George Klassen — OGILVIE

George Klassen P Salt Lake Bees

Age 24 RHP 6'2" / 195 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031 peak 1.7 · 2028 ILInjured 15-Day (D15)

2026 ROS PROJECTION118 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112104vR 96

ERA4.15

FIP4.15

K%22.4%

BB%12.2%

K-BB%10.2%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 122 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$5M ctrl surplus

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF5555

CTRL4045

CMD4045

K†6060

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p7796.4

Whiff%

p8831.3%

p3019.2%

xwOBA vs

p110.358

SL+0.5 (31%)

SI (9%)

CU (4%)

FB-2.5 (47%)

CH-2.6 (17%)

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.1M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.2M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$7M	+$6M
2029	Arb-1	$6M	+0.9	$3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Arb-2	$9M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-3	$11M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$17M	+$9M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	22	22	93	383	135	46	5	100%	4.2	27.0%	13.6%	13.3%	1.7%	3.10	3.50	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	22	22	93	383	135	46	5	100%	4.2	27.0%	13.6%	13.3%	1.7%	3.10	3.50	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	22	22	93	383	135	46	5	100%	4.2	35.2%	12.0%	23.2%	1.3%	3.10	2.38	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	25	109	484	134	47	8	100%	4.3	22.2%	11.0%	11.2%	2.0%	5.22	3.73	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	25	109	484	134	47	8	100%	4.3	22.2%	11.0%	11.2%	2.0%	5.22	3.73	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	25	109	484	134	47	8	100%	4.3	27.7%	9.7%	18.0%	1.7%	5.22	2.89	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			6	6	27	125	24	21	2	100%	4.5	19.2%	16.8%	2.4%	1.6%	3.67	4.62	+0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	25	25	118	520	112	67	11	100%	4.7	18.7%	12.0%	6.7%	2.3%	3.89	4.30	—
YTD	24	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Angels	25	25	118	520	112	67	11	100%	4.7	18.7%	12.0%	6.7%	2.3%	3.89	4.30	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	AAA RAW	LAA	19	19	91	395	88	46	9	100%	4.8	22.3%	11.6%	10.6%	2.3%	3.96	3.94	—
2026	24	MLB RAW	LAA	6	6	27	125	24	21	2	100%	4.5	19.2%	16.8%	2.4%	1.6%	3.67	4.48	+0.1
SO FAR	24	MLB RAW	LAA	6	6	27	125	24	21	2	100%	4.5	19.2%	16.8%	2.4%	1.6%	3.67	4.48	+0.1
ROS	24	MLB MLE	LAA	1	1	4	18	4	2	0	100%	4.3	22.4%	12.2%	10.2%	2.6%	4.15	4.15	+0.0
ROS	24	MLB CTX	LAA	1	1	4	17	4	2	0	100%	4.0	22.4%	12.2%	10.2%	2.6%	4.18	4.18	+0.0
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	LAA	—	—	122	538	116	69	11	—	—	21.6%	12.9%	8.7%	2.1%	3.90	4.29	+0.9
FULL	24	MLB A+C	LAA	—	—	31	132	116	69	11	—	—	87.8%	52.4%	35.4%	8.7%	15.24	7.08	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	LAA	23	23	135	570	134	69	14	100%	5.9	23.4%	12.1%	11.3%	2.4%	4.42	4.36	+0.9
2028	26	MLB MLE	LAA	24	24	147	621	147	73	15	100%	6.1	23.6%	11.7%	11.9%	2.5%	4.36	4.32	+1.0
2029	27	MLB MLE	LAA	25	25	149	628	148	73	16	100%	6.0	23.5%	11.6%	12.0%	2.5%	4.35	4.35	+1.0
2030	28	MLB MLE	LAA	25	25	149	628	147	73	17	100%	6.0	23.4%	11.6%	11.8%	2.7%	4.40	4.44	+0.8
2031	29	MLB MLE	LAA	24	24	142	600	139	71	17	100%	5.9	23.2%	11.9%	11.3%	2.8%	4.50	4.57	+0.5
2032	30	MLB MLE	LAA	22	22	134	564	129	69	17	100%	6.1	22.8%	12.2%	10.6%	3.0%	4.65	4.74	+0.2
2033	31	MLB MLE	LAA	21	21	125	526	118	66	17	100%	5.9	22.4%	12.5%	9.9%	3.2%	4.83	4.94	-0.1
2034	32	MLB MLE	LAA	19	19	115	487	107	63	17	100%	6.1	21.9%	12.9%	9.0%	3.5%	5.03	5.17	-0.4
2027	25	MLB CTX	LAA	22	22	128	540	127	65	13	100%	5.8	23.4%	12.1%	11.3%	2.5%	4.45	4.39	+0.8
2028	26	MLB CTX	LAA	23	23	140	591	140	69	15	100%	6.1	23.6%	11.7%	11.9%	2.5%	4.39	4.35	+1.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	LAA	24	24	141	595	140	69	15	100%	5.9	23.5%	11.6%	12.0%	2.6%	4.38	4.38	+0.9
2030	28	MLB CTX	LAA	24	24	141	595	139	69	16	100%	5.9	23.4%	11.6%	11.8%	2.7%	4.43	4.47	+0.8
2031	29	MLB CTX	LAA	22	22	135	570	132	68	16	100%	6.1	23.2%	11.9%	11.3%	2.9%	4.53	4.60	+0.5
2032	30	MLB CTX	LAA	21	21	127	536	122	65	16	100%	6.0	22.8%	12.2%	10.6%	3.1%	4.68	4.77	+0.2
2033	31	MLB CTX	LAA	20	20	118	498	112	62	16	100%	5.9	22.4%	12.5%	9.9%	3.3%	4.87	4.98	-0.1
2034	32	MLB CTX	LAA	18	18	110	464	102	60	16	100%	6.1	21.9%	12.9%	9.0%	3.5%	5.07	5.21	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		181	181	1072	4536	1042	551	128	100%	5.9	23.0%	12.2%	10.8%	2.8%	4.56	4.25	+8.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	846	194	103	24	100%	5.9	23.0%	12.2%	10.8%	2.8%	4.56	4.25	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		72	72	320	1387	308	168	28	100%	4.4	22.2%	12.1%	10.1%	2.0%	4.11	3.88	+4.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		45	45	200	868	193	105	18	100%	4.4	22.2%	12.1%	10.1%	2.0%	4.11	3.88	+0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
George Klassen (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.37	24.5%	12.2%	2.6%	—	4.34	23.5%	11.8%	431	-0.03	—	—	—
David Griffin R 2021 · 4.43 FIP	25	SP	4.43	19.2%	11.9%	2.6%	.279	5.26	15.3%	5.8%	168	+0.83	4.43	239	83
Emerson Hancock R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	24	SP	4.30	21.1%	10.2%	3.1%	.288	4.33	18.3%	11.3%	428	+0.03	3.24	669	82
Blade Tidwell R 2023 · 4.84 FIP	22	SP	4.84	24.5%	14.7%	3.5%	.284	4.40	19.9%	9.8%	353	-0.44	3.95	469	82
Cole Sands R 2021 · 3.67 FIP	24	SP	3.67	23.3%	11.5%	1.9%	.269	3.55	24.9%	17.3%	216	-0.12	2.28	474	81
Cameron Foster R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	24	SP	4.31	18.9%	10.3%	2.7%	.329	4.05	20.9%	10.9%	132	-0.26	2.54	213	81
Brody McCullough R 2023 · 3.58 FIP	23	SP	3.58	23.1%	10.3%	2.1%	.267	4.45	21.3%	11.7%	42	+0.87	3.58	129	81
Trevor Martin R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	22	SP	4.25	21.3%	10.6%	2.9%	.297	4.25	19.8%	10.6%	240	+0.00	4.16	350	80
Dylan Burns R 2022 · 4.21 FIP	25	SP	4.21	17.1%	10.8%	2.2%	.300	4.87	11.6%	-2.4%	41	+0.66	4.21	120	79
Ryan Bergert R 2023 · 3.44 FIP	23	SP	3.44	23.0%	12.1%	1.4%	.286	4.13	19.2%	10.0%	219	+0.69	3.44	428	79
Zach Messinger R 2023 · 5.26 FIP	23	SP	5.26	20.4%	14.3%	3.8%	.278	3.96	17.9%	8.2%	286	-1.30	3.70	466	78
Nick Nastrini R 2023 · 4.03 FIP	23	SP	4.03	22.7%	11.5%	2.5%	.288	6.00	18.5%	2.7%	168	+1.97	4.03	412	78
Luis Quiñones R 2021 · 4.82 FIP	24	SP	4.82	26.6%	21.5%	2.2%	.290	4.81	22.5%	9.1%	231	-0.01	3.75	326	78
Cory Lewis R 2023 · 3.43 FIP	22	SP	3.43	21.7%	9.3%	1.8%	.267	5.06	21.6%	7.5%	229	+1.63	3.43	330	78
Aaron Hernandez R 2021 · 4.65 FIP	24	SP	4.65	20.9%	16.4%	2.2%	.329	5.37	18.7%	5.7%	59	+0.72	4.65	194	78
Noah Davis R 2021 · 3.76 FIP	24	SP	3.76	19.4%	11.8%	1.5%	.264	4.96	18.5%	8.1%	312	+1.20	3.76	594	77
David Festa R 2023 · 3.69 FIP	23	SP	3.69	24.4%	11.2%	2.2%	.341	3.75	26.7%	18.6%	209	+0.06	3.67	405	77
Jaime Schultz R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	24	SP	4.54	23.2%	16.9%	2.3%	.297	3.87	27.5%	14.7%	209	-0.67	2.19	391	77
Marcelo Perez R 2023 · 3.84 FIP	23	SP	3.84	18.0%	8.6%	2.1%	.288	4.99	14.7%	7.3%	238	+1.15	3.84	306	77
Justin Lewis R 2019 · 3.31 FIP	23	SP	3.31	19.6%	10.1%	1.1%	.323	6.84	19.3%	6.2%	98	+3.53	3.31	213	77
Ty Madden R 2023 · 4.52 FIP	23	SP	4.52	24.0%	11.2%	3.7%	.304	4.87	20.6%	11.1%	207	+0.35	4.52	448	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	5.9	131	23.2%	12.0%	1.08	4.54
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12
Jon Gray ('24)	6.1	122	23.4%	7.8%	1.15	4.45
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Carlos Martinez ('21)	4.2	121	22.7%	9.1%	0.81	3.67
Mike Clevinger ('23)	3.9	113	24.8%	8.7%	1.07	3.45
Zach Davies ('23)	5.2	116	17.5%	8.1%	1.16	4.36