Jake Lee
P
Salt Lake Bees
Age 31
RHP
6'4" / 215 lbs
AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 60 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123114vR 105
ERA4.60
FIP4.60
K%21.7%
BB%8.8%
K-BB%12.9%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 23 | ROK | Orem Owlz | 17 | 0 | 24 | 99 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 20.6% | 5.1% | 15.6% | 1.4% | 2.66 | 2.78 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | ROK | Orem Owlz | 17 | 0 | 24 | 99 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 30.3% | 4.0% | 26.3% | 1.0% | 2.66 | 1.62 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 6 | 35 | 142 | 49 | 11 | 5 | 67% | 3.9 | 25.7% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 4.2% | 4.11 | 4.80 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 6 | 35 | 142 | 49 | 11 | 5 | 67% | 3.9 | 34.5% | 7.7% | 26.8% | 3.5% | 4.11 | 3.10 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 5 | 5 | 20 | 91 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 4.1 | 20.5% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 1.8% | 5.31 | 3.56 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 5 | 5 | 20 | 91 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 4.1 | 25.3% | 8.8% | 16.5% | 2.2% | 5.31 | 3.30 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 8 | 24 | 103 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 67% | 2.0 | 16.8% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 1.3% | 4.88 | 3.29 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 8 | 24 | 103 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 67% | 2.0 | 23.3% | 6.8% | 16.5% | 1.0% | 4.88 | 2.52 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 13 | 93 | 409 | 78 | 27 | 22 | 37% | 2.6 | 16.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 6.02 | 5.98 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 35 | 13 | 93 | 409 | 78 | 27 | 22 | 37% | 2.6 | 19.1% | 6.6% | 12.5% | 5.4% | 6.02 | 5.38 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | LAA | 57 | 0 | 60 | 255 | 55 | 22 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.7% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 3.4% | 4.60 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | LAA | 53 | 0 | 56 | 236 | 50 | 22 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.4% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 3.6% | 4.71 | 4.80 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | LAA | 49 | 0 | 51 | 216 | 46 | 21 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 3.8% | 4.88 | 5.01 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | LAA | 20 | 0 | 21 | 89 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.4% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 3.6% | 4.71 | 4.80 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | LAA | 27 | 0 | 28 | 118 | 25 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 3.8% | 4.88 | 5.01 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 46 | 0 | 49 | 206 | 44 | 19 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 3.7% | 4.81 | 4.54 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 181 | 78 | 33 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 3.7% | 4.81 | 4.54 | +2.0 | ||
| Career | — | 78 | 32 | 196 | 844 | 159 | 67 | 35 | 41% | 2.5 | 18.8% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 4.2% | 5.06 | 4.82 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 80 | 33 | 200 | 863 | 162 | 69 | 36 | 41% | 2.5 | 18.8% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 4.2% | 5.06 | 4.82 | +1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jake Lee (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.60 | 21.7% | 8.8% | 3.4% | — | 4.90 | 21.3% | 11.8% | 107 | +0.30 | — | — | — |
| Yoanner Negrin R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.02 | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.39 | 15.0% | 8.5% | 270 | -0.63 | 3.19 | 485 | 76 |
| Tim Dillard R 2027 · 3.70 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.70 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 3.83 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 144 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 352 | 74 |
| Robert Stock R 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.10 | 23.0% | 8.5% | 3.4% | .301 | 7.89 | 14.7% | -1.9% | 23 | +3.79 | 0.76 | 348 | 73 |
| Josh Zeid R 2025 · 5.41 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.41 | 18.3% | 10.8% | 4.5% | .334 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 265 | 73 |
| Steve Johnson R 2024 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 152 | 72 |
| Chris Leroux R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.50 | 15.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .279 | 3.94 | 13.5% | 5.5% | 140 | -0.56 | 3.94 | 219 | 72 |
| Josh A. Smith R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.57 | 20.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | .341 | 3.72 | 17.4% | 8.6% | 59 | -0.85 | 2.71 | 598 | 70 |
| Felipe Arredondo R 2025 · 5.08 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.08 | 14.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% | .311 | 4.91 | 16.2% | 9.1% | 64 | -0.17 | 3.93 | 337 | 70 |
| Elian Leyva R 2025 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 158 | 69 |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.15 | 20.6% | 9.1% | 3.0% | .305 | 3.56 | 27.5% | 19.3% | 120 | -0.59 | 3.52 | 316 | 69 |
| Josh Lindblom R 2025 · 4.28 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.28 | 18.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | .333 | 3.66 | 27.2% | 18.8% | 45 | -0.62 | 3.66 | 348 | 68 |
| Mike Bolsinger R 2024 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.2% | 9.4% | 3.1% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 327 | 68 |
| Angel Sánchez R 2028 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 19.4% | 12.2% | 3.6% | .333 | 3.80 | 12.1% | 6.3% | 27 | -1.18 | 3.80 | 284 | 68 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.18 | 19.6% | 12.1% | 2.2% | .276 | 3.35 | 24.3% | 11.9% | 16 | -0.83 | 3.35 | 129 | 68 |
| Mitch Lively R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.49 | 17.0% | 6.4% | 1.8% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 158 | 67 |
| Tom Koehler R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.71 | 22.4% | 9.0% | 4.3% | .298 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.39 | 474 | 67 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.23 | 21.1% | 9.7% | 3.1% | .355 | 4.62 | 23.2% | 9.0% | 51 | +0.39 | 4.23 | 221 | 66 |
| Casey Coleman R 2026 · 4.98 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.98 | 15.2% | 7.9% | 4.0% | .344 | 5.00 | 18.4% | 9.4% | 78 | +0.02 | 2.86 | 306 | 66 |
| Murphy Smith R 2025 · 4.47 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.47 | 13.6% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.14 | 300 | 66 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.26 | 17.0% | 7.1% | 3.1% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 147 | 66 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 56 | 21.4% | 9.2% | 1.38 | 4.72 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |