Dylan DeLucia
P
Akron RubberDucks
+0.5
WAR
Age 25
RHP
5'11" / 220 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.7 · 2028
ERA4.67
FIP4.67
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%20.7%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%11.0%
IP84
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.7peak
2028
K†5055
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 13 | 13 | 49 | 193 | 52 | 12 | 4 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 2.55 | 3.83 | +0.6 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 24 | 22 | 108 | 446 | 106 | 42 | 14 | 18.8% | 10.6% | 3.9% | 3.57 | 5.00 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | 2 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 4 | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | 29.45 | — | — |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | CLE | 15 | 15 | 84 | 355 | 74 | 35 | 11 | 20.7% | 9.7% | 3.1% | 4.67 | 4.67 | +0.5 |
| 2026 Total | 25 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 88 | 385 | 78 | 39 | 13 | 20.2% | 10.0% | 3.4% | 5.71 | 4.47 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | CLE | 17 | 17 | 91 | 385 | 81 | 37 | 12 | 21.1% | 9.5% | 3.1% | 4.62 | 4.61 | +0.6 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 17 | 17 | 94 | 399 | 84 | 37 | 12 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.59 | +0.7 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | CLE | 17 | 17 | 95 | 401 | 85 | 38 | 13 | 21.2% | 9.3% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.60 | +0.7 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | CLE | 17 | 17 | 93 | 392 | 83 | 37 | 12 | 21.1% | 9.4% | 3.2% | 4.61 | 4.64 | +0.6 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | CLE | 16 | 16 | 90 | 380 | 79 | 36 | 12 | 20.9% | 9.5% | 3.2% | 4.66 | 4.70 | +0.5 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | CLE | 16 | 16 | 87 | 367 | 76 | 35 | 12 | 20.6% | 9.6% | 3.3% | 4.73 | 4.77 | +0.4 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB | CLE | 15 | 15 | 83 | 352 | 72 | 34 | 12 | 20.3% | 9.8% | 3.4% | 4.81 | 4.86 | +0.3 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | CLE | 14 | 14 | 80 | 336 | 74 | 31 | 12 | 22.0% | 9.1% | 3.5% | 4.74 | 4.69 | +0.4 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | CLE | 14 | 14 | 76 | 319 | 69 | 30 | 11 | 21.7% | 9.3% | 3.6% | 4.77 | 4.79 | +0.3 |
| 2036 | 35 | MLB | CLE | 13 | 13 | 71 | 301 | 64 | 29 | 11 | 21.3% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 4.86 | 4.92 | +0.1 |
| 2037 | 36 | MLB | CLE | 12 | 12 | 67 | 282 | 59 | 28 | 11 | 20.9% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 4.97 | 5.05 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 39 | 37 | 161 | 669 | 129 | 66 | 25 | 19.3% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 3.85 | 4.77 | +1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 48 | 46 | 200 | 829 | 160 | 82 | 31 | 19.3% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 3.85 | 4.77 | +1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dylan DeLucia (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.67 | 20.7% | 9.7% | 3.1% | — | 4.60 | 21.1% | 11.7% | 280 | -0.07 | — | — | — |
| Emmanuel Chapman R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.03 | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.3% | .256 | 3.80 | 18.2% | 4.1% | 73 | -0.23 | 3.80 | 154 | 89 |
| Ryan Tapani R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.85 | 19.0% | 7.3% | 2.6% | .331 | 5.58 | 20.8% | 10.6% | 47 | +1.73 | 3.85 | 141 | 89 |
| Felipe Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.57 | 18.3% | 9.2% | 3.4% | .337 | 3.27 | 22.7% | 12.7% | 50 | -1.30 | 3.27 | 339 | 87 |
| Yaisel Sierra R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.32 | 16.9% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .338 | 3.05 | 22.4% | 12.3% | 71 | -1.27 | 3.05 | 176 | 87 |
| Ariel Peña R 2027 · 3.79 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.79 | 21.3% | 9.5% | 2.3% | .300 | 4.90 | 19.9% | 5.6% | 92 | +1.11 | 3.79 | 223 | 86 |
| Roberto Gómez R 2028 · 3.98 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.98 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.4% | .315 | 5.24 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.26 | 3.98 | 115 | 86 |
| Michael Darrell-Hicks R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.70 | 20.3% | 8.7% | 2.2% | .309 | 3.24 | 21.0% | 14.2% | 101 | -0.46 | 1.87 | 210 | 86 |
| Carlos Sano R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.88 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 3.4% | .282 | 9.12 | 19.7% | 7.1% | 18 | +4.24 | 4.88 | 105 | 86 |
| Wil Jensen R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.90 | 20.2% | 12.1% | 3.6% | .284 | 3.50 | 22.7% | 14.3% | 84 | -1.40 | 3.50 | 368 | 85 |
| Brian Edgington R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.97 | 19.5% | 6.5% | 3.1% | .321 | 5.23 | 19.3% | 7.0% | 58 | +1.26 | 3.97 | 171 | 85 |
| Hayden Minton R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.21 | 19.1% | 7.0% | 3.3% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.06 | 194 | 85 |
| Justin De Fratus R 2028 · 3.80 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.80 | 18.8% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .325 | 4.62 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 279 | +0.82 | 3.80 | 500 | 85 |
| Brett Sears R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.63 | 21.1% | 7.1% | 2.6% | .244 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 111 | 85 |
| Angel Araiza R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.57 | 16.7% | 6.5% | 3.8% | .287 | 3.79 | 15.0% | 7.6% | 193 | -0.78 | 3.40 | 289 | 84 |
| Buck Farmer R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.23 | 19.5% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .309 | 3.76 | 20.9% | 12.5% | 309 | -0.47 | 3.22 | 907 | 84 |
| TJ Shook R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.47 | 21.0% | 9.6% | 3.5% | .273 | 3.86 | 23.1% | 15.3% | 135 | -0.61 | 3.35 | 394 | 84 |
| Garrett Edwards R 2024 · 3.86 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.86 | 18.5% | 7.3% | 2.5% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.86 | 107 | 84 |
| M.D. Johnson R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.29 | 21.3% | 7.1% | 3.8% | .269 | 4.85 | 15.7% | 4.1% | 181 | +0.56 | 3.52 | 395 | 83 |
| R.J. Gordon R 2024 · 4.31 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.31 | 21.5% | 9.5% | 3.3% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 129 | 83 |
| Hunter Adkins R 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.71 | 16.2% | 10.3% | 3.0% | .290 | 4.81 | 11.8% | 0.5% | 58 | +0.10 | 4.71 | 160 | 83 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.9M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.1M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.4 | $2M | -$0.5M |
| Totals | $7M | $13M | +$6M | ||