Grades · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 21 | ROK | Danville Braves | 14 | 14 | 52 | 238 | 49 | 26 | 2 | 100% | 3.7 | 14.0% | 13.7% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 4.53 | 4.29 | — |
| 2015 | 21 | ROK | Danville Braves | 14 | 14 | 52 | 238 | 49 | 26 | 2 | 100% | 3.7 | 20.6% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 0.8% | 4.53 | 3.22 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 24 | 150 | 604 | 152 | 55 | 9 | 96% | 6.0 | 18.8% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 2.0% | 2.47 | 3.93 | — |
| 2016 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 24 | 150 | 604 | 152 | 55 | 9 | 96% | 6.0 | 25.2% | 9.1% | 16.1% | 1.5% | 2.47 | 2.95 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 15 | 78 | 332 | 68 | 28 | 7 | 100% | 5.2 | 17.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 2.6% | 4.14 | 4.22 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 15 | 78 | 332 | 68 | 28 | 7 | 100% | 5.2 | 20.5% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 2.1% | 4.14 | 3.60 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | ROK | GCL Braves | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 75% | 1.0 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | -1.12 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | ROK | GCL Braves | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 75% | 1.0 | 50.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 0.10 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 18 | 79 | 328 | 71 | 40 | 9 | 64% | 2.8 | 18.7% | 12.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.73 | 5.23 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 18 | 79 | 328 | 71 | 40 | 9 | 64% | 2.8 | 21.6% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 2.7% | 2.73 | 4.30 | — |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0.7 | 0.0% | 42.9% | -42.9% | 0.0% | 27.00 | 8.53 | -0.0 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0.7 | 0.0% | 42.9% | -42.9% | 0.0% | 27.00 | 16.60 | -0.1 |
| 2021 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 1 | 47 | 237 | 57 | 41 | 7 | 3% | 1.2 | 19.6% | 18.0% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 7.04 | 5.75 | -0.7 |
| 2021 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 1 | 47 | 237 | 57 | 41 | 7 | 3% | 1.2 | 24.1% | 17.3% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 7.04 | 5.21 | -0.4 |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 53 | 1 | 62 | 273 | 63 | 38 | 6 | 2% | 1.2 | 20.3% | 14.6% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 4.21 | 4.27 | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 53 | 1 | 62 | 273 | 63 | 38 | 6 | 2% | 1.2 | 23.1% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 2.2% | 4.21 | 4.16 | — |
| 2024 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 0 | 22 | 99 | 25 | 11 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 0.0% | 2.45 | 2.64 | — |
| 2024 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 0 | 22 | 99 | 25 | 11 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.3% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 0.0% | 2.45 | 2.33 | — |
| 2025 | 31 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 31 | 0 | 34 | 156 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.9% | 10.1% | 15.9% | 7.7% | 8.29 | 6.40 | — |
| 2025 | 31 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 31 | 0 | 34 | 156 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 29.5% | 9.6% | 19.9% | 6.4% | 8.29 | 5.57 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 14 | 3 | 27 | 131 | 26 | 20 | 7 | 21% | 1.9 | 17.5% | 16.0% | 1.4% | 5.9% | 8.10 | 6.88 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | COL | 15 | 0 | 16 | 67 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.4% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 3.9% | 4.82 | 4.82 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | COL | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.4% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 3.9% | 4.82 | 4.82 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 32 | MLB | COL | — | — | 42 | 198 | 42 | 26 | 10 | — | — | 21.4% | 13.4% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 6.88 | 6.11 | -0.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 32 | MLB | COL | — | — | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 24.4% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 3.9% | 4.82 | 4.44 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | COL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 4.1% | 4.92 | 5.02 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | COL | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 4.1% | 4.92 | 5.02 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 13 | 0 | 14 | 66 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.4% | 16.4% | 11.0% | 3.9% | 5.87 | 4.99 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 184 | 0 | 200 | 966 | 265 | 162 | 44 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.4% | 16.4% | 11.0% | 3.9% | 5.87 | 4.99 | +1.0 | ||
| Career | — | 245 | 79 | 555 | 2417 | 459 | 303 | 69 | 32% | 2.3 | 19.0% | 12.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 4.15 | 4.65 | +4.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 88 | 28 | 200 | 871 | 166 | 109 | 25 | 32% | 2.3 | 19.0% | 12.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 4.15 | 4.65 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Patrick Weigel (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.82 | 24.4% | 9.7% | 3.9% | — | 5.02 | 23.8% | 13.6% | 20 | +0.20 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 71 |
| Mike Broadway R 2025 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 71 |
| Logan Ondrusek R 2027 · 5.45 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.45 | 23.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | .353 | 5.61 | 17.5% | 9.2% | 120 | +0.16 | 4.35 | 138 | 69 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 68 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.31 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 3.6% | .319 | 2.62 | 28.5% | 21.7% | 186 | -1.69 | 2.01 | 380 | 67 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2027 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.40 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.99 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.41 | 3.99 | 104 | 67 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.66 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 4.0% | .280 | 3.59 | 27.2% | 17.5% | 149 | -1.07 | 3.07 | 363 | 67 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.20 | 24.5% | 7.4% | 4.1% | .291 | 5.21 | 18.0% | 8.4% | 36 | +1.01 | 3.05 | 176 | 66 |
| Tim Dillard R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.70 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 3.83 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 144 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 352 | 66 |
| Jon Edwards R 2025 · 4.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.46 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 132 | 66 |
| David Phelps R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.23 | 24.5% | 10.9% | 3.3% | .289 | 3.49 | 26.7% | 16.6% | 84 | -0.74 | 2.51 | 373 | 66 |
| Angel Sánchez R 2027 · 4.98 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.98 | 19.4% | 12.2% | 3.6% | .333 | 3.80 | 12.1% | 6.3% | 27 | -1.18 | 3.80 | 284 | 66 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.62 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.1% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 221 | 65 |
| Angel Castro R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 65 |
| Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.28 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 4.8% | .362 | 4.22 | 17.0% | 8.6% | 21 | -1.06 | 2.90 | 227 | 65 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.07 | 17.7% | 8.3% | 2.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.53 | 365 | 65 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.66 | 22.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .256 | 4.24 | 20.5% | 9.0% | 16 | +0.58 | 3.57 | 137 | 65 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2024 · 4.26 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.26 | 17.0% | 7.1% | 3.1% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 147 | 65 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.77 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .331 | 5.83 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.06 | 3.37 | 170 | 64 |
| Adrian Ramirez R 2025 · 3.86 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.86 | 21.7% | 6.3% | 3.3% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 137 | 64 |