Braydon Tucker — OGILVIE

Braydon Tucker P Reading Fightin Phils

Age 27 RHP 6'3" / 205 lbs AA peak 0.8 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION103 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.79

FIP4.79

K%13.6%

BB%8.9%

K-BB%4.7%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 110 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL5555

CMD4040

K†3030

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	4	1	5	23	3	3	0	25%	1.2	13.0%	13.0%	0.0%	0.0%	7.20	3.65	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	4	1	5	23	3	3	0	25%	1.2	13.0%	13.0%	0.0%	0.0%	7.20	3.65	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	4	1	5	23	3	3	0	25%	1.2	13.0%	13.0%	0.0%	0.0%	7.20	3.70	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	17	106	427	104	26	5	74%	4.6	18.3%	7.1%	11.2%	1.5%	2.97	3.25	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	17	106	427	104	26	5	74%	4.6	18.3%	7.1%	11.2%	1.5%	2.97	3.25	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	17	106	427	104	26	5	74%	4.6	24.4%	6.1%	18.3%	1.2%	2.97	2.49	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	16	105	423	75	33	5	70%	4.6	13.8%	8.8%	5.0%	1.4%	3.34	3.83	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	16	105	423	75	33	5	70%	4.6	13.8%	8.8%	5.0%	1.4%	3.34	3.83	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	16	105	423	75	33	5	70%	4.6	17.7%	7.8%	9.9%	1.2%	3.34	3.23	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	22	21	103	456	95	38	19	95%	4.7	16.9%	9.2%	7.7%	5.0%	4.88	5.58	—
YTD	27	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	22	21	103	456	95	38	19	95%	4.7	16.9%	9.2%	7.7%	5.0%	4.88	5.58	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	AA RAW	PHI	22	21	103	456	95	38	19	95%	4.7	20.8%	8.3%	12.5%	4.2%	4.88	4.68	—
ROS	27	MLB MLE	PHI	1	1	6	26	4	2	1	100%	6.2	13.6%	8.9%	4.7%	2.4%	4.79	4.79	+0.0
2026 TOT	27	MLB MLE	PHI	—	—	110	482	99	40	20	—	—	20.4%	8.4%	12.1%	4.1%	4.87	5.54	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	PHI	12	12	72	302	44	27	8	100%	6.0	14.4%	9.1%	5.3%	2.6%	4.79	4.82	+0.1
2028	29	MLB MLE	PHI	11	11	68	288	43	27	8	100%	6.2	14.9%	9.3%	5.6%	2.8%	4.85	4.92	-0.0
2029	30	MLB MLE	PHI	11	11	64	271	40	26	8	100%	5.8	14.9%	9.6%	5.3%	3.0%	4.96	5.06	-0.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	PHI	4	4	27	114	16	10	3	100%	6.8	14.4%	9.1%	5.3%	2.6%	4.79	4.82	+0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	PHI	6	6	38	160	24	15	4	100%	6.3	14.9%	9.3%	5.6%	2.8%	4.85	4.92	-0.0
2029	30	MLB CTX	PHI	7	7	44	186	28	18	6	100%	6.3	14.9%	9.6%	5.3%	3.0%	4.96	5.06	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		18	18	109	459	68	43	13	100%	6.0	14.8%	9.4%	5.4%	2.8%	4.88	4.57	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	125	79	24	100%	6.0	14.8%	9.4%	5.4%	2.8%	4.88	4.57	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		72	55	319	1329	216	112	35	76%	4.4	16.3%	8.5%	7.8%	2.6%	3.78	4.24	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		45	34	200	832	136	70	22	76%	4.4	16.3%	8.5%	7.8%	2.6%	3.78	4.24	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Braydon Tucker (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.79	13.6%	8.9%	2.4%	—	4.93	14.7%	5.4%	204	+0.14	—	—	—
Luke Irvine R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	13.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	104	89
Frank Batista R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	26	SP-	4.29	12.1%	8.2%	2.1%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	4.29	118	83
Nestor Molina R 2016 · 4.83 FIP	27	SP	4.83	15.0%	8.0%	3.6%	.304	3.61	17.0%	10.2%	289	-1.22	3.01	401	83
Jair Jurrjens R 2015 · 4.59 FIP	29	SP-	4.59	10.3%	6.9%	2.7%	.365	4.27	16.3%	8.4%	54	-0.32	4.27	125	82
Bryce Morrow R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	12.8%	7.9%	2.4%	.316	5.44	10.1%	-0.2%	50	+1.13	4.31	125	82
Andres Ivan Meza R 2015 · 4.45 FIP	28	SP	4.45	10.9%	5.6%	2.9%	.322	4.14	12.5%	4.0%	85	-0.31	4.14	275	82
Jordan Cooper R 2015 · 5.01 FIP	26	SP	5.01	9.2%	10.2%	2.5%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	5.01	106	81
Hector Noesí R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	17.6%	8.1%	3.2%	.261	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	250	81
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2015 · 5.24 FIP	27	SP-	5.24	11.6%	9.8%	3.4%	.263	4.28	15.3%	5.2%	167	-0.96	4.01	272	81
David Phelps R 2015 · 3.94 FIP	28	SP	3.94	16.0%	6.8%	2.4%	.299	2.82	29.9%	20.6%	142	-1.12	2.50	373	80
Justin Topa R 2018 · 4.15 FIP	27	SP-	4.15	15.1%	7.9%	2.4%	.374	2.69	19.2%	12.6%	40	-1.46	2.67	280	80
Alejandro Martinez R 2015 · 4.46 FIP	26	SP-	4.46	17.5%	10.9%	2.7%	.393	4.24	9.2%	3.9%	53	-0.22	4.24	166	80
Shawn Haviland R 2015 · 3.95 FIP	29	SP-	3.95	14.6%	6.0%	2.4%	.303	4.67	16.1%	8.8%	169	+0.72	3.69	283	79
Fredy Quintero R 2015 · 4.55 FIP	27	SP-	4.55	11.3%	8.9%	2.3%	.375	4.38	15.1%	7.3%	113	-0.17	4.29	241	79
Caleb Clay R 2015 · 4.67 FIP	27	SP	4.67	9.9%	6.9%	2.8%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	4.67	111	79
Brannon Easterling R 2017 · 4.40 FIP	26	SP-	4.40	12.7%	8.2%	2.4%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	334	79
Marco Quevedo R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	28	SP	4.13	9.0%	6.4%	1.8%	.262	4.67	11.9%	6.3%	135	+0.54	4.13	300	78
Andrew Quezada R 2023 · 5.33 FIP	26	SP-	5.33	14.4%	9.5%	4.1%	.344	4.92	12.5%	5.0%	173	-0.41	4.40	412	78
Antonio Guzman R 2015 · 3.60 FIP	27	SP	3.60	18.8%	11.2%	1.2%	.328	3.47	20.6%	11.3%	170	-0.13	3.15	254	78
Cameron Foster R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	24	SP	4.31	18.9%	10.3%	2.7%	.329	4.05	20.9%	10.9%	132	-0.26	2.54	213	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.4	69	14.4%	9.2%	1.03	4.84
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Josh Fleming ('24)	1.3	51	14.6%	7.5%	1.17	4.77
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Luis Perdomo ('22)	2.3	90	16.6%	7.8%	1.08	5.09