Patrick Weigel P Albuquerque Isotopes
Age 32 RHP 6'6" / 240 lbs AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION27 act + 16 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128119vR 110
ERA4.82
FIP4.82
K%24.4%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%14.6%
ROS IP16
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 42 IP
K: -0.4 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -2.6 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-3BBCONTACT: -6.0 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-6CONTACTSTAM: +1.7 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: -0.77 (42 IP)-0.8WAR
0.0-0.12627
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†6060
SL+1.5
FB-2.6

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201521ROKDanville Braves14145223849262100%3.714.0%13.7%0.3%1.2%4.534.29
201521ROKDanville Braves14145223849262100%3.720.6%10.9%9.7%0.8%4.533.22
201622MIX2 levels252415060415255996%6.018.8%10.6%8.2%2.0%2.473.93
201622MIX2 levels252415060415255996%6.025.2%9.1%16.1%1.5%2.472.95
201723MIX2 levels15157833268287100%5.217.2%9.0%8.2%2.6%4.144.22
201723MIX2 levels15157833268287100%5.220.5%8.4%12.0%2.1%4.143.60
201824ROKGCL Braves4341260075%1.050.0%0.0%50.0%0.0%0.00-1.12
201824ROKGCL Braves4341260075%1.050.0%0.0%50.0%0.0%0.000.10
201925MIX2 levels2818793287140964%2.818.7%12.9%5.8%3.8%2.735.23
201925MIX2 levels2818793287140964%2.821.6%12.2%9.5%2.7%2.734.30
202026MLBAtlanta Braves10170300%0.70.0%42.9%-42.9%0.0%27.008.53-0.0
202026MLBAtlanta Braves10170300%0.70.0%42.9%-42.9%0.0%27.0016.60-0.1
202127MIX2 levels39147237574173%1.219.6%18.0%1.6%3.7%7.045.75-0.7
202127MIX2 levels39147237574173%1.224.1%17.3%6.8%3.0%7.045.21-0.4
202228AAATacoma Rainiers53162273633862%1.220.3%14.6%5.7%1.9%4.214.27
202228AAATacoma Rainiers53162273633862%1.223.1%13.9%9.2%2.2%4.214.16
202430MIX2 levels2102299251100%1.022.9%11.6%11.2%0.0%2.452.64
202430MIX2 levels2102299251100%1.025.3%11.1%14.1%0.0%2.452.33
202531AAARochester Red Wings310341564615100%1.125.9%10.1%15.9%7.7%8.296.40
202531AAARochester Red Wings310341564615100%1.129.5%9.6%19.9%6.4%8.295.57
▸ 2026 Season
202632AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes143271312620721%1.917.5%16.0%1.4%5.9%8.106.88-0.7
ROS32MLBCOL150166716630%1.124.4%9.7%14.6%3.9%4.824.82-0.0
ROS32MLBCOL20282100%1.024.4%9.7%14.6%3.9%4.824.82-0.0
2026 TOT32MLBCOL4219842261021.4%13.4%8.0%4.9%6.886.11-0.8
2026 FULL32MLBCOL2721024.4%9.7%14.6%3.9%4.824.44+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202733MLBCOL190208420930%1.123.8%10.1%13.6%4.1%4.925.02-0.1
202733MLBCOL707307310%1.023.8%10.1%13.6%4.1%4.925.02-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career1301466181130%1.027.4%16.4%11.0%3.9%5.874.99-0.1
/ 200 IP1840200966265162440%1.127.4%16.4%11.0%3.9%5.874.99+1.0
Career2457955524174593036932%2.319.0%12.5%6.5%2.9%4.154.65+4.8
/ 200 IP88282008711661092532%2.319.0%12.5%6.5%2.9%4.154.65+1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Patrick Weigel (OGILVIE) 4.82 24.4%9.7%3.9% 5.02 23.8%13.6%20 +0.20
Fernando Nieve R 2027 · 4.17 FIP 33 SU 4.17 22.0%10.5%2.9%.290 2.37 26.9%22.6%89 -1.80 2.08 112 71
Mike Broadway R 2025 · 4.56 FIP 31 SU 4.56 23.0%10.6%3.7%.282 1.74 195 71
Logan Ondrusek R 2027 · 5.45 FIP 33 SU 5.45 23.8%7.4%6.2%.353 5.61 17.5%9.2%120 +0.16 4.35 138 69
Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.04 FIP 31 SU 4.04 25.1%10.8%3.1%.280 4.04 102 68
Joakim Soria R 2026 · 4.31 FIP 32 SU 4.31 23.2%9.2%3.6%.319 2.62 28.5%21.7%186 -1.69 2.01 380 67
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2027 · 4.40 FIP 33 SU 4.40 26.2%11.2%3.8%.263 3.99 18.1%6.8%51 -0.41 3.99 104 67
Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 4.66 FIP 32 SU 4.66 22.8%10.1%4.0%.280 3.59 27.2%17.5%149 -1.07 3.07 363 67
Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.20 FIP 32 SU 4.20 24.5%7.4%4.1%.291 5.21 18.0%8.4%36 +1.01 3.05 176 66
Tim Dillard R 2026 · 3.70 FIP 32 SW 3.70 15.9%7.7%1.8%.330 3.83 16.7%8.1%144 +0.13 3.15 352 66
Jon Edwards R 2025 · 4.46 FIP 31 SU 4.46 25.1%11.6%3.7%.290 2.30 132 66
David Phelps R 2026 · 4.23 FIP 32 SU 4.23 24.5%10.9%3.3%.289 3.49 26.7%16.6%84 -0.74 2.51 373 66
Angel Sánchez R 2027 · 4.98 FIP 33 SW 4.98 19.4%12.2%3.6%.333 3.80 12.1%6.3%27 -1.18 3.80 284 66
Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.62 FIP 32 SU 4.62 23.2%14.2%3.1%.258 4.23 221 65
Angel Castro R 2026 · 4.89 FIP 32 SU 4.89 15.9%8.0%3.9%.268 4.43 13.6%5.5%231 -0.46 3.48 292 65
Junichi Tazawa R 2026 · 5.28 FIP 32 SU 5.28 20.4%10.1%4.8%.362 4.22 17.0%8.6%21 -1.06 2.90 227 65
Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.07 FIP 32 SW 4.07 17.7%8.3%2.6%.268 3.53 365 65
Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.66 FIP 32 SU 3.66 22.0%7.3%2.7%.256 4.24 20.5%9.0%16 +0.58 3.57 137 65
Cody Satterwhite R 2024 · 4.26 FIP 30 SU 4.26 17.0%7.1%3.1%.310 3.62 147 65
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 3.77 FIP 32 SU 3.77 20.4%10.0%2.1%.331 5.83 17.9%3.7%41 +2.06 3.37 170 64
Adrian Ramirez R 2025 · 3.86 FIP 31 SU 3.86 21.7%6.3%3.3%.327 2.96 137 64