Jaxon Wiggins
P
Iowa Cubs
+0.6
WAR
Age 24
RHP
6'6" / 225 lbs
AAA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032
peak 0.7 · 2028
ERA4.18
FIP4.18
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%23.8%
BB%10.8%
K-BB%13.0%
IP63
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.7peak
2028
OFP—50
K†5560
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 18 | 18 | 60 | 254 | 71 | 36 | 4 | 22.5% | 12.8% | 1.2% | 4.37 | 3.51 | +1.0 |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 19 | 18 | 78 | 313 | 97 | 36 | 4 | 24.5% | 12.5% | 0.9% | 2.19 | 3.11 | +1.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 2 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 10 | 5 | 1 | — | — | — | 5.62 | — | — |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | CHC | 11 | 11 | 63 | 266 | 63 | 29 | 7 | 23.8% | 10.8% | 2.4% | 4.18 | 4.18 | +0.6 |
| 2026 Total | 24 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 71 | 302 | 73 | 34 | 8 | 24.3% | 11.2% | 2.5% | 4.34 | 3.71 | +1.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CHC | 12 | 12 | 64 | 270 | 65 | 27 | 7 | 24.1% | 10.2% | 2.5% | 4.13 | 4.09 | +0.6 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | CHC | 12 | 12 | 64 | 270 | 66 | 27 | 7 | 24.3% | 10.0% | 2.5% | 4.11 | 4.09 | +0.6 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | CHC | 12 | 12 | 63 | 268 | 65 | 27 | 7 | 24.3% | 10.0% | 2.6% | 4.11 | 4.11 | +0.6 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | CHC | 11 | 11 | 62 | 263 | 64 | 26 | 7 | 24.2% | 10.1% | 2.6% | 4.13 | 4.14 | +0.6 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | CHC | 11 | 11 | 61 | 258 | 62 | 26 | 7 | 24.1% | 10.1% | 2.6% | 4.16 | 4.18 | +0.5 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB | CHC | 59 | — | 59 | 250 | 60 | 26 | 7 | 23.9% | 10.2% | 2.7% | 4.21 | 4.25 | +0.5 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB | CHC | 57 | — | 57 | 241 | 57 | 25 | 7 | 23.6% | 10.4% | 2.8% | 4.28 | 4.32 | +0.4 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | CHC | 55 | — | 55 | 231 | 54 | 24 | 7 | 23.4% | 10.5% | 2.9% | 4.36 | 4.41 | +0.3 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | CHC | 52 | — | 52 | 221 | 51 | 24 | 7 | 23.1% | 10.7% | 2.9% | 4.45 | 4.51 | +0.3 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | CHC | 50 | — | 50 | 210 | 48 | 23 | 6 | 22.7% | 10.9% | 3.0% | 4.55 | 4.62 | +0.2 |
| 2037 | 35 | MLB | CHC | 47 | — | 47 | 198 | 44 | 22 | 6 | 22.3% | 11.1% | 3.2% | 4.66 | 4.74 | +0.1 |
| 2038 | 36 | MLB | CHC | 44 | — | 44 | 185 | 40 | 21 | 6 | 21.9% | 11.4% | 3.3% | 4.79 | 4.87 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 39 | 38 | 146 | 603 | 144 | 77 | 7 | 23.9% | 12.7% | 1.2% | 3.27 | 3.34 | +3.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 54 | 52 | 200 | 828 | 198 | 106 | 10 | 23.9% | 12.7% | 1.2% | 3.27 | 3.34 | +4.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jaxon Wiggins (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.18 | 23.8% | 10.8% | 2.4% | — | 4.10 | 24.2% | 14.2% | 191 | -0.08 | — | — | — |
| Randall Delgado R 2027 · 3.73 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.73 | 23.7% | 10.1% | 2.5% | .284 | 3.72 | 20.3% | 12.4% | 167 | -0.01 | 3.05 | 290 | 92 |
| Todd Van Steensel R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.78 | 22.5% | 11.6% | 2.0% | .294 | 3.31 | 19.3% | 6.5% | 157 | -0.47 | 2.87 | 223 | 91 |
| Luis Ramirez R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.73 | 24.0% | 12.6% | 1.9% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 104 | 91 |
| Lucas Wepf R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.80 | 27.4% | 10.9% | 3.0% | .304 | 2.90 | 24.7% | 9.8% | 29 | -0.90 | 2.90 | 144 | 90 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2028 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.85 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.3% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.07 | 3.23 | 161 | 89 |
| Collin Baumgartner R 2027 · 2.99 FIP | 25 | SW | 2.99 | 26.1% | 11.5% | 1.2% | .280 | 3.76 | 23.9% | 11.6% | 61 | +0.77 | 2.99 | 117 | 89 |
| Drew Rasmussen R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.64 | 24.6% | 12.6% | 1.8% | .312 | 3.22 | 22.7% | 16.2% | 237 | -0.42 | 1.21 | 538 | 89 |
| Johnny Barbato R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.65 | 22.4% | 11.2% | 1.8% | .282 | 4.58 | 21.1% | 11.6% | 105 | +0.93 | 2.57 | 304 | 89 |
| Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.63 | 26.2% | 12.8% | 3.9% | .282 | 4.67 | 22.3% | 11.4% | 86 | +0.04 | 4.41 | 152 | 88 |
| Steven Wilson R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.02 | 27.2% | 10.7% | 3.4% | .271 | 3.68 | 29.3% | 19.9% | 92 | -0.34 | 3.61 | 311 | 88 |
| Ben Hecht R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.51 | 22.7% | 12.9% | 3.1% | .293 | 7.98 | 14.1% | -11.4% | 13 | +3.47 | 4.42 | 155 | 88 |
| Colby Blueberg R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.54 | 22.7% | 11.5% | 1.6% | .315 | 4.14 | 20.3% | 9.8% | 50 | +0.60 | 2.36 | 229 | 87 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.04 | 22.2% | 9.8% | 2.9% | .353 | 4.76 | 19.3% | 6.7% | 54 | +0.72 | 4.04 | 106 | 87 |
| Stephen Jones R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.60 | 23.8% | 11.0% | 2.0% | .304 | 4.61 | 21.9% | 9.2% | 142 | +1.01 | 3.60 | 246 | 87 |
| Trent Harris R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.46 | 26.9% | 9.5% | 2.6% | .258 | 3.75 | 23.1% | 14.7% | 57 | +0.29 | 3.46 | 134 | 87 |
| Nigel Belgrave R 2025 · 2.96 FIP | 23 | SW | 2.96 | 26.5% | 11.0% | 1.3% | .267 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 125 | 87 |
| Peter Tago R 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.66 | 24.4% | 14.0% | 1.5% | .303 | 3.44 | 23.6% | 8.3% | 39 | -0.22 | 3.26 | 207 | 87 |
| Alex Palsha R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.86 | 20.6% | 10.4% | 2.2% | .288 | 3.83 | 15.3% | 4.4% | 77 | -0.03 | 3.40 | 134 | 86 |
| Trevor Holloway R 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.44 | 21.9% | 11.7% | 1.3% | .266 | 4.55 | 17.9% | 6.1% | 43 | +1.11 | 3.44 | 112 | 86 |
| Fineas Del Bonta-Smith R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.49 | 23.4% | 8.2% | 2.4% | .262 | 6.13 | 20.6% | 11.1% | 128 | +2.64 | 3.49 | 207 | 86 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2027
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2032
First FA Year 2033
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2027 | |||
| 2027 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.6 | $2M | +$2M |
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2029 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2030 | Arb-1 | $1M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2031 | Arb-2 | $2M | +0.5 | $2M | +$0.3M |
| 2032 | Arb-3 | $2M | +0.5 | $2M | +$0.4M |
| Totals | $7M | $15M | +$8M | ||