Patrick Weigel — OGILVIE

Patrick Weigel P Albuquerque Isotopes

Age 32 RHP 6'6" / 240 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 15 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.75

FIP4.75

K%24.1%

BB%9.3%

K-BB%14.8%

ROS IP16

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

SL+1.5

FB-2.6

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	21	ROK MLE	Danville Braves	14	14	52	238	49	26	2	100%	3.7	14.0%	13.7%	0.3%	1.2%	4.53	4.29	—
2015	21	ROK RAW	Danville Braves	14	14	52	238	49	26	2	100%	3.7	20.6%	10.9%	9.7%	0.8%	4.53	3.22	—
2016	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	24	150	604	152	55	9	96%	6.0	18.8%	10.6%	8.2%	1.9%	2.47	3.92	—
2016	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	24	150	604	152	55	9	96%	6.0	25.2%	9.1%	16.1%	1.5%	2.47	2.95	—
2017	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	15	78	332	68	28	7	100%	5.2	17.2%	9.0%	8.2%	2.5%	4.14	4.15	—
2017	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	15	78	332	68	28	7	100%	5.2	20.5%	8.4%	12.0%	2.1%	4.14	3.60	—
2018	24	ROK MLE	GCL Braves	4	3	4	12	6	0	0	75%	1.0	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%	0.00	-1.12	—
2018	24	ROK RAW	GCL Braves	4	3	4	12	6	0	0	75%	1.0	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%	0.00	0.10	—
2019	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	18	79	328	71	40	9	64%	2.8	18.7%	12.9%	5.8%	3.4%	2.73	5.00	—
2019	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	18	79	328	71	40	9	64%	2.8	21.6%	12.2%	9.5%	2.7%	2.73	4.30	—
2020	26	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	1	0	1	7	0	3	0	0%	0.7	0.0%	42.9%	-42.9%	0.0%	27.00	8.53	-0.0
2020	26	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	1	0	1	7	0	3	0	0%	0.7	0.0%	42.9%	-42.9%	0.0%	27.00	16.60	-0.1
2021	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	1	47	237	57	41	7	3%	1.2	19.6%	18.0%	1.6%	3.3%	7.04	5.56	-0.6
2021	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	1	47	237	57	41	7	3%	1.2	24.1%	17.3%	6.8%	3.0%	7.04	5.21	-0.4
2022	28	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	53	1	62	273	63	38	6	2%	1.2	20.3%	14.6%	5.7%	2.1%	4.21	4.40	—
2022	28	AAA RAW	Tacoma Rainiers	53	1	62	273	63	38	6	2%	1.2	23.1%	13.9%	9.2%	2.2%	4.21	4.16	—
2024	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	0	22	99	25	11	0	0%	1.0	22.9%	11.6%	11.2%	0.0%	2.45	2.64	—
2024	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	0	22	99	25	11	0	0%	1.0	22.9%	11.6%	11.2%	0.0%	2.45	2.64	—
2024	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	0	22	99	25	11	0	0%	1.0	25.3%	11.1%	14.1%	0.0%	2.45	2.33	—
2025	31	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	31	0	34	156	46	15	10	0%	1.1	24.5%	8.7%	15.8%	7.3%	8.29	6.16	—
2025	31	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	31	0	34	156	46	15	10	0%	1.1	24.5%	8.7%	15.8%	7.3%	8.29	6.16	—
2025	31	AAA RAW	Rochester Red Wings	31	0	34	156	46	15	10	0%	1.1	29.5%	9.6%	19.9%	6.4%	8.29	5.57	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			4	0	5	28	9	7	1	0%	1.2	32.1%	25.0%	7.1%	3.6%	7.71	6.53	-0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	32	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	27	9	46	226	47	36	7	33%	1.7	17.3%	14.3%	2.9%	3.4%	7.38	5.33	—
YTD	32	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	27	9	46	226	47	36	7	33%	1.7	17.3%	14.3%	2.9%	3.4%	7.38	5.33	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	32	AAA RAW	COL	27	9	46	226	47	36	7	33%	1.7	20.8%	15.9%	4.9%	3.1%	7.38	5.06	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	33	MLB MLE	COL	19	0	20	84	20	8	3	0%	1.1	23.5%	9.7%	13.8%	4.1%	4.85	4.95	-0.1
2027	33	MLB CTX	COL	7	0	7	30	7	3	1	0%	1.0	23.5%	9.7%	13.8%	4.1%	4.85	4.95	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	12	59	16	10	2	0%	1.1	27.6%	17.0%	10.6%	3.8%	5.96	5.02	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		183	0	200	982	266	166	33	0%	1.1	27.6%	17.0%	10.6%	3.8%	5.96	5.02	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		258	85	575	2512	473	312	67	33%	2.2	18.8%	12.4%	6.4%	2.6%	4.23	4.54	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		90	30	200	874	165	109	23	33%	2.2	18.8%	12.4%	6.4%	2.6%	4.23	4.54	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Patrick Weigel (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.75	24.1%	9.3%	3.9%	—	4.95	23.5%	13.8%	20	+0.20	—	—	—
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	71
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	70
Logan Ondrusek R 2018 · 5.51 FIP	33	SU	5.51	23.8%	7.4%	6.3%	.353	5.51	17.5%	9.2%	120	+0.00	4.34	138	69
Arcenio Leon R 2019 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	21.4%	8.1%	2.4%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	115	68
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	68
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2021 · 4.48 FIP	33	SU	4.48	26.2%	11.2%	4.0%	.263	4.02	18.1%	6.8%	51	-0.46	4.02	104	66
Joakim Soria R 2016 · 4.33 FIP	32	SU	4.33	23.2%	9.2%	3.7%	.319	2.63	28.5%	21.7%	186	-1.70	2.01	380	66
Tim Dillard R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	32	SW	3.58	15.9%	7.7%	1.5%	.330	3.85	16.7%	8.1%	144	+0.27	3.13	352	66
Angel Sánchez R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	33	SW	4.95	18.3%	10.5%	3.8%	.333	3.81	11.4%	6.4%	27	-1.14	3.80	284	66
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	65
Chris Hatcher R 2017 · 4.31 FIP	32	SU	4.31	24.5%	7.4%	4.3%	.291	5.32	18.0%	8.4%	36	+1.01	2.92	176	65
Austin Adams R 2019 · 5.80 FIP	32	SU	5.80	20.8%	10.6%	5.7%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	162	65
Jonathan Broxton R 2016 · 3.77 FIP	32	SU	3.77	22.0%	7.3%	2.9%	.256	4.34	20.5%	9.0%	16	+0.57	3.67	137	65
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	65
Adrian Ramirez R 2019 · 4.29 FIP	31	SU	4.29	21.7%	6.3%	4.0%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	3.04	137	65
Cody Satterwhite R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	30	SU	4.22	17.0%	7.1%	3.0%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	147	65
Brad Boxberger R 2020 · 4.65 FIP	32	SU	4.65	22.8%	10.1%	4.0%	.280	3.49	27.2%	17.5%	149	-1.16	3.01	363	64
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	64
Clayton Mortensen R 2017 · 4.59 FIP	32	SU	4.59	23.2%	14.2%	3.0%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	221	64
Mark Serrano R 2017 · 3.56 FIP	31	SU	3.56	21.9%	6.4%	2.7%	.240	5.25	20.2%	12.3%	42	+1.69	3.16	120	64