Andrew Politi — OGILVIE

Andrew Politi P Worcester Red Sox

Age 30 RHP 6'0" / 195 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.78

FIP4.78

K%20.5%

BB%9.6%

K-BB%10.9%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	23	A+ MLE	Salem Red Sox	33	5	79	327	96	37	4	15%	2.4	22.6%	13.0%	9.6%	1.4%	3.55	3.62	—
2019	23	A+ RAW	Salem Red Sox	33	5	79	327	96	37	4	15%	2.4	29.4%	11.3%	18.0%	1.2%	3.55	2.73	—
2021	25	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	21	15	75	344	89	38	11	71%	3.6	21.0%	12.2%	8.8%	4.3%	6.36	5.21	—
2021	25	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	21	15	75	344	89	38	11	71%	3.6	25.9%	11.0%	14.8%	3.2%	6.36	4.15	—
2022	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	2	69	275	83	22	6	4%	1.4	26.1%	8.5%	17.6%	2.6%	2.34	3.38	—
2022	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	2	69	275	83	22	6	4%	1.4	30.2%	8.0%	22.2%	2.2%	2.34	2.78	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	54	0	59	263	60	28	6	0%	1.1	18.9%	9.6%	9.4%	2.5%	4.45	4.08	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	54	0	59	263	60	28	6	0%	1.1	18.9%	9.6%	9.4%	2.5%	4.45	4.08	—
2023	27	AAA RAW	Worcester Red Sox	54	0	59	263	60	28	6	0%	1.1	22.8%	10.6%	12.2%	2.3%	4.45	3.82	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	11	0	10	52	12	6	5	0%	0.9	19.2%	10.4%	8.8%	10.6%	12.19	8.63	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	11	0	10	52	12	6	5	0%	0.9	19.2%	10.4%	8.8%	10.6%	12.19	8.63	—
2024	28	AAA RAW	Worcester Red Sox	11	0	10	52	12	6	5	0%	0.9	23.1%	11.5%	11.5%	9.6%	12.19	8.81	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	30	MLB	BOS	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	20.5%	9.6%	10.9%	3.3%	4.78	4.78	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	BOS	19	0	20	84	17	8	3	0%	1.1	20.4%	9.9%	10.5%	3.5%	4.86	4.94	-0.1
2027	31	MLB CTX	BOS	7	0	7	30	6	3	1	0%	1.0	20.4%	9.9%	10.5%	3.5%	4.86	4.94	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	6	3	1	0%	1.1	20.4%	9.9%	10.5%	3.5%	4.86	4.56	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	82	27	0%	1.1	20.4%	9.9%	10.5%	3.5%	4.86	4.56	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		169	22	292	1261	277	138	38	13%	1.7	22.0%	11.0%	11.0%	3.0%	4.47	4.30	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		116	15	200	864	190	95	26	13%	1.7	22.0%	11.0%	11.0%	3.0%	4.47	4.30	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Andrew Politi (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.78	20.5%	9.6%	3.3%	—	4.94	20.4%	10.5%	20	+0.16	—	—	—
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	85
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	82
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	79
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	78
David Hernandez R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	30	SU	4.40	22.9%	7.6%	4.1%	.287	3.17	24.9%	18.4%	192	-1.23	2.60	268	78
Esteban Haro R 2016 · 4.55 FIP	30	SU	4.55	17.1%	10.2%	2.9%	.338	3.83	11.6%	6.3%	75	-0.72	3.76	164	77
Edwin Jackson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	17.5%	8.8%	1.9%	.244	4.71	17.6%	7.8%	377	+0.94	3.77	521	76
Tanner Scheppers R 2017 · 4.86 FIP	30	SU	4.86	15.7%	6.7%	4.1%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	101	76
Jean Machi R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	33	SU	4.56	16.3%	8.6%	3.2%	.276	4.24	18.5%	11.9%	128	-0.32	4.12	186	76
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	76
Alexi Ogando R 2015 · 5.11 FIP	31	SU	5.11	19.1%	9.4%	4.4%	.253	3.95	17.2%	8.0%	67	-1.16	3.79	132	75
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.95	260	75
Mike Broadway R 2017 · 4.73 FIP	30	SU	4.73	18.3%	10.2%	3.4%	.245	4.65	23.0%	12.4%	49	-0.08	1.74	195	75
Erik Davis R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	30	SU	4.25	22.2%	11.1%	3.0%	.349	3.52	17.4%	8.5%	65	-0.73	3.05	227	75
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2015 · 5.21 FIP	30	SU	5.21	18.6%	7.6%	4.9%	.373	3.56	18.5%	9.3%	93	-1.65	3.50	170	75
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	74
Rob Wooten R 2015 · 4.86 FIP	30	SU	4.86	19.3%	5.5%	4.9%	.299	3.87	17.7%	14.4%	111	-0.99	3.19	191	73
Adrian Garza R 2017 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	16.0%	7.0%	3.4%	.351	5.18	9.7%	4.1%	113	+0.71	3.94	229	73
Cody Satterwhite R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	30	SU	4.22	17.0%	7.1%	3.0%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	147	73
Jonathan Broxton R 2015 · 3.67 FIP	31	SU	3.67	24.5%	8.2%	2.9%	.325	3.89	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.22	3.67	137	73