Mike Baumann P Syracuse Mets
Age 30 RHP 6'4" / 240 lbs AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION11 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125116vR 107
ERA4.68
FIP4.68
K%22.9%
BB%10.9%
K-BB%12.0%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 78 IP
K: -0.3 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -1.3 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -1.8 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-2CONTACTSTAM: +6.5 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+7STAMTotal WAR: +0.32 (78 IP)+0.3WAR
0.1-0.2-0.42628
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF5050
CTRL4040
CMD4545
K†5555
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p7896.5
Whiff%
p4424.5%
K%
p4922.0%
xwOBA vs
p290.337
SL (24%)
CH (2%)
CU (33%)
FB-8.0 (41%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201721ROKGCL Orioles1115200100%1.040.0%0.0%40.0%0.0%0.00-0.28
201721ROKGCL Orioles1115200100%1.040.0%0.0%40.0%0.0%0.00-0.90
201822MIX2 levels2424131534106539100%5.415.0%11.5%3.5%1.2%3.173.96
201822MIX2 levels2424131534106539100%5.419.9%9.9%9.9%1.7%3.173.59
201923MIX2 levels242212449214245492%5.222.8%10.3%12.4%0.9%2.982.98
201923MIX2 levels242212449214245492%5.228.9%9.1%19.7%0.8%2.982.32
202125MIX4 levels2218813377640882%3.718.6%12.3%6.3%2.1%4.244.23+0.7
202125MIX4 levels2218813377640882%3.722.6%11.9%10.7%2.4%4.243.99+0.9
202226MIX2 levels33139440910434939%2.923.1%8.6%14.4%2.4%4.393.56+1.9
202226MIX2 levels33139440910434939%2.925.4%8.3%17.1%2.2%4.393.22+2.3
202327MIX2 levels66071296703670%1.122.3%11.4%11.0%2.4%3.443.96+0.7
202327MIX2 levels66071296703670%1.123.6%12.2%11.5%2.4%3.443.93+0.7
202428MLBMiami Marlins57058264582790%1.022.0%10.2%11.7%3.6%5.554.52+0.0
202428MLBMiami Marlins57058264582790%1.022.0%10.2%11.7%3.4%5.554.51+0.0
▸ 2026 Season
202630AAASyracuse Mets10011529410%1.115.2%8.1%7.2%2.1%5.734.00+0.1
ROS30MLBNYM64067284653190%1.122.9%10.9%12.0%3.2%4.684.68+0.0
ROS30MLBNYM707307310%1.022.9%10.9%12.0%3.2%4.684.68-0.0
2026 TOT30MLBNYM7833674351022.0%10.4%11.6%3.0%4.834.58+0.3
2026 FULL30MLBNYM72863122.9%10.9%12.0%3.2%4.684.30+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202731MLBNYM60063265593090%1.022.1%11.3%10.9%3.4%4.824.92-0.2
202832MLBNYM55058245522990%1.121.3%11.7%9.7%3.7%5.035.17-0.4
202731MLBNYM2202397211130%1.022.1%11.3%10.9%3.4%4.824.92-0.1
202832MLBNYM30032135291650%1.121.3%11.7%9.7%3.7%5.035.17-0.2
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career1934229997204103302%1.220.4%10.3%10.1%3.0%4.944.34+2.8
/ 200 IP168320087017890262%1.220.4%10.3%10.1%3.0%4.944.34+2.5
Career2377857123894832544533%2.420.2%10.6%9.6%1.9%3.803.78+10.8
/ 200 IP8327200837169891633%2.420.2%10.6%9.6%1.9%3.803.78+3.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Mike Baumann (OGILVIE) 4.68 22.9%10.9%3.2% 5.04 21.7%10.3%121 +0.36
Bud Norris R 2026 · 4.90 FIP 30 SW 4.90 18.8%8.2%4.3%.327 3.85 24.2%15.5%233 -1.05 3.52 316 75
Esmil Rogers R 2025 · 3.51 FIP 29 SW 3.51 18.5%8.9%1.6%.348 2.88 21.7%17.9%40 -0.63 2.88 199 72
Yoanner Negrin R 2027 · 4.02 FIP 31 SW 4.02 15.1%7.5%2.3%.256 3.39 15.0%8.5%270 -0.63 3.19 485 68
Tim Dillard R 2028 · 3.70 FIP 32 SW 3.70 15.9%7.7%1.8%.330 3.83 16.7%8.1%144 +0.13 3.15 352 68
Chris Leroux R 2027 · 4.50 FIP 31 SU 4.50 15.2%8.6%2.9%.279 3.94 13.5%5.5%140 -0.56 3.94 219 68
Josh Zeid R 2026 · 5.41 FIP 30 SW 5.41 18.3%10.8%4.5%.334 4.21 265 68
Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 3.61 FIP 30 SU 3.61 20.4%11.7%1.4%.287 4.00 20.6%8.4%77 +0.39 3.35 129 67
Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.66 FIP 30 SU 4.66 18.3%10.2%3.3%.245 4.56 23.0%12.4%49 -0.10 1.74 195 66
Bryan Mitchell R 2026 · 4.49 FIP 30 SU 4.49 20.6%12.0%2.9%.305 5.01 14.4%3.9%39 +0.52 2.70 481 66
Felipe Arredondo R 2026 · 5.08 FIP 30 SW 5.08 14.8%7.3%4.2%.311 4.91 16.2%9.1%64 -0.17 3.93 337 65
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2029 · 4.40 FIP 33 SU 4.40 26.2%11.2%3.8%.263 3.99 18.1%6.8%51 -0.41 3.99 104 65
Erik Davis R 2026 · 4.18 FIP 30 SU 4.18 22.2%11.1%2.8%.349 3.44 17.4%8.5%65 -0.74 3.07 227 64
Angel Castro R 2028 · 4.89 FIP 32 SU 4.89 15.9%8.0%3.9%.268 4.43 13.6%5.5%231 -0.46 3.48 292 64
Blake Wood R 2026 · 3.79 FIP 30 SU 3.79 24.5%10.6%2.6%.307 3.52 25.3%16.0%74 -0.27 3.05 210 64
Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.12 FIP 30 SU 4.12 18.2%6.3%3.2%.265 3.74 17.8%10.3%131 -0.38 3.53 365 64
Blake Smith R 2024 · 3.66 FIP 28 SU 3.66 22.4%8.6%2.5%.307 3.08 124 64
Javy Guerra R 2026 · 4.25 FIP 30 SU 4.25 21.3%13.9%2.2%.303 3.99 19.5%13.0%193 -0.26 2.95 260 64
Hector Velázquez R 2026 · 4.76 FIP 30 SW 4.76 19.6%12.3%3.2%.292 3.91 19.2%10.9%25 -0.85 2.82 536 64
Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.04 FIP 31 SU 4.04 25.1%10.8%3.1%.280 4.04 102 63
Alexi Ogando R 2027 · 5.03 FIP 31 SU 5.03 19.1%9.4%4.3%.253 3.84 17.2%8.0%67 -1.19 3.73 132 63

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION36322.1%11.3%1.324.83
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Bud Norris ('18)47922.7%9.2%1.285.07
Roansy Contreras ('24)37719.5%10.1%1.364.78
Jorge De La Rosa ('18)49819.5%10.3%1.224.52
Drew VerHagen ('23)64319.7%9.4%1.404.82