Jimmy Joyce
P
Arkansas Travelers
Age 27
RHP
6'2" / 210 lbs
AA
peak 0.5 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 43 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122112vR 103
ERA4.52
FIP4.52
K%21.8%
BB%10.5%
K-BB%11.4%
ROS IP43
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 43 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 6 | 22 | 98 | 31 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 3.7 | 25.0% | 9.0% | 16.0% | 2.8% | 3.22 | 3.67 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 6 | 22 | 98 | 31 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 3.7 | 31.6% | 7.1% | 24.5% | 2.0% | 3.22 | 2.43 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 121 | 541 | 140 | 54 | 14 | 100% | 4.8 | 20.3% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 2.4% | 5.58 | 4.04 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 25 | 121 | 541 | 140 | 54 | 14 | 100% | 4.8 | 25.9% | 10.0% | 15.9% | 2.6% | 5.58 | 3.63 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 16 | 70 | 287 | 83 | 20 | 5 | 100% | 4.4 | 22.7% | 7.8% | 14.8% | 2.3% | 2.57 | 3.44 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 16 | 16 | 70 | 287 | 83 | 20 | 5 | 100% | 4.4 | 28.9% | 7.0% | 22.0% | 1.7% | 2.57 | 2.51 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 10 | 61 | 274 | 61 | 35 | 3 | 36% | 2.2 | 17.8% | 14.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 5.46 | 4.56 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 10 | 61 | 274 | 61 | 35 | 3 | 36% | 2.2 | 22.3% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 1.1% | 5.46 | 3.46 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 6 | 0 | 9 | 34 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 20.6% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.85 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 6 | 0 | 9 | 34 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0% | 1.6 | 20.6% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.89 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 7 | 7 | 43 | 182 | 40 | 19 | 5 | 100% | 6.2 | 21.8% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 2.8% | 4.52 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 7 | 7 | 42 | 177 | 39 | 19 | 5 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.9% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 3.0% | 4.55 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 3 | 3 | 16 | 68 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 5.3 | 21.9% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 3.0% | 4.55 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3 | 3 | 16 | 66 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 5.2 | 21.9% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 3.0% | 4.55 | 4.21 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 191 | 89 | 25 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.9% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 3.0% | 4.55 | 4.21 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 81 | 57 | 284 | 1234 | 255 | 132 | 28 | 70% | 3.5 | 20.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 2.3% | 4.44 | 3.95 | +4.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 57 | 40 | 200 | 870 | 180 | 93 | 20 | 70% | 3.5 | 20.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 2.3% | 4.44 | 3.95 | +3.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jimmy Joyce (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.52 | 21.8% | 10.5% | 2.8% | — | 4.59 | 21.8% | 11.4% | 42 | +0.07 | — | — | — |
| Preston Johnson R 2025 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 146 | 83 |
| Dawson Netz R 2024 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 82 |
| Sam Lewis R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.43 | 21.0% | 10.8% | 1.3% | .246 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 224 | 77 |
| Chase Whitley R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.04 | 19.5% | 7.0% | 3.1% | .217 | 3.24 | 18.0% | 11.8% | 81 | -0.80 | 3.11 | 159 | 75 |
| Chad Dallas R 2025 · 3.40 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.40 | 19.8% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.40 | 322 | 75 |
| Raynel Espinal R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.76 | 22.4% | 7.1% | 3.0% | .313 | 3.72 | 22.3% | 12.4% | 224 | -0.04 | 2.53 | 507 | 73 |
| Brian Edgington R 2025 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.05 | 19.3% | 12.3% | 3.7% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 171 | 73 |
| Alejandro Martinez R 2025 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.24 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .393 | 4.44 | 9.2% | 3.9% | 53 | +0.20 | 4.24 | 166 | 73 |
| Antonio Guzman R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.60 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 1.2% | .328 | 3.63 | 20.6% | 11.3% | 170 | +0.03 | 3.22 | 254 | 72 |
| Blake Beers R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.20 | 18.3% | 9.1% | 2.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.20 | 416 | 72 |
| Kyle Lloyd R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.17 | 18.2% | 9.8% | 2.5% | .336 | 4.33 | 17.2% | 9.3% | 110 | +0.16 | 3.46 | 572 | 72 |
| Burch Smith R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.94 | 19.5% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .234 | 4.41 | 22.2% | 10.5% | 192 | +0.47 | 3.39 | 382 | 71 |
| Rubby De La Rosa R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.02 | 24.3% | 8.6% | 3.5% | .248 | 4.01 | 27.6% | 18.3% | 42 | -0.01 | 3.97 | 281 | 71 |
| Jonathan Pintaro R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.11 | 24.4% | 13.2% | 2.5% | .302 | 3.12 | 26.0% | 15.4% | 35 | -0.99 | 3.12 | 187 | 71 |
| Hector Noesí R 2027 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 71 |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.16 | 16.1% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .309 | 3.28 | 24.1% | 13.4% | 34 | -0.88 | 3.28 | 252 | 71 |
| Lisalverto Bonilla R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.60 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .304 | 4.88 | 15.8% | 3.2% | 11 | +0.28 | 3.25 | 221 | 71 |
| Shawn Dubin R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.35 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 3.8% | .292 | 3.91 | 21.8% | 11.4% | 79 | -1.44 | 3.04 | 341 | 70 |
| Kyle Brnovich R 2026 · 5.49 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.49 | 19.6% | 13.6% | 4.2% | .330 | 6.70 | 15.2% | 5.2% | 69 | +1.21 | 3.69 | 333 | 70 |
| Connor Schultz R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.85 | 21.5% | 10.9% | 4.0% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 171 | 70 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 43 | 21.8% | 10.5% | 1.12 | 4.53 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |