Tanner Hall
P
Cedar Rapids Kernels
+0.0
WAR
Age 24
RHP
6'1" / 186 lbs
A+
peak 0.3 · 2028
ERA5.01
FIP5.01
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%17.9%
BB%11.5%
K-BB%6.4%
IP69
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2028
STUF2525
CTRL3535
CMD2020
K†3040
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 19 | 13 | 65 | 293 | 74 | 28 | 8 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 3.2% | 5.40 | 4.71 | +0.2 |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 18 | 16 | 72 | 351 | 46 | 45 | 6 | 10.1% | 14.7% | 2.2% | 5.53 | 5.34 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | MIN | 13 | 13 | 69 | 293 | 44 | 43 | 8 | 14.9% | 14.7% | 2.9% | 5.66 | 5.66 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | MIN | 13 | 13 | 70 | 297 | 49 | 41 | 9 | 16.6% | 13.8% | 2.9% | 5.46 | 5.41 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | MIN | 13 | 13 | 70 | 297 | 52 | 40 | 9 | 17.4% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 5.33 | 5.29 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 13 | 13 | 70 | 295 | 52 | 39 | 9 | 17.8% | 13.2% | 2.9% | 5.26 | 5.25 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 13 | 13 | 69 | 290 | 52 | 38 | 9 | 17.8% | 13.2% | 2.9% | 5.25 | 5.26 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | MIN | 12 | 12 | 67 | 284 | 50 | 38 | 8 | 17.7% | 13.3% | 3.0% | 5.28 | 5.30 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB | MIN | 12 | 12 | 65 | 276 | 48 | 37 | 8 | 17.5% | 13.4% | 3.0% | 5.33 | 5.36 | -0.3 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB | MIN | 11 | 11 | 63 | 266 | 46 | 36 | 8 | 17.3% | 13.5% | 3.1% | 5.39 | 5.44 | -0.3 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB | MIN | 11 | 11 | 60 | 255 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 17.0% | 13.6% | 3.2% | 5.47 | 5.52 | -0.4 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | MIN | 58 | — | 58 | 244 | 41 | 34 | 8 | 16.7% | 13.8% | 3.3% | 5.56 | 5.62 | -0.4 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | MIN | 55 | — | 55 | 232 | 38 | 32 | 8 | 16.4% | 14.0% | 3.4% | 5.66 | 5.73 | -0.5 |
| 2037 | 35 | MLB | MIN | 52 | — | 52 | 218 | 35 | 31 | 8 | 16.0% | 14.2% | 3.5% | 5.78 | 5.85 | -0.5 |
| 2038 | 36 | MLB | MIN | 48 | — | 48 | 204 | 32 | 30 | 7 | 15.5% | 14.5% | 3.6% | 5.90 | 5.99 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 37 | 29 | 137 | 644 | 91 | 85 | 17 | 14.1% | 13.1% | 2.7% | 5.47 | 5.05 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 54 | 42 | 200 | 942 | 133 | 124 | 25 | 14.1% | 13.1% | 2.7% | 5.47 | 5.05 | +0.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tanner Hall (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.66 | 14.9% | 14.7% | 2.9% | — | 5.32 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 210 | -0.34 | — | — | — |
| Brett Lockwood R 2026 · 5.47 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.47 | 16.2% | 15.5% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.60 | 11.0% | -6.3% | 79 | -0.87 | 4.27 | 132 | 93 |
| Sam Wolff R 2027 · 5.75 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.75 | 13.9% | 15.0% | 3.5% | .278 | 3.13 | 25.1% | 15.5% | 106 | -2.62 | 2.67 | 178 | 91 |
| Sam Whiting R 2026 · 5.07 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.07 | 14.3% | 15.1% | 2.3% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 135 | 90 |
| Cooper Adams R 2026 · 5.43 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.43 | 13.0% | 12.2% | 3.4% | .275 | 3.07 | 21.9% | 12.7% | 69 | -2.36 | 3.07 | 149 | 89 |
| David Trexler R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.58 | 17.7% | 13.4% | 2.3% | .313 | 4.44 | 18.3% | 4.8% | 31 | -0.14 | 4.44 | 100 | 89 |
| Jonathan Teaney R 2025 · 5.57 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.57 | 16.4% | 15.7% | 3.4% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.76 | 108 | 89 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.00 | 15.1% | 12.9% | 2.8% | .229 | 4.32 | 18.7% | 9.1% | 150 | -0.68 | 3.69 | 239 | 88 |
| J.P. Massey R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.70 | 16.1% | 14.2% | 2.1% | .283 | 5.71 | 15.5% | -1.3% | 46 | +1.01 | 4.70 | 195 | 88 |
| Rob Huber R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.71 | 15.7% | 14.7% | 1.9% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 117 | 88 |
| Wirkin Estevez R 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.39 | 10.7% | 13.4% | 2.7% | .316 | 4.45 | 12.3% | 3.5% | 179 | -0.94 | 4.35 | 238 | 87 |
| Jeff Soptic R 2026 · 5.30 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.30 | 15.5% | 17.2% | 2.4% | .237 | 5.52 | 13.6% | -1.7% | 68 | +0.22 | 5.30 | 124 | 87 |
| Johendí Jiminian R 2026 · 5.66 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.66 | 11.5% | 14.0% | 3.2% | .300 | 4.77 | 13.9% | 3.6% | 164 | -0.89 | 3.99 | 419 | 87 |
| Juan Paniagua R 2027 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.69 | 15.7% | 11.9% | 2.6% | .262 | 4.63 | 16.2% | 1.8% | 93 | -0.06 | 4.58 | 151 | 87 |
| Parker Markel R 2026 · 4.67 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.67 | 13.6% | 12.3% | 2.1% | .313 | 3.19 | 15.9% | 6.2% | 61 | -1.48 | 3.19 | 266 | 87 |
| Zach Linginfelter R 2026 · 5.56 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.56 | 19.1% | 16.0% | 3.7% | .295 | 5.02 | 18.8% | -0.6% | 46 | -0.54 | 3.62 | 109 | 87 |
| Dylan Spacke R 2026 · 5.24 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.24 | 16.1% | 13.9% | 3.2% | .297 | 4.81 | 13.6% | 0.2% | 52 | -0.43 | 2.08 | 205 | 87 |
| Kender Villegas R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.72 | 13.3% | 13.3% | 1.9% | .269 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.27 | 131 | 86 |
| Jonathan Hughes R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.60 | 12.9% | 12.5% | 1.8% | .351 | 3.78 | 16.5% | 6.2% | 146 | -0.82 | 3.42 | 219 | 86 |
| Michael Mertz R 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.20 | 16.1% | 13.9% | 3.1% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 133 | 85 |
| José A. Váldez R 2027 · 4.56 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.56 | 15.3% | 15.3% | 1.5% | .279 | 4.38 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 167 | -0.18 | 4.02 | 328 | 85 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.