Grades · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 20% | 1.2 | 34.5% | 10.3% | 24.1% | 0.0% | 3.00 | 1.50 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 20% | 1.2 | 34.5% | 10.3% | 24.1% | 0.0% | 3.00 | 1.27 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 16 | 90 | 405 | 110 | 46 | 14 | 59% | 3.3 | 20.6% | 13.2% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 5.22 | 5.20 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 16 | 90 | 405 | 110 | 46 | 14 | 59% | 3.3 | 27.2% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 3.5% | 5.22 | 4.22 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 21 | 108 | 474 | 120 | 55 | 20 | 81% | 4.1 | 20.1% | 13.0% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.27 | 5.63 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 21 | 108 | 474 | 120 | 55 | 20 | 81% | 4.1 | 25.3% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 4.2% | 5.27 | 4.82 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 19 | 97 | 415 | 118 | 50 | 6 | 79% | 4.0 | 24.0% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 2.0% | 3.25 | 3.82 | +1.7 |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 24 | 19 | 97 | 415 | 118 | 50 | 6 | 79% | 4.0 | 28.4% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 1.4% | 3.25 | 3.02 | +2.6 |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 3 | 83 | 353 | 78 | 21 | 9 | 6% | 1.6 | 21.3% | 6.3% | 15.0% | 2.5% | 4.55 | 3.49 | +1.5 |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 51 | 3 | 83 | 353 | 78 | 21 | 9 | 6% | 1.6 | 22.1% | 5.9% | 16.1% | 2.5% | 4.55 | 3.39 | +1.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 5 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | — | — | — | — | 9.64 | — | — |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | LAD | 41 | 0 | 43 | 183 | 43 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 8.6% | 15.0% | 2.8% | 4.16 | 4.12 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | LAD | 41 | 0 | 43 | 182 | 43 | 16 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.7% | 8.6% | 15.0% | 2.8% | 4.16 | 4.12 | +0.2 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 48 | 206 | 47 | 20 | 6 | — | — | 23.0% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 3.0% | 4.69 | 3.72 | +0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 48 | 203 | 47 | 20 | 6 | — | — | 23.3% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 4.69 | 4.03 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 66 | 0 | 69 | 293 | 68 | 27 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.35 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | LAD | 63 | 0 | 66 | 280 | 63 | 27 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 4.44 | 4.51 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 63 | 0 | 66 | 279 | 64 | 26 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.35 | +0.3 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | LAD | 60 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 60 | 25 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 4.44 | 4.51 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 218 | 3 | 263 | 1119 | 254 | 96 | 31 | 1% | 1.2 | 22.7% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 2.7% | 4.44 | 3.78 | +5.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 166 | 2 | 200 | 852 | 193 | 73 | 24 | 1% | 1.2 | 22.7% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 2.7% | 4.44 | 3.78 | +3.8 | ||
| Career | — | 138 | 60 | 388 | 1699 | 368 | 198 | 57 | 43% | 2.8 | 21.7% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 3.3% | 4.62 | 4.58 | +3.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 71 | 31 | 200 | 876 | 190 | 102 | 29 | 43% | 2.8 | 21.7% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 3.3% | 4.62 | 4.58 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ben Casparius (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.12 | 23.7% | 8.6% | 2.8% | — | 4.43 | 22.8% | 13.4% | 136 | +0.31 | — | — | — |
| Roberto Gómez R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 77 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 77 |
| Wil Jensen R 2025 · 3.41 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.41 | 22.7% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 368 | 75 |
| Jordan Lyles R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.89 | 22.6% | 6.7% | 3.4% | .284 | 4.94 | 20.2% | 12.1% | 379 | +1.05 | 3.38 | 1,080 | 74 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2028 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 73 |
| Heath Holder R 2025 · 3.12 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.12 | 21.9% | 7.5% | 1.7% | .263 | 5.32 | 19.8% | 4.9% | 85 | +2.20 | 2.74 | 367 | 73 |
| Taylor Grover R 2025 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 73 |
| Derek Gordon R 2024 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 73 |
| Bud Norris R 2029 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 73 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2027 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 73 |
| Randall Delgado R 2026 · 3.05 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.05 | 23.2% | 5.4% | 2.2% | .302 | 4.67 | 16.1% | 8.3% | 81 | +1.62 | 3.05 | 290 | 72 |
| DJ Baxendale R 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.68 | 18.1% | 6.0% | 2.4% | .355 | 5.84 | 20.0% | 8.3% | 49 | +2.16 | 2.81 | 426 | 72 |
| Phil Klein R 2026 · 3.17 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.17 | 24.5% | 6.6% | 2.4% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.17 | 178 | 72 |
| Tristan Beck R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.69 | 19.5% | 7.2% | 4.2% | .271 | 3.68 | 21.1% | 13.0% | 148 | -1.01 | 3.52 | 473 | 71 |
| J.P. France R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.64 | 24.9% | 10.9% | 4.1% | .301 | 4.41 | 18.7% | 8.6% | 205 | -0.23 | 4.11 | 563 | 71 |
| Jonathan Pintaro R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.11 | 24.4% | 13.2% | 2.5% | .302 | 3.12 | 26.0% | 15.4% | 35 | -0.99 | 3.12 | 187 | 70 |
| Nick Morreale R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.92 | 19.0% | 8.5% | 2.5% | .271 | 3.72 | 11.7% | -1.1% | 14 | -0.20 | 2.97 | 280 | 70 |
| Elian Leyva R 2028 · 3.16 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.16 | 17.7% | 7.3% | 1.1% | .308 | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 71 | +1.14 | 3.16 | 158 | 70 |
| Jack Perkins R 2025 · 3.98 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.98 | 27.3% | 8.7% | 3.8% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.95 | 324 | 69 |
| Sam Lewis R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.43 | 21.0% | 10.8% | 1.3% | .246 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 224 | 69 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 61 | 23.0% | 9.2% | 1.16 | 4.33 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |