Brad Deppermann
P
Knoxville Smokies
+0.3
WAR
Age 30
RHP
5'11" / 215 lbs
AA
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.02
FIP4.02
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.5%
BB%8.1%
K-BB%13.4%
IP27
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
STUF4545
CTRL6060
CMD5050
K†5050
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 23 | ROK | AZL Cubs 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 2.45 | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 17 | 5 | 41 | 180 | 40 | 15 | 4 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 2.9% | 5.53 | 4.48 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 26 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 18 | 0 | 22 | 102 | 22 | 17 | 0 | 17.3% | 19.4% | 0.0% | 3.68 | 4.09 | +0.2 |
| 2023 | 27 | A+ | South Bend Cubs | 10 | 0 | 14 | 61 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 22.7% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 5.93 | 4.30 | +0.1 |
| 2024 | 28 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | 19 | 0 | 27 | 107 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 20.9% | 4.8% | 0.0% | 0.67 | 1.94 | +0.9 |
| 2025 | 29 | AA | Knoxville Smokies | 41 | 0 | 46 | 188 | 42 | 11 | 0 | 18.1% | 6.4% | 0.0% | 2.76 | 2.39 | +1.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | CHC | 27 | — | 27 | 114 | 24 | 9 | 3 | 20.9% | 7.6% | 2.4% | 4.01 | 4.01 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | CHC | 26 | — | 26 | 110 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 20.9% | 7.9% | 2.5% | 4.08 | 4.11 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 108 | 5 | 153 | 653 | 123 | 61 | 7 | 18.8% | 9.3% | 1.1% | 3.54 | 3.32 | +3.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 141 | 7 | 200 | 855 | 161 | 80 | 9 | 18.8% | 9.3% | 1.1% | 3.54 | 3.32 | +4.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brad Deppermann (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.01 | 20.9% | 7.6% | 2.4% | — | 4.11 | 20.9% | 13.0% | 26 | +0.10 | — | — | — |
| Mark Serrano R 2026 · 3.10 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.10 | 17.7% | 6.5% | 1.2% | .290 | 4.39 | 21.1% | 14.0% | 88 | +1.29 | 3.10 | 120 | 87 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2029 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 87 |
| Chris Martin R 2025 · 3.18 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.18 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 1.3% | .319 | 2.97 | 20.9% | 19.2% | 42 | -0.21 | 1.72 | 402 | 84 |
| Brandon Morrow R 2027 · 3.51 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.51 | 18.3% | 5.6% | 2.3% | .280 | 3.50 | 21.2% | 14.8% | 153 | -0.01 | 2.67 | 186 | 83 |
| Matt Albers R 2028 · 3.13 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.13 | 18.8% | 4.7% | 1.9% | .252 | 4.47 | 20.4% | 13.3% | 147 | +1.34 | 3.13 | 244 | 83 |
| Logan Kensing R 2029 · 3.61 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.61 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.55 | 2.72 | 172 | 83 |
| David Hernandez R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.62 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | .287 | 3.18 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.44 | 2.56 | 268 | 82 |
| Brian Schlitter R 2026 · 3.31 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.31 | 20.6% | 10.8% | 1.1% | .333 | 3.78 | 14.4% | 6.6% | 110 | +0.47 | 3.31 | 244 | 82 |
| Jose De La Torre R 2026 · 3.08 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.08 | 22.0% | 8.0% | 1.5% | .248 | 2.59 | 20.5% | 14.7% | 19 | -0.49 | 2.59 | 130 | 81 |
| Tony Barnette R 2028 · 3.05 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.05 | 19.9% | 6.1% | 1.6% | .281 | 3.28 | 23.4% | 17.0% | 84 | +0.23 | 2.56 | 144 | 81 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2028 · 3.33 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.33 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.4% | .342 | 4.98 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.65 | 3.33 | 122 | 81 |
| Ricky Nolasco R 2028 · 3.21 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.21 | 20.2% | 6.9% | 1.7% | .382 | 4.32 | 17.9% | 11.7% | 379 | +1.11 | 3.21 | 425 | 81 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2027 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.73 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 3.0% | .325 | 3.80 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.07 | 3.65 | 137 | 80 |
| Esteban Haro R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.58 | 17.1% | 10.2% | 3.0% | .338 | 3.79 | 11.6% | 6.3% | 75 | -0.79 | 3.73 | 164 | 80 |
| Drew Storen R 2025 · 3.81 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.81 | 19.5% | 7.3% | 2.6% | .289 | 4.32 | 19.4% | 8.4% | 10 | +0.51 | 2.26 | 172 | 80 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.17 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.17 | 22.8% | 6.1% | 2.2% | .279 | 3.79 | 21.2% | 11.5% | 181 | +0.62 | 3.17 | 272 | 79 |
| Tom Wilhelmsen R 2027 · 3.11 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.11 | 22.5% | 9.7% | 1.2% | .298 | 5.81 | 13.8% | 4.1% | 86 | +2.70 | 3.11 | 148 | 79 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.46 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .241 | 5.68 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 90 | +2.22 | 3.46 | 160 | 79 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2024 · 4.01 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.01 | 19.6% | 7.3% | 3.0% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.00 | 125 | 79 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2027 · 3.75 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.75 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 1.9% | .244 | 4.71 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 377 | +0.96 | 3.75 | 521 | 79 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.