Cole Percival — OGILVIE

Cole Percival P Wichita Wind Surge

Age 27 RHP 6'5" / 220 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 107

ERA4.76

FIP4.76

K%19.4%

BB%10.8%

K-BB%8.6%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	22	A+ MLE	Great Lakes Loons	26	2	73	317	68	41	6	8%	2.8	16.5%	14.9%	1.6%	2.5%	3.34	4.99	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	Great Lakes Loons	26	2	73	317	68	41	6	8%	2.8	21.5%	12.9%	8.5%	1.9%	3.34	3.99	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	6	72	342	68	44	8	16%	1.9	15.4%	14.5%	0.9%	2.9%	5.47	5.21	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	6	72	342	68	44	8	16%	1.9	19.9%	12.9%	7.0%	2.3%	5.47	4.48	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	15	83	399	86	51	5	62%	3.5	17.0%	14.3%	2.7%	1.6%	5.62	4.33	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	15	83	399	86	51	5	62%	3.5	17.0%	14.3%	2.7%	1.6%	5.62	4.33	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	15	83	399	86	51	5	62%	3.5	21.6%	12.8%	8.8%	1.3%	5.62	3.65	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	12	63	270	59	23	9	71%	3.7	17.5%	9.4%	8.1%	3.3%	4.74	4.60	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	12	63	270	59	23	9	71%	3.7	17.5%	9.4%	8.1%	3.3%	4.74	4.60	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	12	63	270	59	23	9	71%	3.7	21.9%	8.5%	13.3%	3.3%	4.74	4.19	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	0	39	185	44	21	2	0%	1.3	20.5%	11.0%	9.5%	1.5%	5.72	3.58	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	0	39	185	44	21	2	0%	1.3	20.5%	11.0%	9.5%	1.5%	5.72	3.58	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	31	0	39	185	44	21	2	0%	1.3	23.8%	11.4%	12.4%	1.1%	5.72	3.13	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	MIN	3	0	3	13	2	1	0	0%	1.0	19.4%	10.8%	8.6%	2.8%	4.76	4.76	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	MIN	27	0	28	119	23	13	3	0%	1.0	19.7%	10.8%	8.9%	2.9%	4.77	4.80	-0.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	MIN	10	0	11	46	9	5	1	0%	1.1	19.7%	10.8%	8.9%	2.9%	4.77	4.80	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	11	45	9	5	1	0%	1.1	19.7%	10.8%	8.9%	2.9%	4.77	4.42	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	170	94	19	0%	1.1	19.7%	10.8%	8.9%	2.9%	4.77	4.42	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		136	35	330	1513	258	200	36	26%	2.4	17.1%	13.2%	3.9%	2.4%	4.93	4.62	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		82	21	200	916	156	121	22	26%	2.4	17.1%	13.2%	3.9%	2.4%	4.93	4.62	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cole Percival (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.76	19.4%	10.8%	2.8%	—	4.80	19.7%	8.9%	28	+0.04	—	—	—
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	83
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	82
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	80
Jake Stinnett R 2019 · 4.23 FIP	27	SW	4.23	21.1%	12.2%	2.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	356	79
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	79
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	78
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	78
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	77
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	77
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	77
Logan Taylor R 2018 · 4.79 FIP	26	SU	4.79	17.2%	12.1%	2.9%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	300	77
Josh Zeid R 2015 · 4.12 FIP	28	SU	4.12	16.6%	12.5%	1.6%	.302	5.19	16.9%	5.7%	194	+1.07	4.12	265	76
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	76
Trevor Cahill R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	27	SW	4.13	16.4%	9.4%	2.2%	.297	4.12	22.9%	12.0%	293	-0.01	3.37	556	76
Linder Castro R 2017 · 4.63 FIP	26	SW	4.63	18.9%	10.7%	3.2%	.305	5.68	21.1%	6.3%	62	+1.05	4.23	279	76
Brett McKinney R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	18.5%	9.9%	3.4%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	183	76
Roman Mendez R 2016 · 4.12 FIP	26	SU	4.12	19.5%	10.3%	2.5%	.246	4.68	20.9%	10.7%	116	+0.56	4.12	230	75
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	75
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.07	26.7%	16.7%	73	-0.97	2.28	118	75
Fernando Cruz R 2015 · 5.29 FIP	25	SU	5.29	15.6%	12.2%	3.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	371	75

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	29	19.5%	10.8%	1.11	4.76
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21