Dean Kremer
P
Baltimore Orioles
Age 30
RHP
6'2" / 210 lbs
MLB
Svc 4.0 · Ctrl thru 2027
peak 2.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION42 act + 68 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109100vR 91
ERA3.89
FIP3.96
K%23.2%
BB%6.9%
K-BB%16.3%
ROS IP68
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 109 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p3493.4
Whiff%
p8931.4%
K%
p8127.9%
xwOBA vs
p370.327
CT (10%)
SL (2%)
SI (16%)
CU (14%)
FB-3.2 (39%)
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 6 | 32 | 118 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 50% | 2.6 | 21.3% | 7.2% | 14.1% | 0.0% | 2.27 | 2.21 | — |
| 2016 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 6 | 32 | 118 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 50% | 2.6 | 29.7% | 5.9% | 23.7% | 0.0% | 2.27 | 1.55 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 33 | 6 | 80 | 356 | 96 | 34 | 6 | 18% | 2.4 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 1.8% | 5.17 | 3.73 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | 33 | 6 | 80 | 356 | 96 | 34 | 6 | 18% | 2.4 | 27.0% | 9.6% | 17.4% | 1.7% | 5.17 | 2.95 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 131 | 534 | 178 | 46 | 10 | 100% | 5.3 | 26.1% | 9.7% | 16.4% | 2.1% | 2.88 | 3.26 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 131 | 534 | 178 | 46 | 10 | 100% | 5.3 | 33.3% | 8.6% | 24.7% | 1.9% | 2.88 | 2.43 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 21 | 21 | 114 | 475 | 122 | 37 | 11 | 100% | 5.4 | 20.4% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 3.2% | 3.72 | 4.18 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 21 | 21 | 114 | 475 | 122 | 37 | 11 | 100% | 5.4 | 25.7% | 7.8% | 17.9% | 2.3% | 3.72 | 3.19 | — |
| 2020 | 24 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 4 | 4 | 19 | 83 | 22 | 12 | 0 | 100% | 4.7 | 26.5% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 0.0% | 4.82 | 2.69 | +0.4 |
| 2020 | 24 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 4 | 4 | 19 | 83 | 22 | 12 | 0 | 100% | 4.7 | 26.5% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 0.0% | 4.82 | 2.67 | +0.4 |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 26 | 116 | 515 | 116 | 45 | 26 | 87% | 3.9 | 20.9% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 5.0% | 6.13 | 5.19 | +0.3 |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 26 | 116 | 515 | 116 | 45 | 26 | 87% | 3.9 | 22.5% | 8.7% | 13.8% | 5.0% | 6.13 | 5.18 | +0.3 |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 24 | 134 | 544 | 105 | 36 | 11 | 96% | 5.4 | 17.0% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 2.0% | 3.01 | 3.60 | +2.8 |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 24 | 134 | 544 | 105 | 36 | 11 | 96% | 5.4 | 19.3% | 6.6% | 12.7% | 2.0% | 3.01 | 3.41 | +3.1 |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 32 | 32 | 173 | 735 | 157 | 55 | 27 | 100% | 5.4 | 21.4% | 7.5% | 13.9% | 3.4% | 4.12 | 4.12 | +2.6 |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 32 | 32 | 173 | 735 | 157 | 55 | 27 | 100% | 5.4 | 21.4% | 7.5% | 13.9% | 3.7% | 4.12 | 4.27 | +2.3 |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 138 | 599 | 132 | 55 | 22 | 100% | 5.1 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 3.0% | 4.55 | 4.05 | +2.2 |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 27 | 138 | 599 | 132 | 55 | 22 | 100% | 5.1 | 22.0% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 3.7% | 4.55 | 4.45 | +1.5 |
| 2025 | 29 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 31 | 29 | 172 | 708 | 142 | 45 | 22 | 94% | 5.5 | 20.1% | 6.4% | 13.7% | 2.9% | 4.19 | 3.80 | +3.2 |
| 2025 | 29 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 31 | 29 | 172 | 708 | 142 | 45 | 22 | 94% | 5.5 | 20.1% | 6.4% | 13.7% | 3.1% | 4.19 | 3.90 | +3.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | 8 | 8 | 42 | 161 | 49 | 9 | 10 | 100% | 5.2 | 28.6% | 5.7% | 22.8% | 6.3% | 3.02 | 4.86 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | BAL | 11 | 11 | 68 | 285 | 66 | 20 | 10 | 100% | 6.1 | 23.2% | 6.9% | 16.3% | 3.5% | 3.89 | 3.96 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | BAL | 11 | 11 | 68 | 287 | 67 | 20 | 11 | 100% | 6.2 | 23.2% | 6.9% | 16.3% | 3.7% | 3.96 | 4.03 | +0.5 |
| 2026 TOT | 30 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 109 | 446 | 115 | 29 | 20 | — | — | 25.8% | 6.4% | 19.4% | 4.5% | 3.56 | 4.30 | +1.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 30 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 90 | 378 | 115 | 29 | 20 | — | — | 30.5% | 7.6% | 22.9% | 5.4% | 4.39 | 4.46 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | BAL | 25 | 25 | 149 | 630 | 136 | 45 | 27 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.6% | 7.1% | 14.5% | 4.3% | 4.82 | 4.94 | +0.8 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | BAL | 23 | 23 | 138 | 582 | 121 | 44 | 27 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.8% | 7.5% | 13.3% | 4.6% | 5.04 | 5.19 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | BAL | 21 | 21 | 126 | 534 | 106 | 42 | 26 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.9% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 4.9% | 5.30 | 5.47 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | BAL | 25 | 25 | 149 | 629 | 136 | 45 | 28 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.6% | 7.1% | 14.5% | 4.5% | 4.91 | 5.03 | +0.6 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | BAL | 23 | 23 | 138 | 583 | 121 | 44 | 28 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.8% | 7.5% | 13.3% | 4.8% | 5.13 | 5.28 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | BAL | 21 | 21 | 126 | 532 | 106 | 42 | 27 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.9% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 5.0% | 5.40 | 5.57 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 212 | 209 | 1175 | 4953 | 1031 | 376 | 197 | 99% | 5.5 | 20.8% | 7.6% | 13.2% | 4.0% | 4.55 | 4.49 | +12.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 36 | 36 | 200 | 843 | 176 | 64 | 34 | 99% | 5.5 | 20.8% | 7.6% | 13.2% | 4.0% | 4.55 | 4.49 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 248 | 208 | 1150 | 4828 | 1036 | 397 | 143 | 84% | 4.6 | 21.5% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 3.0% | 4.07 | 3.95 | +19.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 43 | 36 | 200 | 840 | 180 | 69 | 25 | 84% | 4.6 | 21.5% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 3.0% | 4.07 | 3.95 | +3.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dean Kremer (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.31 | 20.7% | 7.2% | 3.0% | — | 5.19 | 20.8% | 13.3% | 414 | +0.88 | — | — | — |
| Jason Hammel R 2028 · 3.43 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.43 | 24.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | .282 | 4.26 | 18.4% | 11.9% | 474 | +0.83 | 3.43 | 645 | 44 |
| Chris Bassitt R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.10 | 23.0% | 7.7% | 3.6% | .258 | 3.32 | 23.2% | 16.9% | 402 | -0.78 | 3.02 | 1,507 | 44 |
| Ian Kennedy R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.46 | 24.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | .293 | 4.91 | 21.1% | 13.0% | 469 | +0.45 | 2.87 | 864 | 44 |
| Jarrett Grube R 2029 · 3.49 FIP | 33 | SP | 3.49 | 18.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | .285 | 4.58 | 17.3% | 9.6% | 253 | +1.09 | 3.49 | 393 | 43 |
| Mike Fiers R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 30 | SP | 3.72 | 23.7% | 7.8% | 3.0% | .277 | 4.56 | 19.9% | 13.3% | 494 | +0.84 | 3.72 | 918 | 43 |
| Miles Mikolas R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 30 | SP | 3.97 | 18.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | .295 | 3.91 | 18.4% | 13.4% | 266 | -0.06 | 3.06 | 1,275 | 42 |
| Chase Anderson R 2026 · 5.21 FIP | 30 | SP | 5.21 | 19.9% | 8.9% | 4.9% | .235 | 5.07 | 20.1% | 11.9% | 253 | -0.14 | 3.42 | 1,146 | 42 |
| Charlie Morton R 2027 · 3.55 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.55 | 17.9% | 6.3% | 2.1% | .302 | 3.11 | 27.7% | 18.9% | 331 | -0.44 | 2.55 | 1,534 | 42 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez R 2027 · 3.67 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.67 | 21.2% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .302 | 4.58 | 20.6% | 10.5% | 285 | +0.91 | 3.67 | 469 | 41 |
| Tanner Roark R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 30 | SP | 3.88 | 21.4% | 7.6% | 3.0% | .294 | 4.43 | 20.3% | 13.2% | 393 | +0.55 | 3.13 | 942 | 41 |
| Tom Koehler R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.39 | 19.0% | 9.8% | 3.0% | .291 | 4.71 | 22.4% | 13.4% | 110 | +0.32 | 4.39 | 474 | 41 |
| Miguel González R 2027 · 4.59 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.59 | 17.5% | 7.9% | 3.6% | .289 | 4.25 | 15.9% | 9.0% | 325 | -0.34 | 3.73 | 469 | 41 |
| Merrill Kelly R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.21 | 20.3% | 6.8% | 3.6% | .289 | 3.67 | 21.1% | 14.8% | 390 | -0.54 | 3.54 | 1,102 | 41 |
| Marco Estrada R 2028 · 4.32 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.32 | 18.1% | 7.3% | 3.3% | .213 | 4.55 | 20.6% | 12.0% | 506 | +0.23 | 4.04 | 710 | 41 |
| Mitch Atkins R 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 30 | SP- | 3.37 | 21.4% | 8.2% | 1.9% | .341 | 4.49 | 14.3% | 6.2% | 78 | +1.12 | 3.37 | 205 | 41 |
| Jesse Chavez R 2027 · 3.80 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.80 | 20.2% | 6.8% | 2.8% | .309 | 4.37 | 22.0% | 16.2% | 300 | +0.57 | 2.03 | 804 | 41 |
| Rick Porcello R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.43 | 18.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | .303 | 3.14 | 20.7% | 15.0% | 59 | -1.29 | 3.14 | 1,023 | 40 |
| Jose Samayoa R 2025 · 4.65 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.65 | 19.4% | 7.0% | 4.2% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 262 | 40 |
| Masahiro Tanaka R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 30 | SP | 3.99 | 19.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | .292 | 4.06 | 22.3% | 18.2% | 48 | +0.07 | 3.33 | 918 | 40 |
| James Shields R 2029 · 4.36 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.36 | 25.1% | 8.8% | 4.1% | .292 | 5.12 | 17.9% | 8.6% | 517 | +0.76 | 4.36 | 720 | 40 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 143 | 20.8% | 7.4% | 1.61 | 4.82 |
| Dan Straily ('19) | 4 | 136 | 20.0% | 8.9% | 1.72 | 4.54 |
| Félix Hernández ('19) | 5 | 134 | 20.0% | 8.1% | 1.39 | 4.48 |
| Mike Foltynewicz ('21) | 6 | 134 | 21.4% | 7.7% | 1.46 | 4.45 |
| Marco Estrada ('19) | 5 | 142 | 19.6% | 8.3% | 1.44 | 4.33 |
| Ricky Nolasco ('17) | 3 | 139 | 18.1% | 6.5% | 1.38 | 4.85 |
| CC Sabathia ('19) CYAS×6HOF | 5 | 151 | 20.2% | 7.8% | 1.39 | 4.14 |