Braydon Tucker
P
Reading Fightin Phils
Age 27
RHP
6'3" / 205 lbs
AA
peak 0.9 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION78 act + 67 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129120vR 110
ERA4.86
FIP4.86
K%13.6%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%4.0%
ROS IP67
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 145 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 4 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 25% | 1.2 | 13.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.20 | 3.65 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 4 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 25% | 1.2 | 13.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.20 | 3.70 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 17 | 106 | 427 | 104 | 26 | 5 | 74% | 4.6 | 18.3% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 1.4% | 2.97 | 3.24 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 17 | 106 | 427 | 104 | 26 | 5 | 74% | 4.6 | 24.4% | 6.1% | 18.3% | 1.2% | 2.97 | 2.49 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 16 | 105 | 423 | 75 | 33 | 5 | 70% | 4.6 | 13.8% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 3.34 | 3.80 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 16 | 105 | 423 | 75 | 33 | 5 | 70% | 4.6 | 17.7% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 1.2% | 3.34 | 3.23 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 15 | 15 | 78 | 332 | 69 | 31 | 9 | 100% | 5.2 | 16.8% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 3.13 | 4.76 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | PHI | 11 | 11 | 67 | 283 | 38 | 27 | 7 | 100% | 6.1 | 13.6% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.86 | 4.86 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | PHI | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 13.6% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.86 | 4.86 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 145 | 615 | 107 | 58 | 16 | — | — | 17.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 2.6% | 3.93 | 4.81 | +1.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 13.6% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.86 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | PHI | 12 | 12 | 72 | 302 | 44 | 29 | 8 | 100% | 6.0 | 14.4% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 4.86 | 4.89 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 11 | 11 | 68 | 288 | 43 | 28 | 8 | 100% | 6.2 | 14.9% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 4.92 | 4.98 | -0.2 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | PHI | 4 | 4 | 27 | 114 | 16 | 11 | 3 | 100% | 6.8 | 14.4% | 9.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 4.86 | 4.89 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 6 | 6 | 38 | 160 | 24 | 16 | 4 | 100% | 6.3 | 14.9% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 4.92 | 4.98 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11 | 11 | 66 | 280 | 41 | 27 | 7 | 100% | 6.0 | 14.7% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 4.89 | 4.56 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 124 | 82 | 21 | 100% | 6.0 | 14.7% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 4.89 | 4.56 | +2.0 | ||
| Career | — | 65 | 49 | 294 | 1205 | 195 | 105 | 23 | 75% | 4.5 | 16.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 1.9% | 3.22 | 3.86 | +5.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 44 | 33 | 200 | 821 | 133 | 71 | 15 | 75% | 4.5 | 16.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 1.9% | 3.22 | 3.86 | +3.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Braydon Tucker (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.86 | 13.6% | 9.6% | 2.4% | — | 4.93 | 14.6% | 4.9% | 140 | +0.07 | — | — | — |
| Luke Irvine R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.17 | 13.4% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 104 | 89 |
| Frank Batista R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.33 | 12.1% | 8.2% | 2.2% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 118 | 83 |
| Jordan Cooper R 2025 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.05 | 9.2% | 10.2% | 2.6% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.05 | 106 | 82 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.13 | 11.6% | 9.8% | 3.2% | .263 | 4.14 | 15.3% | 5.2% | 167 | -0.99 | 3.84 | 272 | 82 |
| Bryce Morrow R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.48 | 12.8% | 7.9% | 2.7% | .316 | 5.59 | 10.1% | -0.2% | 50 | +1.11 | 4.48 | 125 | 82 |
| Jair Jurrjens R 2028 · 4.46 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.46 | 10.3% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .365 | 4.29 | 16.3% | 8.4% | 54 | -0.17 | 4.29 | 125 | 81 |
| Andres Ivan Meza R 2027 · 4.37 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.37 | 10.9% | 5.6% | 2.7% | .322 | 4.25 | 12.5% | 4.0% | 85 | -0.12 | 4.25 | 275 | 81 |
| Hector Noesí R 2027 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 81 |
| Alejandro Martinez R 2025 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.24 | 17.5% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .393 | 4.44 | 9.2% | 3.9% | 53 | +0.20 | 4.24 | 166 | 80 |
| Justin Topa R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.05 | 15.1% | 7.9% | 2.2% | .374 | 2.66 | 19.2% | 12.6% | 40 | -1.39 | 2.66 | 259 | 80 |
| Nestor Molina R 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 27 | SP | 5.13 | 15.0% | 8.0% | 4.2% | .304 | 3.57 | 17.0% | 10.2% | 289 | -1.56 | 3.07 | 401 | 79 |
| David Phelps R 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 28 | SP | 3.94 | 16.0% | 6.8% | 2.4% | .299 | 2.83 | 29.9% | 20.6% | 142 | -1.11 | 2.51 | 373 | 79 |
| Caleb Clay R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.63 | 9.9% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.63 | 111 | 79 |
| Marco Quevedo R 2027 · 4.34 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.34 | 9.0% | 6.4% | 2.1% | .262 | 4.97 | 11.9% | 6.3% | 135 | +0.63 | 4.34 | 300 | 78 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2029 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 15.0% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .289 | 4.40 | 22.0% | 10.3% | 115 | +0.10 | 4.23 | 221 | 78 |
| Brannon Easterling R 2025 · 4.25 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.25 | 12.7% | 8.2% | 2.1% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 334 | 78 |
| Shawn Haviland R 2028 · 3.93 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.93 | 14.6% | 6.0% | 2.4% | .303 | 4.49 | 16.1% | 8.8% | 169 | +0.56 | 3.57 | 283 | 78 |
| Ben Anderson R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.94 | 11.6% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .315 | 7.90 | 8.5% | -4.1% | 47 | +2.96 | 3.71 | 361 | 78 |
| Mike McCarthy R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.79 | 9.4% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .280 | 4.77 | 6.2% | -3.5% | 37 | -0.02 | 4.77 | 153 | 77 |
| Fredy Quintero R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.23 | 11.3% | 8.9% | 1.8% | .375 | 4.59 | 15.1% | 7.3% | 113 | +0.36 | 4.23 | 241 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 71 | 14.3% | 9.7% | 0.99 | 4.88 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne ('18) | 4 | 63 | 13.5% | 8.1% | 0.96 | 5.54 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |