Logan Evans
P
Seattle Mariners
Age 25
RHP
6'4" / 215 lbs
MLB
peak 0.7 · 2028
ILInjured 60-Day (D60)
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 81 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135126vR 117
ERA4.89
FIP5.17
K%16.3%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%6.5%
ROS IP81
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 81 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p2692.8
Whiff%
p1019.4%
K%
p1416.9%
xwOBA vs
p180.350
CT+6.4 (27%)
CH (12%)
SI (17%)
CU (10%)
SL-1.5 (23%)
FB-5.2 (28%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 5 | 15 | 57 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 3.0 | 26.3% | 3.5% | 22.8% | 0.0% | 0.60 | 1.32 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 5 | 15 | 57 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 3.0 | 26.3% | 3.5% | 22.8% | 0.0% | 0.60 | 1.50 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 32 | 22 | 107 | 447 | 98 | 42 | 7 | 69% | 3.3 | 17.8% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 3.20 | 4.52 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 32 | 22 | 107 | 447 | 98 | 42 | 7 | 69% | 3.3 | 21.9% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 1.6% | 3.20 | 3.30 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 26 | 125 | 545 | 104 | 43 | 16 | 96% | 4.6 | 18.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 2.9% | 4.67 | 4.20 | +1.8 |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 26 | 125 | 545 | 104 | 43 | 16 | 96% | 4.6 | 19.1% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 2.9% | 4.67 | 4.13 | +1.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | SEA | 9 | 9 | 55 | 231 | 38 | 22 | 8 | 100% | 6.1 | 16.3% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 4.89 | 5.17 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SEA | 15 | 15 | 88 | 373 | 64 | 35 | 12 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.2% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 4.94 | 5.03 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 15 | 15 | 91 | 384 | 68 | 36 | 13 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 4.96 | 5.01 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 15 | 15 | 91 | 384 | 68 | 37 | 13 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 5.01 | 5.06 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | SEA | 14 | 14 | 84 | 355 | 61 | 34 | 12 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.2% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 4.94 | 5.03 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 14 | 14 | 86 | 363 | 64 | 34 | 12 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 4.96 | 5.01 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 14 | 14 | 86 | 363 | 64 | 35 | 12 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 5.01 | 5.06 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 59 | 58 | 338 | 1434 | 249 | 133 | 49 | 98% | 5.7 | 17.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 4.81 | 4.69 | +2.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 35 | 34 | 200 | 848 | 147 | 79 | 29 | 98% | 5.8 | 17.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 4.81 | 4.69 | +1.7 | ||
| Career | — | 64 | 53 | 247 | 1049 | 193 | 92 | 29 | 83% | 3.9 | 18.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 2.8% | 3.78 | 4.18 | +3.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 52 | 43 | 200 | 848 | 156 | 74 | 24 | 83% | 3.9 | 18.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 2.8% | 3.78 | 4.18 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Logan Evans (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.17 | 16.3% | 9.8% | 3.3% | — | 5.03 | 17.5% | 8.0% | 270 | -0.14 | — | — | — |
| Jarred Cosart R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.09 | 15.2% | 10.8% | 3.5% | .274 | 5.06 | 13.1% | -0.5% | 132 | -0.03 | 4.10 | 218 | 82 |
| Stolmy Pimentel R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.28 | 16.0% | 10.5% | 2.2% | .338 | 3.79 | 13.6% | 3.1% | 72 | -0.49 | 3.79 | 143 | 81 |
| J.P. France R 2025 · 5.38 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.38 | 17.9% | 13.9% | 3.7% | .285 | 4.39 | 26.3% | 15.2% | 225 | -0.99 | 4.11 | 563 | 81 |
| Allen Webster R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.99 | 14.0% | 9.1% | 3.5% | .356 | 5.50 | 14.9% | 6.8% | 58 | +0.51 | 4.43 | 177 | 80 |
| Brooks Hall R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.03 | 14.3% | 6.9% | 2.3% | .291 | 3.94 | 14.0% | 7.0% | 153 | -0.09 | 3.46 | 274 | 80 |
| Angel Araiza R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.55 | 16.7% | 6.5% | 3.7% | .287 | 3.95 | 15.0% | 7.6% | 193 | -0.60 | 3.53 | 289 | 80 |
| Dylan Burns R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.06 | 17.1% | 10.8% | 1.9% | .300 | 4.86 | 11.6% | -2.4% | 41 | +0.80 | 4.06 | 120 | 79 |
| Alejandro Martinez R 2027 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.24 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .393 | 4.44 | 9.2% | 3.9% | 53 | +0.20 | 4.24 | 166 | 79 |
| Nic Swanson R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.79 | 19.3% | 11.8% | 3.3% | .286 | 5.16 | 19.9% | 6.6% | 108 | +0.37 | 4.09 | 414 | 79 |
| Mike Wright Jr. R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.06 | 15.7% | 7.9% | 2.3% | .260 | 4.50 | 17.2% | 9.8% | 343 | +0.44 | 3.73 | 725 | 78 |
| Trenton Toplikar R 2026 · 5.46 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.46 | 16.4% | 9.3% | 4.7% | .325 | 6.04 | 16.9% | 4.2% | 30 | +0.58 | 4.30 | 232 | 78 |
| Jake Bockenstedt R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.62 | 16.9% | 11.4% | 2.7% | .303 | 4.01 | 16.6% | 4.2% | 20 | -0.61 | 4.01 | 214 | 78 |
| Forrest Snow R 2027 · 4.80 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.80 | 16.1% | 8.2% | 3.7% | .263 | 4.19 | 21.8% | 14.2% | 256 | -0.61 | 3.14 | 406 | 78 |
| Mason Black R 2026 · 5.24 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.24 | 18.9% | 12.1% | 4.0% | .286 | 5.57 | 15.9% | 5.7% | 51 | +0.33 | 3.81 | 527 | 77 |
| Carlos Sano R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.98 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 3.6% | .282 | 9.58 | 19.7% | 7.1% | 18 | +4.60 | 4.98 | 105 | 77 |
| Jayden Murray R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.44 | 16.9% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .258 | 4.95 | 19.6% | 6.5% | 105 | +0.51 | 3.38 | 372 | 77 |
| Chase Solesky R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.73 | 15.2% | 11.2% | 2.7% | .322 | 4.57 | 16.0% | 7.7% | 241 | -0.16 | 4.08 | 536 | 77 |
| Nestor Molina R 2028 · 5.13 FIP | 27 | SP | 5.13 | 15.0% | 8.0% | 4.2% | .304 | 3.57 | 17.0% | 10.2% | 289 | -1.56 | 3.07 | 401 | 77 |
| Johendí Jiminian R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.42 | 14.0% | 11.4% | 3.8% | .282 | 4.43 | 13.9% | 4.4% | 94 | -0.99 | 3.93 | 419 | 77 |
| Chris Kachmar R 2025 · 4.39 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.39 | 16.1% | 11.4% | 2.2% | .309 | 4.74 | 18.4% | 9.4% | 172 | +0.35 | 4.39 | 353 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 81 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.29 | 4.96 |
| Sal Romano ('21) | 3 | 86 | 17.0% | 8.8% | 1.29 | 5.10 |
| Drew Hutchison ('22) | 5 | 69 | 17.1% | 8.5% | 1.39 | 5.16 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Andrew Suárez ('23) | 3 | 74 | 18.2% | 7.8% | 1.51 | 5.02 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |