Dylan DeLucia
P
Akron RubberDucks
Age 25
RHP
5'11" / 220 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032
peak 0.5 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION67 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127118vR 109
ERA4.78
FIP4.78
K%19.3%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%9.7%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 132 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 13 | 13 | 49 | 193 | 52 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 3.8 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 14.2% | 2.6% | 2.55 | 3.65 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 13 | 13 | 49 | 193 | 52 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 3.8 | 26.9% | 6.2% | 20.7% | 2.1% | 2.55 | 2.78 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 22 | 108 | 446 | 106 | 42 | 14 | 92% | 4.5 | 18.8% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 3.57 | 5.03 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 22 | 108 | 446 | 106 | 42 | 14 | 92% | 4.5 | 23.8% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 3.1% | 3.57 | 3.99 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 17 | 16 | 67 | 313 | 68 | 29 | 13 | 94% | 4.0 | 17.6% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.95 | 5.64 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | CLE | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 53 | 26 | 9 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 3.1% | 4.78 | 4.78 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | CLE | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 19.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 3.1% | 4.78 | 4.78 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 132 | 587 | 121 | 55 | 22 | — | — | 20.6% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 3.7% | 5.89 | 5.22 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 19.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 3.1% | 4.78 | 4.40 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CLE | 23 | 23 | 140 | 592 | 121 | 55 | 18 | 100% | 6.1 | 20.4% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 3.1% | 4.68 | 4.65 | +1.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 23 | 23 | 138 | 584 | 120 | 54 | 18 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.5% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 3.2% | 4.65 | 4.65 | +1.2 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | CLE | 22 | 22 | 134 | 566 | 116 | 53 | 18 | 100% | 6.1 | 20.5% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 3.2% | 4.68 | 4.72 | +1.1 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | CLE | 21 | 21 | 128 | 541 | 110 | 51 | 18 | 100% | 6.1 | 20.3% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 3.4% | 4.77 | 4.84 | +0.8 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CLE | 10 | 10 | 62 | 262 | 53 | 24 | 8 | 100% | 6.2 | 20.4% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 3.1% | 4.68 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 15 | 15 | 88 | 372 | 76 | 34 | 12 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.5% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 3.2% | 4.65 | 4.65 | +0.5 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | CLE | 17 | 17 | 101 | 426 | 87 | 40 | 14 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.5% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 3.2% | 4.68 | 4.72 | +0.8 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | CLE | 18 | 18 | 105 | 443 | 90 | 42 | 15 | 100% | 5.8 | 20.3% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 3.4% | 4.77 | 4.84 | +0.7 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 59 | 59 | 356 | 1504 | 307 | 141 | 49 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.4% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 3.2% | 4.69 | 4.34 | +4.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 172 | 79 | 28 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.4% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 3.2% | 4.69 | 4.34 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 54 | 51 | 225 | 952 | 180 | 93 | 38 | 94% | 4.2 | 19.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 4.36 | 4.95 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 48 | 45 | 200 | 846 | 160 | 83 | 34 | 94% | 4.2 | 19.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 4.36 | 4.95 | +1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dylan DeLucia (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.78 | 19.3% | 9.6% | 3.1% | — | 4.67 | 20.5% | 11.2% | 413 | -0.11 | — | — | — |
| Nic Swanson R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.79 | 19.3% | 11.8% | 3.3% | .286 | 5.16 | 19.9% | 6.6% | 108 | +0.37 | 4.09 | 414 | 85 |
| Chandler Champlain R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.75 | 16.9% | 9.3% | 3.5% | .298 | 4.76 | 14.9% | 7.1% | 202 | +0.01 | 4.26 | 583 | 83 |
| K.C. Hunt R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.05 | 19.3% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .287 | 7.08 | 12.2% | -7.5% | 30 | +3.03 | 2.65 | 253 | 83 |
| Mike Wright Jr. R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.06 | 15.7% | 7.9% | 2.3% | .260 | 4.50 | 17.2% | 9.8% | 343 | +0.44 | 3.73 | 725 | 83 |
| Brian Edgington R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.81 | 19.5% | 6.5% | 2.8% | .321 | 5.05 | 19.3% | 7.0% | 58 | +1.24 | 3.81 | 171 | 82 |
| Wes Parsons R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.61 | 18.4% | 7.7% | 2.0% | .274 | 3.93 | 18.5% | 6.1% | 91 | +0.32 | 3.00 | 483 | 82 |
| Tyler Cravy R 2027 · 4.08 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.08 | 17.0% | 9.0% | 2.3% | .305 | 4.72 | 18.6% | 7.8% | 138 | +0.64 | 4.01 | 276 | 82 |
| Garrett Burhenn R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.21 | 17.3% | 6.9% | 3.1% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 433 | 82 |
| Brett Sears R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.79 | 21.1% | 7.1% | 2.9% | .244 | 3.56 | 23.9% | 18.1% | 56 | -0.23 | 3.56 | 167 | 81 |
| Riley Cornelio R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.18 | 20.3% | 11.1% | 2.5% | .257 | 4.20 | 28.2% | 14.2% | 64 | +0.02 | 4.18 | 417 | 81 |
| Riley Gowens R 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 25 | SP | 5.01 | 22.4% | 9.9% | 4.6% | .287 | 5.32 | 17.0% | 8.2% | 28 | +0.31 | 5.01 | 282 | 81 |
| Félix Peña R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.68 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .296 | 3.92 | 24.0% | 15.6% | 263 | +0.24 | 2.84 | 615 | 80 |
| Chase Solesky R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.73 | 15.2% | 11.2% | 2.7% | .322 | 4.57 | 16.0% | 7.7% | 241 | -0.16 | 4.08 | 536 | 80 |
| Logan Evans R 2025 · 4.20 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.20 | 18.1% | 8.0% | 2.9% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.20 | 232 | 80 |
| Jayden Murray R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.44 | 16.9% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .258 | 4.95 | 19.6% | 6.5% | 105 | +0.51 | 3.38 | 372 | 80 |
| Rafael Montero R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.66 | 16.6% | 11.0% | 2.9% | .325 | 3.79 | 23.3% | 13.2% | 177 | -0.87 | 2.38 | 663 | 80 |
| Josh DeGraaf R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.58 | 17.2% | 7.1% | 3.7% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.71 | 320 | 80 |
| David Hale R 2028 · 3.95 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.95 | 16.2% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .343 | 4.35 | 13.8% | 8.1% | 251 | +0.40 | 3.26 | 493 | 80 |
| Aaron Davenport R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SP | 4.99 | 17.4% | 11.4% | 3.5% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.09 | 498 | 80 |
| Jared Mortensen R 2028 · 4.44 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.44 | 16.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .287 | 4.90 | 20.9% | 2.1% | 72 | +0.46 | 4.44 | 200 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 134 | 20.2% | 9.4% | 1.24 | 4.71 |
| Félix Hernández ('19) | 5 | 134 | 20.0% | 8.1% | 1.39 | 4.48 |
| Marco Estrada ('19) | 5 | 142 | 19.6% | 8.3% | 1.44 | 4.33 |
| Jason Vargas ('19) | 4 | 116 | 18.5% | 8.2% | 1.38 | 4.57 |
| James Kaprielian ('23) | 3 | 105 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 1.26 | 4.58 |
| Andrew Cashner ('19) | 5 | 157 | 16.7% | 9.2% | 1.11 | 4.54 |
| Jaime García ('18) | 4 | 135 | 19.6% | 8.5% | 1.05 | 4.23 |