Brad Deppermann P Richmond Flying Squirrels
Age 30 RHP 5'11" / 215 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION12 act + 58 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113103vR 94
ERA4.10
FIP4.10
K%18.2%
BB%6.6%
K-BB%11.6%
ROS IP58
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP
K: -0.8 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-1KBB: +0.9 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)+1BBCONTACT: -1.7 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-2CONTACTSTAM: +4.5 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+5STAMTotal WAR: +0.31 (70 IP)+0.3WAR
0.10.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF4545
CTRL6060
CMD5050
K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201923ROKAZL Cubs 2304154100%1.226.7%6.7%20.0%0.0%2.451.69
201923ROKAZL Cubs 2304154100%1.226.7%6.7%20.0%0.0%2.451.74
202125A+South Bend Cubs175411804015429%2.417.1%9.6%7.5%3.2%5.534.65
202125A+South Bend Cubs175411804015429%2.422.2%8.3%13.9%2.2%5.533.52
202226MIX2 levels18022102221700%1.217.3%19.4%-2.1%0.0%3.684.09
202226MIX2 levels18022102221700%1.221.6%16.7%4.9%0.0%3.683.42
202327A+South Bend Cubs100146118520%1.422.7%9.4%13.3%2.9%5.933.99
202327A+South Bend Cubs100146118520%1.429.5%8.2%21.3%3.3%5.933.47
202428MIX3 levels1902710730600%1.420.9%4.8%16.1%0.0%0.671.94
202428MIX3 levels1902710730600%1.428.0%5.6%22.4%0.0%0.671.54
202529AAKnoxville Smokies41046188421100%1.118.1%6.4%11.7%0.0%2.762.39
202529AAKnoxville Smokies41046188421100%1.122.3%5.9%16.5%0.0%2.761.98
▸ 2026 Season
202630AARichmond Flying Squirrels110125516430%1.123.6%8.0%15.6%6.5%5.255.72-0.2
ROS30MLBSF55058244441660%1.018.2%6.6%11.6%2.4%4.104.10+0.3
ROS30MLBSF10141000%1.018.2%6.6%11.6%2.4%4.104.10+0.0
2026 TOT30MLBSF702996020920.2%6.8%13.5%3.0%4.304.38+0.3
2026 FULL30MLBSF1510018.2%6.6%11.6%2.4%4.103.72+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202731MLBSF51054227421660%1.118.4%7.2%11.1%2.7%4.244.32+0.1
202832MLBSF47050210381660%1.118.3%7.8%10.5%3.0%4.434.550.0
202933MLBSF44046193351660%1.018.1%8.3%9.7%3.2%4.644.79-0.1
202731MLBSF160177213520%1.118.4%7.2%11.1%2.7%4.244.32+0.0
202832MLBSF2502611020930%1.018.3%7.8%10.5%3.0%4.434.550.0
202933MLBSF29030127231140%1.018.1%8.3%9.7%3.2%4.644.79-0.1
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career70073310562490%1.018.2%7.9%10.3%3.0%4.474.21+0.5
/ 200 IP190020084415365250%1.018.2%7.9%10.3%3.0%4.474.21+2.8
Career119516570813665114%1.419.2%9.2%9.9%1.6%3.663.52+3.6
/ 200 IP145620086016579144%1.419.2%9.2%9.9%1.6%3.663.52+4.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Brad Deppermann (OGILVIE) 4.10 18.2%6.6%2.4% 4.54 18.2%10.5%149 +0.44
Jim Johnson R 2028 · 3.43 FIP 32 SU 3.43 17.2%6.2%1.8%.330 3.64 22.0%14.1%185 +0.21 2.51 251 89
Tony Barnette R 2028 · 3.06 FIP 32 SU 3.06 19.9%6.1%1.6%.281 3.28 23.4%17.0%84 +0.22 2.63 144 89
Chris Martin R 2025 · 3.28 FIP 29 SU 3.28 18.1%7.0%1.5%.319 3.06 20.9%19.2%42 -0.22 1.76 416 89
Mark Serrano R 2026 · 3.03 FIP 30 SU 3.03 17.7%6.5%1.1%.290 4.44 21.1%14.0%88 +1.41 3.03 120 87
Edwin Jackson R 2027 · 3.69 FIP 31 SU 3.69 17.5%8.8%1.8%.244 4.74 17.6%7.8%377 +1.05 3.69 521 86
Jean Machi R 2029 · 4.50 FIP 33 SU 4.50 16.3%8.6%3.1%.276 4.06 18.5%11.9%128 -0.44 3.92 186 85
Logan Kensing R 2029 · 3.55 FIP 33 SU 3.55 17.6%8.8%1.5%.270 3.06 17.9%10.0%124 -0.49 2.77 172 85
Carlos Torres R 2028 · 3.19 FIP 32 SU 3.19 19.8%4.9%2.1%.315 3.74 20.8%12.4%206 +0.55 2.78 326 85
Drew Storen R 2025 · 3.86 FIP 29 SU 3.86 19.5%7.3%2.7%.289 4.49 19.4%8.4%10 +0.63 2.36 172 85
Kevin Jepsen R 2027 · 3.46 FIP 31 SU 3.46 20.7%9.1%1.7%.241 5.92 16.9%7.2%90 +2.46 3.46 160 84
Matt Albers R 2028 · 3.18 FIP 32 SU 3.18 18.8%4.7%1.9%.252 4.51 20.4%13.3%147 +1.33 3.15 244 84
Angel Castro R 2028 · 4.89 FIP 32 SU 4.89 15.9%8.0%3.9%.268 4.43 13.6%5.5%231 -0.46 3.48 292 84
Tanner Scheppers R 2026 · 4.65 FIP 30 SU 4.65 15.7%6.7%3.7%.301 4.39 101 83
Tommy Hunter R 2026 · 3.08 FIP 30 SU 3.08 16.0%4.6%1.4%.299 3.20 23.3%17.7%123 +0.12 2.82 316 82
Ross Ohlendorf R 2028 · 3.26 FIP 32 SU 3.26 23.7%7.2%2.3%.342 4.99 23.4%12.7%66 +1.73 3.26 122 82
Francisco Mendoza R 2024 · 4.11 FIP 28 SU 4.11 17.9%7.7%2.8%.344 3.13 120 82
Tom Wilhelmsen R 2027 · 3.09 FIP 31 SU 3.09 22.5%9.7%1.2%.298 5.84 13.8%4.1%86 +2.75 3.09 148 81
Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.12 FIP 30 SU 4.12 18.2%6.3%3.2%.265 3.74 17.8%10.3%131 -0.38 3.53 365 81
Bo Schultz R 2026 · 3.84 FIP 30 SU 3.84 14.4%5.2%2.4%.276 2.73 16.4%8.4%27 -1.11 2.73 141 81
Joakim Soria R 2027 · 3.58 FIP 31 SU 3.58 23.5%6.6%3.0%.258 2.93 26.6%18.9%183 -0.65 2.01 380 80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION45218.2%7.4%1.084.33
Blaine Hardy ('19)55018.6%7.7%1.113.91
Robert Gsellman ('21)56718.4%7.8%0.964.38
Jim Johnson ('18)46320.7%8.0%0.904.19
Josh Winckowski ('24)37718.3%8.2%1.134.21
Jarlín García ('22)56119.6%7.8%1.333.79
Joe Biagini ('19)48119.1%7.8%1.284.86