William Fleming — OGILVIE

William Fleming P Wichita Wind Surge

Age 27 RHP 6'6" / 220 lbs AA peak 0.3 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION40 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127119vR 111

ERA4.96

FIP4.96

K%12.5%

BB%7.4%

K-BB%5.1%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 46 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL6565

CMD5050

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	2	22	85	27	4	2	22%	2.4	22.6%	4.9%	17.7%	4.2%	3.27	4.12	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	9	2	22	85	27	4	2	22%	2.4	31.8%	4.7%	27.1%	2.4%	3.27	2.37	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	25	122	532	98	42	18	100%	4.9	13.9%	9.2%	4.6%	4.6%	5.00	5.62	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	25	122	532	98	42	18	100%	4.9	18.4%	7.9%	10.5%	3.4%	5.00	4.44	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	19	107	467	91	34	9	83%	4.7	15.3%	8.2%	7.1%	2.5%	4.11	4.24	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	19	107	467	91	34	9	83%	4.7	15.3%	8.2%	7.1%	2.5%	4.11	4.24	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	19	107	467	91	34	9	83%	4.7	19.5%	7.3%	12.2%	1.9%	4.11	3.44	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	20	105	490	60	46	13	74%	3.9	10.0%	10.0%	-0.1%	3.3%	7.22	5.32	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	27	20	105	490	60	46	13	74%	3.9	10.0%	10.0%	-0.1%	3.3%	7.22	5.32	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	27	20	105	490	60	46	13	74%	3.9	12.2%	9.4%	2.9%	2.7%	7.22	4.89	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	9	60	293	53	20	7	32%	2.1	14.6%	6.2%	8.4%	2.6%	6.60	4.06	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	9	60	293	53	20	7	32%	2.1	14.6%	6.2%	8.4%	2.6%	6.60	4.06	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	28	9	60	293	53	20	7	32%	2.1	18.1%	6.8%	11.3%	2.4%	6.60	3.85	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	28	0	40	186	31	19	5	0%	1.4	13.5%	11.2%	2.3%	3.2%	6.13	5.15	—
YTD	27	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	28	0	40	186	31	19	5	0%	1.4	13.5%	11.2%	2.3%	3.2%	6.13	5.15	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	AA RAW	MIN	28	0	40	186	31	19	5	0%	1.4	16.7%	10.2%	6.5%	2.7%	6.13	4.46	—
ROS	27	MLB MLE	MIN	6	0	6	27	3	2	1	0%	1.1	12.5%	7.4%	5.1%	2.9%	4.96	4.96	-0.0
2026 TOT	27	MLB MLE	MIN	—	—	46	213	34	21	6	—	—	16.1%	9.9%	6.3%	2.7%	5.97	5.13	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	MIN	65	0	68	287	39	22	9	0%	1.0	13.4%	7.7%	5.7%	3.0%	4.95	4.98	-0.3
2028	29	MLB MLE	MIN	62	0	65	274	38	22	9	0%	1.0	14.0%	8.1%	5.9%	3.2%	5.00	5.06	-0.4
2027	28	MLB CTX	MIN	25	0	26	110	15	8	3	0%	1.0	13.4%	7.7%	5.7%	3.0%	4.95	4.98	-0.1
2028	29	MLB CTX	MIN	34	0	36	152	21	12	5	0%	1.1	14.0%	8.1%	5.9%	3.2%	5.00	5.06	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		59	0	62	261	36	21	8	0%	1.0	13.7%	7.9%	5.8%	3.1%	4.98	4.65	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	117	68	26	0%	1.1	13.7%	7.9%	5.8%	3.1%	4.98	4.65	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		140	75	456	2053	281	180	69	54%	3.3	13.7%	8.8%	4.9%	3.4%	5.53	4.91	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		61	33	200	900	123	79	30	54%	3.3	13.7%	8.8%	4.9%	3.4%	5.53	4.91	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
William Fleming (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.96	12.5%	7.4%	2.9%	—	5.02	13.7%	5.8%	133	+0.06	—	—	—
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	85
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	85
Alfonso Sanchez R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.5%	9.1%	3.2%	.346	4.85	14.0%	5.3%	138	-0.11	4.51	224	84
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	83
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	83
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	82
Aaron Northcraft R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	26	SW	4.19	16.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.309	3.32	24.1%	13.4%	34	-0.87	3.32	252	82
Donovan Hand R 2015 · 4.30 FIP	29	SW	4.30	11.1%	4.3%	2.9%	.305	4.56	12.5%	5.7%	140	+0.26	4.30	237	82
Kurt Heyer R 2016 · 3.99 FIP	25	SW	3.99	14.1%	6.7%	2.2%	.337	—	—	—	—	—	3.75	178	80
Zeke Spruill R 2015 · 3.94 FIP	25	SW	3.94	11.8%	6.9%	1.7%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	114	80
Sugar Ray Marimon R 2015 · 4.12 FIP	26	SW	4.12	12.4%	9.1%	1.7%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	107	80
Mike Connolly R 2018 · 5.13 FIP	26	SW	5.13	13.2%	9.4%	3.5%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	328	80
Roberto Gómez R 2017 · 3.95 FIP	27	SW	3.95	18.4%	8.9%	2.3%	.315	5.25	13.8%	4.9%	18	+1.30	3.95	115	79
Drasen Johnson R 2016 · 4.70 FIP	24	SW	4.70	9.6%	5.7%	3.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	4.70	110	78
Bryce Morrow R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	12.8%	7.9%	2.4%	.316	5.44	10.1%	-0.2%	50	+1.13	4.31	125	78
Chris Jensen R 2018 · 5.31 FIP	27	SW	5.31	12.0%	10.6%	3.4%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	4.47	488	78
Andres Santiago R 2017 · 4.16 FIP	27	SW	4.16	16.3%	9.1%	2.3%	.384	5.26	13.1%	3.2%	159	+1.10	3.76	291	77
Ivan Zavala R 2015 · 4.51 FIP	28	SP-	4.51	7.0%	4.7%	2.6%	.312	4.73	12.2%	4.3%	50	+0.22	4.27	209	77
Aldo Montes R 2017 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.4%	8.5%	3.3%	.322	4.69	18.2%	7.6%	75	-0.27	4.69	210	77
Kelvis Valerio R 2017 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	11.7%	7.1%	2.1%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	266	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	68	13.3%	7.7%	1.17	4.97
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45
Josh Fleming ('24)	1.3	51	14.6%	7.5%	1.17	4.77
Luis Perdomo ('22)	2.3	90	16.6%	7.8%	1.08	5.09