Brody McCullough
P
Myrtle Beach Pelicans
Age 26
RHP
6'4" / 205 lbs
A
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032
peak 0.8 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION17 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115106vR 97
ERA4.22
FIP4.22
K%23.3%
BB%8.5%
K-BB%14.8%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 81 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 46.2% | 7.7% | 38.5% | 0.0% | 1.29 | 0.18 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 46.2% | 7.7% | 38.5% | 0.0% | 1.29 | 0.53 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 21 | 86 | 351 | 108 | 31 | 6 | 100% | 4.1 | 23.1% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 2.0% | 3.44 | 3.55 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 21 | 86 | 351 | 108 | 31 | 6 | 100% | 4.1 | 30.8% | 8.8% | 21.9% | 1.7% | 3.44 | 2.58 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 4 | 3 | 15 | 56 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 75% | 3.7 | 26.8% | 8.9% | 17.9% | 1.8% | 1.84 | 2.95 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 4 | 3 | 15 | 56 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 75% | 3.7 | 26.8% | 8.9% | 17.9% | 1.8% | 1.84 | 2.96 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Knoxville Smokies | 5 | 5 | 17 | 73 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 100% | 3.3 | — | — | — | — | 3.78 | — | — |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | CHC | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 64 | 23 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 23.3% | 8.5% | 14.8% | 3.0% | 4.22 | 4.22 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.3% | 8.5% | 14.8% | 3.0% | 4.24 | 4.24 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 81 | 347 | 85 | 31 | 9 | — | — | 24.4% | 9.0% | 15.4% | 2.6% | 4.13 | 3.36 | +1.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CHC | 12 | 12 | 69 | 291 | 68 | 25 | 9 | 100% | 5.8 | 23.3% | 8.6% | 14.6% | 3.0% | 4.25 | 4.26 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | CHC | 11 | 11 | 67 | 282 | 65 | 25 | 9 | 100% | 6.1 | 23.2% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 3.1% | 4.31 | 4.35 | +0.3 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CHC | 4 | 4 | 25 | 106 | 25 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 6.2 | 23.3% | 8.6% | 14.6% | 3.1% | 4.27 | 4.28 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | CHC | 6 | 6 | 39 | 165 | 38 | 15 | 5 | 100% | 6.5 | 23.2% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 3.2% | 4.33 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11 | 11 | 64 | 272 | 63 | 24 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 23.2% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 3.1% | 4.31 | 3.96 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 196 | 75 | 25 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.2% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 3.1% | 4.31 | 3.96 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 35 | 29 | 125 | 506 | 129 | 51 | 9 | 83% | 3.6 | 25.5% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 1.8% | 3.18 | 3.20 | +3.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 56 | 47 | 200 | 812 | 207 | 82 | 14 | 83% | 3.6 | 25.5% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 1.8% | 3.18 | 3.20 | +5.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brody McCullough (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.22 | 23.3% | 8.5% | 3.0% | — | 4.30 | 23.2% | 14.5% | 136 | +0.08 | — | — | — |
| Preston Johnson R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 146 | 83 |
| Blake Wehunt R 2025 · 3.98 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.98 | 26.8% | 8.1% | 3.9% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 209 | 76 |
| Yariel Rodríguez R 2027 · 3.80 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.80 | 25.1% | 11.8% | 2.4% | .275 | 3.77 | 24.2% | 12.3% | 89 | -0.03 | 2.60 | 196 | 76 |
| Andy Ferguson R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.57 | 22.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | .262 | 3.13 | 18.6% | 10.6% | 33 | -0.44 | 3.13 | 137 | 76 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 75 |
| Dawson Netz R 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 75 |
| Rorik Maltrud R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.15 | 18.9% | 7.9% | 3.0% | .283 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.87 | 247 | 74 |
| Sauryn Lao R 2025 · 3.48 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.48 | 21.7% | 7.3% | 2.4% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.19 | 182 | 74 |
| Chad Dallas R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.40 | 19.8% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.40 | 322 | 73 |
| Isaac Coffey R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.95 | 22.9% | 9.5% | 2.9% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 287 | 72 |
| Jake Walters R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.17 | 17.0% | 9.4% | 2.4% | .316 | 5.97 | 15.5% | -0.2% | 72 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 261 | 72 |
| Cody Sedlock R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.83 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .301 | 4.18 | 20.1% | 7.1% | 80 | -0.65 | 4.16 | 378 | 71 |
| Markus Solbach R 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 27 | SP | 3.61 | 16.9% | 6.1% | 2.1% | .311 | 4.76 | 17.1% | 9.1% | 111 | +1.15 | 3.25 | 391 | 71 |
| Hector Noesí R 2028 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 71 |
| Jimmy Lambert R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.46 | 25.0% | 12.0% | 3.5% | .276 | 4.95 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 114 | +0.49 | 3.44 | 526 | 71 |
| Tyson Hardin R 2024 · 3.45 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.45 | 23.4% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .349 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.47 | 177 | 71 |
| Stephen Fife R 2029 · 3.20 FIP | 29 | SP | 3.20 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 1.2% | .329 | 3.62 | 14.1% | 8.3% | 152 | +0.42 | 3.20 | 179 | 71 |
| Connor McCullough R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 26 | SP | 3.62 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 2.2% | .335 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 222 | 71 |
| Alejandro Martinez R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.24 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .393 | 4.44 | 9.2% | 3.9% | 53 | +0.20 | 4.24 | 166 | 71 |
| Kutter Crawford R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.47 | 21.9% | 7.7% | 4.1% | .316 | 4.08 | 24.1% | 17.4% | 313 | -0.39 | 3.35 | 741 | 71 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 69 | 23.2% | 8.7% | 1.17 | 4.26 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |