Ian Anderson
P
Gwinnett Stripers
Age 28
RHP
6'3" / 170 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION38 proj IP · Marcel + aging
ERA5.18
FIP5.18
xFIP5.82
SIERA5.38
K%17.9%
BB%12.7%
K-BB%5.1%
IP39
K†4040
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
CU (14%)
FB-2.0 (52%)
CH-2.6 (34%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.4 (SP) / 4.55 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | Danville Braves | 10 | 10 | 40 | 157 | 36 | 12 | 1 | 15.6% | 9.6% | 0.9% | 2.04 | 3.48 | +0.5 |
| 2017 | 19 | A | Rome Braves | 20 | 20 | 83 | 355 | 101 | 43 | 0 | 21.1% | 14.3% | 0.0% | 3.14 | 3.13 | +1.9 |
| 2018 | 20 | AA | Mississippi Braves | 24 | 24 | 119 | 494 | 142 | 49 | 2 | 22.3% | 11.3% | 0.5% | 2.49 | 2.94 | +3.4 |
| 2019 | 21 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 26 | 26 | 136 | 575 | 172 | 64 | 13 | 24.5% | 12.1% | 3.3% | 3.38 | 4.36 | +1.6 |
| 2020 | 22 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 6 | 6 | 32 | 138 | 41 | 14 | 1 | 29.7% | 10.1% | 0.7% | 1.95 | 2.27 | +0.9 |
| 2021 | 23 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 28 | 28 | 143 | 599 | 144 | 60 | 16 | 23.6% | 10.1% | 2.7% | 3.59 | 3.85 | +2.6 |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB | Atlanta Braves | 26 | 26 | 133 | 591 | 120 | 64 | 14 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 2.4% | 5.06 | 4.13 | +2.0 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11.1% | 22.2% | 33.3% | 54.00 | 23.27 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 15 | 15 | 68 | 286 | 68 | 29 | 7 | 20.5% | 12.4% | 3.6% | 3.44 | 4.93 | -0.2 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 19 | 12 | 58 | 270 | 46 | 40 | 5 | 15.1% | 15.6% | 2.2% | 6.36 | 4.99 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 36 | — | 36 | 153 | 27 | 19 | 4 | 17.9% | 12.7% | 2.9% | 5.18 | 5.18 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | LAA | 35 | — | 35 | 146 | 25 | 19 | 4 | 17.3% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 5.28 | 5.34 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB | LAA | 32 | — | 32 | 137 | 23 | 18 | 4 | 16.6% | 13.2% | 3.3% | 5.44 | 5.55 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB | LAA | 30 | — | 30 | 128 | 20 | 17 | 4 | 15.8% | 13.6% | 3.5% | 5.64 | 5.78 | -0.4 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB | LAA | 28 | — | 28 | 118 | 18 | 17 | 4 | 15.0% | 14.0% | 3.7% | 5.88 | 6.03 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 175 | 168 | 813 | 3474 | 751 | 410 | 73 | 21.6% | 11.8% | 2.1% | 3.68 | 3.93 | +14.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 43 | 41 | 200 | 855 | 185 | 101 | 18 | 21.6% | 11.8% | 2.1% | 3.68 | 3.93 | +3.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ian Anderson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.18 | 17.9% | 12.7% | 2.9% | — | 5.55 | 16.6% | 3.4% | 97 | +0.37 | — | — | — |
| Casey Coleman R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.22 | 12.6% | 11.4% | 1.3% | .349 | 4.18 | 18.3% | 8.9% | 146 | -0.04 | 2.86 | 306 | 47 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2024 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 47 |
| Josh Roeder R 2024 · 4.75 FIP | 26 | SP- | 4.75 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 175 | 46 |
| Felipe Paulino R 2029 · 4.68 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.68 | 15.8% | 11.8% | 2.6% | .312 | 4.79 | 15.0% | 4.8% | 26 | +0.11 | 4.68 | 150 | 45 |
| Nate Long R 2027 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.86 | 14.8% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 151 | 45 |
| Daniel Guerrero R 2029 · 4.64 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.64 | 12.4% | 11.6% | 2.0% | .328 | 4.73 | 11.7% | 2.0% | 175 | +0.09 | 4.49 | 269 | 45 |
| David Griffin R 2025 · 6.04 FIP | 27 | SP- | 6.04 | 14.5% | 10.3% | 5.2% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.52 | 239 | 45 |
| Brad Allen R 2025 · 6.07 FIP | 27 | SP- | 6.07 | 14.7% | 13.2% | 4.6% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.22 | 149 | 45 |
| Adam Quintana R 2025 · 4.15 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.15 | 18.6% | 11.7% | 2.1% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.72 | 201 | 45 |
| Bud Norris R 2028 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 45 |
| Lisalverto Bonilla R 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.60 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .304 | 4.88 | 15.8% | 3.2% | 11 | +0.28 | 3.25 | 221 | 45 |
| Matt Harvey R 2026 · 5.77 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.77 | 15.5% | 10.2% | 4.9% | .298 | 4.76 | 19.0% | 12.0% | 249 | -1.01 | 2.90 | 806 | 45 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.23 | 23.2% | 11.8% | 2.9% | .274 | 4.63 | 21.1% | 11.2% | 310 | +0.40 | 3.33 | 556 | 44 |
| Kaleb Roper R 2024 · 5.54 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.54 | 17.3% | 11.8% | 4.4% | .398 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.54 | 146 | 44 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2028 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 15.0% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .289 | 4.40 | 22.0% | 10.3% | 115 | +0.10 | 4.23 | 221 | 44 |
| Jordan Pries R 2024 · 4.55 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.55 | 17.4% | 8.2% | 3.4% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.15 | 219 | 44 |
| Mario Gonzalez R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.60 | 12.6% | 6.0% | 3.3% | .302 | 4.01 | 16.2% | 10.8% | 233 | -0.59 | 3.86 | 368 | 44 |
| James Kaprielian R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.55 | 17.0% | 10.2% | 2.9% | .260 | 5.69 | 17.8% | 5.2% | 110 | +1.14 | 3.03 | 446 | 44 |
| Iván Nova R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.43 | 15.3% | 8.0% | 2.9% | .283 | 4.19 | 17.3% | 13.1% | 510 | -0.24 | 3.90 | 810 | 44 |
| Hector Noesí R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 44 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.