Drey Jameson — OGILVIE

Drey Jameson P Reno Aces

Age 28 RHP 6'0" / 165 lbs AAA ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION48 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118110vR 101

ERA4.45

FIP4.45

K%23.3%

BB%10.4%

K-BB%12.9%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 54 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF6060

CTRL4545

CMD4545

K†6060

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p8296.8

Whiff%

p6227.1%

p1015.1%

xwOBA vs

p250.341

CH+0.8 (25%)

SI (30%)

SL (26%)

FB-1.8 (49%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	20	111	464	145	36	15	95%	5.3	24.6%	8.7%	15.9%	3.7%	3.98	4.16	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	20	111	464	145	36	15	95%	5.3	31.2%	7.8%	23.5%	3.2%	3.98	3.22	—
2022	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	29	157	683	156	53	23	97%	5.2	20.3%	8.1%	12.2%	3.8%	5.56	4.51	+0.7
2022	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	30	29	157	683	156	53	23	97%	5.2	22.8%	7.8%	15.1%	3.4%	5.56	4.03	+1.6
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	8	69	297	61	29	8	40%	3.4	19.2%	9.4%	9.8%	2.9%	4.33	4.25	+0.2
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	8	69	297	61	29	8	40%	3.4	19.2%	9.4%	9.8%	2.9%	4.33	4.25	+0.2
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	8	69	297	61	29	8	40%	3.4	20.5%	9.8%	10.8%	2.7%	4.33	4.10	+0.4
2025	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	19	2	17	87	22	12	4	11%	0.9	23.9%	10.9%	13.0%	7.4%	6.35	6.51	-0.4
2025	27	MIX MLE	3 levels	19	2	17	87	22	12	4	11%	0.9	23.9%	10.9%	13.0%	7.4%	6.35	6.51	-0.4
2025	27	MIX RAW	3 levels	19	2	17	87	22	12	4	11%	0.9	25.3%	13.8%	11.5%	4.6%	6.35	5.69	-0.2
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			34	7	87	371	74	38	9	21%	2.6	19.9%	10.2%	9.7%	2.4%	3.19	4.05	+0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	39	0	48	220	46	26	6	0%	1.2	18.4%	11.1%	7.3%	3.0%	6.89	4.59	-0.0
YTD	28	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	39	0	48	220	46	26	6	0%	1.2	18.4%	11.1%	7.3%	3.0%	6.89	4.59	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	AAA RAW	ARI	27	0	29	134	33	16	5	0%	1.1	24.6%	11.9%	12.7%	3.7%	8.07	4.58	—
2026	28	MLB RAW	ARI	12	0	19	86	13	10	1	0%	1.6	15.1%	11.6%	3.5%	1.2%	5.12	3.93	+0.1
SO FAR	28	MLB RAW	ARI	12	0	19	86	13	10	1	0%	1.6	15.1%	11.6%	3.5%	1.2%	5.12	3.93	+0.1
ROS	28	MLB MLE	ARI	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	23.3%	10.4%	12.9%	3.6%	4.45	4.45	+0.0
ROS	28	MLB CTX	ARI	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	23.3%	10.4%	12.9%	3.6%	4.45	4.45	+0.0
2026 TOT	28	MLB MLE	ARI	—	—	54	245	52	29	7	—	—	21.1%	11.7%	9.5%	2.8%	6.63	4.58	-0.0
FULL	28	MLB A+C	ARI	—	—	25	106	52	29	7	—	—	48.7%	26.9%	21.8%	6.5%	14.26	5.95	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	ARI	153	0	161	679	151	71	23	0%	1.1	22.3%	10.5%	11.8%	3.4%	4.73	4.79	-0.4
2028	30	MLB MLE	ARI	144	0	151	638	138	67	23	0%	1.0	21.6%	10.5%	11.0%	3.6%	4.85	4.96	-0.7
2027	29	MLB CTX	ARI	146	0	153	646	144	68	22	0%	1.0	22.3%	10.5%	11.8%	3.4%	4.73	4.79	-0.4
2028	30	MLB CTX	ARI	137	0	144	608	131	64	22	0%	1.1	21.6%	10.5%	11.0%	3.6%	4.85	4.96	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		322	7	389	1646	354	172	54	2%	1.2	21.5%	10.4%	11.1%	3.3%	4.43	4.39	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		165	4	200	846	182	88	28	2%	1.2	21.5%	10.4%	11.1%	3.3%	4.43	4.39	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		129	59	402	1751	371	158	65	46%	3.1	21.2%	9.0%	12.2%	3.7%	5.11	4.48	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		64	29	200	872	185	79	32	46%	3.1	21.2%	9.0%	12.2%	3.7%	5.11	4.48	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Drey Jameson (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.65	25.3%	10.2%	3.7%	—	4.87	22.0%	11.5%	312	+0.22	—	—	—
Nelson Gonzalez R 2018 · 5.03 FIP	28	SW	5.03	19.2%	8.2%	4.6%	.311	6.22	16.9%	4.6%	74	+1.19	3.42	258	71
Daniel Robert R 2023 · 3.51 FIP	28	SU	3.51	21.9%	10.7%	1.7%	.310	3.09	24.6%	16.4%	87	-0.42	2.32	186	69
Esmil Rogers R 2015 · 3.51 FIP	29	SW	3.51	18.5%	8.9%	1.6%	.348	2.86	21.7%	17.9%	40	-0.65	2.86	199	69
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	69
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	68
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	67
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	67
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.15	17.6%	6.7%	202	+1.50	3.65	245	67
Cody Poteet R 2022 · 4.79 FIP	28	SW	4.79	18.4%	9.6%	3.7%	.244	3.77	20.5%	12.7%	68	-1.02	3.52	619	67
Bud Norris R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	30	SW	4.68	18.8%	8.2%	3.9%	.327	3.78	24.2%	15.5%	233	-0.90	3.51	316	67
Luis Santos R 2019 · 4.31 FIP	28	SU	4.31	22.9%	10.0%	3.4%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	472	66
Trevor May R 2018 · 3.74 FIP	28	SU	3.74	26.1%	9.8%	2.9%	.291	3.47	31.9%	23.6%	150	-0.27	3.05	432	66
Reinier Roibal R 2016 · 4.37 FIP	27	SW	4.37	16.9%	7.1%	3.3%	.371	4.91	17.5%	5.7%	37	+0.54	3.11	133	66
Alfonso Sanchez R 2016 · 5.26 FIP	28	SW	5.26	15.9%	7.4%	4.7%	.244	5.55	11.2%	2.3%	115	+0.29	4.51	224	65
Matt Ramsey R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	28	SU	3.78	24.9%	8.8%	3.0%	.276	2.42	21.7%	12.6%	34	-1.36	2.42	125	65
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	65
Mayckol Guaipe R 2019 · 4.18 FIP	28	SW	4.18	26.0%	7.6%	4.2%	.432	—	—	—	—	—	1.88	136	65
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	65
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	65
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.07	26.7%	16.7%	73	-0.97	2.28	118	65

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.3	156	23.1%	10.4%	1.37	4.74
Dan Straily ('19)	2.7	136	20.0%	8.9%	1.72	4.54
Josiah Gray ('23)	1.9	126	22.6%	10.8%	1.88	4.64
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45
Kutter Crawford ('24)	2.0	130	23.9%	7.2%	1.45	4.47
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12