Patrick Weigel
P
Albuquerque Isotopes
+0.0
WAR
Age 32
RHP
6'6" / 240 lbs
AAA
ERA4.77
FIP4.77
xFIP3.74
SIERA3.51
K%24.4%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%14.6%
IP23
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
K†6060
SL+1.5
FB-2.6
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 21 | ROK | Danville Braves | 14 | 14 | 52 | 238 | 49 | 26 | 2 | 14.0% | 13.7% | 1.2% | 4.53 | 4.29 | +0.4 |
| 2016 | 22 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 25 | 24 | 150 | 604 | 152 | 55 | 9 | 18.8% | 10.6% | 1.9% | 2.47 | 3.92 | +2.3 |
| 2017 | 23 | AAA | Gwinnett Braves | 15 | 15 | 78 | 332 | 68 | 28 | 7 | 17.2% | 9.0% | 2.5% | 4.14 | 4.15 | +0.9 |
| 2018 | 24 | ROK | GCL Braves | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 28 | 18 | 79 | 328 | 71 | 40 | 9 | 18.7% | 12.9% | 3.5% | 2.73 | 5.09 | +0.0 |
| 2020 | 26 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | — | — | — | 27.00 | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 39 | 1 | 47 | 237 | 57 | 41 | 7 | 19.6% | 18.0% | 3.3% | 7.04 | 5.53 | -0.3 |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 53 | 1 | 62 | 273 | 63 | 38 | 6 | 20.3% | 14.6% | 2.2% | 4.21 | 4.44 | +0.4 |
| 2024 | 30 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 21 | 0 | 22 | 99 | 25 | 11 | 0 | 22.9% | 11.6% | 0.0% | 2.45 | 2.64 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 31 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | 31 | 0 | 34 | 156 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 25.9% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 8.29 | 6.17 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 4 | 2 | 10 | 44 | 9 | 5 | 1 | — | — | — | 2.70 | — | — |
| ROS | 32 | MLB | COL | 23 | — | 23 | 95 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 24.4% | 9.7% | 3.9% | 4.77 | 4.77 | +0.0 |
| 2026 Total | 32 | MLB | COL | — | — | 33 | 139 | 32 | 14 | 5 | 23.1% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 4.14 | 3.31 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | COL | 22 | — | 22 | 91 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 23.9% | 9.9% | 3.9% | 4.78 | 4.82 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 235 | 78 | 538 | 2330 | 445 | 287 | 60 | 19.1% | 12.3% | 2.6% | 3.93 | 4.47 | +5.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 87 | 29 | 200 | 866 | 165 | 107 | 22 | 19.1% | 12.3% | 2.6% | 3.93 | 4.47 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Patrick Weigel (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.77 | 24.4% | 9.7% | 3.9% | — | 4.82 | 24.0% | 14.1% | 22 | +0.05 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 89 |
| Mike Broadway R 2025 · 4.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.63 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.9% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 84 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.77 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 4.2% | .280 | 3.48 | 27.2% | 17.5% | 149 | -1.29 | 3.02 | 363 | 84 |
| David Phelps R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.40 | 24.5% | 10.9% | 3.6% | .289 | 3.37 | 26.7% | 16.6% | 84 | -1.03 | 2.49 | 373 | 81 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 81 |
| Joakim Soria R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.37 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 3.8% | .319 | 2.59 | 28.5% | 21.7% | 186 | -1.78 | 2.00 | 380 | 80 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2027 · 4.47 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.47 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.9% | .263 | 3.98 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.49 | 3.98 | 104 | 79 |
| Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 5.19 FIP | 32 | SU | 5.19 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 4.6% | .362 | 4.14 | 17.0% | 8.6% | 21 | -1.05 | 2.99 | 227 | 79 |
| Logan Ondrusek R 2027 · 5.50 FIP | 33 | SU | 5.50 | 23.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | .353 | 5.51 | 17.5% | 9.2% | 120 | +0.01 | 4.34 | 138 | 79 |
| Jon Edwards R 2025 · 4.43 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.43 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.6% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.39 | 132 | 78 |
| Mark Serrano R 2025 · 3.63 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.63 | 21.9% | 6.4% | 2.9% | .240 | 5.25 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 42 | +1.62 | 3.10 | 120 | 78 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.63 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 1.8% | .331 | 6.11 | 17.9% | 3.7% | 41 | +2.48 | 3.45 | 170 | 77 |
| Adrian Ramirez R 2025 · 4.20 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.20 | 21.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 137 | 77 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.65 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.65 | 22.0% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .256 | 4.36 | 20.5% | 9.0% | 16 | +0.71 | 3.65 | 137 | 77 |
| Matt Shoemaker R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.74 | 22.2% | 8.3% | 2.7% | .181 | 5.12 | 18.8% | 11.1% | 159 | +1.38 | 3.20 | 592 | 77 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.99 | 24.5% | 7.4% | 3.7% | .291 | 5.41 | 18.0% | 8.4% | 36 | +1.42 | 2.93 | 176 | 76 |
| Nate Jones R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.08 | 23.4% | 10.9% | 2.9% | .279 | 5.52 | 21.4% | 13.8% | 38 | +1.44 | 2.61 | 157 | 74 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.2% | 3.0% | .258 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 221 | 73 |
| Jumbo Diaz R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.88 | 22.3% | 9.2% | 2.7% | .247 | 3.28 | 23.0% | 13.8% | 141 | -0.60 | 2.80 | 284 | 73 |
| Dan Winkler R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.85 | 24.4% | 14.0% | 1.9% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.47 | 231 | 73 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.