Kyle Wright
P
Omaha Storm Chasers
Age 30
RHP
6'4" / 215 lbs
AAA
peak 0.5 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION9 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA4.56
FIP4.59
xFIP4.05
SIERA4.23
K%23.1%
BB%10.7%
K-BB%12.4%
IP9
K†5555
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.5peak
2026
FB Velo
p3293.2
Whiff%
p3523.2%
K%
p4821.9%
xwOBA vs
p170.351
SL-1.3
FB-11.0
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 21 | A+ | Florida Fire Frogs | 9 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 26.5% | 8.8% | 0.0% | 2.65 | 1.98 | +0.5 |
| 2018 | 22 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 31 | 24 | 144 | 604 | 138 | 57 | 10 | 19.0% | 9.7% | 2.0% | 3.50 | 3.80 | +2.7 |
| 2019 | 23 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 28 | 25 | 132 | 569 | 134 | 47 | 17 | 21.1% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 4.84 | 4.52 | +1.4 |
| 2020 | 24 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 8 | 8 | 38 | 168 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 17.9% | 13.7% | 4.2% | 5.21 | 5.61 | -0.5 |
| 2021 | 25 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 26 | 26 | 143 | 601 | 143 | 50 | 11 | 21.3% | 8.3% | 1.7% | 3.33 | 3.32 | +3.5 |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 30 | 30 | 180 | 738 | 174 | 53 | 19 | 23.6% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 3.19 | 3.43 | +4.2 |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 13 | 11 | 45 | 213 | 52 | 22 | 6 | 21.9% | 11.0% | 3.2% | 6.35 | 4.41 | +0.1 |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 8 | 8 | 23 | 107 | 21 | 14 | 3 | 20.2% | 15.5% | 3.6% | 5.48 | 5.32 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | KC | 8 | — | 8 | 35 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 23.1% | 10.7% | 3.1% | 4.56 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | KC | 20 | — | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 22.4% | 11.1% | 3.3% | 4.72 | 4.82 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 153 | 141 | 723 | 3068 | 653 | 279 | 81 | 21.3% | 9.1% | 2.6% | 3.95 | 3.91 | +12.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 42 | 39 | 200 | 849 | 181 | 77 | 22 | 21.3% | 9.1% | 2.6% | 3.95 | 3.91 | +3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Kyle Wright (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.59 | 23.1% | 10.7% | 3.1% | — | 4.82 | 22.3% | 11.3% | 20 | +0.23 | — | — | — |
| Matt Buschmann R 2027 · 3.92 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.92 | 17.2% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .282 | 4.71 | 12.8% | 4.4% | 142 | +0.79 | 3.92 | 277 | 79 |
| Tom Koehler R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.39 | 19.0% | 9.8% | 3.0% | .291 | 4.71 | 22.4% | 13.4% | 110 | +0.32 | 4.39 | 474 | 77 |
| Kodai Senga R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 30 | SP | 3.40 | 29.1% | 11.1% | 2.5% | .274 | 4.30 | 22.2% | 10.1% | 145 | +0.90 | 3.40 | 311 | 77 |
| Charlie Morton R 2027 · 3.55 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.55 | 17.9% | 6.3% | 2.1% | .302 | 3.11 | 27.7% | 18.9% | 331 | -0.44 | 2.55 | 1,534 | 77 |
| Justin Verlander R 2028 · 3.51 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.51 | 21.1% | 5.8% | 2.7% | .265 | 3.18 | 29.6% | 23.4% | 648 | -0.33 | 2.24 | 1,584 | 77 |
| Miguel González R 2027 · 4.59 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.59 | 17.5% | 7.9% | 3.6% | .289 | 4.25 | 15.9% | 9.0% | 325 | -0.34 | 3.73 | 469 | 76 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez R 2027 · 3.67 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.67 | 21.2% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .302 | 4.58 | 20.6% | 10.5% | 285 | +0.91 | 3.67 | 469 | 75 |
| Matt Garza R 2027 · 4.78 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.78 | 15.6% | 8.1% | 3.6% | .315 | 4.45 | 15.5% | 7.7% | 216 | -0.33 | 4.12 | 365 | 75 |
| Chase Anderson R 2026 · 5.21 FIP | 30 | SP | 5.21 | 19.9% | 8.9% | 4.9% | .235 | 5.07 | 20.1% | 11.9% | 253 | -0.14 | 3.42 | 1,146 | 73 |
| Nate Long R 2025 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.86 | 14.8% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 151 | 73 |
| Chris Bassitt R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.10 | 23.0% | 7.7% | 3.6% | .258 | 3.32 | 23.2% | 16.9% | 402 | -0.78 | 3.02 | 1,507 | 73 |
| Ian Kennedy R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.46 | 24.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | .293 | 4.91 | 21.1% | 13.0% | 469 | +0.45 | 2.87 | 864 | 72 |
| Jesse Chavez R 2027 · 3.80 FIP | 31 | SP | 3.80 | 20.2% | 6.8% | 2.8% | .309 | 4.37 | 22.0% | 16.2% | 300 | +0.57 | 2.03 | 804 | 72 |
| Merrill Kelly R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.21 | 20.3% | 6.8% | 3.6% | .289 | 3.67 | 21.1% | 14.8% | 390 | -0.54 | 3.54 | 1,073 | 72 |
| Aníbal Sánchez R 2027 · 4.89 FIP | 31 | SP | 4.89 | 20.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | .276 | 4.56 | 22.2% | 15.0% | 411 | -0.33 | 3.49 | 869 | 71 |
| Mike Fiers R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 30 | SP | 3.72 | 23.7% | 7.8% | 3.0% | .277 | 4.56 | 19.9% | 13.3% | 494 | +0.84 | 3.72 | 918 | 71 |
| Nestor Molina R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.12 | 16.1% | 7.4% | 2.6% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.07 | 401 | 71 |
| Jarrett Grube R 2029 · 3.49 FIP | 33 | SP | 3.49 | 18.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | .285 | 4.58 | 17.3% | 9.6% | 253 | +1.09 | 3.49 | 393 | 69 |
| James Shields R 2029 · 4.36 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.36 | 25.1% | 8.8% | 4.1% | .292 | 5.12 | 17.9% | 8.6% | 517 | +0.76 | 4.36 | 720 | 69 |
| Jhoulys Chacín R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 30 | SP | 3.82 | 19.6% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .244 | 4.93 | 20.0% | 10.1% | 168 | +1.11 | 3.79 | 887 | 69 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.