Trevor May — OGILVIE

Trevor May P Oakland Athletics

Age 36 RHP 6'5" / 240 lbs MLB peak 0.3 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 11 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116108vR 100

ERA4.18

FIP4.35

K%23.4%

BB%9.7%

K-BB%13.7%

ROS IP11

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 11 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6060

CTRL4040

CMD5555

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5294.7

Whiff%

p3823.6%

p3219.5%

xwOBA vs

p360.328

CH+3.1

SL+1.8

FB-1.0

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	25	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	48	16	115	492	110	24	11	33%	2.4	22.4%	4.9%	17.5%	2.2%	4.00	3.05	+2.1
2015	25	MLB RAW	Minnesota Twins	48	16	115	492	110	24	11	33%	2.4	22.4%	4.9%	17.5%	2.2%	4.00	3.06	+2.1
2016	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	0	46	201	66	17	7	0%	1.0	32.1%	8.6%	23.5%	3.7%	5.05	3.52	+0.6
2016	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	0	46	201	66	17	7	0%	1.0	32.8%	8.5%	24.4%	3.5%	5.05	3.32	+0.7
2018	28	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	6	55	235	66	24	6	16%	1.5	26.1%	9.8%	16.3%	2.9%	3.42	3.74	+0.5
2018	28	MIX RAW	3 levels	38	6	55	235	66	24	6	16%	1.5	28.1%	10.2%	17.9%	2.6%	3.42	3.43	+0.7
2019	29	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	65	0	64	266	79	25	8	0%	1.0	29.7%	9.4%	20.3%	3.0%	2.94	3.43	+0.9
2019	29	MLB RAW	Minnesota Twins	65	0	64	266	79	25	8	0%	1.0	29.7%	9.4%	20.3%	3.0%	2.94	3.43	+0.9
2020	30	MLB MLE	Minnesota Twins	24	0	23	96	38	7	5	0%	1.0	39.6%	7.3%	32.3%	5.2%	3.86	3.53	+0.3
2020	30	MLB RAW	Minnesota Twins	24	0	23	96	38	7	5	0%	1.0	39.6%	7.3%	32.3%	5.2%	3.86	3.53	+0.3
2021	31	MLB MLE	New York Mets	68	0	63	266	83	20	10	0%	0.9	31.2%	7.5%	23.7%	3.8%	3.59	3.49	+0.8
2021	31	MLB RAW	New York Mets	68	0	63	266	83	20	10	0%	0.9	31.2%	7.5%	23.7%	3.8%	3.59	3.48	+0.8
2022	32	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	0	29	128	34	10	4	0%	1.0	27.0%	8.1%	18.9%	3.6%	4.97	3.83	+0.2
2022	32	MIX RAW	3 levels	30	0	29	128	34	10	4	0%	1.0	26.6%	7.8%	18.8%	3.1%	4.97	3.58	+0.3
2023	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	53	0	50	222	42	26	6	0%	0.9	19.5%	11.7%	7.8%	2.1%	3.40	4.11	+0.3
2023	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	53	0	50	222	42	26	6	0%	0.9	19.5%	11.7%	7.8%	2.1%	3.40	4.11	+0.3
2023	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	53	0	50	222	42	26	6	0%	0.9	18.9%	11.7%	7.2%	2.7%	3.40	4.53	+0.0
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			348	17	405	1726	476	130	53	5%	1.2	27.6%	7.5%	20.0%	3.1%	3.83	3.41	+5.5
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	36	MLB	OAK	10	0	11	46	11	5	1	0%	1.1	23.4%	9.7%	13.7%	2.9%	4.18	4.35	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	37	MLB MLE	OAK	112	0	117	496	111	51	17	0%	1.0	22.4%	10.4%	12.0%	3.4%	4.52	4.75	-0.3
2028	38	MLB MLE	OAK	96	0	101	426	90	47	16	0%	1.1	21.2%	11.1%	10.1%	3.8%	4.92	5.18	-0.7
2027	37	MLB CTX	OAK	111	0	117	494	110	51	17	0%	1.1	22.4%	10.4%	12.0%	3.4%	4.52	4.75	-0.3
2028	38	MLB CTX	OAK	96	0	101	426	90	47	16	0%	1.1	21.2%	11.1%	10.1%	3.8%	4.92	5.18	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		556	17	623	2648	677	229	86	3%	1.1	25.6%	8.6%	16.9%	3.2%	4.13	3.81	+5.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		178	5	200	850	217	74	28	3%	1.1	25.6%	8.6%	16.9%	3.2%	4.13	3.81	+1.7
Career	—	MLE		374	22	446	1906	514	153	58	6%	1.2	27.0%	8.0%	18.9%	3.0%	3.81	3.50	+4.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		168	10	200	855	230	68	26	6%	1.2	27.0%	8.0%	18.9%	3.0%	3.81	3.50	+1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Trevor May (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.35	23.4%	9.7%	2.9%	—	4.95	21.8%	11.1%	218	+0.60	—	—	—
Fernando Rodney R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	38	SU	4.37	20.9%	9.4%	3.4%	.272	3.37	26.2%	15.2%	185	-1.00	2.69	295	73
Dustin McGowan R 2017 · 4.58 FIP	35	SU	4.58	19.4%	6.7%	4.2%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	208	72
Joaquín Benoit R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	38	SU	3.58	24.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.179	4.11	23.5%	12.9%	98	+0.53	3.58	164	71
Jean Machi R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	35	SU	4.12	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	186	69
Manny Acosta R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	35	SU	4.19	18.1%	9.1%	2.7%	.273	3.08	23.2%	9.9%	44	-1.11	3.08	102	68
Francisco Del Rosario R 2017 · 4.15 FIP	36	SU	4.15	16.4%	10.0%	2.1%	.267	6.35	11.9%	-0.6%	77	+2.20	4.15	145	67
Santiago Casilla R 2016 · 3.69 FIP	36	SU	3.69	27.0%	7.1%	3.6%	.278	4.13	19.8%	8.7%	103	+0.44	3.50	219	67
Daniel Bard R 2021 · 3.62 FIP	36	SU	3.62	26.3%	11.5%	2.3%	.337	3.64	24.6%	10.3%	110	+0.02	2.56	200	65
Juan Sandoval R 2017 · 3.42 FIP	36	SU	3.42	16.7%	7.2%	1.5%	.298	5.41	15.9%	8.7%	57	+1.99	3.24	225	64
Matt Albers R 2019 · 4.13 FIP	36	SU	4.13	22.1%	10.1%	2.9%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.15	244	64
Josh Lueke R 2019 · 4.11 FIP	34	SU	4.11	20.4%	6.4%	3.5%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.29	107	64
Carlos Torres R 2019 · 4.28 FIP	36	SU	4.28	17.8%	9.0%	2.8%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	2.89	326	63
Jim Johnson R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	35	SU	4.48	16.8%	7.8%	3.3%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	2.56	251	63
Blaine Boyer R 2017 · 3.24 FIP	36	SU	3.24	18.0%	7.6%	1.3%	.341	7.38	8.3%	-0.9%	22	+4.14	3.24	209	62
Mark Lowe R 2017 · 5.03 FIP	34	SU	5.03	16.4%	10.0%	3.7%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	2.37	153	61
Logan Kensing R 2017 · 3.28 FIP	35	SU	3.28	16.5%	7.9%	1.0%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	2.73	172	60
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2022 · 4.02 FIP	34	SU	4.02	18.1%	11.3%	1.9%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	60
Zack Segovia R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	36	SU	4.55	17.6%	13.6%	2.2%	.353	—	—	—	—	—	3.33	144	59
Carlos Fisher R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	34	SU	3.91	18.1%	12.9%	1.3%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	147	58
Jason Motte R 2017 · 5.16 FIP	35	SU	5.16	16.3%	11.4%	3.6%	.193	—	—	—	—	—	3.18	113	54

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.8	118	22.4%	10.3%	1.29	4.50
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58
Ian Anderson ('22)	1.4	91	22.5%	10.4%	0.96	3.97
Triston McKenzie ('24)	2.1	105	26.0%	9.4%	1.52	3.94
Kyle Wright ('23)	1.2	83	22.4%	8.9%	1.12	3.97
Tyler Skaggs ('19)	1.7	85	22.9%	8.2%	1.09	4.24
Dan Straily ('19)	2.7	136	20.0%	8.9%	1.72	4.54