Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 2 | 14 | 60 | 22 | 9 | 0 | 33% | 2.4 | 36.7% | 15.0% | 21.7% | 0.0% | 1.88 | 1.90 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 2 | 14 | 60 | 22 | 9 | 0 | 33% | 2.4 | 36.7% | 15.0% | 21.7% | 0.0% | 1.88 | 1.91 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 15 | 99 | 417 | 117 | 50 | 8 | 60% | 3.9 | 21.1% | 14.0% | 7.1% | 1.8% | 3.19 | 4.07 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 15 | 99 | 417 | 117 | 50 | 8 | 60% | 3.9 | 28.1% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 1.9% | 3.19 | 3.30 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 4 | 4 | 15 | 61 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 100% | 3.7 | 12.3% | 13.8% | -1.5% | 3.1% | 3.68 | 5.53 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 4 | 4 | 15 | 61 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 100% | 3.7 | 21.3% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 3.68 | 5.42 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 15 | 13 | 62 | 290 | 71 | 29 | 14 | 87% | 4.1 | 18.9% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.98 | 6.28 | -1.2 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | HOU | 2 | 2 | 14 | 60 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 7.2 | 22.2% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 3.0% | 4.51 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.2% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 3.0% | 4.51 | 4.51 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 76 | 350 | 84 | 35 | 16 | — | — | 24.1% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 4.5% | 5.71 | 5.94 | -0.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.2% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 3.0% | 4.51 | 4.13 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | HOU | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 22.5% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 3.0% | 4.47 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | HOU | 2 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 4.5 | 22.5% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 3.0% | 4.47 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 8.7 | 22.5% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 3.0% | 4.47 | 4.09 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 184 | 92 | 23 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.5% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 3.0% | 4.47 | 4.09 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 50 | 34 | 189 | 828 | 172 | 109 | 27 | 68% | 3.8 | 20.8% | 13.2% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 4.04 | 4.79 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 53 | 36 | 200 | 875 | 182 | 115 | 28 | 68% | 3.8 | 20.8% | 13.2% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 4.04 | 4.79 | +1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nolan DeVos (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.51 | 22.2% | 10.1% | 3.0% | — | 4.47 | 22.5% | 12.6% | 20 | -0.04 | — | — | — |
| Jake Lee R 2025 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 25.7% | 12.4% | 4.2% | .296 | 3.43 | 18.7% | 10.3% | 40 | -1.37 | 2.78 | 181 | 82 |
| Dawson Netz R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 78 |
| Blair Henley R 2025 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 20.8% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .450 | 4.58 | 17.9% | 4.8% | 170 | -0.22 | 3.80 | 187 | 78 |
| Brett Gillis R 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.37 | 20.3% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .278 | 5.10 | 15.8% | 6.7% | 73 | +1.73 | 3.37 | 119 | 77 |
| Nathanael Santiago R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.47 | 20.3% | 11.4% | 1.2% | .286 | 3.51 | 23.2% | 10.9% | 71 | +0.04 | 2.45 | 138 | 76 |
| Orlando Rodriguez R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.76 | 20.8% | 10.1% | 3.9% | .380 | 4.51 | 19.3% | 7.9% | 101 | -0.25 | 4.50 | 119 | 76 |
| Hunter Dollander R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.81 | 19.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | .311 | 6.73 | 17.6% | -0.7% | 51 | +2.92 | 3.81 | 106 | 76 |
| Antonio Guzman R 2028 · 3.60 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.60 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 1.2% | .328 | 3.63 | 20.6% | 11.3% | 170 | +0.03 | 3.22 | 254 | 75 |
| Noah Gotsis R 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.38 | 16.5% | 6.5% | 1.5% | .296 | 4.26 | 15.9% | 8.6% | 90 | +0.88 | 3.38 | 138 | 74 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2027 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 73 |
| Sean Mooney R 2025 · 4.82 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.82 | 24.7% | 13.5% | 3.8% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 102 | 72 |
| Andrew Politi R 2026 · 5.50 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.50 | 21.0% | 12.2% | 4.8% | .320 | 4.16 | 23.1% | 13.2% | 138 | -1.34 | 3.45 | 292 | 72 |
| Burch Smith R 2028 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.94 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .234 | 4.41 | 22.2% | 10.5% | 192 | +0.47 | 3.39 | 382 | 72 |
| Landon Knack R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.39 | 23.0% | 10.5% | 3.5% | .335 | 4.65 | 21.4% | 11.7% | 382 | +0.26 | 3.67 | 509 | 72 |
| Cole Percival R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.32 | 17.5% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .296 | 3.59 | 20.5% | 9.5% | 36 | -0.73 | 3.59 | 327 | 71 |
| Ryan Jennings R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.55 | 20.4% | 10.4% | 1.6% | .286 | 5.51 | 25.3% | 9.1% | 58 | +1.96 | 3.29 | 142 | 71 |
| Sean Harney R 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.51 | 18.2% | 9.8% | 1.3% | .285 | 4.69 | 16.5% | 5.1% | 59 | +1.18 | 3.51 | 123 | 71 |
| Stolmy Pimentel R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.28 | 16.0% | 10.5% | 2.2% | .338 | 3.79 | 13.6% | 3.1% | 72 | -0.49 | 3.79 | 143 | 71 |
| Aidan Foeller R 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.45 | 23.4% | 10.6% | 3.6% | .218 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.45 | 149 | 71 |
| Justin Topa R 2028 · 4.05 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.05 | 15.1% | 7.9% | 2.2% | .374 | 2.66 | 19.2% | 12.6% | 40 | -1.39 | 2.66 | 259 | 70 |