Andrew Politi P Worcester Red Sox
Age 30 RHP 6'0" / 195 lbs AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 12 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124115vR 106
ERA4.63
FIP4.63
K%22.6%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%12.8%
ROS IP13
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP
K: +0.0 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -0.2 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -0.5 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +0.5 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: -0.01 (12 IP)-0.0WAR
0.0-0.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201923A+Salem Red Sox335793279637415%2.422.6%13.0%9.6%1.3%3.553.56
201923A+Salem Red Sox335793279637415%2.429.4%11.3%18.0%1.2%3.552.73
202125AAPortland Sea Dogs21157534489381171%3.621.0%12.2%8.8%4.8%6.365.50
202125AAPortland Sea Dogs21157534489381171%3.625.9%11.0%14.8%3.2%6.364.15
202226MIX2 levels50269275832264%1.426.1%8.5%17.6%2.7%2.343.45
202226MIX2 levels50269275832264%1.430.2%8.0%22.2%2.2%2.342.78
202327AAAWorcester Red Sox54059263602860%1.120.1%11.2%8.9%2.5%4.454.18
202327AAAWorcester Red Sox54059263602860%1.122.8%10.6%12.2%2.3%4.453.82
202428AAAWorcester Red Sox110105212650%0.920.3%12.1%8.2%10.7%12.198.77
202428AAAWorcester Red Sox110105212650%0.923.1%11.5%11.5%9.6%12.198.81
▸ 2026 Season
202630MLBBOS120135412520%1.122.6%9.8%12.8%3.3%4.634.63-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202731MLBBOS190208419930%1.122.3%10.1%12.2%3.5%4.724.80-0.1
202731MLBBOS707307310%1.022.3%10.1%12.2%3.5%4.724.80-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career707317310%1.122.3%10.1%12.2%3.5%4.724.42+0.0
/ 200 IP190020084419082270%1.122.3%10.1%12.2%3.5%4.724.42+2.3
Career1692229212612811434013%1.722.3%11.4%10.9%3.2%4.474.41+3.4
/ 200 IP11615200864192982813%1.722.3%11.4%10.9%3.2%4.474.41+2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Andrew Politi (OGILVIE) 4.63 22.6%9.8%3.3% 4.80 22.3%12.2%20 +0.17
Fernando Nieve R 2029 · 4.17 FIP 33 SU 4.17 22.0%10.5%2.9%.290 2.37 26.9%22.6%89 -1.80 2.08 112 85
David Hernandez R 2026 · 4.32 FIP 30 SU 4.32 22.9%7.6%4.0%.287 3.20 24.9%18.4%192 -1.12 2.56 268 80
Wirfin Obispo R 2026 · 4.87 FIP 30 SU 4.87 18.6%12.2%3.3%.292 1.30 28.6%24.5%126 -3.57 1.30 218 79
Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.04 FIP 31 SU 4.04 25.1%10.8%3.1%.280 4.04 102 78
Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 3.61 FIP 30 SU 3.61 20.4%11.7%1.4%.287 4.00 20.6%8.4%77 +0.39 3.35 129 77
Adam Warren R 2026 · 3.76 FIP 30 SU 3.76 23.3%8.5%2.8%.288 4.75 20.6%9.9%86 +0.99 2.71 392 76
Jonathan Broxton R 2027 · 3.57 FIP 31 SU 3.57 24.5%8.2%2.7%.325 3.78 21.7%13.5%76 +0.21 3.57 137 75
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 4.81 FIP 30 SU 4.81 18.6%7.6%4.2%.373 3.58 18.5%9.3%93 -1.23 3.37 170 75
Erik Davis R 2026 · 4.18 FIP 30 SU 4.18 22.2%11.1%2.8%.349 3.44 17.4%8.5%65 -0.74 3.07 227 75
Carlos Fisher R 2028 · 3.44 FIP 32 SU 3.44 22.6%11.6%1.4%.236 3.25 22.5%11.1%91 -0.19 2.56 147 75
Javy Guerra R 2026 · 4.25 FIP 30 SU 4.25 21.3%13.9%2.2%.303 3.99 19.5%13.0%193 -0.26 2.95 260 74
Alexi Ogando R 2027 · 5.03 FIP 31 SU 5.03 19.1%9.4%4.3%.253 3.84 17.2%8.0%67 -1.19 3.73 132 74
Jhan Mariñez R 2025 · 4.16 FIP 29 SU 4.16 21.2%7.9%3.4%.331 3.23 253 74
Angel Castro R 2028 · 4.89 FIP 32 SU 4.89 15.9%8.0%3.9%.268 4.43 13.6%5.5%231 -0.46 3.48 292 74
Andrew Robinson R 2025 · 4.39 FIP 29 SU 4.39 23.4%8.8%3.9%.245 2.96 160 74
Esteban Haro R 2026 · 4.61 FIP 30 SU 4.61 17.1%10.2%3.0%.338 3.71 11.6%6.3%75 -0.90 3.62 164 74
Drew Storen R 2025 · 3.86 FIP 29 SU 3.86 19.5%7.3%2.7%.289 4.49 19.4%8.4%10 +0.63 2.36 172 73
Logan Kensing R 2029 · 3.55 FIP 33 SU 3.55 17.6%8.8%1.5%.270 3.06 17.9%10.0%124 -0.49 2.77 172 73
Adrian Ramirez R 2027 · 3.86 FIP 31 SU 3.86 21.7%6.3%3.3%.327 2.96 137 73
Tanner Scheppers R 2026 · 4.65 FIP 30 SU 4.65 15.7%6.7%3.7%.301 4.39 101 73