Tanner Hall
P
Cedar Rapids Kernels
Age 24
RHP
6'1" / 186 lbs
A+
peak 0.4 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 67 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 160151vR 142
ERA6.32
FIP6.32
K%10.0%
BB%16.7%
K-BB%-6.7%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 13 | 65 | 293 | 74 | 28 | 8 | 68% | 3.4 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 5.40 | 4.56 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 13 | 65 | 293 | 74 | 28 | 8 | 68% | 3.4 | 25.3% | 9.6% | 15.7% | 2.7% | 5.40 | 3.72 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 18 | 16 | 72 | 351 | 46 | 45 | 6 | 89% | 4.0 | 10.1% | 14.7% | -4.7% | 2.3% | 5.53 | 5.39 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 18 | 16 | 72 | 351 | 46 | 45 | 6 | 89% | 4.0 | 13.1% | 12.8% | 0.3% | 1.7% | 5.53 | 4.79 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | MIN | 12 | 12 | 67 | 284 | 28 | 47 | 8 | 100% | 5.6 | 10.0% | 16.7% | -6.7% | 2.9% | 6.32 | 6.32 | -1.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | MIN | 12 | 12 | 68 | 287 | 37 | 44 | 8 | 100% | 5.7 | 12.9% | 15.3% | -2.4% | 2.9% | 5.99 | 5.90 | -0.9 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | MIN | 11 | 11 | 68 | 287 | 42 | 42 | 8 | 100% | 6.2 | 14.7% | 14.8% | -0.1% | 2.9% | 5.76 | 5.69 | -0.8 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | MIN | 5 | 5 | 29 | 122 | 16 | 19 | 4 | 100% | 5.8 | 12.9% | 15.3% | -2.4% | 2.9% | 5.99 | 5.90 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | MIN | 8 | 8 | 45 | 190 | 28 | 28 | 5 | 100% | 5.6 | 14.7% | 14.8% | -0.1% | 2.9% | 5.76 | 5.69 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 13 | 13 | 74 | 314 | 44 | 47 | 9 | 100% | 5.7 | 14.0% | 15.0% | -1.0% | 2.9% | 5.85 | 5.39 | -0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 118 | 126 | 24 | 100% | 5.9 | 14.0% | 15.0% | -1.0% | 2.9% | 5.85 | 5.39 | +0.0 | ||
| Career | — | 37 | 29 | 137 | 644 | 91 | 85 | 17 | 78% | 3.7 | 14.1% | 13.1% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 5.47 | 5.01 | +0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 54 | 42 | 200 | 942 | 133 | 124 | 25 | 78% | 3.7 | 14.1% | 13.1% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 5.47 | 5.01 | +0.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tanner Hall (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.32 | 10.0% | 16.7% | 2.9% | — | 5.80 | 13.8% | -1.2% | 136 | -0.52 | — | — | — |
| Andrew Thurman R 2026 · 6.01 FIP | 24 | SP- | 6.01 | 14.4% | 16.9% | 3.6% | .291 | 2.59 | 16.8% | 9.6% | 25 | -3.42 | 2.59 | 237 | 83 |
| Johnny Hellweg R 2028 · 5.98 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.98 | 9.9% | 19.0% | 2.4% | .269 | 4.11 | 15.2% | 2.0% | 48 | -1.87 | 2.98 | 109 | 83 |
| Boone Whiting R 2027 · 5.21 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.21 | 11.3% | 13.9% | 2.4% | .337 | 4.78 | 10.9% | 4.8% | 132 | -0.43 | 4.78 | 227 | 77 |
| Drew Gagnon R 2027 · 5.78 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.78 | 11.6% | 12.6% | 3.8% | .313 | 4.01 | 20.4% | 12.2% | 311 | -1.77 | 3.74 | 534 | 75 |
| Cobi Johnson R 2025 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.34 | 16.0% | 14.8% | 3.1% | .257 | 4.62 | 19.9% | 1.4% | 41 | -0.72 | 4.62 | 140 | 75 |
| Carlson Reed R 2025 · 5.27 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.27 | 16.9% | 15.4% | 3.0% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 237 | 75 |
| Sam Wolff R 2027 · 5.61 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.61 | 13.9% | 15.0% | 3.3% | .278 | 3.15 | 25.1% | 15.5% | 106 | -2.46 | 2.74 | 178 | 74 |
| Oscar Verdugo R 2027 · 6.84 FIP | 25 | SP- | 6.84 | 10.5% | 13.9% | 5.2% | .241 | 6.16 | 10.8% | -1.8% | 74 | -0.68 | 5.39 | 144 | 72 |
| J.T. Ginn R 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.42 | 8.3% | 13.2% | 2.4% | .305 | 4.23 | 21.9% | 13.0% | 351 | -1.19 | 3.13 | 501 | 72 |
| Rhett Kouba R 2026 · 5.94 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.94 | 13.0% | 16.6% | 3.4% | .301 | 5.24 | 12.7% | -0.9% | 80 | -0.70 | 2.84 | 334 | 72 |
| Osman Gutierrez R 2024 · 6.14 FIP | 22 | SP | 6.14 | 13.9% | 16.2% | 3.9% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 189 | 72 |
| Kevin Biondic R 2025 · 5.39 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.39 | 8.6% | 11.0% | 2.9% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.39 | 100 | 71 |
| Bryce Conley R 2026 · 5.33 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.33 | 17.0% | 16.0% | 3.0% | .227 | 4.60 | 17.4% | 5.6% | 142 | -0.73 | 4.60 | 529 | 71 |
| Noah Song R 2028 · 6.24 FIP | 26 | SP | 6.24 | 12.0% | 13.2% | 4.5% | .239 | 4.28 | 17.8% | 4.6% | 85 | -1.96 | 3.62 | 106 | 71 |
| Bryce Cunningham R 2025 · 5.93 FIP | 23 | SP- | 5.93 | 17.4% | 15.3% | 4.3% | .228 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 101 | 70 |
| Ronny Lopez R 2024 · 5.49 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.49 | 10.3% | 17.6% | 1.9% | .345 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 121 | 70 |
| Aaron Shortridge R 2027 · 5.14 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.14 | 11.8% | 13.4% | 2.4% | .306 | 4.80 | 16.0% | 6.8% | 187 | -0.34 | 3.97 | 378 | 70 |
| Baron Stuart R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.16 | 14.5% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .266 | 4.16 | 17.2% | 3.5% | 187 | -1.00 | 3.55 | 287 | 70 |
| J.P. France R 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.38 | 17.9% | 13.9% | 3.7% | .285 | 4.39 | 26.3% | 15.2% | 225 | -0.99 | 4.11 | 563 | 70 |
| Brendan Girton R 2026 · 6.62 FIP | 24 | SP | 6.62 | 16.5% | 17.6% | 4.9% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.37 | 150 | 70 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 68 | 12.5% | 15.6% | 1.11 | 6.02 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |