Drey Jameson
P
Reno Aces
Age 28
RHP
6'0" / 165 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION39 act + 153 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 100
ERA4.36
FIP4.39
K%23.8%
BB%10.6%
K-BB%13.3%
ROS IP153
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 192 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p7796.4
Whiff%
p8130.1%
K%
p1216.7%
xwOBA vs
p400.323
CH+0.8 (25%)
SI (30%)
SL (26%)
FB-1.8 (49%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 20 | 111 | 464 | 145 | 36 | 15 | 95% | 5.3 | 24.6% | 8.7% | 15.9% | 3.6% | 3.98 | 4.09 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 20 | 111 | 464 | 145 | 36 | 15 | 95% | 5.3 | 31.2% | 7.8% | 23.5% | 3.2% | 3.98 | 3.22 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 29 | 157 | 683 | 156 | 53 | 23 | 97% | 5.2 | 20.3% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 3.9% | 5.56 | 4.57 | +1.5 |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 30 | 29 | 157 | 683 | 156 | 53 | 23 | 97% | 5.2 | 22.8% | 7.8% | 15.1% | 3.4% | 5.56 | 4.03 | +2.5 |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 8 | 69 | 297 | 61 | 29 | 8 | 40% | 3.4 | 19.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 2.7% | 4.33 | 4.17 | +0.5 |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 8 | 69 | 297 | 61 | 29 | 8 | 40% | 3.4 | 20.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 2.7% | 4.33 | 4.10 | +0.5 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 19 | 2 | 17 | 87 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 11% | 0.9 | 25.3% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 6.35 | 7.10 | -0.5 |
| 2025 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 19 | 2 | 17 | 87 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 11% | 0.9 | 25.3% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 6.35 | 5.69 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 31 | 0 | 39 | 170 | 34 | 18 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 18.4% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 6.05 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | ARI | 146 | 0 | 153 | 646 | 154 | 68 | 23 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 3.6% | 4.36 | 4.39 | +1.8 |
| ROS | 28 | MLB | ARI | 146 | 0 | 153 | 646 | 154 | 68 | 23 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 3.6% | 4.36 | 4.39 | +1.8 |
| 2026 TOT | 28 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 192 | 816 | 188 | 86 | 27 | — | — | 23.0% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 3.3% | 4.70 | 4.38 | +2.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 28 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 168 | 711 | 188 | 86 | 27 | — | — | 26.5% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 3.8% | 5.36 | 4.50 | +1.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | ARI | 153 | 0 | 161 | 679 | 158 | 69 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 3.6% | 4.70 | 4.78 | +1.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | ARI | 144 | 0 | 151 | 638 | 143 | 66 | 24 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 3.7% | 4.83 | 4.94 | +0.8 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | ARI | 146 | 0 | 153 | 646 | 150 | 66 | 23 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 3.6% | 4.70 | 4.78 | +1.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | ARI | 137 | 0 | 144 | 608 | 136 | 63 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 3.7% | 4.83 | 4.94 | +0.8 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 460 | 7 | 533 | 2248 | 512 | 231 | 78 | 2% | 1.2 | 22.8% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 3.5% | 4.36 | 4.38 | +6.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 173 | 3 | 200 | 844 | 192 | 87 | 29 | 2% | 1.2 | 22.8% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 3.5% | 4.36 | 4.38 | +2.4 | ||
| Career | — | 121 | 59 | 392 | 1701 | 364 | 155 | 63 | 49% | 3.2 | 21.4% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 3.7% | 4.98 | 4.47 | +4.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 62 | 30 | 200 | 868 | 186 | 79 | 32 | 49% | 3.2 | 21.4% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 3.7% | 4.98 | 4.47 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Drey Jameson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.69 | 25.6% | 10.5% | 3.7% | — | 4.86 | 22.8% | 12.5% | 312 | +0.17 | — | — | — |
| Nelson Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.72 | 19.2% | 8.2% | 4.0% | .311 | 5.88 | 16.9% | 4.6% | 74 | +1.16 | 3.33 | 258 | 71 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 68 |
| Trevor May R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 26.1% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .291 | 3.46 | 31.9% | 23.6% | 150 | -0.37 | 3.04 | 432 | 68 |
| Mayckol Guaipe R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.74 | 26.0% | 7.6% | 3.4% | .432 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.88 | 136 | 67 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2027 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 67 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 67 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2024 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 16.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 167 | 66 |
| Bud Norris R 2028 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 65 |
| Daniel Robert R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.60 | 23.3% | 12.5% | 1.6% | .310 | 3.16 | 25.8% | 16.6% | 87 | -0.44 | 2.16 | 186 | 65 |
| Luis Santos R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.12 | 22.9% | 10.0% | 3.1% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 472 | 65 |
| Cody Poteet R 2026 · 4.80 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.80 | 18.4% | 9.6% | 3.7% | .244 | 3.76 | 21.4% | 12.8% | 68 | -1.04 | 3.49 | 619 | 65 |
| Reinier Roibal R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.33 | 16.9% | 7.1% | 3.2% | .371 | 4.86 | 17.5% | 5.7% | 37 | +0.53 | 3.07 | 133 | 64 |
| Caleb Bolden R 2025 · 3.55 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.55 | 23.0% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 222 | 64 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.87 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .276 | 2.42 | 21.7% | 12.6% | 34 | -1.45 | 2.42 | 125 | 64 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 63 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2026 · 5.49 FIP | 28 | SW | 5.49 | 15.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | .244 | 5.53 | 11.2% | 2.3% | 115 | +0.04 | 4.54 | 224 | 63 |
| Houston Roth R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.87 | 24.4% | 10.1% | 4.6% | .227 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 389 | 63 |
| Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 63 |
| Tanner Kohlhepp R 2025 · 3.74 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.74 | 23.4% | 7.6% | 3.0% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 150 | 63 |
| Burch Smith R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.09 | 21.5% | 10.6% | 4.5% | .329 | 3.99 | 20.5% | 9.9% | 157 | -1.10 | 3.39 | 382 | 63 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 160 | 23.8% | 10.4% | 1.42 | 4.73 |
| Ubaldo Jiménez ('17) | 3 | 156 | 20.8% | 9.5% | 1.32 | 5.33 |
| James Shields ('18) | 4 | 176 | 19.8% | 9.6% | 1.71 | 4.81 |
| Tom Koehler ('17) | 3 | 146 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 1.24 | 4.62 |
| Josiah Gray ('23) | 3 | 126 | 22.6% | 10.8% | 1.88 | 4.64 |
| James Kaprielian ('23) | 3 | 105 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 1.26 | 4.58 |
| Dan Straily ('19) | 4 | 136 | 20.0% | 8.9% | 1.72 | 4.54 |