.15 | 13.6% | 9.9% | 1.7% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.15 | 149 | 50 |
| Craig Breslow L 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 37 | SU | 5.02 | 17.8% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .400 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.22 | 159 | 41 |
| Jonathan Sánchez L 2025 · 4.65 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.65 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 3.7% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.65 | 109 | 40 |
| Jorge Castillo L 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 37 | SP | 5.23 | 19.6% | 8.1% | 5.0% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.40 | 408 | 39 |
| Jean Machi R 2024 · 3.92 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.92 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 186 | 34 |
| Tsuyoshi Wada L 2023 · 3.68 FIP | 34 | SP | 3.68 | 16.8% | 7.1% | 2.0% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 119 | 33 |
| Francisley Bueno L 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 36 | SP | 4.60 | 11.7% | 8.4% | 2.6% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39 | 138 | 32 |
| Chris Narveson L 2024 · 4.40 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.40 | 12.2% | 10.4% | 1.8% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.40 | 249 | 31 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2025 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 31 |
| Ryan Vogelsong R 2027 · 4.46 FIP | 38 | SP- | 4.46 | 18.1% | 9.4% | 3.1% | .295 | 4.67 | 16.7% | 6.3% | 82 | +0.21 | 4.46 | 217 | 30 |
| Eric Stults L 2024 · 4.25 FIP | 35 | SP | 4.25 | 14.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 138 | 30 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2024 · 4.59 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.59 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 208 | 29 |
| Jake Peavy R 2024 · 4.36 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.36 | 19.6% | 6.7% | 3.8% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.09 | 262 | 29 |
| Fernando Rodney R 2027 · 4.26 FIP | 38 | SU | 4.26 | 20.9% | 9.4% | 3.2% | .272 | 3.34 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 185 | -0.92 | 2.67 | 295 | 29 |
| Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 37 | SU | 4.04 | 22.0% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .289 | 4.08 | 16.8% | 1.6% | 44 | +0.04 | 3.51 | 219 | 29 |
| Salvador Valdez R 2025 · 4.24 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.24 | 17.1% | 8.2% | 2.8% | .405 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 326 | 29 |
| Jonathan Castellanos R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 37 | SW | 5.02 | 11.0% | 9.0% | 3.1% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 394 | 27 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 30 | 21.1% | 9.9% | 1.47 | 4.66 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Alex Young ('23) | 5 | 52 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 1.61 | 4.43 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |