Bryce Warrecker
P
Hudson Valley Renegades
Age 24
RHP
6'8" / 225 lbs
A+
peak 0.2 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION24 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 99
ERA4.34
FIP4.34
K%19.2%
BB%8.0%
K-BB%11.2%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 91 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 19 | 19 | 65 | 293 | 46 | 30 | 7 | 100% | 3.4 | 11.3% | 11.7% | -0.5% | 3.3% | 5.79 | 5.43 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 19 | 19 | 65 | 293 | 46 | 30 | 7 | 100% | 3.4 | 15.7% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 5.79 | 4.46 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 40 | 1 | 57 | 216 | 61 | 13 | 1 | 2% | 1.4 | 21.7% | 6.9% | 14.8% | 0.6% | 2.05 | 2.48 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 40 | 1 | 57 | 216 | 61 | 13 | 1 | 2% | 1.4 | 28.2% | 6.0% | 22.2% | 0.5% | 2.05 | 1.87 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 19 | 0 | 24 | 96 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.5% | 13.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 2.62 | 6.33 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | NYY | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 55 | 23 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.2% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 2.7% | 4.34 | 4.34 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 19.2% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 2.7% | 4.34 | 4.34 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 91 | 380 | 77 | 32 | 11 | — | — | 20.2% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 2.8% | 3.89 | 4.86 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 19.2% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 2.7% | 4.34 | 3.96 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | NYY | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 58 | 23 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.3% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 2.7% | 4.28 | 4.25 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | NYY | 65 | 0 | 68 | 287 | 60 | 23 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.8% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 2.7% | 4.25 | 4.22 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 64 | 0 | 67 | 283 | 59 | 23 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.9% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 2.8% | 4.26 | 4.27 | +0.3 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | NYY | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.3% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 2.7% | 4.28 | 4.25 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | NYY | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 40 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.8% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 2.7% | 4.25 | 4.22 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 46 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.9% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 2.8% | 4.26 | 4.27 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 121 | 0 | 127 | 534 | 111 | 43 | 15 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 2.7% | 4.26 | 3.87 | +2.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 175 | 68 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 2.7% | 4.26 | 3.87 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 78 | 20 | 146 | 605 | 101 | 62 | 17 | 26% | 1.9 | 16.6% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 3.81 | 4.52 | +1.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 107 | 27 | 200 | 827 | 137 | 85 | 23 | 26% | 1.9 | 16.6% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 3.81 | 4.52 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Bryce Warrecker (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.34 | 19.2% | 8.0% | 2.7% | — | 4.25 | 20.7% | 12.7% | 203 | -0.09 | — | — | — |
| Andrew Bellatti R 2025 · 4.32 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.32 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.71 | 278 | 88 |
| J.R. Graham R 2027 · 4.38 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.38 | 18.7% | 7.4% | 3.5% | .317 | 3.55 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 61 | -0.83 | 3.30 | 125 | 87 |
| Nelson Gonzalez R 2027 · 3.33 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.33 | 19.6% | 7.7% | 1.7% | .293 | 4.70 | 17.7% | 7.8% | 115 | +1.37 | 3.33 | 258 | 87 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.5% | .281 | 4.91 | 21.2% | 5.7% | 55 | +0.40 | 4.51 | 121 | 86 |
| Josh Advocate R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.58 | 18.8% | 7.3% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.59 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 75 | +0.01 | 3.58 | 118 | 86 |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 86 |
| Mayckol Guaipe R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.94 | 17.0% | 7.1% | 2.5% | .330 | 2.55 | 21.2% | 16.0% | 33 | -1.39 | 1.88 | 136 | 86 |
| Bryan Pope R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.87 | 19.4% | 9.5% | 2.2% | .332 | 5.00 | 12.7% | -0.3% | 22 | +1.13 | 3.87 | 148 | 86 |
| Alex Phillips R 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.26 | 22.0% | 8.0% | 1.8% | .263 | 4.49 | 23.2% | 14.6% | 72 | +1.23 | 3.26 | 139 | 86 |
| Micah Dallas R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.96 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 2.8% | .273 | 3.95 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 80 | -0.01 | 3.57 | 178 | 86 |
| Eric Karch R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.74 | 16.0% | 6.2% | 2.2% | .324 | 5.07 | 20.3% | 16.1% | 35 | +1.33 | 3.74 | 104 | 86 |
| Roman Mendez R 2027 · 4.12 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.12 | 19.1% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .275 | 4.62 | 20.2% | 10.4% | 118 | +0.50 | 4.12 | 230 | 85 |
| Stephen Villines R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.99 | 16.8% | 8.5% | 2.2% | .280 | 3.05 | 20.6% | 14.7% | 40 | -0.94 | 2.16 | 156 | 85 |
| Rob Griswold R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.30 | 16.8% | 8.3% | 2.9% | .244 | 4.64 | 12.5% | 6.2% | 144 | +0.34 | 3.55 | 203 | 85 |
| Joe Colón J R 2027 · 3.28 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.28 | 19.4% | 7.4% | 1.6% | .312 | 3.96 | 20.7% | 7.8% | 65 | +0.68 | 3.28 | 113 | 85 |
| Alex Palsha R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.84 | 20.6% | 10.4% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.90 | 15.3% | 4.4% | 77 | +0.06 | 3.40 | 134 | 85 |
| J.C. Flowers R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.92 | 17.6% | 8.9% | 2.2% | .263 | 5.66 | 16.1% | -1.3% | 133 | +1.74 | 3.39 | 281 | 85 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.63 | 21.2% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .282 | 3.31 | 22.5% | 16.6% | 72 | -0.32 | 2.25 | 121 | 85 |
| Alex Hermeling R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.87 | 16.5% | 8.1% | 2.1% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 127 | 85 |
| Mark McLaughlin R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.28 | 20.6% | 8.3% | 3.4% | .280 | 4.38 | 15.5% | 5.5% | 20 | +0.10 | 4.28 | 195 | 85 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 68 | 20.3% | 8.0% | 1.05 | 4.28 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Adam Warren ('19) | 5 | 67 | 20.8% | 8.3% | 1.08 | 3.55 |