Walbert Urena
P
Los Angeles Angels
Age 22
RHP
6'0" / 210 lbs
MLB
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031
peak 2.6 · 2030
2026 ROS PROJECTION90 act + 68 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10595vR 86
ERA4.25
FIP4.25
K%20.1%
BB%14.1%
K-BB%6.0%
ROS IP68
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 158 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p9097.3
Whiff%
p6828.1%
K%
p4922.0%
xwOBA vs
p800.283
CH+1.9 (33%)
SI (31%)
SL (16%)
FB-2.6 (51%)
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | ACL Angels | 12 | 10 | 37 | 170 | 45 | 32 | 2 | 83% | 3.1 | 18.0% | 23.5% | -5.5% | 1.9% | 3.86 | 5.58 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | ACL Angels | 12 | 10 | 37 | 170 | 45 | 32 | 2 | 83% | 3.1 | 26.5% | 18.8% | 7.6% | 1.2% | 3.86 | 3.96 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 22 | 21 | 99 | 446 | 97 | 60 | 5 | 95% | 4.5 | 16.1% | 15.9% | 0.2% | 1.8% | 5.66 | 4.76 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | 22 | 21 | 99 | 446 | 97 | 60 | 5 | 95% | 4.5 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 8.3% | 1.1% | 5.66 | 3.62 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | 16 | 16 | 77 | 346 | 64 | 54 | 3 | 100% | 4.8 | 14.2% | 17.9% | -3.7% | 1.3% | 4.19 | 4.89 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | 16 | 16 | 77 | 346 | 64 | 54 | 3 | 100% | 4.8 | 18.5% | 15.6% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 4.19 | 4.04 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 28 | 141 | 604 | 125 | 73 | 8 | 100% | 5.0 | 16.1% | 13.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 4.34 | 4.29 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 28 | 141 | 604 | 125 | 73 | 8 | 100% | 5.0 | 20.7% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 1.3% | 4.34 | 3.62 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 19 | 17 | 90 | 391 | 85 | 49 | 6 | 89% | 4.7 | 22.0% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 1.4% | 3.21 | 3.62 | +1.6 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | LAA | 13 | 13 | 68 | 289 | 58 | 41 | 6 | 100% | 5.3 | 20.1% | 14.1% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 4.25 | 4.25 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | LAA | 13 | 13 | 68 | 287 | 58 | 41 | 5 | 100% | 5.2 | 20.1% | 14.1% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 4.23 | 4.23 | +0.4 |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 158 | 680 | 143 | 90 | 12 | — | — | 21.1% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 1.7% | 3.66 | 3.90 | +2.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 22 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 150 | 632 | 143 | 90 | 11 | — | — | 22.6% | 14.2% | 8.4% | 1.8% | 3.86 | 3.98 | +2.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | LAA | 33 | 33 | 175 | 739 | 155 | 95 | 15 | 100% | 5.3 | 21.0% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 2.0% | 4.50 | 4.42 | +2.0 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | LAA | 32 | 32 | 179 | 757 | 165 | 91 | 15 | 100% | 5.6 | 21.8% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 2.0% | 4.36 | 4.28 | +2.4 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | LAA | 31 | 31 | 180 | 760 | 169 | 88 | 16 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.2% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 2.1% | 4.27 | 4.21 | +2.5 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | LAA | 30 | 30 | 180 | 760 | 170 | 87 | 16 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.4% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 2.1% | 4.23 | 4.19 | +2.5 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | LAA | 30 | 30 | 177 | 749 | 168 | 87 | 16 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.4% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 2.1% | 4.23 | 4.23 | +2.4 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 29 | 29 | 172 | 726 | 162 | 85 | 16 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.3% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 2.2% | 4.28 | 4.31 | +2.2 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB | LAA | 27 | 27 | 164 | 694 | 153 | 83 | 17 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.0% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 2.4% | 4.38 | 4.45 | +1.8 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | LAA | 26 | 26 | 154 | 652 | 141 | 80 | 17 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.7% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | 4.53 | 4.62 | +1.4 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | LAA | 24 | 24 | 144 | 608 | 129 | 77 | 17 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.3% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 4.71 | 4.83 | +1.0 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB | LAA | 22 | 22 | 133 | 562 | 117 | 73 | 17 | 100% | 6.1 | 20.8% | 13.0% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 4.92 | 5.05 | +0.5 |
| 2037 | 33 | MLB | LAA | 20 | 20 | 122 | 516 | 105 | 69 | 17 | 100% | 6.1 | 20.3% | 13.5% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 5.15 | 5.30 | +0.1 |
| 2038 | 34 | MLB | LAA | 19 | 19 | 111 | 470 | 93 | 65 | 17 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.8% | 14.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 5.41 | 5.58 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | LAA | 31 | 31 | 166 | 701 | 147 | 90 | 14 | 100% | 5.4 | 21.0% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 2.0% | 4.48 | 4.40 | +1.9 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | LAA | 30 | 30 | 170 | 718 | 156 | 86 | 14 | 100% | 5.7 | 21.8% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 2.0% | 4.34 | 4.26 | +2.3 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | LAA | 29 | 29 | 171 | 722 | 160 | 84 | 15 | 100% | 5.9 | 22.2% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 2.0% | 4.25 | 4.19 | +2.4 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | LAA | 28 | 28 | 171 | 722 | 162 | 83 | 15 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.4% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 2.1% | 4.21 | 4.17 | +2.5 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | LAA | 28 | 28 | 168 | 709 | 159 | 82 | 15 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.4% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 2.1% | 4.21 | 4.21 | +2.3 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 27 | 27 | 163 | 688 | 153 | 81 | 15 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.3% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 2.2% | 4.26 | 4.29 | +2.1 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB | LAA | 26 | 26 | 156 | 659 | 145 | 79 | 15 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.0% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 2.4% | 4.36 | 4.43 | +1.8 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | LAA | 24 | 24 | 147 | 621 | 134 | 76 | 16 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.7% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 2.5% | 4.51 | 4.60 | +1.4 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | LAA | 23 | 23 | 137 | 578 | 123 | 73 | 16 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.3% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 4.68 | 4.80 | +1.0 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB | LAA | 21 | 21 | 127 | 536 | 112 | 70 | 16 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.8% | 13.0% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 4.89 | 5.02 | +0.6 |
| 2037 | 33 | MLB | LAA | 19 | 19 | 116 | 490 | 100 | 66 | 16 | 100% | 6.1 | 20.3% | 13.5% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 5.12 | 5.27 | +0.2 |
| 2038 | 34 | MLB | LAA | 17 | 17 | 101 | 426 | 84 | 59 | 15 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.8% | 14.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 5.38 | 5.55 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 335 | 333 | 1943 | 8215 | 1772 | 1014 | 193 | 99% | 5.8 | 21.6% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 2.3% | 4.42 | 4.13 | +28.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 846 | 182 | 104 | 20 | 99% | 5.8 | 21.6% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 2.3% | 4.42 | 4.13 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 97 | 92 | 444 | 1957 | 335 | 303 | 31 | 95% | 4.6 | 17.1% | 15.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 4.34 | 4.48 | +4.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 44 | 41 | 200 | 882 | 151 | 136 | 14 | 95% | 4.6 | 17.1% | 15.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 4.34 | 4.48 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Walbert Urena (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.28 | 16.9% | 15.5% | 2.3% | — | 4.30 | 21.7% | 9.5% | 534 | -0.98 | — | — | — |
| Robert Stephenson R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.12 | 20.6% | 13.3% | 2.0% | .271 | 4.88 | 21.4% | 9.1% | 423 | +0.76 | 3.06 | 778 | 80 |
| Jaime Schultz R 2028 · 4.56 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.56 | 23.2% | 16.9% | 2.3% | .297 | 3.80 | 27.5% | 14.7% | 209 | -0.76 | 2.14 | 391 | 80 |
| Peyton Olejnik R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.16 | 17.1% | 13.2% | 1.5% | .318 | 3.40 | 18.5% | 8.7% | 73 | -0.76 | 3.40 | 202 | 79 |
| Jordan Sheffield R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.09 | 16.8% | 13.8% | 3.0% | .320 | 5.62 | 22.6% | 4.7% | 89 | +0.53 | 3.79 | 248 | 78 |
| Carlos Hernandez R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.34 | 17.4% | 15.7% | 1.3% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 123 | 77 |
| Will Watson R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.19 | 21.8% | 13.4% | 2.2% | .275 | 5.43 | 15.2% | 2.1% | 20 | +1.24 | 4.19 | 141 | 77 |
| Austin Brice R 2027 · 4.64 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.64 | 18.5% | 13.7% | 2.5% | .295 | 3.68 | 19.0% | 12.0% | 222 | -0.96 | 3.30 | 542 | 77 |
| Will Schomberg R 2027 · 5.00 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.00 | 21.4% | 15.6% | 3.2% | .266 | 3.84 | 23.3% | 11.7% | 90 | -1.16 | 3.84 | 206 | 76 |
| Garrett Cave R 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.92 | 16.4% | 14.9% | 2.4% | .301 | 4.97 | 17.8% | -8.8% | 40 | +0.05 | 4.92 | 156 | 76 |
| Trent Baker R 2027 · 4.24 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.24 | 19.3% | 10.7% | 2.6% | .315 | 3.90 | 18.1% | 9.4% | 296 | -0.34 | 3.74 | 459 | 76 |
| Aaron Davenport R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.63 | 20.0% | 13.2% | 2.8% | .280 | 4.97 | 16.9% | 5.2% | 391 | +0.34 | 4.09 | 498 | 76 |
| Keyvius Sampson R 2028 · 4.11 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.11 | 16.9% | 12.2% | 1.6% | .314 | 4.66 | 21.2% | 7.9% | 181 | +0.55 | 4.11 | 316 | 76 |
| Tanner Houck R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.06 | 16.5% | 13.3% | 3.0% | .294 | 3.09 | 24.3% | 14.8% | 215 | -1.97 | 2.23 | 733 | 76 |
| Adam Hill R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.96 | 15.6% | 12.6% | 2.9% | .297 | 6.36 | 19.6% | 8.9% | 91 | +1.40 | 4.96 | 213 | 76 |
| Chris Ellis R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.91 | 17.2% | 11.6% | 3.3% | .290 | 3.93 | 18.0% | 7.7% | 410 | -0.98 | 3.85 | 780 | 75 |
| Blade Tidwell R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.86 | 24.5% | 14.7% | 3.6% | .284 | 4.49 | 21.1% | 9.8% | 292 | -0.37 | 4.07 | 408 | 75 |
| Ty Cummings R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.14 | 19.0% | 10.5% | 2.4% | .329 | 5.29 | 14.4% | 5.8% | 150 | +1.15 | 4.14 | 267 | 75 |
| Wyatt Marks R 2027 · 4.29 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.29 | 21.3% | 10.7% | 3.0% | .301 | 6.20 | 9.5% | -10.4% | 18 | +1.91 | 4.29 | 152 | 75 |
| Tony Dibrell R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.21 | 19.4% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .291 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 4.6% | 157 | +0.71 | 4.21 | 347 | 75 |
| Carlos Pimentel R 2029 · 4.56 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.56 | 17.1% | 11.6% | 2.6% | .266 | 4.17 | 15.8% | 5.8% | 158 | -0.39 | 4.14 | 301 | 75 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 13 | 158 | 21.2% | 12.5% | 0.95 | 4.59 |
| Kyle Gibson ('24) | 10 | 164 | 19.6% | 8.3% | 1.14 | 4.46 |
| Jon Gray ('24) | 10 | 122 | 23.4% | 7.8% | 1.15 | 4.45 |
| Wade Miley ('23) | 8 | 136 | 18.2% | 8.5% | 1.07 | 4.20 |
| Lance Lynn ('24) | 9 | 154 | 23.9% | 8.1% | 1.20 | 3.86 |
| Zach Davies ('23) | 9 | 116 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 1.16 | 4.36 |
| Aaron Sanchez ('22) | 7 | 93 | 18.1% | 10.0% | 0.98 | 4.32 |