Blake Wehunt — OGILVIE

Blake Wehunt P Portland Sea Dogs

Age 25 RHP 6'7" / 240 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2031 peak 1.0 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION95 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121113vR 105

ERA4.64

FIP4.64

K%21.9%

BB%11.1%

K-BB%10.8%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 101 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL4545

CMD5050

K†5055

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.1M	+0.0	$0.0M	+$0.0M (cut)
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2029	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	25.0%	0.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.00	0.99	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	25.0%	0.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.00	0.99	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	25.0%	0.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.00	1.10	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	22	22	97	400	110	34	7	100%	4.4	21.8%	10.4%	11.4%	1.9%	3.88	3.65	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	22	22	97	400	110	34	7	100%	4.4	21.8%	10.4%	11.4%	1.9%	3.88	3.65	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	22	22	97	400	110	34	7	100%	4.4	27.5%	8.5%	19.0%	1.8%	3.88	2.82	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	17	16	63	281	76	29	8	94%	3.7	21.9%	11.4%	10.6%	3.1%	5.68	4.36	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Portland Sea Dogs	17	16	63	281	76	29	8	94%	3.7	21.9%	11.4%	10.6%	3.1%	5.68	4.36	—
2025	24	AA RAW	Portland Sea Dogs	17	16	63	281	76	29	8	94%	3.7	27.0%	10.3%	16.7%	2.8%	5.68	3.72	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	22	22	95	396	101	34	12	100%	4.3	20.8%	8.5%	12.3%	3.5%	3.30	4.35	—
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	22	22	95	396	101	34	12	100%	4.3	20.8%	8.5%	12.3%	3.5%	3.30	4.35	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AA RAW	BOS	13	13	54	218	72	16	7	100%	4.1	33.0%	7.3%	25.7%	3.2%	3.52	3.00	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	BOS	9	9	42	178	29	18	5	100%	4.6	16.3%	10.1%	6.2%	2.8%	3.02	4.55	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	BOS	1	1	6	25	5	3	1	100%	5.9	21.9%	11.1%	10.8%	2.9%	4.64	4.64	+0.0
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	BOS	—	—	101	421	106	37	13	—	—	25.3%	8.7%	16.6%	3.0%	3.38	4.37	+0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	BOS	16	16	93	394	87	42	12	100%	5.8	22.1%	10.7%	11.4%	2.9%	4.59	4.58	+0.3
2028	27	MLB MLE	BOS	15	15	92	388	86	41	12	100%	6.1	22.1%	10.6%	11.5%	3.0%	4.58	4.59	+0.3
2029	28	MLB MLE	BOS	15	15	89	377	83	40	12	100%	5.9	21.9%	10.6%	11.4%	3.1%	4.62	4.66	+0.2
2030	29	MLB MLE	BOS	14	14	85	360	78	39	12	100%	6.1	21.7%	10.7%	11.0%	3.2%	4.71	4.78	+0.1
2031	30	MLB MLE	BOS	13	13	80	338	72	37	12	100%	6.2	21.4%	11.0%	10.3%	3.4%	4.86	4.96	-0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	BOS	7	7	41	173	38	19	5	100%	5.9	22.1%	10.7%	11.4%	2.9%	4.55	4.54	+0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	BOS	10	10	58	245	54	26	7	100%	5.8	22.1%	10.6%	11.5%	2.9%	4.54	4.55	+0.2
2029	28	MLB CTX	BOS	11	11	67	283	62	30	9	100%	6.1	21.9%	10.6%	11.4%	3.0%	4.58	4.62	+0.2
2030	29	MLB CTX	BOS	12	12	70	296	64	32	9	100%	5.8	21.7%	10.7%	11.0%	3.2%	4.67	4.74	+0.1
2031	30	MLB CTX	BOS	12	12	69	291	62	32	10	100%	5.8	21.4%	11.0%	10.3%	3.4%	4.81	4.91	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		51	51	305	1288	281	138	40	100%	6.0	21.8%	10.7%	11.1%	3.1%	4.64	4.31	+2.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	184	90	26	100%	6.0	21.8%	10.7%	11.1%	3.1%	4.64	4.31	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		62	60	257	1081	232	107	30	97%	4.1	21.5%	9.9%	11.5%	2.8%	4.10	4.08	+1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		48	47	200	841	181	84	24	97%	4.1	21.5%	9.9%	11.5%	2.8%	4.10	4.08	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Blake Wehunt (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.64	21.9%	11.1%	2.9%	—	4.61	22.0%	11.4%	275	-0.03	—	—	—
Brody McCullough R 2023 · 3.58 FIP	23	SP	3.58	23.1%	10.3%	2.1%	.267	4.45	21.3%	11.7%	42	+0.87	3.58	129	86
Cameron Foster R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	24	SP	4.31	18.9%	10.3%	2.7%	.329	4.05	20.9%	10.9%	132	-0.26	2.54	213	86
Landon Knack R 2022 · 4.38 FIP	25	SP	4.38	23.0%	10.5%	3.4%	.335	4.44	20.8%	11.9%	382	+0.06	2.77	544	84
David Griffin R 2021 · 4.43 FIP	25	SP	4.43	19.2%	11.9%	2.6%	.279	5.26	15.3%	5.8%	168	+0.83	4.43	239	83
Marcelo Perez R 2023 · 3.84 FIP	23	SP	3.84	18.0%	8.6%	2.1%	.288	4.99	14.7%	7.3%	238	+1.15	3.84	306	83
Trent Palmer R 2022 · 4.79 FIP	23	SP	4.79	22.0%	10.4%	4.1%	.284	4.83	12.8%	-9.4%	22	+0.04	3.51	140	82
Dylan Burns R 2022 · 4.21 FIP	25	SP	4.21	17.1%	10.8%	2.2%	.300	4.87	11.6%	-2.4%	41	+0.66	4.21	120	81
Ricky Salinas R 2021 · 5.08 FIP	25	SP	5.08	20.9%	10.3%	4.5%	.335	5.79	14.3%	-0.8%	71	+0.71	4.77	274	80
Pat Gallagher R 2023 · 3.83 FIP	23	SP-	3.83	21.9%	8.3%	2.8%	.284	3.43	20.4%	11.2%	217	-0.40	3.07	280	80
Emerson Hancock R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	24	SP	4.30	21.1%	10.2%	3.1%	.288	4.33	18.3%	11.3%	428	+0.03	3.24	669	80
Trevor Martin R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	22	SP	4.25	21.3%	10.6%	2.9%	.297	4.25	19.8%	10.6%	240	+0.00	4.16	350	80
Burch Smith R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	27	SP	3.93	19.5%	12.6%	1.6%	.234	4.43	22.2%	10.5%	192	+0.50	3.50	382	79
Brett Daniels R 2021 · 4.67 FIP	25	SP-	4.67	22.3%	13.0%	3.3%	.357	4.70	18.8%	3.1%	77	+0.03	3.95	270	79
David Festa R 2023 · 3.69 FIP	23	SP	3.69	24.4%	11.2%	2.2%	.341	3.75	26.7%	18.6%	209	+0.06	3.67	405	79
Jared Karros R 2023 · 4.77 FIP	22	SP	4.77	19.0%	8.9%	3.9%	.290	5.26	17.8%	8.3%	120	+0.49	3.36	191	79
Chris Kachmar R 2021 · 4.29 FIP	24	SP	4.29	16.1%	11.4%	2.0%	.309	4.61	18.4%	9.4%	172	+0.32	4.29	360	78
Antonio Guzman R 2015 · 3.60 FIP	27	SP	3.60	18.8%	11.2%	1.2%	.328	3.47	20.6%	11.3%	170	-0.13	3.15	254	78
Brandon Birdsell R 2023 · 3.91 FIP	23	SP	3.91	17.1%	8.3%	2.2%	.266	4.05	19.2%	13.6%	154	+0.14	3.87	262	77
Tyler Uberstine R 2022 · 4.19 FIP	23	SP-	4.19	19.5%	10.5%	2.6%	.302	4.32	22.2%	14.8%	121	+0.13	3.16	258	77
Ty Madden R 2023 · 4.52 FIP	23	SP	4.52	24.0%	11.2%	3.7%	.304	4.87	20.6%	11.1%	207	+0.35	4.52	448	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.5	85	21.9%	10.8%	1.20	4.66
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Daniel Norris ('22)	2.8	70	21.7%	8.5%	1.37	4.70