Joey Murray
P
Dunedin Blue Jays
Age 29
RHP
6'2" / 195 lbs
A
peak 0.2 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 6 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 99
ERA4.34
FIP4.34
K%23.3%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%13.9%
ROS IP7
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 6 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 25 | 137 | 561 | 169 | 49 | 10 | 93% | 5.1 | 23.4% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 2.2% | 2.75 | 3.62 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 25 | 137 | 561 | 169 | 49 | 10 | 93% | 5.1 | 30.1% | 8.7% | 21.4% | 1.8% | 2.75 | 2.66 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | ROK | FCL Blue Jays | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 0.7 | 20.0% | 40.0% | -20.0% | 20.0% | 27.00 | 17.46 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | ROK | FCL Blue Jays | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 0.7 | 20.0% | 40.0% | -20.0% | 20.0% | 27.00 | 28.60 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 5 | 4 | 21 | 93 | 23 | 13 | 4 | 80% | 4.1 | 20.0% | 15.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.84 | 6.05 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | 5 | 4 | 21 | 93 | 23 | 13 | 4 | 80% | 4.1 | 24.7% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 4.3% | 7.84 | 5.28 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 1 | 15 | 67 | 12 | 14 | 1 | 8% | 1.2 | 14.5% | 27.8% | -13.3% | 0.0% | 5.40 | 5.39 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 1 | 15 | 67 | 12 | 14 | 1 | 8% | 1.2 | 17.9% | 20.9% | -3.0% | 1.5% | 5.40 | 5.17 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | TOR | 1 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 6.8 | 23.3% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | TOR | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 6.7 | 23.0% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 3.2% | 4.45 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | TOR | 1 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.0% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 3.2% | 4.45 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.0% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 3.2% | 4.45 | 4.14 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 201 | 67 | 33 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.0% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 3.2% | 4.45 | 4.14 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 46 | 30 | 174 | 726 | 160 | 91 | 18 | 65% | 3.8 | 22.1% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 2.5% | 3.68 | 4.19 | +2.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 53 | 35 | 200 | 836 | 185 | 104 | 21 | 65% | 3.8 | 22.1% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 2.5% | 3.68 | 4.19 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Joey Murray (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.34 | 23.3% | 9.4% | 3.0% | — | 4.52 | 23.0% | 13.3% | 20 | +0.18 | — | — | — |
| Anthony Bass R 2026 · 3.31 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.31 | 23.6% | 9.1% | 1.9% | .356 | 3.47 | 20.7% | 14.2% | 141 | +0.16 | 2.93 | 432 | 71 |
| Fabio Castillo R 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 70 |
| Ricky Nolasco R 2029 · 3.21 FIP | 32 | SP | 3.21 | 20.2% | 6.9% | 1.7% | .382 | 4.52 | 17.9% | 11.7% | 379 | +1.31 | 3.21 | 425 | 68 |
| Stephen Fife R 2026 · 3.20 FIP | 29 | SP | 3.20 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 1.2% | .329 | 3.62 | 14.1% | 8.3% | 152 | +0.42 | 3.20 | 179 | 68 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.10 | 22.8% | 11.5% | 4.5% | .321 | 4.41 | 21.3% | 11.7% | 251 | -0.69 | 3.33 | 556 | 65 |
| Connor Schultz R 2024 · 4.85 FIP | 27 | SP | 4.85 | 21.5% | 10.9% | 4.0% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 171 | 65 |
| Carlos Frías R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.59 | 16.9% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .369 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 204 | 64 |
| Reinier Roibal R 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.86 | 17.5% | 11.8% | 3.2% | .426 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.07 | 133 | 64 |
| Zack Segovia R 2029 · 5.00 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.00 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .314 | 3.41 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.59 | 3.41 | 144 | 64 |
| Ariel Peña R 2025 · 3.93 FIP | 28 | SP | 3.93 | 22.5% | 12.0% | 2.2% | .304 | 5.94 | 19.9% | -5.7% | 21 | +2.01 | 3.91 | 223 | 63 |
| Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.84 | 17.3% | 10.9% | 1.5% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 272 | 63 |
| Hiram Burgos R 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 29 | SP | 5.14 | 19.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 355 | 62 |
| Hector Noesí R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 62 |
| Justin Masterson R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.06 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .307 | 3.76 | 17.3% | 6.4% | 196 | -0.30 | 3.51 | 269 | 62 |
| Tyler Cloyd R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.89 | 17.6% | 12.4% | 1.3% | .211 | 4.90 | 16.9% | 9.7% | 230 | +1.01 | 3.89 | 250 | 61 |
| Matt Cain R 2027 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.90 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | .296 | 4.88 | 15.2% | 7.6% | 214 | -0.02 | 4.83 | 294 | 61 |
| Kris Medlen R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.77 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | .261 | 5.16 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 173 | +0.39 | 4.66 | 261 | 61 |
| Steve Johnson R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.30 | 20.3% | 8.9% | 3.2% | .321 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 152 | 60 |
| Jorge Martinez R 2028 · 3.42 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.42 | 12.9% | 5.3% | 1.4% | .266 | 3.59 | 16.5% | 11.5% | 154 | +0.17 | 3.42 | 214 | 59 |
| Yohan Pino R 2028 · 3.95 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.95 | 17.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | .312 | 5.48 | 15.2% | 11.6% | 35 | +1.53 | 3.95 | 133 | 58 |