José Ruiz P Round Rock Express
Age 31 RHP 6'1" / 245 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 33 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.53
FIP4.32
K%22.6%
BB%8.5%
K-BB%14.1%
ROS IP34
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 33 IP
K: +0.0 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: +0.0 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)+0BBCONTACT: -0.5 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +1.4 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: +0.09 (33 IP)+0.1WAR
0.20.0-0.2-0.3262829
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p6795.7
Whiff%
p6026.8%
K%
p2819.0%
xwOBA vs
p400.323
CH+2.2 (15%)
SL (1%)
SI (16%)
CU (29%)
FB-8.7 (54%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201621MIX2 levels20282300%0.825.0%37.5%-12.5%0.0%0.005.74
201621MIX2 levels20282300%0.825.0%37.5%-12.5%0.0%0.006.10
201722MIX2 levels45051228462670%1.115.5%12.8%2.6%4.6%5.865.97-0.8
201722MIX2 levels45051228462670%1.120.2%11.4%8.8%3.1%5.864.62-0.0
201823MIX3 levels49063258832650%1.325.9%10.8%15.2%2.2%3.143.46+0.9
201823MIX3 levels49063258832650%1.332.2%10.1%22.1%1.9%3.142.73+1.4
201924MIX2 levels51154256502962%1.118.8%11.5%7.4%2.3%4.474.21+0.2
201924MIX2 levels51154256502962%1.119.5%11.3%8.2%2.3%4.474.30+0.2
202025MLBChicago White Sox504145010%0.835.7%0.0%35.7%7.1%2.254.00+0.0
202025MLBChicago White Sox504145010%0.835.7%0.0%35.7%7.1%2.253.85+0.0
202126MLBChicago White Sox59065271632480%1.123.2%8.9%14.4%2.9%3.053.82+0.6
202126MLBChicago White Sox59065271632480%1.123.2%8.9%14.4%3.0%3.053.87+0.6
202227MLBChicago White Sox63061265683390%1.025.7%12.5%13.2%3.3%4.604.31+0.2
202227MLBChicago White Sox63061265683390%1.025.7%12.5%13.2%3.4%4.604.42+0.1
202328MIX2 levels555713227232139%1.321.1%10.1%11.0%4.0%5.224.78-0.0
202328MIX2 levels555713227232139%1.322.4%9.9%12.4%4.0%5.224.81-0.0
202429MIX2 levels62062259651990%1.024.0%7.4%16.6%3.6%3.343.97+0.5
202429MIX2 levels62062259651990%1.025.1%7.3%17.8%3.5%3.343.81+0.6
202530MIX2 levels47049209461640%1.020.2%7.8%12.4%2.1%4.743.52+0.6
202530MIX2 levels47049209461640%1.022.0%7.7%14.4%1.9%4.743.26+0.7
▸ 2026 Season
202631MLBATL32034143321240%1.122.6%8.5%14.1%3.0%4.534.32+0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202732MLBATL30031133291240%1.021.8%8.9%12.9%3.3%4.564.58-0.0
202732MLBATL110125111520%1.121.8%8.9%12.9%3.3%4.564.58-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career29322981325295132481%1.022.2%10.0%12.3%3.6%4.614.46+3.3
/ 200 IP197120088819889321%1.022.2%10.0%12.3%3.6%4.614.46+2.2
Career43864812090461214661%1.122.0%10.3%11.8%3.1%4.234.26+6.4
/ 200 IP182220086819189271%1.122.0%10.3%11.8%3.1%4.234.26+2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
José Ruiz (OGILVIE) 4.32 22.6%8.5%3.0% 4.58 21.8%12.9%31 +0.26
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2028 · 4.40 FIP 33 SU 4.40 26.2%11.2%3.8%.263 3.99 18.1%6.8%51 -0.41 3.99 104 78
Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.17 FIP 33 SU 4.17 22.0%10.5%2.9%.290 2.37 26.9%22.6%89 -1.80 2.08 112 77
Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.85 FIP 31 SU 4.85 23.8%9.4%4.7%.283 4.58 22.0%13.8%96 -0.27 3.05 176 76
Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.57 FIP 31 SU 3.57 24.5%8.2%2.7%.325 3.78 21.7%13.5%76 +0.21 3.57 137 76
Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.56 FIP 31 SU 4.56 23.0%10.6%3.7%.282 1.74 195 76
Ross Ohlendorf R 2027 · 3.26 FIP 32 SU 3.26 23.7%7.2%2.3%.342 4.99 23.4%12.7%66 +1.73 3.26 122 75
Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.04 FIP 31 SU 4.04 25.1%10.8%3.1%.280 4.04 102 74
Mark Serrano R 2026 · 3.76 FIP 31 SU 3.76 21.9%6.4%3.1%.240 5.21 20.2%12.3%42 +1.45 3.03 120 73
Tom Wilhelmsen R 2026 · 3.09 FIP 31 SU 3.09 22.5%9.7%1.2%.298 5.84 13.8%4.1%86 +2.75 3.09 148 72
Héctor Rondón R 2026 · 4.52 FIP 31 SU 4.52 18.7%7.8%3.7%.257 5.52 23.7%14.4%20 +1.00 2.37 318 72
John Axford R 2027 · 3.10 FIP 32 SU 3.10 24.8%11.2%1.2%.333 3.98 21.5%11.1%141 +0.88 3.10 197 72
Adrian Ramirez R 2026 · 3.86 FIP 31 SU 3.86 21.7%6.3%3.3%.327 2.96 137 72
Blake Wood R 2026 · 3.52 FIP 31 SU 3.52 25.3%9.3%2.5%.364 3.05 210 71
Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.04 FIP 31 SU 4.04 25.3%8.3%3.7%.278 3.50 24.3%18.2%99 -0.54 2.27 426 71
Alexi Ogando R 2026 · 5.03 FIP 31 SU 5.03 19.1%9.4%4.3%.253 3.84 17.2%8.0%67 -1.19 3.73 132 70
Kevin Jepsen R 2026 · 3.46 FIP 31 SU 3.46 20.7%9.1%1.7%.241 5.92 16.9%7.2%90 +2.46 3.46 160 70
Luis García R 2026 · 3.08 FIP 31 SU 3.08 25.0%8.3%1.9%.341 4.20 22.5%13.9%113 +1.12 2.40 617 70
Andrew Robinson R 2024 · 4.39 FIP 29 SU 4.39 23.4%8.8%3.9%.245 2.96 160 70
Rubby De La Rosa R 2025 · 4.04 FIP 30 SU 4.04 27.7%8.0%4.1%.269 3.97 281 70
Pedro Beato R 2026 · 3.79 FIP 31 SU 3.79 21.1%6.4%3.0%.266 3.41 16.8%9.3%29 -0.38 3.40 295 70

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION23322.2%8.7%1.224.54
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
Matt Albers ('19)54920.3%8.3%1.374.21
Noé Ramirez ('22)55224.8%9.0%1.334.19
Fernando Salas ('18)45922.5%6.6%1.224.42
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Bud Norris ('18)47922.7%9.2%1.285.07