Cole Percival
P
Wichita Wind Surge
Age 27
RHP
6'5" / 220 lbs
AA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 29 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121112vR 103
ERA4.50
FIP4.50
K%21.1%
BB%10.1%
K-BB%11.0%
ROS IP29
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 29 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 26 | 2 | 73 | 317 | 68 | 41 | 6 | 8% | 2.8 | 16.5% | 14.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.34 | 5.10 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 26 | 2 | 73 | 317 | 68 | 41 | 6 | 8% | 2.8 | 21.5% | 12.9% | 8.5% | 1.9% | 3.34 | 3.99 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 6 | 72 | 342 | 68 | 44 | 8 | 16% | 1.9 | 15.4% | 14.5% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 5.47 | 5.20 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 38 | 6 | 72 | 342 | 68 | 44 | 8 | 16% | 1.9 | 19.9% | 12.9% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 5.47 | 4.48 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 15 | 83 | 399 | 86 | 51 | 5 | 62% | 3.5 | 17.0% | 14.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 5.62 | 4.35 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 15 | 83 | 399 | 86 | 51 | 5 | 62% | 3.5 | 21.6% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 1.3% | 5.62 | 3.65 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 12 | 63 | 270 | 59 | 23 | 9 | 71% | 3.7 | 17.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 2.7% | 4.74 | 4.32 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 17 | 12 | 63 | 270 | 59 | 23 | 9 | 71% | 3.7 | 21.9% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 3.3% | 4.74 | 4.19 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 31 | 0 | 39 | 185 | 44 | 21 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 1.5% | 5.72 | 3.59 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 31 | 0 | 39 | 185 | 44 | 21 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 23.8% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 1.1% | 5.72 | 3.13 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 28 | 0 | 29 | 123 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 2.8% | 4.50 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 27 | 0 | 28 | 119 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 2.9% | 4.53 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 2.9% | 4.53 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 11 | 45 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 2.9% | 4.53 | 4.19 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 170 | 94 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 2.9% | 4.53 | 4.19 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 136 | 35 | 330 | 1513 | 258 | 200 | 35 | 26% | 2.4 | 17.1% | 13.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 4.93 | 4.60 | +3.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 82 | 21 | 200 | 916 | 156 | 121 | 21 | 26% | 2.4 | 17.1% | 13.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 4.93 | 4.60 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cole Percival (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.50 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | — | 4.57 | 21.2% | 11.0% | 28 | +0.07 | — | — | — |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 80 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 80 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 79 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2027 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 79 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2028 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 78 |
| Taylor Grover R 2025 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 78 |
| Jake Stinnett R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.07 | 21.1% | 12.2% | 2.2% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 356 | 78 |
| Derek Gordon R 2024 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 78 |
| Caleb Bolden R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.55 | 23.0% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 222 | 76 |
| Calvin Drummond R 2025 · 3.51 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.51 | 16.9% | 11.1% | 0.8% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 112 | 76 |
| Brayden Spears R 2024 · 4.25 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.25 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 2.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.07 | 105 | 75 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 75 |
| Robert Kwiatkowski R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.01 | 18.3% | 9.0% | 2.4% | .255 | 4.31 | 15.9% | 2.3% | 20 | +0.30 | 4.01 | 254 | 75 |
| Jordan Milbrath R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.88 | 21.5% | 9.5% | 2.5% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 386 | 75 |
| Roman Mendez R 2025 · 4.13 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.13 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 2.5% | .246 | 4.87 | 20.9% | 10.7% | 116 | +0.74 | 4.12 | 230 | 75 |
| Mike Adams R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.26 | 17.1% | 11.2% | 4.0% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.66 | 109 | 75 |
| Linder Castro R 2025 · 4.55 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.55 | 18.9% | 10.7% | 3.1% | .305 | 5.45 | 21.1% | 6.3% | 62 | +0.90 | 4.27 | 279 | 75 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.25 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | .307 | 3.44 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.81 | 3.32 | 227 | 75 |
| Roberto Gómez R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 75 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2025 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 16.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 167 | 74 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 29 | 21.1% | 10.2% | 1.09 | 4.51 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |