Andrew Landry — OGILVIE

Andrew Landry P Hudson Valley Renegades

Age 24 RHP 6'1" / 175 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION48 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138130vR 122

ERA5.51

FIP5.51

K%14.2%

BB%13.8%

K-BB%0.5%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 54 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL4545

CMD4040

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	7	29	129	26	19	2	64%	2.6	9.8%	20.7%	-11.0%	1.5%	5.34	5.70	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	7	29	129	26	19	2	64%	2.6	9.8%	20.7%	-11.0%	1.5%	5.34	5.70	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	11	7	29	129	26	19	2	64%	2.6	20.2%	14.7%	5.4%	1.6%	5.34	4.18	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	22	112	497	105	52	7	96%	4.9	15.9%	12.2%	3.7%	2.1%	4.34	4.44	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	22	112	497	105	52	7	96%	4.9	15.9%	12.2%	3.7%	2.1%	4.34	4.44	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	22	112	497	105	52	7	96%	4.9	21.1%	10.5%	10.7%	1.4%	4.34	3.43	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	36	0	48	218	57	21	3	0%	1.3	20.5%	11.9%	8.6%	0.6%	3.75	3.22	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	36	0	48	218	57	21	3	0%	1.3	20.5%	11.9%	8.6%	0.6%	3.75	3.22	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	A+ RAW	NYY	35	0	45	203	54	21	1	0%	1.3	26.6%	10.3%	16.3%	0.5%	3.18	2.43	—
2026	24	AA RAW	NYY	1	0	3	15	3	0	2	0%	2.7	20.0%	0.0%	20.0%	13.3%	13.50	8.73	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	NYY	6	0	6	26	4	4	1	0%	1.0	14.2%	13.8%	0.5%	2.7%	5.51	5.51	-0.1
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	NYY	—	—	54	244	61	25	4	—	—	24.9%	10.1%	14.8%	1.5%	3.95	3.47	+0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	NYY	97	0	102	431	69	54	12	0%	1.1	15.9%	12.5%	3.4%	2.7%	5.28	5.21	-0.7
2028	26	MLB MLE	NYY	97	0	102	431	73	52	12	0%	1.1	16.9%	12.1%	4.8%	2.7%	5.14	5.09	-0.6
2029	27	MLB MLE	NYY	96	0	101	425	73	51	12	0%	1.0	17.1%	11.9%	5.2%	2.8%	5.09	5.09	-0.6
2030	28	MLB MLE	NYY	93	0	98	412	70	49	12	0%	1.0	17.1%	12.0%	5.1%	2.9%	5.12	5.15	-0.6
2031	29	MLB MLE	NYY	89	0	93	394	66	48	12	0%	1.0	16.9%	12.2%	4.7%	3.1%	5.22	5.28	-0.7
2032	30	MLB MLE	NYY	83	0	88	370	61	46	12	0%	1.1	16.5%	12.5%	4.0%	3.3%	5.36	5.46	-0.9
2027	25	MLB CTX	NYY	42	0	44	186	30	23	5	0%	1.0	15.9%	12.5%	3.4%	2.7%	5.28	5.21	-0.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	NYY	65	0	68	287	48	35	8	0%	1.0	16.9%	12.1%	4.8%	2.7%	5.14	5.09	-0.4
2029	27	MLB CTX	NYY	74	0	78	329	56	39	9	0%	1.1	17.1%	11.9%	5.2%	2.8%	5.09	5.09	-0.5
2030	28	MLB CTX	NYY	78	0	82	346	59	41	10	0%	1.1	17.1%	12.0%	5.1%	2.9%	5.12	5.15	-0.5
2031	29	MLB CTX	NYY	78	0	82	346	58	42	11	0%	1.1	16.9%	12.2%	4.7%	3.1%	5.22	5.28	-0.7
2032	30	MLB CTX	NYY	75	0	79	334	55	42	11	0%	1.1	16.5%	12.5%	4.0%	3.3%	5.36	5.46	-0.8
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		411	0	432	1824	306	222	54	0%	1.1	16.8%	12.2%	4.6%	2.9%	5.20	4.84	-1.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	142	103	25	0%	1.1	16.8%	12.2%	4.6%	2.9%	5.20	4.84	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		70	29	189	844	136	113	14	41%	2.7	16.1%	13.4%	2.7%	1.6%	4.34	4.32	-4.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		74	31	200	895	144	120	14	41%	2.7	16.1%	13.4%	2.7%	1.6%	4.34	4.32	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Andrew Landry (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.51	14.2%	13.8%	2.7%	—	5.13	16.6%	4.5%	305	-0.38	—	—	—
Wirkin Estevez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	24	SW	5.39	10.7%	13.4%	2.7%	.316	4.46	12.3%	3.5%	179	-0.93	4.37	238	87
Chance Huff R 2023 · 5.57 FIP	23	SW	5.57	11.8%	11.4%	3.7%	.312	5.08	15.7%	0.2%	155	-0.49	4.31	238	84
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	84
Cullen Kafka R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	24	SW	4.95	14.2%	12.1%	2.8%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	148	83
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	82
Dylan Spacke R 2022 · 5.24 FIP	24	SU	5.24	16.1%	13.9%	3.2%	.297	4.79	13.6%	0.2%	52	-0.45	2.08	205	82
Tyler Barnette R 2016 · 4.46 FIP	24	SW	4.46	13.0%	10.0%	2.2%	.333	3.99	10.7%	-3.5%	13	-0.47	3.57	173	81
Aaron Northcraft R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	25	SW	4.37	13.6%	10.2%	2.1%	.286	4.19	16.1%	7.8%	91	-0.18	3.32	252	81
Kyle Miller R 2017 · 4.68 FIP	23	SW	4.68	12.1%	12.0%	2.0%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	2.83	164	80
Hunter Hayes R 2023 · 4.53 FIP	22	SW	4.53	13.3%	9.7%	2.4%	.307	4.49	16.5%	4.0%	155	-0.04	3.34	216	80
Kevin Johnson R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	24	SW	4.69	11.0%	8.5%	2.6%	.302	5.52	9.9%	-2.0%	26	+0.83	4.69	106	80
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	80
Kender Villegas R 2017 · 4.70 FIP	24	SU	4.70	13.3%	13.3%	1.9%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	131	79
Ted Stuka R 2021 · 5.72 FIP	24	SW	5.72	12.4%	23.4%	1.3%	.262	6.22	15.9%	-13.1%	41	+0.50	5.36	105	79
Ben Ethridge R 2023 · 4.45 FIP	22	SP-	4.45	14.4%	13.2%	1.7%	.250	6.04	13.0%	2.0%	66	+1.59	4.45	144	79
James Pugliese R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	24	SW	4.72	12.5%	11.6%	2.2%	.226	—	—	—	—	—	2.52	218	79
Tyler Brashears R 2017 · 5.47 FIP	23	SW	5.47	12.1%	13.0%	3.2%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	156	79
Cale Coshow R 2016 · 4.56 FIP	24	SW	4.56	14.3%	13.3%	1.8%	.287	4.05	23.6%	13.6%	126	-0.51	3.08	377	79
Paul Clemens R 2015 · 5.37 FIP	27	SP-	5.37	14.3%	14.1%	3.1%	.310	4.62	16.9%	7.3%	200	-0.75	4.58	247	78
Eli Saul R 2023 · 5.41 FIP	21	SW	5.41	12.6%	14.2%	2.9%	.305	5.39	13.8%	-2.9%	98	-0.02	5.30	157	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.3	93	16.5%	12.3%	1.12	5.23
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Dakota Hudson ('24)	2.8	92	15.0%	11.1%	0.91	4.25
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04