Trevor May P Oakland Athletics
Age 36 RHP 6'5" / 240 lbs MLB peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 131 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.18
FIP4.34
K%23.4%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%13.7%
ROS IP132
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 131 IP
K: +0.5 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -0.9 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -1.9 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-2CONTACTSTAM: +17.9 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+18STAMTotal WAR: +1.63 (131 IP)+1.6WAR
1.70.90.3-0.5262829
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF6060
CTRL4040
CMD5555
K†5555
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p5294.7
Whiff%
p3823.6%
K%
p3219.5%
xwOBA vs
p360.328
CH+3.1
SL+1.8
FB-1.0

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201525MLBMinnesota Twins4816115492110241133%2.422.4%4.9%17.5%2.2%4.003.04+3.2
201525MLBMinnesota Twins4816115492110241133%2.422.4%4.9%17.5%2.2%4.003.06+3.1
201626MIX2 levels48046201661770%1.032.1%8.6%23.5%3.7%5.053.51+0.6
201626MIX2 levels48046201661770%1.032.8%8.5%24.4%3.5%5.053.32+0.7
201828MIX3 levels386552356624616%1.526.1%9.8%16.3%3.1%3.423.83+0.5
201828MIX3 levels386552356624616%1.528.1%10.2%17.9%2.6%3.423.43+0.7
201929MLBMinnesota Twins65064266792580%1.029.7%9.4%20.3%3.0%2.943.42+0.9
201929MLBMinnesota Twins65064266792580%1.029.7%9.4%20.3%3.0%2.943.43+0.9
202030MLBMinnesota Twins240239638750%1.039.6%7.3%32.3%5.2%3.863.51+0.3
202030MLBMinnesota Twins240239638750%1.039.6%7.3%32.3%5.2%3.863.53+0.3
202131MLBNew York Mets680632668320100%0.931.2%7.5%23.7%3.8%3.593.49+0.8
202131MLBNew York Mets680632668320100%0.931.2%7.5%23.7%3.8%3.593.48+0.8
202232MIX3 levels30029128341040%1.027.0%8.1%18.9%3.6%4.973.83+0.2
202232MIX3 levels30029128341040%1.026.6%7.8%18.8%3.1%4.973.58+0.3
202333MIX2 levels53050222422660%0.919.5%11.7%7.8%2.0%3.404.06+0.3
202333MIX2 levels53050222422660%0.918.9%11.7%7.2%2.7%3.404.53+0.0
▸ 2026 Season
202636MLBOAK128013556813355170%1.123.4%9.7%13.7%2.9%4.184.34+1.7
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202737MLBOAK112011749611151170%1.022.4%10.4%12.0%3.3%4.524.74+0.9
202838MLBOAK9601014269047160%1.121.2%11.1%10.1%3.8%4.915.17+0.3
202939MLBOAK830873677443160%1.020.1%11.8%8.3%4.2%5.335.61-0.5
202737MLBOAK111011749411051170%1.122.4%10.4%12.0%3.3%4.524.74+0.9
202838MLBOAK9601014269047160%1.121.2%11.1%10.1%3.8%4.915.17+0.3
202939MLBOAK830873677443160%1.020.1%11.8%8.3%4.2%5.335.61-0.5
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career6391771030157512721013%1.124.9%9.0%15.9%3.4%4.283.98+11.8
/ 200 IP180520084921277283%1.124.9%9.0%15.9%3.4%4.283.98+3.3
Career374224461906514153586%1.227.0%8.0%18.9%3.0%3.813.50+9.9
/ 200 IP1681020085523068266%1.227.0%8.0%18.9%3.0%3.813.50+4.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Trevor May (OGILVIE) 4.34 23.4%9.7%2.9% 5.13 21.3%10.3%305 +0.79
Fernando Rodney R 2028 · 4.26 FIP 38 SU 4.26 20.9%9.4%3.2%.272 3.34 26.2%15.2%185 -0.92 2.67 295 73
Dustin McGowan R 2025 · 4.59 FIP 35 SU 4.59 19.4%6.7%4.2%.277 3.83 208 72
Joaquín Benoit R 2028 · 3.73 FIP 38 SU 3.73 24.8%8.7%3.0%.179 4.04 23.5%12.9%98 +0.31 3.72 164 71
Jean Machi R 2025 · 3.92 FIP 35 SU 3.92 18.6%6.6%2.8%.285 3.92 186 69
Manny Acosta R 2025 · 3.99 FIP 35 SU 3.99 18.1%9.1%2.3%.273 3.04 23.2%9.9%44 -0.95 3.04 102 68
Francisco Del Rosario R 2026 · 4.09 FIP 36 SU 4.09 16.4%10.0%2.0%.267 6.61 11.9%-0.6%77 +2.52 4.09 145 66
Santiago Casilla R 2026 · 3.70 FIP 36 SU 3.70 27.0%7.1%3.6%.278 4.06 19.8%8.7%103 +0.36 3.51 219 66
Jim Johnson R 2025 · 4.58 FIP 35 SU 4.58 16.8%7.8%3.5%.285 2.51 251 66
Matt Albers R 2026 · 4.28 FIP 36 SU 4.28 22.1%10.1%3.2%.269 3.15 244 65
Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.25 FIP 36 SU 4.25 17.8%9.0%2.7%.311 2.78 326 65
Juan Sandoval R 2026 · 3.53 FIP 36 SU 3.53 16.7%7.2%1.7%.298 5.49 15.9%8.7%57 +1.96 3.17 225 65
Daniel Bard R 2026 · 3.44 FIP 36 SU 3.44 26.3%11.5%2.0%.337 3.53 24.6%10.3%110 +0.09 2.48 200 64
Blaine Boyer R 2026 · 3.21 FIP 36 SU 3.21 18.0%7.6%1.2%.341 7.33 8.3%-0.9%22 +4.12 3.21 209 63
Mark Lowe R 2024 · 4.79 FIP 34 SU 4.79 16.4%10.0%3.3%.331 2.37 153 62
Josh Lueke R 2024 · 4.79 FIP 34 SU 4.79 20.4%6.4%4.8%.311 2.50 107 61
Logan Kensing R 2025 · 3.26 FIP 35 SU 3.26 16.5%7.9%1.0%.308 2.77 172 60
Hirokazu Sawamura R 2024 · 3.99 FIP 34 SU 3.99 18.1%11.3%1.8%.270 3.99 104 60
Zack Segovia R 2026 · 4.36 FIP 36 SU 4.36 17.6%13.6%1.9%.353 3.41 144 58
Carlos Fisher R 2024 · 4.00 FIP 34 SU 4.00 18.1%12.9%1.4%.333 2.56 147 58
Huascar Brazobán R 2026 · 3.35 FIP 36 SU 3.35 23.9%10.9%1.6%.222 3.08 349 56

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION411022.0%10.6%1.354.67
James Kaprielian ('23)310520.5%9.6%1.264.58
Nate Karns ('17)39624.2%9.3%1.224.24
Tom Koehler ('17)314618.1%10.2%1.244.62
Ubaldo Jiménez ('17)315620.8%9.5%1.325.33
Triston McKenzie ('24)410526.0%9.4%1.523.94
Félix Hernández ('19)513420.0%8.1%1.394.48