Nolan DeVos — OGILVIE

Nolan DeVos P Asheville Tourists

Age 25 RHP 6'0" / 185 lbs A+ peak 0.5 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 14 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 113

ERA5.07

FIP5.07

K%19.5%

BB%12.6%

K-BB%6.9%

ROS IP14

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	2	14	60	22	9	0	33%	2.4	36.7%	15.0%	21.7%	0.0%	1.88	1.90	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	6	2	14	60	22	9	0	33%	2.4	36.7%	15.0%	21.7%	0.0%	1.88	1.91	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	15	99	417	117	50	8	60%	3.9	21.1%	14.0%	7.1%	2.0%	3.19	4.21	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	15	99	417	117	50	8	60%	3.9	21.1%	14.0%	7.1%	2.0%	3.19	4.21	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	15	99	417	117	50	8	60%	3.9	28.1%	12.0%	16.1%	1.9%	3.19	3.30	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	4	4	15	61	13	7	3	100%	3.7	12.3%	13.8%	-1.5%	3.9%	3.68	5.92	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	4	4	15	61	13	7	3	100%	3.7	12.3%	13.8%	-1.5%	3.9%	3.68	5.92	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	4	4	15	61	13	7	3	100%	3.7	21.3%	11.5%	9.8%	4.9%	3.68	5.42	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	24	20	100	447	113	41	19	83%	4.2	19.8%	10.4%	9.4%	5.3%	4.88	5.63	—
YTD	25	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	24	20	100	447	113	41	19	83%	4.2	19.8%	10.4%	9.4%	5.3%	4.88	5.63	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	A+ RAW	HOU	15	13	62	290	71	29	14	87%	4.1	24.5%	10.0%	14.5%	4.8%	5.98	4.95	—
2026	25	AA RAW	HOU	9	7	38	157	42	12	5	78%	4.2	26.8%	7.6%	19.1%	3.2%	3.08	3.56	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	HOU	16	16	98	412	83	50	12	100%	6.1	20.2%	12.0%	8.1%	3.0%	4.97	4.95	-0.1
2028	27	MLB MLE	HOU	16	16	96	406	82	48	12	100%	6.0	20.3%	11.8%	8.5%	3.1%	4.93	4.93	-0.0
2029	28	MLB MLE	HOU	16	16	93	394	80	46	12	100%	5.8	20.3%	11.7%	8.5%	3.1%	4.95	4.98	-0.1
2030	29	MLB MLE	HOU	15	15	89	376	75	45	12	100%	5.9	20.1%	11.9%	8.2%	3.3%	5.03	5.10	-0.2
2031	30	MLB MLE	HOU	14	14	84	353	70	43	12	100%	6.0	19.7%	12.2%	7.6%	3.5%	5.18	5.27	-0.3
2027	26	MLB CTX	HOU	7	7	42	177	36	21	5	100%	6.0	20.2%	12.0%	8.1%	3.0%	4.97	4.95	-0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	HOU	10	10	60	253	51	30	8	100%	6.0	20.3%	11.8%	8.5%	3.1%	4.93	4.93	-0.0
2029	28	MLB CTX	HOU	12	12	70	296	60	35	9	100%	5.8	20.3%	11.7%	8.5%	3.1%	4.95	4.98	-0.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	HOU	12	12	72	304	61	36	10	100%	6.0	20.1%	11.9%	8.2%	3.3%	5.03	5.10	-0.2
2031	30	MLB CTX	HOU	12	12	72	304	60	37	11	100%	6.0	19.7%	12.2%	7.6%	3.5%	5.18	5.27	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		53	53	317	1337	269	159	43	100%	6.0	20.1%	11.9%	8.2%	3.2%	5.02	4.68	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	170	100	27	100%	6.0	20.1%	11.9%	8.2%	3.2%	5.02	4.68	+0.5
Career	—	MLE		59	41	227	985	206	122	34	69%	3.9	20.9%	12.4%	8.5%	3.5%	3.88	4.82	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		52	36	200	867	181	108	30	69%	3.9	20.9%	12.4%	8.5%	3.5%	3.88	4.82	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nolan DeVos (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.07	19.5%	12.6%	3.0%	—	4.95	20.2%	8.4%	287	-0.12	—	—	—
Blair Henley R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	24	SP-	5.02	20.8%	12.2%	3.9%	.450	4.53	17.5%	5.2%	170	-0.49	3.97	187	79
Jake Lee R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	24	SP-	4.65	25.7%	12.4%	3.9%	.296	3.52	18.7%	10.3%	40	-1.13	2.78	181	77
Brandon White R 2023 · 4.93 FIP	23	SP	4.93	16.7%	10.3%	3.5%	.264	4.07	17.4%	10.5%	280	-0.86	3.90	299	77
Ryan Harvey R 2023 · 5.20 FIP	22	SP	5.20	16.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.294	4.50	17.0%	5.9%	87	-0.70	4.08	133	77
Michael Knorr R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SP-	4.30	23.6%	11.1%	3.3%	.312	5.18	21.7%	9.2%	123	+0.88	4.30	181	77
Jared Lyons R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	22	SP-	4.47	20.1%	15.3%	2.1%	.345	4.24	18.1%	8.1%	206	-0.23	3.28	260	77
Stolmy Pimentel R 2015 · 4.47 FIP	25	SP-	4.47	16.0%	10.5%	2.5%	.338	3.87	13.6%	3.1%	72	-0.60	3.87	143	76
Burch Smith R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	27	SP	3.93	19.5%	12.6%	1.6%	.234	4.43	22.2%	10.5%	192	+0.50	3.50	382	76
Chris Kachmar R 2021 · 4.29 FIP	24	SP	4.29	16.1%	11.4%	2.0%	.309	4.61	18.4%	9.4%	172	+0.32	4.29	360	75
Andrew Politi R 2021 · 5.21 FIP	25	SP-	5.21	21.0%	12.2%	4.3%	.320	4.07	22.5%	13.4%	138	-1.14	3.38	292	75
Orlando Rodriguez R 2021 · 4.54 FIP	25	SP-	4.54	20.8%	10.1%	3.5%	.380	4.51	19.3%	7.9%	101	-0.03	4.40	119	74
David Lebron R 2019 · 4.28 FIP	25	SP-	4.28	18.6%	14.2%	1.7%	.336	5.56	26.7%	12.0%	62	+1.28	4.28	144	74
Cameron Foster R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	24	SP	4.31	18.9%	10.3%	2.7%	.329	4.05	20.9%	10.9%	132	-0.26	2.54	213	73
Alejandro Martinez R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	26	SP-	4.46	17.5%	10.9%	2.7%	.393	4.24	9.2%	3.9%	53	-0.22	4.24	166	73
Luis Quiñones R 2022 · 4.77 FIP	25	SP	4.77	23.5%	17.5%	2.6%	.289	4.83	22.0%	10.4%	160	+0.06	3.75	326	72
Carlos Sano R 2018 · 4.82 FIP	25	SP-	4.82	17.6%	11.2%	3.3%	.282	9.22	19.7%	7.1%	18	+4.40	4.82	105	72
Justin Topa R 2018 · 4.15 FIP	27	SP-	4.15	15.1%	7.9%	2.4%	.374	2.69	19.2%	12.6%	40	-1.46	2.67	280	72
Jared Karros R 2023 · 4.77 FIP	22	SP	4.77	19.0%	8.9%	3.9%	.290	5.26	17.8%	8.3%	120	+0.49	3.36	191	72
Ike Buxton R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	23	SP-	4.67	16.8%	15.2%	1.9%	.241	4.64	14.8%	-0.6%	123	-0.03	4.45	196	71
Sean Mooney R 2022 · 4.70 FIP	24	SP-	4.70	24.7%	13.5%	3.6%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	102	71

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.4	79	20.1%	11.9%	1.23	5.01
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58
Brandon Finnegan ('18)	1.2	80	19.7%	11.6%	1.57	4.19
Dakota Hudson ('24)	2.8	92	15.0%	11.1%	0.91	4.25