Jake Lee
P
Salt Lake Bees
+0.6
WAR
Age 31
RHP
6'4" / 215 lbs
AAA
peak 0.6 · 2026
ERA4.60
FIP4.60
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.7%
BB%8.8%
K-BB%12.9%
IP86
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.6peak
2026
K†5055
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 23 | ROK | Orem Owlz | 17 | 0 | 24 | 99 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 20.6% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 2.66 | 2.78 | +0.6 |
| 2019 | 24 | A+ | Inland Empire 66ers | 9 | 6 | 35 | 142 | 49 | 11 | 5 | 25.7% | 12.4% | 3.9% | 4.11 | 4.64 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 26 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 5 | 5 | 20 | 91 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 20.5% | 9.7% | 2.1% | 5.31 | 3.72 | +0.3 |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 12 | 8 | 24 | 103 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16.8% | 7.1% | 1.3% | 4.88 | 3.27 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 35 | 13 | 93 | 409 | 78 | 27 | 22 | 16.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.02 | 5.96 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | LAA | 16 | 16 | 86 | 364 | 79 | 32 | 12 | 21.7% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 4.60 | 4.60 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | LAA | 15 | 15 | 83 | 350 | 75 | 31 | 12 | 21.4% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 4.62 | 4.65 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | LAA | 14 | 14 | 79 | 334 | 77 | 27 | 12 | 23.2% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 4.51 | 4.45 | +0.6 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | LAA | 14 | 14 | 75 | 317 | 72 | 27 | 11 | 22.8% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 4.53 | 4.55 | +0.5 |
| 2030 | 35 | MLB | LAA | 13 | 13 | 71 | 299 | 67 | 26 | 11 | 22.5% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 4.61 | 4.67 | +0.3 |
| 2031 | 36 | MLB | LAA | 12 | 12 | 66 | 280 | 62 | 25 | 10 | 22.1% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 4.73 | 4.80 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 37 | MLB | LAA | 11 | 11 | 61 | 259 | 56 | 24 | 10 | 21.6% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 4.86 | 4.95 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 78 | 32 | 196 | 844 | 159 | 67 | 35 | 18.8% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 5.06 | 4.80 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 80 | 33 | 200 | 863 | 163 | 68 | 36 | 18.8% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 5.06 | 4.80 | +1.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jake Lee (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.60 | 21.7% | 8.8% | 3.4% | — | 4.55 | 22.5% | 14.0% | 237 | -0.05 | — | — | — |
| Juan Delgadillo R 2027 · 4.56 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.56 | 15.5% | 7.2% | 3.4% | .316 | 4.46 | 10.9% | 4.7% | 39 | -0.10 | 4.46 | 143 | 81 |
| Matt Cain R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.00 | 18.1% | 7.8% | 4.5% | .313 | 5.07 | 13.2% | 5.6% | 124 | +0.07 | 4.87 | 294 | 79 |
| Jose Samayoa R 2024 · 4.08 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.08 | 19.4% | 7.0% | 3.1% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 262 | 79 |
| Josh Zeid R 2025 · 5.36 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.36 | 18.3% | 10.8% | 4.4% | .334 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 265 | 79 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.45 | 17.8% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 315 | 77 |
| Ervin Santana R 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.00 | 17.1% | 7.1% | 2.6% | .273 | 4.12 | 19.2% | 12.4% | 417 | +0.12 | 3.75 | 720 | 77 |
| Yohan Pino R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.10 | 17.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% | .312 | 5.35 | 15.2% | 11.6% | 35 | +1.25 | 4.10 | 133 | 77 |
| Tim Adleman R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.33 | 22.8% | 7.8% | 4.0% | .266 | 4.71 | 18.5% | 11.1% | 90 | +0.38 | 3.64 | 605 | 77 |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.14 | 20.6% | 9.1% | 3.0% | .305 | 3.51 | 27.5% | 19.3% | 120 | -0.63 | 3.39 | 316 | 76 |
| Guillermo Moscoso R 2028 · 3.77 FIP | 33 | SP- | 3.77 | 14.5% | 6.9% | 1.8% | .270 | 4.63 | 14.9% | 7.5% | 176 | +0.86 | 3.77 | 264 | 75 |
| Tom Koehler R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.70 | 22.4% | 9.0% | 4.3% | .298 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.37 | 474 | 75 |
| Josh A. Smith R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.63 | 20.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | .341 | 3.71 | 17.4% | 8.6% | 59 | -0.92 | 2.98 | 598 | 74 |
| Dillon Gee R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.80 | 18.0% | 5.9% | 2.7% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 380 | 74 |
| Felipe Paulino R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.52 | 15.8% | 11.8% | 2.3% | .312 | 4.86 | 15.0% | 4.8% | 26 | +0.34 | 4.52 | 150 | 74 |
| Jason Berken R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.36 | 13.5% | 6.6% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.51 | 11.5% | 3.2% | 106 | +0.15 | 4.36 | 219 | 74 |
| Ramon Ramirez R 2027 · 3.56 FIP | 32 | SP- | 3.56 | 16.9% | 9.7% | 1.2% | .310 | 5.29 | 9.2% | -4.9% | 29 | +1.73 | 3.56 | 155 | 74 |
| Frankie De La Cruz R 2028 · 3.74 FIP | 33 | SP- | 3.74 | 15.2% | 8.0% | 1.7% | .262 | 4.37 | 16.2% | 8.2% | 114 | +0.63 | 3.74 | 240 | 73 |
| Mitch Talbot R 2029 · 3.81 FIP | 34 | SP- | 3.81 | 13.7% | 5.6% | 2.1% | .281 | 5.01 | 13.2% | 8.9% | 59 | +1.20 | 3.81 | 162 | 73 |
| Brad Peacock R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.09 | 25.1% | 8.1% | 3.8% | .261 | 4.16 | 22.8% | 12.5% | 96 | +0.07 | 2.94 | 533 | 72 |
| Patrick Johnson R 2025 · 4.13 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.13 | 15.7% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 248 | 72 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.