Ian Anderson — OGILVIE

Ian Anderson P Gwinnett Stripers

+0.0 WAR

Age 28 RHP 6'3" / 170 lbs AAA

ERA7.65

FIP5.04

xFIP5.82

SIERA5.38

K%19.0%

BB%12.7%

K-BB%6.2%

IP56

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.0peak

2026

K†4545

FB Velo

p4394.0

Whiff%

p7028.4%

p3319.7%

xwOBA vs

p390.325

CU (14%)

FB-2.0 (52%)

CH-2.6 (34%)

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2016	18	ROK	Danville Braves	10	10	40	157	36	12	1	15.6%	9.6%	0.9%	2.04	3.48	+0.7
2017	19	A	Rome Braves	20	20	83	355	101	43	0	21.1%	14.3%	0.0%	3.14	3.13	+1.9
2018	20	AA	Mississippi Braves	24	24	119	494	142	49	2	22.3%	11.3%	0.5%	2.49	2.93	+3.2
2019	21	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	26	26	136	575	172	64	13	24.5%	12.1%	3.0%	3.38	4.21	+1.7
2020	22	MLB	Atlanta Braves	6	6	32	138	41	14	1	29.7%	10.1%	0.7%	1.95	2.26	+1.0
2021	23	MLB	Atlanta Braves	28	28	143	599	144	60	16	23.6%	10.1%	2.7%	3.59	3.86	+2.3
2022	24	MLB	Atlanta Braves	26	26	133	591	120	64	14	19.8%	10.9%	2.2%	5.06	4.00	+2.0
2023	25	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	1	1	1	9	1	2	3	—	—	—	54.00	—	—
2024	26	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	15	15	68	286	68	29	7	20.5%	12.4%	3.5%	3.44	4.85	+0.1
2025	27	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	19	12	58	270	46	40	5	15.1%	15.6%	2.1%	6.36	4.95	-0.0
▸ 2026 Season
2026	28	MLB	ATL	52	—	52	218	43	28	6	19.9%	12.7%	2.9%	7.63	4.98	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	29	MLB	ATL	47	—	47	198	39	25	6	19.4%	12.8%	2.9%	6.08	5.05	-0.1
2028	30	MLB	ATL	42	—	42	179	34	23	5	18.9%	12.9%	3.0%	5.52	5.14	-0.1
2029	31	MLB	ATL	38	—	38	161	29	21	5	18.3%	13.0%	3.0%	5.36	5.25	-0.1
2030	32	MLB	ATL	34	—	34	144	25	19	4	17.7%	13.2%	3.1%	5.36	5.36	-0.2
2031	33	MLB	ATL	30	—	30	128	22	17	4	17.0%	13.4%	3.2%	5.44	5.49	-0.2
2032	34	MLB	ATL	27	—	27	113	18	15	4	16.3%	13.6%	3.3%	5.56	5.63	-0.2
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			175	168	813	3474	751	410	70	21.6%	11.8%	2.0%	3.68	3.87	+13.2
/ 200 IP	—			43	41	200	855	185	101	17	21.6%	11.8%	2.0%	3.68	3.87	+3.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ian Anderson (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.98	19.9%	12.7%	2.9%	—	5.14	18.9%	6.0%	128	+0.16	—	—	—
Wirfin Obispo R 2028 · 4.83 FIP	30	SU	4.83	18.6%	12.2%	3.2%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.52	1.30	218	82
Javy Guerra R 2028 · 4.30 FIP	30	SW	4.30	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.87	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.43	3.01	260	82
Tanner Scheppers R 2026 · 4.38 FIP	28	SW	4.38	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.82	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.44	4.38	101	82
Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.85 FIP	28	SU	4.85	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.87	18.2%	10.2%	272	-0.98	3.45	315	81
Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.82 FIP	28	SW	4.82	20.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.275	6.70	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+1.88	3.88	180	80
Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.78 FIP	28	SW	4.78	16.5%	9.9%	3.3%	.297	3.85	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.93	3.85	102	80
Joe Colón J R 2025 · 4.30 FIP	27	SU	4.30	20.4%	12.1%	2.5%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.24	113	80
Luis Mateo R 2025 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	17.6%	11.2%	2.8%	.309	5.45	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.87	3.47	160	80
Arcenio Leon R 2026 · 4.85 FIP	28	SU	4.85	17.9%	12.5%	3.1%	.450	3.38	18.0%	9.1%	85	-1.47	3.01	115	79
Cole McDonald R 2025 · 5.16 FIP	27	SU	5.16	21.1%	13.8%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.84	153	77
Wil Browning R 2026 · 4.45 FIP	28	SW	4.45	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	77
Brandon Maurer R 2026 · 4.89 FIP	28	SW	4.89	19.7%	13.0%	3.3%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	2.98	234	77
Ronald Peña R 2025 · 4.57 FIP	27	SU	4.57	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.08	3.70	187	76
Gonzalez Germen R 2026 · 3.94 FIP	28	SW	3.94	19.2%	10.9%	2.0%	.292	3.68	15.5%	6.9%	16	-0.26	3.68	146	76
Erik Davis R 2026 · 3.95 FIP	28	SU	3.95	17.9%	13.5%	1.2%	.363	3.64	21.1%	11.3%	181	-0.31	3.05	227	75
Grant Sides R 2025 · 3.83 FIP	27	SW	3.83	22.4%	11.9%	2.0%	.247	3.31	21.7%	11.9%	47	-0.52	3.31	159	75
Ariel Peña R 2026 · 3.96 FIP	28	SW	3.96	22.5%	12.0%	2.3%	.304	6.07	19.9%	-5.7%	21	+2.11	3.79	223	75
Irving Jimenez R 2025 · 4.48 FIP	27	SU	4.48	18.9%	12.4%	2.6%	.417	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	104	75
Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 3.79 FIP	28	SW	3.79	17.5%	12.2%	1.1%	.250	3.65	18.4%	4.6%	42	-0.14	3.65	255	75
Josh Zeid R 2026 · 4.13 FIP	28	SW	4.13	16.6%	12.5%	1.6%	.302	5.19	16.9%	5.7%	194	+1.06	4.13	265	75

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.